October 23rd, 2015
We don’t discuss Benghazi nor emails much. Why? Because whether you believe Benghazi and Hillary’s emails are the most important issue in the world or you think these are partisan political attacks and nothing more, the bottom line analysis for us that they will not determine the 2016 presidential elections. We’ve written about and will continue to discuss what will determine the 2016 presidential elections and what will indeed destroy Hillary Clinton as well as Trump’s spectacular rise and JeBush’s spectacular fall. We’ll do so again today. But first a brief break to discuss Benghazi and emails.
We’ve written about Benghazi and emails and such when they happened so we’re not going to waste too much time today on these matters. But we will summarize our analysis of the entire situation. Years ago, before Hillary Clinton testified before another congressional committee on the Benghazi mess we wrote that only a special committee of very few congresspersons with a past as experienced prosecutors could unravel this knot. We stated that a strict search for the truth and nothing but the truth would suffice. We also predicted the Issa chaired hearing would fail. Not much really changed from then. Yes, a special committee was appointed (and recently undermined by other Republicans who declared it to be a partisan witch hunt against Hillary Clinton). But instead of focusing on the central and most important issue related to Benghazi the special committee when off chasing geese in deep woods. In the end, both committees failed to get the truth of what happened in Benghazi.
Since the deaths of an American ambassador in Benghazi we stated that Benghazi was not a silly issue to be swept away. This is what we wrote in May 2013:
Uncovering the truth about what happened in Benghazi on September 11 is important because even if Big Media and Obama Dimocrats don’t think it is important – the terrorist killers of Americans in Benghazi know the truth and they are emboldened when our political system denies the truth.
What contempt for the American way of government these terrorist killers must have as they witness the lies and corruption that our political system cannot uncover, or rather, works like sleepless rust to keep covered.
These terrorist killers must laugh at American power and American “justice” as they see the apparatus of the “government of the people, government by the people, government for the people” protect them and shift the blame for terrorist murders of American officials on an American who exercised his rights and produced a Youtube video Innocence of Muslims. That American is now in prison even as the friend of Boston terrorist killer Tdouchebag Tsarnaev is free on bail.
That entire article is worth a read if you want our complete analysis of Benghazi because it pretty much answers every question we are constantly asked to comment on.
A quick summary of Benghazi from our point of view:
(1) The only question that matters is “What moron idiot too stupid or too corrupt to be president does not prepare for a terrorist attack on America on September 11?” In that one question, easy for every American to understand the Benghazi attack is made relevant.
(2) Answer question #1.
That’s it. That is the entire Benghazi scandal in a nutshell. If Hillary is the moron idiot who did not prepare for possible attacks against American installations, particularly one in a frazzled Libya, then she is too stupid to be president. Or, if it was Barack Obama just before his reelection who in order to maintain the illusion of a nonexistent peace with the Muslim world did not issue orders or prevented the issuance of orders for a world-wide alert at all American embassies, consulates, military installations, and other offices of the American government or American institutions, then Barack Obama is not fit to be president.
“September 11” is the beginning and end of the Benghazi investigation. If a congressional committee cannot get an answer as to why there was not a world-wide alert, let alone an alert for extra precautions in Benghazi Libya, then we expect, and get, only failure and clowns.
Our final observations on Benghazi and Hillary are simple. No committee of the congress is going to be able to outsmart Hillary Clinton. She is too smart. She was a lawyer who went to court to defend clients as well as corporate entities. She is too smart to be caught. For this latest committee hearing Hillary spent seven days in preparation knowing from certain committee members what evidence and questions would be thrown at her. The notion or expectation that in the cumbersome committee process somehow this latest Benghazi committee would somehow imitate the fictitious and phony Perry Mason antics was a delusion.
What do we think happened in Benghazi? We wrote at the end of our 2013 article cited above:
Our operating theory is that Benghazi was a CIA operation in a State Department compound for who knows what. Possibly an Iran/contra type operation to get munitions and supplies to Syrian “rebels” is what was going on. Maybe it was about Chad, who knows? That’s what we need an thorough investigation for.
Again, we stick by that belief. We’ll add that maybe it was the very people we armed and helped who also attacked the installation in Benghazi (“Ansar al-Sharia is claiming responsibility.” It’s interesting; Mr. Khattala, one of the guys arrested in charge actually belonged to that group.“) The embarrassment over that fact might be what aided the cover-up of the truth. But in the end it was Obama and the Obama presidential campaign that caused the Benghazi attack to succeed because Barack Obama did not issue a world-wide alert for special security and precautions on September 11.
Of course, the most important thing we have written, the most relevant observation about Benghazi is the one the fewest seem able to digest. And happily, it is at the center of the 2016 presidential campaign.
What the mopes in Congress, what most Republicans, what most Democrats, what most overall can’t seem to understand in their bones – yes, they will accept it at times intellectually – but then they forget because it is not in their bones, is the way to destroy Hillary2016. We’ve written about it so often. Yet, the lesson is constantly forgotten.
Benghazi will not destroy Hillary2016. “Scandals” will not stop Hillary2016 (and if you don’t believe us read what anti-Hillary Jay Cost has to say on this repeatedly failed tactic.)
The only way to destroy Hillary2016 is to tie Hillary to Barack Obama. Tie Hillary2016 to the Obama situation comedy demographic coalition and Hillary is toast. It is that simple.
The Obama goons want Hillary to be the Obama third term and any deviation (as Joe Biden declared) will be forcefully attacked. The sensible rest of the country does not want an Obama third term. Therein lies the trick. Attach Hillary to Obama and Hillary2016 is dead as a door nail.
Attach Hillary to Obama and Hillary2016 is dead as a door nail is a concept Hillary Clinton herself either does not seem to understand, or, is unable to get around. At the first and hopefully last debate (there is another debate scheduled for November but now that the electrifying Lincoln Chaffee and the mesmerizing Jim Webb have pulled out, is there any reason to go on with more debates?) Hillary Clinton managed to tie herself tightly to Barack Obama. After Biden’s threats with Obama at his side it increasingly appears that Hillary will run a disastrous third term strategy.
