What The Hell Happened At The Debate?: Who The Hell Won? @RealDonaldTrump Or #Hillary2016???

So much disappointment for those with foolish pre-debate analysis. Trump supporters who thought Hillary Clinton would cough up a lung or collapse on the floor twitching as her eyeballs ping-ponged around her eye sockets as she last gasped “Benghazi” could not believe that Hillary Clinton looked good with her new haircut and red pantsuit. Hillary supporters who thought Donald J. Trump would finally be destroyed and totally exposed as a bumbling billionaire orangutan who is not nearly as qualified as Hillary Clinton by years of experience in public office and entirely devoid of policy smarts were likewise broken-hearted by the fact that Donald J. Trump stood toe-to-toe with the well known, well experienced, Hillary Clinton on a nationally televised debate stage. We of course were exactly correct in our pre-debate analysis because we did not have such foolish preconceptions.

Who won? Keep it quiet but for the very reasons we wrote in our pre-debate analysis, Donald J. Trump won the debate, and Donald J. Trump won big. Do we think he was perfect? Far from it. As we predicted pre-debate, Hillary Clinton goaded Donald Trump with talk about inherited wealth, his father, and other personal garbage and unfortunately the goading worked. But Hillary Clinton’s best moments at the debate came in the form of personal attacks. The Hillary2016 strategy is to make Trump personally unpalatable and although some bombs landed successfully with loud noise, the bottom line is the attacks did not derail the mighty TrumpTrain. Hillary Clinton failed to make a case for herself as the Obama third term and at the same time a voice for change.

Trump won the debate big for several reasons. The main two reasons we discussed in our pre-debate analysis. First, Donald J. Trump is the candidate of change and this is a change election. Second, the medium is the message and the moment Trump appeared on stage with Hillary Clinton he was the winner.

Trump won the debate for the reasons above but Trump won the debate big-time because of what happened at the debate. What happened? Trump attacked Hillary on the very points we suggested on policy matters and on the question of change. Hillary’s attacks against Trump were geared to make Trump personally unpalatable whereas Trumps attacks against Hillary were on policy and that “there will be no change with Hillary”.

As noted in our update to the pre-debate post it might have been better for Trump to begin the debate with the sentence he ended the debate with. But pretty much, not in the order of attack we would have preferred, Donald Trump followed through with what we thought he would do. Trump did use Obama’s “racist” attacks against Hillary in 2008 as we thought. Trump did use the ‘why haven’t you done it already in your long career?’ attack to mock Hillary’s promises and plans. Trump did very well on trade deals and on “jobs, jobs, jobs”. Trump would have been well off to follow our formula:

“Nothing will change if you vote for her.” This is the most powerful argument for Donald J. Trump and like a magnificent flower in full bloom it has many petals to display. This Trump argument destroys Hillary Clinton’s most powerful argument. Hillary Clinton’s most powerful argument will be that she is experienced and ready to lead for the change she proposes. But to every proposal Hillary Clinton makes for her type of change, for every detailed policy proposal Hillary makes tonight, Donald Trump will respond “Lester Holt, I would say to Secretary Clinton ‘If your idea is so good why haven’t you done it already? You’ve been in public office longer than Millennials have been alive. Why haven’t you done what you say you will do already? Also, if you’re idea is so good why hasn’t Barack Obama already done what you suggest? If you try to blame the usual ‘Republicans blocked Obama’ nonsense what makes you think you can do what Obama could not do? Are you saying you are better than Obama? Are you insulting black voters? You’ve had decades of experience doing the wrong thing and that is why most of the people say the country is on the ‘wrong track’. You have been in government for decades. You are responsible for many of the disasters this country faces today. Nothing will change if Americans vote for you. I am the candidate of real change for the better. I will Make America Great Again.”

Trump’s great failures came in two categories. The first is letting himself be goaded by Hillary on the personal issues. The second and most important is the missed opportunities. Trump failed, as we suggested, to charge hypocrisy on the Hillary use of tax shelters even as she says she will raise taxes on the rich like herself. Trump also failed when he allowed Hillary to talk about the need for cyber security without mentioning the Hillary emails and cyber security violations.

It could have been much worse for Trump. Trump could have let Lester Holt get away with the Candy Crowley type deceptions of the voters. Trump fought back against Lester Holt and Hillary Clinton on issues such as the Iraq War and Stop and Frisk. A Mitt Romney would have folded. Donald J. Trump fought back.

Hillary Clinton’s failures were as consistent as her performance was well prepared. And therein lies the problem: Hillary’s performance. It was a performance. It was a very good performance. It was in many ways a brilliant performance. But it was a performance. And that is the problem.

At a debate you hang a light on your problem and then eliminate the problem. What Hillary Clinton needed to do, but failed to do, was take her biggest problem and turn it to an advantage. Hillary had to say something like “I am qualified to be president more than Donald J. Trump because I have the right kind of experience. I have this and this experience and this has taught me this and this. I am prepared to be president because I am a hard worker and because I have learned to navigate the complexities the presidency requires the president to have in a modern world. I am sorry that many people think I am inauthentic. Perhaps I am. Perhaps I am too well prepared, too rehearsed, too much a product of a committee. But that is not true. I perhaps am too cautious but that is a good quality to have in a perilous world. I believe in and will fight for (either change, or the opposite, stay-the-course). My path is the right path for this and this and this reason.

The closest Hillary Clinton came to that positive statement, was her defense, joined by Lester Holt, of the miserable Barack Obama economy. And therein is Hillary Clinton’s big problem. Hillary is now the Obama Third Term, the status quo candidate, the stay-the-course candidate of plodding numbing heart-breaking unendurable suffocation. Hillary Clinton’s best lines were so clearly over-prepared by a committee of the ruling class courtiers they tasted often of week old hamburgers found in a moldy dumpster behind a defunct McDonald’s restaurant.

