Update: The wacko theories about Coronavirus continue to be used by those who want to push their pet lunacies. We’ve been there before so we know liars when we see them. Anyone notice the resemblance between today’s “flatten the curve” on Coronavirus and the ObamaCare liars who yammered about “bend the cost curve”?
As Congress voted on the Affordable Care Act, or Obamacare, in 2010, one of the bill’s architects, MIT economist Jonathan Gruber, told a college audience that those pushing the legislation pitched it as a bill that would control spiraling health care costs even though most of the bill was focused on something else and there was no guarantee the bill would actually bend the cost curve.
Liars lie using charts or whatever mumbo jumbo the rubes will believe. It’s Q-Anon and Conservative Treehouse all over again. Except now John Nolte at Breitbart has joined the parade of liars who used statistics, charts, and “experts” to snooker the dummies.
Nolte continues his lies about I’m not here to alarm anyone, and I am not here to scoff. Nolte is a liar. Nolte’s “expert” once again is Barack Obama’s “expert” Andrew Slavitt. Nolte writes AT THE VERY LEAST, ONE MILLION AMERICANS WILL DIE NO MATTER WHAT WE DO NEXT
Nolte vouches for Slavitt. He is not some crank on Twitter. He is not some paranoid…. So ridiculous is Nolte that some commenters think he is being sarcastic in his exaggerations. But no, Nolte is a panic monger and a liar. Nolte might as well quote Gruber on ObamaCare as an “expert”.
Thus far the death toll in the United States is 61. That’s a holiday weekend death toll in Chicago. President Trump is on the job and he is the best vaccine against liars, CoronaVirus, and wacko theorists.
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Hysterical losers are using the Chinese CoronaVirus to push their own loopy issues and/or to attempt to destroy the indestructible President Donald J. Trump. The method used by these corrupt losers is the usual one of “lies, damned lies and statistics“. Let’s look at the claims by these statistics using liars and then debunk them with one razor sharp slash of our intellectual swift sword.
First up, is NeverTrump liar and fool Megan McArdle writing at the NeverTrump Washington Post her statistical lies in order to educate those of us who know better than she ever will about the statistical scams lying “experts” use to fool the public:
When a danger is growing exponentially, everything looks fine until it doesn’t
There’s an old brain teaser that goes like this: You have a pond of a certain size, and upon that pond, a single lilypad. This particular species of lily pad reproduces once a day, so that on day two, you have two lily pads. On day three, you have four, and so on.
Now the teaser. “If it takes the lily pads 48 days to cover the pond completely, how long will it take for the pond to be covered halfway?”
The answer is 47 days. Moreover, at day 40, you’ll barely know the lily pads are there.
That grim math explains why so many people — including me — are worried about the novel coronavirus, which causes a disease known as covid-19. And why so many other people think we are panicking over nothing.
During the current flu season, they point out, more than 250,000 people have been hospitalized in the United States, and 14,000 have died, including more than 100 children. As of this writing, the coronavirus has killed 29 people, and our caseload is in the hundreds. Why are we freaking out about the tiny threat while ignoring the big one?
Megan McArdle wants us to think we are panicked over something very real. The key here is the word “panicked”. There is nothing to panic about if you know the truth. But the scam artists, flim-flam men and women want to get us all to “panic” in order to advance their phony issues and to destroy the Great President Donald J. Trump. McArdle ignores the obvious – her statistical predictions are based on President Trump doing nothing about CoronaVirus.
Second up, surprisingly, is a Breitbart writer who likewise wants to attract eyeballs with what is presented as a “just the facts” approach. But this is not “just the facts”, it is a bunch of statistical damned lies. Here’s the statistical damned lies of John Nolte:
Nolte: The Experts’ Coronavirus Death Toll Math Is Terrifying
This is a breakdown of the projected American coronavirus death count per various experts, including the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
You will find no opinion in this piece, and this is not me engaging in alarmism. All I’m doing is passing along what we’re being told by the experts.
According to the CDC, the coronavirus fatality rate is one percent.
This number comes directly from Wednesday’s congressional testimony from Dr. Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.
That one percent is ten times more lethal than the flu.
The good news is that one percent is a lot lower than the 3.4 percent fatality rate the World Health Organization was throwing around a few days ago.
According to Congress’s in-house doctor, Dr. Brian Monahan, “He expects 70-150 million people in the U.S. — roughly a third of the country — to contract the coronavirus,” per reporting from the far-left Axios.
Axios adds that Monahan’s estimate “is in line with other projections from health experts.”
The lowest estimate of American deaths I could find — at least from a respected expert — comes from infectious disease specialist Michael Osterholm, who “conservatively” predicts 480,000 American coronavirus deaths by the end of the year. That’s 480,000 deaths, not cases.