The third term strategy will prove to be a disaster. To prove our case let’s bring our first witness, Mr. Donald J. Trump.
Recently Donald J. Trump declared that President George W. Bush was the president when the World Trade Center went down. Donald J. Trump did not state that President George W. Bush was responsible for the attack but the “Buck Stops Here” responsibility argument had bite. Immediately Jeb! responded. It was a trap Jeb! fell into.
Recall, the reason why the Jeb! campaign is not the Bush! campaign is because Jeb! did not want to run as the third George W. Bush. Jeb! shaved the “Bush”.
Donald J. Trump with his wily trap forced Jeb! to become Bush! JeBush is the third Bush term. To see how devastating this Trump attack has been look at Jake Tapper’s interview with JeBush:
Jeb! asks why Trump “keeps bringing this up?” Jeb! does not see how Trump is turning Jeb! into JeBush!
As Jake Tapper asked, ‘If Bush isn’t responsible for 9/11 then can Hillary be responsible for Benghazi?’
Trump ties Jeb! to Bush! and he will tie Hillary! to Obama! That’s a chess master at work.
Endgame. Trump closed his trap on JeBush with the release of his own prescient remarks about the World Trade Center attack and Bin Laden from as early as 1999. Now the JeBush campaign is in deep trouble, political and financial.
How did Donald J. Trump manage stop the fix for JeBush and get to this point of near victory? Trump tied Jeb! to Bush! It’s a lesson for Hillary2016.
October 20th, 2015
Update: Breaking: Biden to make statement at White House imminently; Update: Not running. The Biden Rose Garden announcement, with Barack Obama at his side, should send chills up Hillary Clinton’s side.
Biden’s speech was more of a stump speech than a farewell. Biden attacked Hillary regularly these past few days. Today was no different. Biden attacked Hillary repeatedly placing the onus of Republican antagonism on her. To make such a claim on the day before Hillary testifies before congress was not an act of a friend. Joe Biden has called Republicans and the Tea Party terrorists and other assorted insults but today he was the voice of peace and unity – very much the routine Barack Obama used to win in 2008.
Ominously, Biden declared he will stay in the process to defend Barack Obama and Barack Obama’s policies. Biden demanded candidates for the presidential nomination defend Barack Obama and Obama’s policies. This means Biden will attack Hillary any time she decides to run as herself and not the Obama Third Term, if Hillary ever has such intention of which there is scant evidence. Hillary will now have to run as the Obama Third Term or attack dog Biden will chew on her throat.
Worst for Hillary, it sounded to us as if Biden is running for president. Biden said his reason for not running was that the window has closed. Biden basically said it was too late to get in and get all that needed to be done accomplished for a full fledged presidential run. Biden’s announcement, with Obama at his side, was a presidential campaign announcement minus the one sentence in which he demurred. It’s almost as if Biden thinks at some point something will happen to remove Hillary and put his candidacy in play.
Trump leads two new national Republican polls with 27 and 28 percent. For months, in all national polls and all statewide polls Trump is #1.
As we predicted long before conventional wisdom caught up to us this past weekend – Yes, Donald Trump looks to be the Republican nominee for president in 2016. Yes, the GOP primary was “fixed” for JeBush but Donald J. Trump kinda messed that plan up. Yes, Carly Fiorina is a fizzle. Yes, Marco Rubio can’t get it up enough to win. Yes, Hillary Clinton’s biggest enemy is Barack Obama. Yes, Hillary2016 has thrown away the winning Clinton coalition for the losing Obama situation comedy demographic. And now, Donald J. Trump is busy building a winning general election electoral fortress with key elements of the former Clinton coalition:
SHOCK POLL: Trump Blue Collar Support highest since FDR in 1930s
It may come as a surprise to many that Donald J Trump’s support from Blue Collar Americans (those involved in trades, manufacturing, industry, and labor) is the highest since any candidate since FDR in 1936 since Gallup began polling.
Trump has consistently shown his appeal to the blue collar sector of the economy, pulling ahead of even Clinton and Sanders in “rust belt” states like Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin, Indiana, and Pennslyvania.
These states have the highest share of “Blue Collar” voters in the nation, and many of them have not voted Republican in over 20 years.
Trump’s appeal to blue collar workers is in the 60% range, higher than any candidate since Franklin Roosevelt won a massive landslide in 1936 on the support of the Blue Collar voter.
Trump doesn’t do well with just the average “White Joe Sixpack,” he also gains a large share of black voters and even hispanics (25%, 37%)
The white working class should have been the bedrock of Hillary2016. The white working class support for Hillary Clinton in 2008 provided grand victories of 40 point margins when Hillary was most wounded. Now Hillary2016 has repeatedly abandoned those voters.
Jim Webb as he euthanized his sad imitation of a campaign today to threaten an independent run towards failure reminded all of the abandonment of the white working class by the once respectful Democratic Party:
Speaking at the National Press Club in Washington, Webb argued the Democratic Party has moved away from “millions of dedicated, hard-working Americans.”
“For this reason, I am withdrawing from any consideration of being the Democratic Party’s nominee for the presidency,” he said.
“The very nature of our democracy is under siege due to the power structure and the money that finances both political parities,” Webb said, adding later that it is “time for a new Declaration of Independence — not from an outside power but from the paralysis of a federal system that no longer serves the interests of the vast majority of the American people.”
Webb, who said he couldn’t see himself endorsing any other candidate, said he is considering an independent run and will spend the “next couple of weeks talking to people, people I have not felt comfortable talking with as a Democratic Party candidate.” [snip]
Mudcat Saunders, Webb’s close friend and informal adviser, told CNN he last spoke with Webb this weekend but the senator never said he planned to drop out of the Democratic contest.