Trump helped himself where it mattered:

How Trump won over a bar full of undecideds and Democrats [snip]

Letosky entered the evening undecided in a town that is heavily Democratic in registration. Her sister and father are on opposite sides of the political aisle. Donald “Trump had the upper hand this evening,” she said, citing his command of the back-and-forth between him and Hillary Clinton.

Reed, 35, is a registered Democrat and small businessman. “By the end of the debate, Clinton never said a thing to persuade me that she had anything to offer me or my family or my community,” he said, sitting at the same bar that has boasted local icons as regulars, such as the late Fred Rogers, and Arnold Palmer, who had his own stash of PM Whiskey hidden behind newer bottles of whiskey for his regular visits.

“Have to say Trump had the edge this evening, he came out swinging but also talked about specifics on jobs and the economy,” Reed said.

Reed said Clinton came across as either smug or as though she was reading her résumé, adding there was nothing on her résumé that touched on his life. “I am a small businessman, a farmer, come from a long line of farmers and coal miners. The policies she talked about tonight ultimately either hurt me or ignore me,” he said.

The first part of a debate is the most watched and even a Trump hater thinks Trump was strong:

He began with his strongest argument — that the political class represented by her has failed us and it’s time to look to a successful dealmaker for leadership — and kept to it pretty well for the first 20 minutes.

The most watched debate ever with well over 80 million viewers even forced leftist loon Michael Moore to declare Trump the winner:

Michael Moore Says Trump ‘Won’ The Debate

Michael Moore appeared frustrated on Twitter following the presidential debate, saying Donald Trump “won” and “we all lost.”

The 62-year-old filmmaker warned “pro-Hillary gloaters” against celebrating over how Hillary Clinton did in the debate against the Republican nominee and insisted nothing she did changed things.

“Pro-Hillary gloaters doing end-zone dance again when still on 50-yd line,” Moore tweeted. “You must get it in your head Trump is gonna win and act accordingly!”

Why would Michael Moore say Trump won? Ask the Charlotte Observer from the important state of North Carolina:

Presidential debate surprise: Clinton loses ground among some voters in swing state


Kae Roberts and Jay Eardly were leaning toward Hillary Clinton before Monday night’s debate.

By the end, they had both pulled away.

John Kokos and Hank Federal were undecided going in, potential Clinton backers.

By the end, they’d ruled her out. [snip]

In a focus group of 21 voters from around Charlotte conducted by McClatchy and The Charlotte Observer, four who had been up for grabs before the debate had moved away from her by the end. [snip]

For the four who emerged less impressed by Clinton, it was the seeming familiarity of her proposals for the economy and national security that was a turnoff.

Roberts, who is unaffiliated with a party, wrote in her notes several times during the debate that Clinton offered “pie in the sky” ideas. By debate’s end, she had moved from leaning toward Clinton to undecided.

The things she says she’s going to do, there’s no substance behind it,” Roberts said.

It’s a change election. The candidate of change wins. The status quo, Obama third term candidate loses. Donald Trump at the debate made it clear he is the candidate of change not responsible for the mess the country is in. It’s a change election. That’s all you need to know.


First #DebateNight Of #Debates: Answers To How And Who Has The Trump Card?

Update: Debate ended. Now the real debate begins. The spin room. As we all know from decades of debates, the event itself is a matter of perception. After the debate the shaping of the perceptions begins.

We were right in our pre-debate analysis that Hillary Clinton was not a “pushover” and that she would be very prepared and formidable. She baited Trump on personal issues such as inherited wealth.

Trump’s strongest moment and weakest moment were one and the same. It was the last thing he said. Trump declared that ‘Secretary Clinton does have experience but the wrong kind of experience.” It was his strongest attack as we said it would be – but it came at the end. At the very freaking end. Was that smart or dumb? Early on it could have helped shape the debate and been a Wagnerian leitmotif throughout this opera Trump could have returned to over and over and over again. Given at the end it is the easiest thing to remember. Whatever.

Trump’s attacks on “politicians” were his best parts. Hillary’s calculated personal attacks were her strongest moments. But it won’t matter once the spinning gets done. In 2000 Big Media declared Al Gore the winner of the debate but the public declared George W. Bush the winner. Donald J. Trump will soon be in the spin room shaping the perceptions of the debate.

Begun, the spin wars have.


We know everything that can be known about tonight’s first presidential debate of 2016. Who will “win” the debate? Is this debate just a bunch of hype for big, little, print, broadcast, and pixel media? What will Hillary do? What will Trump do? What is Trump’s killer issue and his most powerful argument? What is Hillary’s killer issue and her most powerful argument?

We also have some killer suggestions for Trump/Pence 2016 but we don’t know any one in the campaign to communicate our suggestions to. Hillary2016 already has our suggestions but refuses to accept them.

Who will win tonight’s debate? Donald Trump will win for two reasons we have repeated since 2013. Reason #1: This is a change election; the candidate of change wins; the third Obama term loses. Reason #2: The medium is the message.

This is a change election and that is why Donald J. Trump wins tonight’s debate and the election. Trump is the candidate of change. Hillary Clinton has imprisoned herself as the “Obama third term” both with her single-minded campaign focus on black voters, and her complete subservience and dependence on Barack Obama to win. Also Hillary’s severe leftist turn in a crazed belief the country wants to go severe left has been a strategic mistake without hope of victory. Back in 2013 we made that clear to Hillary2016 before there was a Hillary2016. Hillary Clinton did not listen and she will lose.

This #Hillary2016 dependence on Barack Obama and black voters has led to a trap for Hillary Clinton that benefits Donald J. Trump tonight. This provides Donald J. Trump his killer issue and his most powerful argument.

Donald J. Trump’s killer issue tonight and his most powerful argument for the election is one he made explicit only recently. Trump’s killer issue kills Hillary’s killer issue and most powerful argument.