“We conservatively estimate that this could require 48 million hospitalizations, 96 million cases actually occurring, over 480,000 deaths that can occur over the next three to seven months,” he told Joe Rogan this week.
Key point there is “over the next three to seven months,” meaning before the end of the year.
The next point I’m about to make is the most important…
These Are NOT Worst Case Scenarios
None of these experts are qualifying their predictions with phrases like “worst case scenario,” or “if we do nothing,” or “if we just let it ride.” In fact, Osterholm very carefully used the word “conservatively,” which strikes me as his best case scenario.
What’s more, all of these expert estimates were made with the government already taking precautions, so I don’t know how to interpret these estimates as anything other than “these are the numbers based on what we’re doing now.”
Here’s a report telling us the “low end of the projection … with containment” is 700,000 American deaths:
That’s enough excerpts from Nolte although he writes even more alarmist nonsense. After reading that crap it is no wonder Americans reject the “experts”. Nolte ignores the fact that these experts indeed did not qualify “their predictions with phrases like” “if we do nothing” “if we just let it ride’. Nolte should have noted that horrible things can happen at any time on any issue IF NOTHING IS DONE. But Nolte was more interested in the sensationalistic statistical nonsense and ignored the obvious – PRESIDENT TRUMP WILL TAKE NECESSARY ACTION TO STOP THESE STATISTICAL NONSENSICAL STUPIDITIES FROM TAKING PLACE.
The alleged “experts” lie with statistics. Nolte provides lurid charts which show the shocking increase in deaths – all the way to um, 39 deaths. From zero deaths due to CoronaVirus to 39 deaths is a zillion times a zillion in statistical terms. Charts can sometimes be the best tool of statistical liars.
The alleged “experts” have their own interests such as they like to finally get some attention on TV. The alleged “experts” who did nothing before to stop what they now bemoan did nothing before the immediate situation/panic. To the contrary, many of these alleged “experts” attacked President Trump and those of us who thought outsourcing products such as antibiotics to China was foolish. To hell with the “experts” who are only expert in announcing they are “experts”.
Nolte should know better. Nolte misinforms us that the expected deaths in the United States are 1.5 million by the end of the year. The “expert” Nolte relies on most is Dr. Brian Monahan. The other “expert” Nolte relies on is Andy Slavitt. Who are these “experts”?
Andy Slavitt is Barack flim-flam con man Obama’s guy formerly in charge of Medicare and Medicaid. Dr. Brian Monahan was put in place by… Barack flim-flam con man Obama.
If you trust Andy Slavitt or Brian Monahan you likely also trust the scam operation of the United Nations – WHO – the alleged World Health Organization. You remember them as the guys that trusted the CoronaVirus statistics issued by China. Trust these scam artists at your own peril. The CDC is likewise a typically bumbling government operation that requires lots of supervision or else it too will provide statistical lies and foolish misjudgments.
All the “experts” who rejected President Trump’s swift action with a travel ban from China should be rejected. President Trump is not an “expert” on pandemics or communicable diseases. President Trump however has basic common sense and has always been mocked as a “germaphobe”.
We will make our own SHOCKING PREDICTION!!!!
330 MILLION AMERICANS WILL BE DEAD BY DECEMBER 31, 2020 IF THEY DON’T CONSUME FOOD AND NUTRITION. THAT’S 330 MILLION DEAD BY THE END OF THE YEAR.
The solution to prevent 330 million American deaths by the end of this year is for Americans to have breakfast, and/or lunch, and/or dinner. That is what escapes McArdle, Nolte, and the other dolts who push panic.
Is CoronaVirus a danger? Of course. But so is anything you don’t keep an eye on and take actions against. Eat only ice cream and you too will die. Breath air repeatedly and rapidly for long enough and you too will die. Fall asleep while driving and you too will die. Walk with a blindfold on alongside a highway and the statistical probability is that you too will die.
The point is not to panic. Take action that is sensible. If you find yourself on a large ocean liner and it hits an iceberg – don’t panic. Proceed calmly to the lifeboat. What the NeverTrumps, the Obama Dims, Big Media, want is for Americans to panic. Their entire goals is to cause panic. Panic leads to death and stupid financial decisions.
President Trump is doing what needs to be done without panic, with calm reason. Unlike Biden who is a China shill and weak socialist Bernie, President Trump fights for America First. And can we all acknowledge that President Trump has been completely correct about the stupid bumbling Federal Reserve? At some point summer will return and the great pandemic caused by Big Media “experts” will disappear and rationality will return to the public and the markets.
At that point all that President Trump has said will have to be dealt with. Illegal immigration will have to be 100% stopped. The supply chains controlled by China will have to be broken. The “end of the world” will end and President Trump will be reelected.
Then the fun begins.