“We were just b—-ing about the way our party has moved. They have given up on the South, they have given up on the heartland, on rural America,” Saunders said, expressing both his and Webb’s view. “It is a math game and the math is not going to work. It might work once and it might work twice. We just don’t like the Democratic Party’s strategy.”
He added, “I feel confident that Jim would say that same thing. Just to take a whole group of people and throw them out of the equation is wrong. That is what the party has done throughout small towns and rural America.”
The bedrock of a winning coalition, the people Barack Obama dismissed in 2008 as “bitter” and clinging to their guns and Bibles, used to be the FDR coalition and the Clinton coalition. No longer. They are now part of the Trump Triumph. Hillary2016 has abandoned them so they have abandoned her.
The counter argument to Trump winning the white working class vote is that Trump won’t get the nomination. At every turn we hear of a new pawn up to the job of destroying Donald J. Trump. The latest and biggest pawn in the long line of dead pawns is Marco Rubio. Rubio is in a pitched battle with JeBush because the winner of that fight will presumably be the sole anti-Trump candidate left standing.
Trump of course has not targeted Marco Rubio yet. What we have seen are the preliminary jabs from Trump, akin to a naval bombardment before invasion of a beachhead. Trump has only mocked Rubio with image recasting insults. When Trump unloads on Rubio on issues such as illegal immigration there won’t be much left of Marco. Not that there is much to Marco Rubio other than a trail of Obama style stinky sweat and a wide Obama style smile. Put aside the sweat and the smile, and Politico reports, there is a wake up call:
Marco Rubio’s wake-up call
For all the buzz surrounding his campaign, the Florida senator isn’t raising enough money and hasn’t yet built much of a field organization.
The hype surrounding Marco Rubio’s presidential campaign just smashed into the wall of reality.
First, the Florida senator’s team insisted it had stashed more campaign cash in the bank than fellow Floridian Jeb Bush — only it hadn’t. The campaign also told reporters it had raised $6 million in the last fundraising quarter — also not true. That turned out to be an overly generous rounding of the underwhelming real figure: $5.7 million.
Yet those aren’t even the most troublesome parts of the Florida senator’s most recent campaign finance report. Rubio may be slowly rising in the polls, but his third quarter filing revealed a campaign that’s also out-manned by many of its rivals in the early-voting states. His staff is largely concentrated in Washington, with just a small umbrella of on-the-ground, early-state operatives — and he’s already at a disadvantage because he hasn’t invested the time in early-state visits that some of his opponents have. [snip]
“If Trump-mania subsides, you’ve got to have a mechanism and a structure,” said Chip Felkel, a South Carolina Republican strategist who isn’t affiliated with any campaign.
If not Rubio the anti-Trump argument is still Jeb Bush. As we have noted, JeBush is clumsy at best. If we needed more evidence of the catastrophe of the Jeb Bush campaign we received it in an astounding interview. Mike Murphy, who is more of a wrecking ball for campaigns than a help, provided the working theory of the Jeb Bush campaign’s SuperPac:
Mike Murphy of Right to Rise Explains His Theory That Jeb Bush Is Still the Candidate to Beat
Donald Trump, Murphy says, is a “zombie front-runner.” And the punditocracy pays much too much attention to polls. Part one of a frank Q&A with the man who runs Bush’s super-PAC. [snip]
How has Trump’s entry changed the race?
It created a false zombie front-runner. He’s dead politically, he’ll never be president of the United States, ever. By definition I don’t think you can be a front-runner if you’re totally un-electable. I think there’s there an a-priori logic problem in that.
Has he been dead since he got in?
I think so, yeah. So there’s no meaningful outcome to it. But the question is what kind of catalyst is it? It’s a huge amount of noise and so we’re trying to find the signal in all this. You’ve seen Trump start to drop now. I think it’ll be a very slow drop, but I think he’ll continue to drop and the question is: is he ready to lose primaries, will he stay in? And nobody knows the answer to that. [snip]
You were quoted in the Washington Post a couple of months ago saying, Trump is “other people’s problem.”
Oh, I’d love a two-way race with Trump at the end, yeah.
Mike Murphy is a windbag paid to distort reality along with Big Media. That Murphy believes Trump is losing support or that JeBush/CommonCore/IllegalImmigration will beat Trump one-on-one is delusional. The only value to the Murphy interview is that it confirms what we have written about the original plan of JeBush to win the nomination via a fix involving the Florida March 15 winner take all primary:
During that period, you expect several candidates to be clumped together as far as delegates are concerned.
Yeah, for a while, for a while. I mean February’s not really about delegates, it’s about media momentum.
When do you expect that to change?
March 15 is the big day. On the 16th, I don’t think anybody will have a mathematical lock, but there definitely will be a very strong leading candidate.
You’re describing a scenario where a candidate who has never finished higher than third or fourth in any particular state could still be the leading candidate on March 16?
But Jeb could be in a strong position after the 15th, even if he hasn’t won anything before March 1?
Well, I don’t want to play the hypothetical game.
I think we’ve already started playing it. In terms of how you’re describing the physics of this race, it sounds as though you believe it’s possible that somebody who finished, say, second, third, or even fourth across the first four states could still do very well on March 1 and have a resource advantage to leverage on March 15.
I think with a big caveat. Somebody who in February was in the top three or top two over the three big contests and had resources to get a message out could still compete strongly if they have a bunch of resources in March. We have a holistic approach: we don’t have a big iron-curtain wall between February and March. We see Feb. 1 to March 15, 45 days, as our period to seize the nomination and get in front—and there are a lot of states and a lot of congressional districts and a lot of targeting to that. One of the reasons we’ve worked so hard and Jeb, frankly, has inspired so many people to donate to us is so we have the resources to pursue that campaign. Most of these other guys are all running on spec. We’re at a point now where we’re significantly funded for those 45 days, cash in the bank today. Nobody else is in that situation in this race. Nobody’s close.