Donald J. Trump’s killer argument: “Nothing will change if you vote for her.”

“Nothing will change if you vote for her.” This is the most powerful argument for Donald J. Trump and like a magnificent flower in full bloom it has many petals to display. This Trump argument destroys Hillary Clinton’s most powerful argument. Hillary Clinton’s most powerful argument will be that she is experienced and ready to lead for the change she proposes. But to every proposal Hillary Clinton makes for her type of change, for every detailed policy proposal Hillary makes tonight, Donald Trump will respond “Lester Holt, I would say to Secretary Clinton ‘If your idea is so good why haven’t you done it already? You’ve been in public office longer than Millennials have been alive. Why haven’t you done what you say you will do already? Also, if you’re idea is so good why hasn’t Barack Obama already done what you suggest? If you try to blame the usual ‘Republicans blocked Obama’ nonsense what makes you think you can do what Obama could not do? Are you saying you are better than Obama? Are you insulting black voters? You’ve had decades of experience doing the wrong thing and that is why most of the people say the country is on the ‘wrong track’. You have been in government for decades. You are responsible for many of the disasters this country faces today. Nothing will change if Americans vote for you. I am the candidate of real change for the better. I will Make America Great Again.”

If Donald J. Trump wants to win Millennials, this argument will do it. Millennials want change. Most of the country wants real change. Not phony HOPE and CHANGE for the worse – real change for the better. If Donald Trump wants to court black voters this divide and conquer strategy regarding Obama will work for him. And of course Donald Trump can spring his traps and call Hillary a “racist” as Obama did in 2008.

Change is Donald J. Trump’s most powerful argument tonight. Hillary Clinton’s most powerful argument tonight is her experience. Trump’s argument is the trump card.

None of this is to say that Hillary Clinton will be a pushover tonight. Hillary Clinton is a lawyer and she believes very much in study and preparation. Hillary will try to taunt Trump with comments about inherited wealth. Trump is prepared for these taunts and we doubt he will go nuclear and go after Hillary’s family too. Hillary Clinton will be prepared to the max after weeks of debate preparation and mock debates. In 2008 Hillary Clinton pulverized Barack Obama in every debate. But it was a change election in 2008 as it is a change election in 2016. In 2008 Barack Obama was so outclassed by Hillary the debate moderators – The Real Danger – had to come to Obama’s rescue and they themselves attacked Hillary Clinton.

Perhaps Lester Holt will try to come to Hillary Clinton’s rescue tonight. We doubt it. We doubt it because Donald J. Trump is not a pushover who will allow himself to be Candy Crowleyed without bold push back from Trump.

We believe this will be a battle for change against stay-the-course Obama Third Term. Feverish dreams that Hillary Clinton will collapse physically or cough herself out of a job are unknown’s but we are sure that medical professionals will prop up Hillary Clinton with drugs, like the dead El Cid, if there is anything really medically wrong with Hillary. This will be change versus stay-the-course debate.

One other expectation we have is that Trump will address his most critical comments of Hillary to Lester Holt. We expect Hillary to do the same but occasionally attack Trump directly (probably at the beginning of the debate) to goad him into direct conversation and attacks which will then make Trump vulnerable to the argument that he was “sexist” when he confronted Hillary directly.

Trump will win tonight’s debate because he is the change candidate. But there is another reason why Trump wins.

As in the primary campaign Donald J. Trump wins tonight’s debate the moment he steps onto the stage. The medium is the message. What we wrote to Trump during the primary campaign applies even more tonight:

Don’t you worry for one single moment about being “presidential.” The very fact that you will be on stage with governors and senators will send the message that you are “presidential.”

Idiots from the left like Matt Bai (and the right, like Jeb Bush), persist in their argument that Trump does not want to win. For Bai and other idiots who think they are so smart, the millions spent by Trump and the non-stop campaigning by Trump is evidence that Trump wants to lose. Amazing! Bai and other idiots like him cannot believe Trump is doing so well so they convince themselves Trump does not sincerely want to win. We’re not making this up.

Idiot Bai and others can have feverish dreams about a Trump collapse all they want. But Trump will trump tonight. Donald J. Trump will win tonight’s debate. All Donald J. Trump has to do is appear on that stage and American voters will no longer have to visualize Trump as president. American voters (other than leftist loons like Matt Bai) will see Trump tonight as a presidential candidate. Americans already saw President Trump when he went on his state visit to Mexico.

Things that won’t matter significantly? We will be forced to endure a not very important back and forth on Hillary emails, the Chelsea bombing, and the riots in Charlotte. BTW, are we the only ones who see a bad omen for Hillary in the prominence recently of Chelsea and Charlotte? The bombing and attempted bombing took place in Chelsea where Hillary’s daughter Chelsea lives, and Hillary’s granddaughter is called Charlotte? Too much entrails/omens watching on our part? Probably. These issues might be important but the big issue is change, change, change.

Another big issue is jobs, jobs, jobs. Hillary will tout her big plans and Trump, as we advised above, will dump all over them easily with a “why haven’t you done this already and if the idea is so good why won’t Obama do them now?

On the economy Hillary will put forth grand proposals including the one about hiking the estate tax (death tax) on the rich. Trump has a great opportunity here to show off his real estate know how and excoriate Hillary for her hypocrisy as she has placed her residence in a trust which will immunize her, but not other Americans, from the 65% tax nonsense she spouts for the gullible.

On issues of war and peace Hillary will tout her experience. Donald J. Trump will respond with the “warmonger” charge (particularly on Libya and Iraq) that so helped Obama in 2008, and this will further endear Trump to Bernie Sanders’ supporters. Attempts by Hillary to fear-monger the public with charges that Trump wants to pull out of alliances such as NATO will be met with crisp rebuttals from Trump that what he is saying is common sense management to make our allies more responsible, not a desire to wreck the alliance system if it is working.