Again, no one is that stupid. Mike Murphy cannot possibly believe that the failed Rudy Giuliani strategy will work for JeBush when it failed for Rudy. Rudy too thought that he could lose and lose and lose then win Florida and win it all. Reality is that Rudy Giuliani never made it to Florida. His loses in the first few states sealed his fate. Yet now Mike Murphy believes that JeBush losses in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina, Ohio, Texas, etc. will lead to victory?
Mike Murphy might have a plausible argument that he is still tethered somewhat to reality if only Donald J. Trump was not in the race. Trump has total long term leads in the polls, a top notch organization, and more than enough money from his own pocket, not to mention the donations from small donors, to obliterate JeBush in Florida let alone in the states leading to and from Florida. This reality is why more and more what we wrote long ago is now conventional wisdom:
GOP vet: Trump win looking more and more likely
“I’ve resisted the idea that Donald Trump could and would become the Republican nominee,” writes GOP strategist Alex Castellanos in an email assessment of the presidential race. “Unhappily, I’ve changed my mind.”
Castellanos, who once said flatly that “Trump is not going to be the nominee,” writes “the odds of Trump’s success have increased and been validated in the past few weeks.”
The key indicator, Castellanos says, is the fact that Trump dipped in the polls and now appears to be rising again. “In my experience, that tells us something important,” Castellanos explains:
Republican voters went through a period of doubt about Trump, an understandable window of buyer’s remorse. They went shopping for someone else — but returned, finding no acceptable alternative who could match Trump’s bad-boy strength and his capacity to bring indispensable change. … Fearing they have only one last chance to rescue their country, they found no one else as big as their problem.
“In my experience, once voters doubt but return, doubting again is less likely,” Castellanos concludes. “A candidate’s vote hardens.”
Castellanos, who played a key role in Mitt Romney’s 2008 campaign, believes either Trump or Ben Carson will win the Iowa caucuses. If it’s Trump, Castellanos sees him going on to win New Hampshire and then the nomination. [snip]
If Trump wins Iowa and/or New Hampshire, Castellanos sees a “desperate GOP establishment” trying to settle on an “anti-Trump,” perhaps Marco Rubio, to bring Trump down. But that would be a very difficult task. “History is not kind to candidates who play the long game,” Castellanos writes. “No GOP nominee in modern history has failed to win either Iowa or NH. Period.”
Castellanos is not alone in acceptance of what few other than Big Pink saw. Even in the most fortified anti-Trump hangouts the levels of grief have hit the acceptance stage:
The Establishment Thinks the Unthinkable: Trump Could Win the Nomination
It began as whispers in hushed corners: Could it ever happen? And now, just three months from the Iowa caucuses, members of the Republican establishment are starting to give voice to an increasingly common belief that Donald Trump, once dismissed as joke, a carnival barker, and a circus freak, might very well win the nomination.
“Trump is a serious player for the nomination at this time,” says Ed Rollins, who served as the national campaign director for Reagan’s 1984 reelection and as campaign chairman for Mike Huckabee in 2008.
Rollins is not alone in his views. “Trump has sustained a lead for longer than there are days left” before voting begins in Iowa, says Steve Schmidt, who managed John McCain’s 2008 presidential campaign. “For a long time,” Schmidt says, “you were talking to people in Washington, and there was a belief that there was an expiration date to this, as if there’s some secret group of people who have the ability to control the process.” [snip]
“I know all of us dismissed Trump, early on, all of the so-called experts,” Fox News’s Chris Wallace said Sunday. “‘Summer fling,’ ‘momentary amusement.’” But Wallace, who interviewed Trump late last week and aired portions of the interview on his show Sunday, said he finds himself feeling differently now. “As I watched that interview and I heard what he had to say . . . I am beginning to believe he could be elected president of the United States,” he said. [snip]
Wallace was struck by the sheer force of Trump’s personality, but there are other reasons to think he has a real shot at the nomination. Poll after poll this election cycle has registered the distaste of Republican voters for political experience; they prefer an outsider with a fresh approach to a battle-tested veteran.
The very same GOP establishment that now understands Trump might win and is poised to win has concocted a plan to take down Trump with tens of millions of dollars in ads:
Panicked establishment gets ready for war against Trump
This weekend was an inflection point in the Republican presidential race — a moment in which some significant part of the GOP establishment came out of denial and realized Donald Trump might well become their party’s nominee.
“The Republican establishment, for the first time, is saying, off the record, this guy can win,” noted Joe Scarborough on MSNBC Monday morning. “I’ve heard that from everybody. I don’t hear anybody saying he can’t win the nomination anymore.”
That doesn’t mean Republicans have made their peace with a Trump victory. On the contrary — some are preparing to do whatever it takes to bring him down. Which could lead to an extraordinary scenario in which GOP stalwarts go to war to destroy their own party’s likely nominee.
Over the weekend I talked to a leading conservative who opposes Trump. I asked what would happen if January comes and Trump is still dominating the race. Would he and other conservatives make their peace with Trump’s candidacy, or would there be massive resistance?
“Massive resistance,” was the answer. “He’s not a conservative.”
Donald J. Trump is not a conservative the GOP establishment likes nor a liberal the Democratic Party likes. Donald Trump will destroy the Republican Party as we now know it because Barack Obama destroyed the Democratic Party as we once knew it. The GOP has long contained a struggle between it’s populist voters and the big money Chamber of Commerce types that want a low wage society. Donald Trump is against a low wage society and therefore against illegal immigration. The white working class understands this. Enough of the black working class and the Latino working class understands this too.
The white working class chased out of the Democratic Party by Obama’s Kook coalition had no where to go but to the Republican Party. Now the former Democrats join in solidarity with the long time populist Republicans – ergo TRUMP.
Neither Hillary Clinton nor Hillary2016 understands any of this. Hillary’s biggest enemy is Barack Obama. But Hillary is clueless as she panders with nonsense talk. One moment Hillary is for Australian style gun confiscation then a moment later she says she only thinks gun confiscation is an idea to be considered but which she may or may not reject or something or something something. Mush. Maybe Hillary will declare she will consider confiscation of Bibles and turn us all into Obama’s “bitter clingers” before the year is out.
Yes, Hillary does not understand that Barack Obama is her biggest enemy as we have written over and over and over again. This is not a very complicated, complex, concept:
Using Biden to Block the Clintons from Regaining the White House
As he approaches the end of his career in elected office, Barack Obama is in a truly precarious position: He is going to exit the White House having accomplished almost nothing substantive on the policy front — his health-care program is not going to survive, Gitmo is not going to be closed, we are not leaving Afghanistan, and he is sending troops into Iraq — and outside of his perch at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, his party is in ruins: In Congress and the states, the Democrats are in their weakest position in modern political history. If the Democrats do not win the presidency in 2016, there are going to be some very uncomfortable questions about what exactly Obama & Co. accomplished, and at what price. [snip]
When the time came, Obama’s people were going to give Obama’s people what Obama’s people wanted, and everybody knew it.
But the Clintons aren’t Obama’s people. Bill Clinton thinks of Obama as his own political Stepin Fetchit, the guy who only a few years ago would have been “carrying our bags.” Herself was Obama’s main obstacle to power. (No, Senator McCain most certainly was not.) Obama did not build this machine to hand it over to the Clintons on a cold winter morning in 2017. That puts him in a double bind: He has to make it beyond question that he and his clique now own the Democratic party — that the Clintons are just weird sad old 1990s relics like those ancient AOL CDs that some youngsters ironically collect — but he also needs the Democrats to win the presidency in 2016 in order for the party to be worth owning. [snip]
The problem is that there is no one in the field to swoop in and lead the Democrats to victory in 2016. Obama has a personnel problem.
And that’s where Joe Biden comes in. Biden is the Obama guy who isn’t really an Obama guy — he was elected to the U.S. Senate when Barack Obama was eleven years old. He had a life and a political career before he hitched his wagon to the teapot messiah from Chicago, and though his is not the keenest mind in politics, he surely gets the game: If he gets in, he is to be reduced to a purely instrumental condition, an enabler of Obama’s last and most important political play, a placeholder keeping the chair warm until Obama’s people have settled on a real president.
Death throes. Yes, Joe Biden will not be the nominee. Yes, Hillary Clinton will not be the nominee. As we wrote, the real candidate of the Obama Party is hidden behind tapestries, her knives at the ready.
In 2008 Hillary Clinton survived and thrived because she marched alongside the white working class. Now, the white working class is marching with Donald J. Trump – towards victory.
October 16th, 2015
CNBC caves to demand from Trump and Carson, agrees to limit next GOP debate to two hours:
Or rather, CNBC caved to the demand from Trump. Carson co-signed the letter that Trump sent to the network, but it ain’t Dr. Ben who’s delivering an extra 10 million viewers or so to these things.
Pretty simple calculation for CNBC: Enjoy two hours of boffo ratings with Trump as your star or three hours of middling ratings for special guest star Jeb Bush. [snip]
Anyway: With 10 candidates on stage, figure a minute for each opening and closing statement plus 20 minutes for commercials each hour and you’ve got one hour of actual Q&A — which includes the time needed by the moderators to actually pose the questions. Not including their openings and closings, each candidate should end up with … four minutes of speaking time, maybe? Five?
Let’s be the first to say it: Ban these debates. All of them. The public gets nothing from these phony filled-with-baloney “debates”. What are these phony “debates” about? The public gets nothing by way of information from them, the candidates get “free” airtime, the TV station gets money from commercials. The public gets screwed. Find another format and get rid of these phony debates. We suggest gladiatorial spectacles as in ancient Rome with candidates physically assaulting each other.
Get rid of these phony debates. These debates all have an agenda and it is not an agenda for the voter to get informed. On the Republican side it is attacks on Trump all the time. It’s attempts to prop up little Jebbie Bush as his pawns try to take down Trump. On the Hillary side, there is no one for her to debate. Sanders and the rest of the Obama fluffers are not serious applicants even for a McDonalds’ janitorial management job let alone fit to be in any “debate” with the word “presidential” in the description. Get rid of these debates.
Maybe, if the Villages idiot – Mourning Joe Biden – decides to do as Obama wants and runs against Hillary then we can see one debate against these two. But then, basta! Enough! As to the Republicans, there is only Trump or Jeb Bush and the satire magazine The Onion provides the best commentary on JeBush:
Extension Cord On Stage Steals Spotlight From Jeb Bush During Campaign Rally
CONCORD, NH—Emphasizing the allure and appeal of the 30-foot length of electrical power cable that shared the stage with the former Florida governor, sources confirmed that an orange three-pronged extension cord completely stole the spotlight from Jeb Bush during a New Hampshire campaign rally Friday. “Jeb made some interesting points about the need to prioritize national security, but ultimately he was just completely overshadowed by the far more riveting extension cord running along the floor beside him,” said political pundit Chris Wallace, who acknowledged that attendees appeared more energized by the flexible orange cable taped to the stage and noted that the one-time GOP frontrunner repeatedly failed to connect with the audience as effectively as the cord. “Unfortunately for Jeb, no matter what he did throughout the night, he just looked bland and flat compared to that extension cord. He’s not going to want to bring that piece of electrical equipment with him to any more rallies if he wants voters’ attention to stay directed at him.” At press time, the Bush campaign team was rapidly assembling a focus group to learn how the candidate could be more like the extension cord.
Hillary Clinton is up against Bernie Sanders, a man about as interesting as an intermittently working light bulb. Donald Trump is up against a dauphin less interesting than an extension cord.