Will tonight’s debate matter? Ordinarily the clear answer is “no”. Few debates have really changed elections. This debate will perhaps change 1% of the vote. Not much but maybe enough in an election that is at the moment so very tight in the polls. While even Trump haters with long track records of being right about elections, predict Trump will win, the polls are tight at the moment.

The Bloomberg poll says both candidates have 46% support (Trump 43% to Hillary 41% when third party candidates are included). That’s a big drop for Hillary Clinton in the Bloomberg poll from her earlier heights. The “blue wall” is also crumbling in states Hillary expected to easily win such as Colorado (42% Trump, 41% Clinton) and Pennsylvania (45% Clinton, 44% Trump). CNN’s poll has a 1% margin of difference in both states. This is a total Hillary collapse. Nate Silver the pro-Obama shill who supposedly analyzes polling data and throughout this election has predicted an easy Hillary victory, now predicts a Trump victory as of today with 54.9% chance of victory.

Against all the ruling establishment, the political class, Donald J. Trump will win tonight’s debate and the election. It’s a change election. Nothing else matters. That’s all you need to know. It’s why Trump wins.


Why @RealDonaldTrump Wins: Don King For Trump And A Bush Tells A Kennedy He Will Vote For A Clinton

Donald J. Trump could not ask for a more powerful endorsement of his message than the latest Bush-Kennedy-Clinton news. Trump wins when Americans see the ruling political establishment lined up across party lines, in solidarity for the ruling political class establishment, and against Trump, the Final Avenger.

The ruling political establishment is doing everything to stop Trump and the “Deplorables”. The “racist” race card is played against Trump, the “birther” card is played against Trump, but all the news plays FOR Trump. Look at the news. Nate Silver, Al-Sisi, Don King, blacks, TrumpOcrats, Never-NeverTrump, Anthony’s weiner, the bombings – everything’s coming up roses for Trump.

What stinks more of a royal ruling class against the “deplorable” people, what reeks more of a “let them eat cake” retort against the masses demanding “bread” than a Bush telling a Kennedy he will vote for a Clinton?:

Over a 24-hour span that began with Jeb Bush’s surprising and sardonic cameo in Sunday’s Emmy Awards broadcast and Monday night’s reports that his father, former President George H.W. Bush, had told a family friend privately that he intended to support Hillary Clinton, the Bushes returned to the headlines, and are giving Trump just the establishment foil he so capably exploits.

“He probably loves that former President Bush isn’t backing him because it underlines his whole case against the establishment,” one former Jeb Bush campaign staffer said. “I bet he’s highlighting it in his stump speech before long.” [snip]

There is a mutual regard that exists, despite their obvious political differences, between the families,” one source close to the Bush family said. “And also a mutual disregard, a shared disgust for Trump as someone so far outside of that club.” [snip]

The elder Bush’s admission that he plans to vote for Clinton occurred during a board meeting for the former president’s Thousand Points of Light Foundation. Kathleen Hartington Kennedy Townsend, the former Maryland lieutenant governor and daughter of the late Robert F. Kennedy, asked Bush about his choice during a receiving line and got a frank answer—which she then posted to her Facebook page, prompting news reports Monday and Tuesday confirming that Bush indeed plans to vote for Clinton. [snip]

“The reality is, if all of this meant something, Donald Trump would not be the nominee,” said Bruce Haynes, a GOP consultant in Washington. “Out in Raleigh and Des Moines, people don’t give a damn about what the Bushes say or do. If anything, they see the establishment politicians closing ranks around Clinton and are more emboldened to do the opposite.”

This is a remarkably transparent exhibition of the out of touch ruling political class. The American political class pimps out endorsements to their fellow dwarfs like hemophiliac blue-bloods on the Spanish throne deformed by generations of inbreeding.

These pimp endorsements might have worked wonders against dwarfs like Mitt Romney and Jeb Bush. But against Donald J. Trump they fail.

The racist card fails against Trump when very famous African-Americans endorse Trump.

Trump has made “massive gains with black voters“. Without doubt, The Democratic Party’s worse nightmare happened when Donald Trump reached out to black Americans at a campaign rally in Wisconsin.Democrats Are Losing Control of Black Americans.”

It’s not just black voters! Hispanics too! Even some principled establishment courtiers are moving to Trump. One of Robert Kennedy’s top aides, Adam Walinsky who many will remember, is on board the TrumpTrain:

I Was RFK’s Speechwriter. Now I’m Voting for Trump. Here’s Why.

The Democratic Party has become something both JFK and RFK would deplore—the party of war.
By Adam Walinsky
September 21, 2016

I was a Democrat all my life. I came to Washington to serve President John Kennedy and Attorney General Robert Kennedy. When the president was murdered and his brother struck off on his own, I joined his Senate campaign and staff as his legislative assistant and speechwriter, until his presidential campaign ended with his own assassination. I ran on a (losing) Democratic ticket in the New York state elections of 1970. When I was working to enact my own program of police reform in the 1980s and 1990s, then-Governor Bill Clinton was chairman of my National Committee for the Police Corps.

This year, I will vote to elect Donald Trump as president of the United States. [snip]

In fact, in all the years of the so-called War on Terror, only one potential American president has had the intelligence, the vision, the sheer sanity to see that America cannot fight the entire world at once; who sees that America’s natural and necessary allies in this fight must include the advanced and civilized nations that are most exposed and experienced in their own terror wars, and have the requisite military power and willingness to use it. Only one American candidate has pointed out how senseless it is to seek confrontation with Russia and China, at the same time that we are trying to suppress the very jihadist movements that they also are attacking.