Do we need more dim bulb debates? More no energy dullards on stage? No! CNBC, in order to have more time for commercials, wanted another three hour debate. Donald Trump said “NO” and Donald Trump won:
Again, that’s not a problem for Trump, who can get 30 minutes of cable-news time to riff on whatever he wants anytime he wants simply by dialing up CNN or whoever and asking to be put on the air. On the contrary: Both as the frontrunner and as a guy whose grasp of policy detail is not, shall we say, his chief selling point, he has every incentive at this point to keep the debates as short as possible.
Let’s assume, for arguments sake, that Donald Trump wants less time for self-interested entirely selfish, politically motivated reasons. None of that matters. Donald Trump won the larger debate over who is the dog and who is the tail. Big Media efforts to convince the public, the political parties, and the candidates, that Big Media is the big dog and the political process is the tail just got beat by Donald Trump. Donald Trump is the new Big Dog and Big Media is what comes out of the dog in the tail region. Donald Trump did what we have advised candidates to do since 2007 and that is why Donald Trump is a leader who wins and wins and wins:
CNBC Agrees to Two-Hour Debate: This Is Why Donald Trump Is Winning
While every other Republican remained publicly silent, frontrunner Donald Trump got his closest rival, Dr. Ben Carson, to join with him and together they stood up and said, “No.”
This kept Trump in the headlines and at the top of the news cycle throughout yesterday afternoon and this morning. And now we’ve learned that Trump and Carson won. The DC/NY media agreed to the frontrunners’ demands.
Does anyone in the weak-kneed Republican Establishment, or among the bubbled-morons in the Punditocracy, have any more questions about why The Donald appears to be coasting to the Republican nomination for President of the United States? [snip]
Look who publicly stood up to the media. Look who punched back by threatening to boycott the debate and used their leverage as frontrunners to get CNBC to back down.
This morning CNBC caved and agreed to a two-hour debate. The RNC also believes the candidates will get their opening and closing statements.
Let me put this as simply as possible for the GOPSmartSet-impaired: The Republicans will not win the White House in 2016 with yet another “electable” squish. We need a standard-bearer who is not only willing to stand up to the media but who also knows how to prevail against the media. [snip]
Strength and competence wins the respect of voters and by extension their confidence and their votes. And right now, while Establishment candidates like Jeb Bush go full-Beta, the only Republican candidate showing both strength and competence is Donald Trump.
Trump is in command.
A Bill Clinton axiom is “Better to be strong and wrong, than weak and right.” The new Big Dog, Donald Trump, understands and fights. Donald J. Trump is not only right, he’s strong enough to fight for what’s right. Trump is strong, and not wrong.
The third Republican debate will be under the command and control of Donald J. Trump. CNBC will try to take Trump down at the debate but at every turn Trump will be able to say that CNBC is attacking Trump in vengeance for lost commercial dollars. And that is why Donald J. Trump just won the third GOP debate.
CNBC and the Lilliputians will still try to take down Trump. Already we have seen how Megyn Kelly teamed up with Carly “Fizzles” Fiorina to sneer against Trump.
After the second debate Big Media proclaimed Carly Fiorina’s performance to be spectacular and Rich Lowry on Fox News declared Fiorina to have cut off Trump’s testicles. Our modest prediction was that Fizzles Fiorina would “rise and rise and rise from the low single digits to the high single digits.” Our prediction came true along with our “poof” addendum that after the rise Fizzles Fiorina would be back to low single digits. Done and done.
Fizzles Fiorina, as devastated as she is, compares favorably to what Donald Trump has done to the rest of the field of dreamers. Have you seen the financial results for the last quarter as filed by the candidates?
Consider Donald J. Trump:
Donald Trump Accidentally Raised Almost As Much As Rubio
Donald Trump’s campaign collected $4 million in the third quarter, roughly the same as Florida Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL). The real difference, though, is that Trump’s campaign hasn’t conducted any fundraising efforts.
Almost all of that $4 million total is from “unsolicited” donations. People simply sent his campaign money without being asked for it. [snip]
The result is that Trump, without trying, raised far more than Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) and was largely in-line with major challengers Rubio and businesswomen Carly Fiorina. [snip]
According to the most recent FEC filing, Jeb Bush’s campaign was spending more than $3.5 million each month during the Summer.
Donald Trump has spent the least amount of any of the major candidates. Through the entire campaign so far, Trump has spent just over $5 million total.
That’s not the most astounding Trump money news. It’s all about the hats:
Republican frontrunner Donald Trump spent more on hats, bumper stickers, yard signs and t-shirts than he did on any other category in the third quarter, according to his latest campaign finance report filed on Thursday. [snip]
In typical presidential campaigns, top expenditures are usually payroll, mailings and consultants.
But those items did not feature largely on Trump’s report. The filing, made with the Federal Election Commission, contained no line item for payroll at all. [snip]
Trump raised nearly $4 million in the third quarter. In total, the campaign has raised $5.8 million and spent $5.6 million. Despite proclamations that he would self-fund his candidacy, Trump still raked in unsolicited donations from nearly 74,000 people, who gave an average of $50.46.
Jeb Bush? Jeb Bush is the profligate prodigal son:
“The high life has ended,” said one Florida operative familiar with the campaign’s operation. [snip]
“At a certain point, we want to see a bang for the buck. We’re spending the bucks — and we’re seeing no bang,” a longtime Bush Republican said.
Bush is stuck at 7 percent in an average of national polls. [snip]
In New Hampshire, seen by many as a must-win for Bush, Bush and the Right to Rise super PAC backing him have spent at least $4.8 million on TV and radio to support him since early September. One ad-tracking firm produced an analysis for POLITICO that showed pro-Bush spots in the past three weeks have occupied about 60 percent of the political ad air-time in the state. Bush’s numbers have moved from 9 perrcent [sic] to 8.7 percent since the ad blitz began, according to the Real Clear Politics averages of polls in the GOP primary. [snip]
But when asked how he plans to improve his standing, Bush himself has been blunt: “I’m going to do something really novel,” he said last week. “It’s called advertising.” [snip]
“In the past, advertising was a show of strength. Now, if you’re advertising it’s because you’re in a weak position,” said Elizabeth Wilner, senior vice president of Kantar Media Ad Intelligence overseeing its Campaign Media Analysis Group.
TipToes JeBush can barely keep his nose above water.
Self-funded Donald J. Trump has a “burn rate” lower than the money Americans are sending him! And Trump is tops! JeBush spends like a drunk sailor in a Nevada whorehouse. And Bush is drowning! Carson? Ben Carson is making money to spend money:
In the three-month period that ended September 30, the campaign spent 53 cents for every dollar it raised. That number was down slightly from 64 cents for every dollar raised in the second quarter of the year.
Spending top dollar on fundraising has enabled the campaign to assemble a list of more than two million donors from whom it raises between $200,000 and $350,000 per day, a campaign spokesman said.
In all, Mr. Carson directed $11 million of the $14 million he spent in the third quarter to fundraising costs.
Get Dr. Carson to the burn unit at the hospital as a patient. Bad, bad, burn rate. He raised $20 million last quarter but already spent $14 million.
Donald J. Trump is winning every poll in every state, every national poll, consistently, month after month even as he spends less than the other major candidates. The new polls shatter the dreamers:
He first took the lead in the RCP national poll average on July 20, so next week will mean three full months at the top. And Trump is far ahead of the two squabbling candidates, Bush and Rubio, in the early-voting states:
1) In Iowa, Trump is up by 17 over Bush, and 18 over Rubio, according to the most recent poll, by the Wall Street Journal.
2) In New Hampshire, Trump is up by 10 over Bush and 11 over Rubio, according to the Journal.
3) In South Carolina, Trump is up by 25 over Rubio and 30 over Bush in a brand-new CNN poll.
4) In Nevada, Trump is up by 31 over Rubio and 32 over Bush, according to CNN.
They keep burying Trump but, but, Zombie Trump continues to rise and thrive in the supposed strongholds of other candidates:
Trump Trouncing GOP Foes on Their Home Turf
GOP frontrunner Donald Trump is not only leading all national and state polls, but he’s trouncing his other GOP opponents in their own states as voters soundly turn against established government leaders in favor of the New York real estate billionaire.
On Thursday, the trend continued, with a new Rutgers-Eagleton poll in New Jersey showing Trump soundly defeating all challengers and coming in several points ahead of Gov. Chris Christie. The numbers in the poll are as follows, reports The Record:
Trump, 32 percent
Ben Carson, 13 percent
Marco Rubio, 13 percent
Ted Cruz, 6 percent
Carly Fiorina, 5 percent
Chris Christie, 5 percent
Jeb Bush, 5 percent
John Kasich, 2 percent
Mike Huckabee, 1 percent
George Pataki, 1 percent
Rick Santorum, Bobby Jindal and Rand Paul, less than 1 percent
Graham and Jim Gilmore, 0 percent
Christie’s numbers dropped from 12 percent in August, according to the poll, while Trump’s rose, from 21 percent. [snip]
The latest Quinnipiac University poll shows Trump holding double-digit leads against both Bush and Rubio, with Trump at 28 percent, Rubio at 14 percent, and Bush at 12 percent.
Trump is also leading in Florida over Rubio and Bush among Hispanics, a group with which both Florida leaders share ties, reports Breitbart. According to a September Public Policy Polling survey, Trump defeated Bush among Hispanics by 37 to 29 percent, and defeated Rubio by one percentage point. [snip]
Trump is also defeating Ohio Gov. John Kasich, even though the Republican governor has been enormously popular among his own state’s residents, reports The Columbus Dispatch, reporting last week on a Quinnipiac Poll that focused on Ohio and two other swing states, Florida and Pennsylvania.
The numbers were:
Trump, 23 percent
Carson, 18 percent
Kasich, 13 percent
Cruz, 11 percent
Fiorina, 10 percent
“Gov. John Kasich’s big card was his enormous popularity in Ohio, generally considered the most important swing state in the November election,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
“But with Trump zooming well past him in the Buckeye State and Kasich’s numbers in Florida and Pennsylvania in low single digits, the Ohio governor’s campaign is going in the wrong direction,” Brown said.
Graham, who has represented South Carolina for several years, recorded an embarrassing defeat in a CNN/ORC poll released Wednesday that gave Trump 36 percent, compared to 5 percent for Graham.
Rand Paul in Kentucky and Ted Cruz in Texas are not beating Trump either. Trump tops them all, consistently. That’s something not even Hillary Clinton can boast in her primary against non-entities.
Donald Trump has triumphed in the third GOP debate even before it is held. It’s not just the third debate though. Donald Trump might have won this primary already. It’s only a few more months until Iowa votes on February 1 and if JeBush cannot advertise himself out of the circling drain, Trump will flush him along with the rest of the, um, schleps.
October 14th, 2015
Hillary destroyed tonight at the #DemDebate. Joe Biden better rethink getting in. After tonight we think Biden should declare he is out.
O’Malley was horrible tonight (and that’s not his wife talking ) O’Malley should get out of the race tonight and return to Baltimore for a severe beating at the hands of the harshest thugs the city has to offer.
Chaffee was worse than we thought he could ever be and we thought he was going to be very bad. But he didn’t even try tonight. He needs to get out tonight and apologize to his mother and father for being born.
Jim Webb should get out tonight and retire from politics and public life. Webb, like the other male candidates, at his best was incoherent and at his worst was on camera.
Bernie Sanders? Whatever chance Saint Bernard ever had for a respectable close to his campaign is now as rumpled as his clothes. It was obvious Sanders did not expect Hillary to beat on him so effectively. Bernie resorted to his slogans every time his brain failed which was often. Bernie Sanders at his best looked like the guy in the park who goes through the trash looking for empty cans and sniffs discarded food before he takes a bite.