That candidate is Donald Trump. Throughout this campaign, he has said that as president, he would quickly sit down with President Putin and seek relaxation of tensions between our nations, and possible collaboration in the fight against terrorists. On this ground alone, he marks himself as greatly superior to all his competitors, earlier in the primaries and now in the general election. [snip]

Moreover Trump marks himself as a man of singular political courage, willing to defy the hysteria of the Washington war hawks, the establishment and the mainstream media who daily describe him as virtually anti-American for daring to voice ideas and opinions at variance with their one-note devotion to war. [snip]

Truly, America first, last and always; for ourselves and for our posterity. These are the reasons why I will vote for Donald Trump for president.

It’s a blistering denunciation of the political establishment and a powerful call to arms for Donald J. Trump from Adam Walinsky.

Adam Walinsky is not alone. The TrumpOcrats are building up a wave of insurrection against the political establishment. In electoral vote rich Ohio, CBS News reports, the insurrectionist forces are in control of large swaths of territory for Trump:

STRUTHERS, OHIO — On a recent Saturday, standing in her driveway, Halle Minchin Skook could not fathom why her neighbor was pissing on Youngstown’s Democratic tradition and voting for Donald Trump this election cycle. [snip]

Standing in the driveway outside her hunter green wood paneled childhood home where she still lived, Skook was scornful of the following that Trump has developed in Struthers, a traditionally Democratic stronghold in the heart of working class Mahoning County, along the eastern flank of Ohio. [snip]

But here on Como Street in Struthers, where CBS News spent a recent weekend knocking on every door on the block, Skook was in the minority. All around her, the community was ditching their Democratic roots and flocking to Trump.

Paul Sracic, who has lived in the area for years and is chair of the department of politics and international relations at Youngstown University, described Trump’s “blue-collar billionaire” identity as the perfect cocktail to attract onetime Democrats here.

They know he’s not really a Republican, and that Mitt Romney hates him, so that helps,” Psaric said of the voters in his community. “So instead it’s like, ‘I’m not becoming a country club Republican, I’m a part of Trump’s party.’” [snip]

The story of these defections goes back to March when over 6,171 registered Democrats voted in the GOP primary that was a showdown between Trump and Ohio Gov. John Kasich. Even the Democratic mayor of Struthers was caught with a Trump For President sign in his front yard.

But the Democrats here have not come back home. Instead, many of them are still looking to Trump.

I’ve been a lifelong union guy, a working guy,” said Jeff Kulow, a 25-year member of the Teamsters who recently retired. “Can you imagine people like me going to Trump or going Republican?

Kulow said President Obama, a politician “against everything I believe in,” has been the tipping point. He blamed a $650 increase in his health care premiums directly on the Affordable Care Act​.

“They just don’t get it anymore with us,” Kulow said of the Democratic Party. “Maybe in an upscale area or downscale, maybe they’ll resonate. But around here — all working class and middle class, everyone has left the Democratic party. I can’t see myself ever going back.”

The “basket of deplorables” contempt felt by the Democratic Party against what used to be their base voters is not a figment of imagination. Leftist Robert Kuttner of the Leftist American Prospect is forced to admit that we have been right and the Dimocratic Party has turned against the white working class and the white working class has turned against the Dimocratic Party:

Hard to Believe, but Trump Could Win

Democrats’ longstanding failure to address inequality and insecurity among the white working class helped set the stage for 2016. [snip]

One factor is that political elites have underestimated the deep disaffection of middle- and working-class, downwardly mobile white people. Working-class whites may be well off compared to most blacks, Latinos, and immigrants, but they don’t see it that way, and not without reason.

For decades, two trends have been converging: increasing economic insecurity and falling earnings among white men, and the belated, entirely legitimate claims of out-groups.

The Democratic Party has embraced those demands—of women, blacks, gays, lesbians and transgender people, immigrants, and refugees. That is to the Democrats’ great credit.

This election would be a very different story if they also championed working-class people against economic elites, but they have done that more hesitantly. On the contrary, too much of the white working class, Democrats seem to be in the pockets of bankers as much as Republicans are.

The political class of inbred idiots must be overthrown and every day the slicing machine screeches can be heard as it grinds to razor sharpness. Big Pink hater Nate Silver is now forced to admit that instead of impossible, Donald J. Trump might easily become the next President of the United States:

Nate Silver: Trump surges from 3% to 48% chance of winning

The latest vote projection from elections guru Nate Silver has Republican Donald Trump just six electoral votes short of winning and one point away from equaling Hillary Clinton’s popular vote.

The newest Five Thirty Eight survey Trump at 264 and Clinton at 272, two more than needed. It’s the closest in recent weeks.

Nate Silver is respected by idiots in the ruling political class. We don’t respect his analysis. His attacks on this website are not the cause of our scorn. To our thinking smart political analysis predicts from far away what will happen. We knew back in August of 2015 Donald J. Trump would be the Republican nominee at a time Silver thought Trump’s chances of winning were in the low single digits. What use is Silver now, a few weeks before the election, confirming what is obvious?

Likewise, Trump hater Larry Sabato is quickly revisiting his dumb predictions of a Trump trounce into a possible Trump triumph, bitchy little anti-Trump swipes and snipes included:

The Trump Surge

And then, everything changed.

Well, not everything, but enough to generate the first major revision in our electoral map, and all of it is in Donald Trump’s direction for now. [snip]

One more thing before we get to the new map: It’s reasonable to ask why we are making substantial changes to our ratings in a special Monday issue just four days after an update where we made only minor alterations.

In the midst of writing that earlier update, we were stunned by the flood of bad numbers for Clinton, which compounded erosion that had been taking place over the course of the previous few weeks. Some of this was natural — Clinton’s post-convention lead was probably artificially high — but late last week her numbers started to curdle, both before and after our regular Crystal Ball release on Thursday. Credible pollsters like CNN/ORC, Bloomberg/Selzer, CBS News/New York Times and others produced polls showing Trump up three to five points in the typically critical state of Ohio, up in Florida, up in Iowa, and virtually tied nationally. [snip]

Simultaneously, and related, the Democratic position in the fierce battle to control the U.S. Senate has deteriorated. Naturally, in an age with relatively little ticket-splitting, when Trump moves up, so do GOP chances to hold the upper chamber. Democrats had counted on a big Clinton victory to lift them to at least 50 Senate seats, if not an outright majority.

That isn’t currently happening, as we explain below.

The latest bombings only help Trump. The exposed Weiner with rape fantasies of a 15 year old girl only helps Trump against the corrupt ruling political class.

Donald J. Trump can only hope that the Bush clan of blue-bloods unites on the campaign trail with the Kennedys to stump for the Clintons. The “deplorables” will be ready with the scythes.

The political class is ripe for the leveling harvest of the guillotine.


@RealDonaldTrump Traps #Hillary2016: Two Bombs And A Birth Certificate

Has there ever been a political campaign dumber than Hillary2016? No. Hillary2016 is the dumbest campaign ever. Proof? Look at the New York bombs and the birth certificate news stories for proof.

Some campaigns stumble due to unexpected events, unmet expectations, lack of money or even some plain ol’ circumstances beyond control. But Hillary2016 is plain ol’ stupid. The birth certificate story is by far the most interesting encapsulation of the utter stupidity of Hillary2016 and by extension the brain dead Hillary Clinton herself. It’s as if Hillary Clinton has turned off her brain and sensory conduits to obliviate reality. On the birth certificate story Hillary Clinton and Hillary2016 have fallen into an obvious Trump dug trap. We’ll explain below, but first let’s take a quick look at the pedestrian terror bombs and attacks of the past weekend and explore the Trump trap here and the utter stupidity of Hillary2016.

The terror bombs planted in New York’s gay neighborhood of Chelsea, where Chelsea Clinton lives, is politically interesting as it intersects with the political stupidity displayed by Hillary2016 in the birth certificate story of this past Friday. In the bomb story the political analyst can see two of the big failures of Hillary2016 we have written about even before Hillary2016 existed.

From before its inception and since we have written about two particularly stupid assumptions Hillary Clinton stupidly accepted. Stupidity #1: the necessity to hire campaign operatives for Hillary2016 more interested in protecting Barack Obama than helping Hillary Clinton. Stupidity #2: acceptance by Hillary Clinton of the pro-Obama hires explanation for why she lost in 2008.

The pro-Obama Praetorian Guard infesting Hillary2016 convinced Hillary Clinton that her big problem in 2008 was she kept on changing strategies and tactics instead of sticking with the political plan outlined by her campaign when it began. This is an entirely stupid lie. Hillary was defeated in 2008 in large part because Big Media protected Barack Obama no matter what Obama did, and attacked every Obama opponent as racist no matter how valid and non-racist the attack was. Hillary Clinton did not lose in 2008 because she changed her strategy when circumstances changed. If anything Hillary Clinton should have been swifter to change and much much more “nuclear” in her attacks on the corrupt Chicago crony Barack Obama.

That rewritten history lie by Barack Obama operatives infesting Hillary2016 has negative dramatic impact on Hillary2016. Just look at what happened when a bomb exploded in the Chelsea neighborhood even as a pressure cooker bomb was discovered in another part of the Chelsea neighborhood, even closer to The Whitman where Chelsea Clinton lives. Donald J. Trump almost immediately emerged with a strong statement calling the bomb a “bomb”. Donald J. Trump looked and sounded like a leader. With today’s developments of the shootings and arrest of a Muslim terrorist who also tried to bomb a police charity in New Jersey, Donald J. Trump has been proven correct.

“I must tell you that just before I got off the plane, a bomb went off in New York and nobody knows exactly what’s going on. But boy, we are living in a time—we better get very tough, folks. We better get very, very tough. Just happened. So we’ll find out. It’s a terrible thing that’s going on in our world, and in our country, and we are going to get tough and smart and vigilant. And we’re gonna end it. We’re gonna end it. So, we’ll see what it is.”

Donald J. Trump said the obvious and sounded strong while saying it was a bomb. Then look at Hillary2016 and what Hillary Clinton said and did.

Somehow Hillary Clinton missed the story which dominated the headlines since September 11. On September 11 Hillary Clinton collapsed and her collapse was documented on video. You would think that Hillary’s September 11 nonsense about the Benghazi video would have made her aware that video is not her friend. But no, Hillary Clinton somehow missed the import of the video of her collapse. This thousand fathoms deep stupidity on the part of Hillary Clinton and Hillary2016 once again exploded on her face in the Chelsea bombing.

What do we mean by all the above? (1) Hillary Clinton collapsed on September 11 and her collapse was captured on video; (2) the Hillary Clinton collapse brought to the political debate all the many health questions Donald J. Trump has raised about Hillary; (3) the only way for Hillary Clinton to definitively dispel questions about her health is to appear vigorous and strongly in control; (4) Hillary’s response to the Chelsea bombs was not vigorous but instead weak, sleepy, and mealy mouthed.

Hillary Clinton and Hillary2016 missed the import of her health collapse and the need to demonstrate strength. Instead of a powerful Hillary Clinton with a powerful statement against terrorism, the world saw a wait, wait, wait, watch, watch, watch, collapsing Hillary Clinton looking as if she was medicated with horse tranquilizer. It was a total misunderstanding of the moment. Even Trump hater Ben Shapiro could not miss this latest Hillary collapse:

Trump reacted approximately 30 minutes after the bomb went off, stating, “a bomb went off in New York.”

This prompted consternation from the collected media, as well as Hillary Clinton, who said, “I think it’s important to know the facts about any incident like this. I think it’s also wiser to wait until you have information before making conclusions, because we are just in the beginning stages of trying to determine what happened.” Of course, in the same media scrum, Hillary said that she had been briefed “about the bombings in New York and New Jersey and the attack in Minnesota.” Oops.