Hillary? We were surprised. She did a lot of what we did not think she would do. She knew when to hit, when to shut up, when to smile, when to giggle. She went after Saint Bernard on guns and socialism and, well… she dispatched the goofs on stage next to her like Benny Hill when he tap-tap-ttttapped the old guy on the head.
If there was a saving grace for any of the male candidates on that debate stage it is the likelihood that few Americans watched this debacle.
The Big Winner tonight, contra DrudgeReport, was Hillary2016. The bigger winner was Donald Trump.
Tonight, watching from the Twitterverse, Donald Trump had to be confident. An unlikely Bernie Sanders win would be lunch dripped in a fine French sauce at Maxim’s for Trump.
Hillary? Hillary Clinton won the DemDebate hands down and with amazing ease. Her victories on every issue and every “scandal” was complete. But in order to win Hillary made herself vulnerable in the general election. Sweet words about Obama and wanting to go further left is not the direction the unhappy country wants.
Donald Trump high above Fifth Avenue in Trump Tower, like a vulture spotting carrion, or rather an eagle spotting tasty trout, must have smiled a hungry smile.
October 13th, 2015
Update: Open thread: Senior citizens set for evening of fun in Las Vegas along with us will be one of the few watching tonight. CNN Democratic Debate: Watch live and join our liveblog will be another pair of eyeballs. That’s 4 eyeballs besides ours. The debate will be on CNN and the live stream is HERE. Of course, Real Donald Trump adds a few eyeballs too.
The dunderheads in Brooklyn who still deny Obama hates Hillary should read the latest “Obama furious at Hillary” article. The Hillary2016 brilliant minds might ask themselves why today, of all days, does the Obama campaign memo from 2008 “How to beat Hillary Clinton” is published for all to read? Wanna guess geniuses?
Hillary Clinton should show up at tonight’s dum dem debate with a bottle of Bourbon, a bucket of ice cubes, and a clinky clinky glass, pouring Bourbon on ice down her throat all night. Our ideal Hillary debate night would be a combination of Neely O’Hara, Liz Taylor, and the Angela Bassett witch role from American Horror Story.
That’s what Hillary Clinton should do. Call that dog Saint Bernard a goddamned Socialist and list all the crimes and horrors committed in the name of socialism – as well as defend capitalism. Tell Martin O’Malley to go back to Baltimore and kill himself some more blacks. Walk up to Lincoln Chaffee and hit him over the head with the Bourbon bottle hard enough to send him to the hospital. Slap Anderson Cooper in the face when he laughs as Chaffee slumps to the floor. Pull Jim Webb by the hair, give him a wet sloppy kiss, spit some Bourbon on his face, grab his crotch, and tell him to go home.
Hillary should then turn to the cameras and curse, in close-up, the Obama Dimocrat Party and tell them “I don’t need you losers. Go Fuk yourselves you pigs. I don’t need any of you. You need me. Go fuc yourselves you miserable low down losers and go straight to Hell. Go straight to Hell with Medusa Obama and her skinny stinky beanpole Barack and fuk them too”
That won’t happen. It’s too real. It’s too honest. It won’t happen. We can picture Donald Trump getting that real. But Hillary wants to lose.
Hillary probably doesn’t even know she wants to lose. But she does.
If Hillary doesn’t want to lose we will see that tonight. She will fight. And we don’t mean silly attacks against Trump or Republicans. This is a primary fight. Hillary’s opponents are Barack Obama and the clowns on stage. Hillary needs to state clearly that her vision (the one from 2008, not the silly one from this year) is the best vision for America and make it clear that the losers on stage near her are not fit to lick her heels let alone fit into her shoes.
If Bernie Sanders, Martin O’Malley, Jim Webb, and Lincoln Chaffee don’t want to lose we’ll see that tonight too. They’ll make their case strongly and point out Hillary’s phony positions and moves to the kook left this year.
From Hillary tonight we expect mush posed as a fight. Hillary will be very good using a lot of words to say nothing. Hillary will not discuss Goldfinger and Putin nor Pussy Galore and Obama. The latest world-wide disasters authored by Barack Obama will be ignored or mushed over. Hillary will not denounce the wrong track the country is on, as Americans see it, nor will Hillary lay the problems at the lap of Barack Obama. As in 2008 Hillary will “win” and still be the best g_ddammned candidate on that stage bar none, but that won’t be enough to save her.
From Bernie Sanders we will see a gravitational pull to the extreme left. From Jim Webb we will see a pull to the center. From Martin O’Malley there will be Baltimore style death threats. From Lincoln Chaffee, the loser of all losers with nothing to lose, regurgitated Barack Obama circa 2008. In short, all will attack Hillary. It will be attack upon attack upon attack against Hillary Clinton. The attacks based on Hillary’s positions this crummy year juxtaposed to her positions in 2008 will be too painful to watch.
As to Joe Biden and his threat to Hillary2016? The ghostly presence of Mourning Joe as he surfs the short lived wave of popularity on the coffin of his dead Beau will be as comical as Barack Obama’s 2008 exploitation of his dead skanky mother and failing granny.
The biggest ghost tonight however will be Donald Trump live from the Twitterverse. In 2008 at the height of the Hillary Clinton versus Boob Obama battle the top two debates garnered about 8 million viewers. In 2015 The Donald’s debates got about 50 million eyeballs per debate. Add to that the drama of baseball tonight and the eyeballs will roll elsewhere. Donald Trump said the dem debate will be a bore and joked the reason will be he is not there:
Trump then did what Trump does best: trump. Now Trump has announced he will livetweet the debate:
We’ll tweet along with Trump and comment along with the valiant few not watching silly baseball and instead focused on this horserace. We can already smell the manure.