Hillary looked half-dead while talking to the media, too:

Why did Hillary Clinton intentionally respond in this half dead way? Because the Obama operatives have convinced her to stick with her original “I’m responsible and experienced” strategy (unlike what she did in 2008, they say). But the entire Hillary2016 strategy is in ashes. Why? Because fearless and powerful Donald J. Trump is not the weak Romney style opponent Hillary2016 anticipated.

Hillary Clinton fumbled the response to the Chelsea bombing because Hillary Clinton and Hillary2016 will not adapt to the world as it is. Donald J. Trump is the one in total control of this presidential race and Donald J. Trump is the one who not only sets the agenda but also the narrative and all the cul-de-sacs of that narrative.

Hillary2016 and Hillary Clinton are irredeemably stupid if they think the “I am the responsible, experienced, and most qualified candidate” strategy will win the White House in 2016. It didn’t in 2008 when Hillary Clinton faced a fey legislator without accomplishments other than self-promotion. Hillary Clinton’s “experienced” strategy failed in 2008 and it will fail in 2016. But don’t tell any high level Hillary Clinton operative that because they will enter a psychotic state of denial.

If you wish to witness total psychosis, examine the Hillary2016 response to the birth certificate story which reemerged on Friday. If you wish to examine smart political strategy, the birth certificate story is a good example of how Trump lays a trap.

On Friday Donald J. Trump’s campaign announced there would be an announcement about the Obama birth certificate. Big Media frenzied. Big Media thought they had Trump in a trap. All TV cameras were on Trump for his big birther announcement.

Instead of walking into a trap, Trump laid a Big Media trap. Big Media thought Donald J. Trump would implode if he persisted in questions about Barack Obama’s site of birth and Big Media thought Trump would implode with those who don’t believe Barack Obama is a natural born American. Big Media was happy. Instead, Donald J. Trump led Big Media to his latest fabulous hotel on Pennsylvania Avenue near the White House, and then hours long coverage of Medal of Honor winners with praise for Donald J. Trump. At the end, on a Friday news dump, Trump in three sentences made a not very convincing statement that closed for the moment the birth certificate issue.

Big Media was outraged as they trashed the fabulous hotel and screamed and shouted like two-year-olds denied ice cream. Big Media thought they trapped Trump and instead it was Trump that trapped them. Not only did Trump garner hours of free media, but even Big Media was forced to publish stories of the Hillary2008 ties to the birth certificate story. Sidney Blumenthal and Mark Penn came roaring from the past. But that was the dull part of the story. The interesting part of the birth certificate story has the same strategic miscalculations by Hillary2016 and Hillary Clinton as the Chelsea bomb story.

Simple analysis from many sources has already been made. But there is a much more interesting aspect of this story that screams “Trump trap for Hillary2016”.

The simple and obvious analysis is that Trump knew Hillary Clinton was going to attack him at the debate next Monday on the birth certificate issue. This simple and obvious analysis notes that Trump has made a great many appeals to black voters which appear to be working. This simple and obvious analysis also notes that Trump wanted to neutralize Hillary’s attacks at the upcoming debate.

If it was only so simple, politics would be a game of checkers. But this is chess. Donald J. Trump did want to neutralize Hillary Clinton and Hillary2016 from birth certificate attacks at the debate which could hurt Trump with the black vote. But this was a sophisticated Trump trap, not a simple and obvious, game of musical chairs.

Hillary2016 and Hillary Clinton thought their response to the Trump birth certificate statement was ever so smart. But it was dumb, dumb, and dumber.

Again, it was more about white suburban women, than the black vote itself. These white suburban women don’t want to be seen as racists and the Hillary campaign wants to smear Trump supporters as racists. So what does Trump want and what did Trump do? Trump laid out a trap and soon the “racist” will be on the other foot.

Contrary to all our repeated warnings and advice Hillary Clinton and Hillary2016 chose a stupid strategy. We warned that 2016 would be a change election. The “change” candidate would win. The “stay the course” candidate will lose. Hillary Clinton chose to follow the Obama Praetorian Guard advice, and “stay the course” became the Hillary2016 strategy. This has led to catastrophe.

Hillary Clinton was deluded by Obama backers into thinking the black vote would come out for her in the same massive wave and in the same percentage as for Barack Obama. That was such a stupid delusion. We can’t explain how anyone could be so stupid. Barack Obama was the first obviously black man to have a chance to win the White House and the black vote came out in racial solidarity, aided and abetted by Big Media, to vote in massive numbers and percentages for Obama. That was never going to happen for Hillary Clinton but somehow Hillary Clinton stupidly believed that nonsense.

Somehow Hillary Clinton missed the fact that the Obama vote was a cult and racial solidarity depravity. Obama’s cult only cared about Obama. The “Obama vote” was not transferable. In 2009, one short year after Obama got elected, candidates Obama campaigned for in blue Massachusetts, in blue New Jersey, and purple Virginia, – lost. In 2010 the Republican wave swamped all the candidates Obama campaigned for. Obama had promised “you’ve got me” as a tonic to worried Democrats but still Obama Dimocrats lost. In 2014 another generation of Dimocrats went to the slaughter. In short, the Obama cult vote only votes for Obama, as was demonstrated in 2008 and 2012. Hillary Clinton and Hillary2016 missed this history or thought this time it would be different. It won’t be different. An Obama third term will lose.

Now all those chickens have come home to roost.

What was the Trump trap on the birth certificate issue?

Donald J. Trump at the debate will hit Hillary Clinton with all the race-baiting from 2008 Barack Obama.

The chess moves are these: (1) Trump makes a Friday news dump statement on the Obama birth certificate; (2) Trump, with some great justification, attributes the Obama birth certificate issue as a Hillary2008 invention; (3) Hillary Clinton responds with a race-bait attack on Trump which claims the birth certificate issue was a “racist” attack “to delegitimize our first black president“; (4) instantly the 2008 campaign is regurgitated and all the hatred between the Clintons and the Obamas is recalled on the front pages; (5) the trap to be sprung at the debate by Trump against Hillary Clinton is ready.

It’s a double trap by Trump. Trap #1: At the debate, recall all the times the Obama 2008 campaign called Hillary a “racist”. Bill Clinton then angrily said Obama had “played the race card on me.” This will make black voters remember the 2008 “racist” Hillary and bring down enthusiasm by blacks to vote for Hillary2016. #Trap #2: At the debate force Hillary to focus on defending herself against the 2008 “racist” attacks. The more Hillary Clinton defends herself on the history of the 2008 “racist” campaign the deeper she will dig herself into a deeper hole. In addition, the more Hillary Clinton focuses on the black vote the less interesting she will be to white working class voters. In military terms this once again is a cross-fire attack in which the more Hillary tries to get a massive wave of black votes the weaker she gets with white working class voters. In addition, those white suburban women who don’t want to be seen as “racist” will run from “racist” Hillary in 2016 like they did in 2008.

Chess players will recognize the strategy. Pool players will recognize the set-up of the table too. Military tacticians will spot the trap. Hillary2016 won’t know what hit them.

* * * * * *

Can any of this be documented for the numbskulls at Hillary2016? Yeah. We wrote in 2013 this was a change election and the candidate of change would win. From Egypt to ObamaCare we wrote it was the candidate of change that would win.

The white working class should have been the bedrock of the Hillary2016 campaign. But Hillary Clinton abandoned the white working class so the white working class went to Donald J. Trump. Now the black vote is walking away too.

The black vote had to come out in Obama sized numbers for Hillary Clinton and in the election overall. But the black vote is slipping away from Hillary2016.

Donald Trump is gaining support among African-American voters — whose enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton is eroding, a tracking poll released Saturday revealed.

Trump saw a 16.5 percentage-point increase in backing from African-American voters in a Los Angeles Times/University of Southern California tracking poll, up from 3.1 percent on Sept. 10 to 19.6 percent through Friday.

Meanwhile, the same poll showed Clinton’s support among that group plummeting from 90.4 percent on Sept. 10 to 71.4 percent.

The Hispanic vote? Collapsing too:

Lagging support among Hispanic voters for Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton and congressional candidates in crucial races has stoked deep concern that the party and the presidential campaign are doing too little to galvanize a key constituency.

While Clinton holds a significant lead over Republican rival Donald Trump in every poll of Hispanic voters, less clear is whether these voters will turn out in numbers that Democrats are counting on to win. Clinton trails President Obama’s 2012 performance in several ­Latino-rich states, including Florida, Nevada, Colorado and Arizona.

White working class voters are all in for Trump. Black voters are moving in significant numbers to Trump. Latino voters are going to sleep and helping Trump. The attempt to stack the immigrant vote against Trump has also failed.

The great “blue wall” of electoral votes has likewise crumbled. As CBS reports, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton tied across battleground states.

It’s not just battleground states. In New Mexico a new poll has Hillary Clinton at 43% and Donald Trump at 38%. Obama won New Mexico in 2008. Obama won New Mexico in 2012 with 53%. Romney was ten points behind. Same situation in states such as Wisconsin, Michigan, Minnesota. Collapse.

More and more Hillary2016 should look to the leftist city of Berlin, Germany to see how Angela Merkel has blown herself up like a suicide bomber terrorist, on immigration. Like Merkel, Hillary Clinton is saying some very stupid things such as the stupid things she said today:

We’ll discuss this last Hillary Clinton statement when we analyze debate strategy by both candidates. Suffice for now that this Hillary Clinton statement displays ostentatiously the deep stupidity of Hillary2016. Can you see what is profoundly wrong with this statement and why as a debate strategy it opens up the abyss under Hillary? There are several giant black holes of stupidity in Hillary’s statement, not just one.

Hillary2016 is the dumbest campaign organization ever. Even the Huff n’ Puff Post which promised to only post Trump news on their “entertainment” section, sees the writing on the wall:

A smart campaign would have seen this disaster coming. A smart campaign could correct it’s stupid moves. A smart campaign would rethink it’s strategy and tactics. A smart campaign would see disaster coming. Hillary Clinton and Hillary2016 won’t know what hit them.


The New @RealDonaldTrump Triple Punch

In three Hulk smashing style sentences Donald J. Trump propels his campaign message to “Make America Great Again”.

Sentence #1: “I’m not running to be the president of the world, I’m running to be president of the United States.”

Sentence #2: “The Only Thing Hillary Clinton Can Offer Is A Welfare Check, I Will Produce Paychecks.”

Sentence #3: “It used to be, cars were made in Flint and you couldn’t drink the water in Mexico.” Followed with the bracing chaser, “Now, the cars are made in Mexico and you cannot drink the water in Flint.”

Those are power packed sentences which communicate the Trump campaign message and awaken the American public much like a drunk thrown in an ice cold bath.

It used to be, during the primaries, when Donald J. Trump was establishing himself as a clear brand with a strong message, that Trump would conversationally meander and weave his message. It was a charming way to communicate and the audience loved it. The drawback was Trump’s conversational style while refreshing and blatantly honest, often hid or buried the main point of what Trump was communicating. It didn’t matter then because the primary audiences cared enough and were involved enough that Trump’s golden nuggets (ahem) were noticed even if they were covered in a sauce of words.

There was a transition period as Donald J. Trump found his voice for the general election, and an audience of hundreds of millions more, who were not as involved in politics and therefore needed a bit more structure in Trump’s speeches.

Trump did find his communication voice in a series of events and three triple punch speeches, which we wrote about.

Now Donald J. Trump has reached a new level of communicative punch. While Hillary offers a “basket of deplorables” insult to voters as a campaign strategy, Trump has distilled his campaign message, from long speeches to concise paragraphs then, to a Harry Potter “draught of living death” style potion power sentence.

The first sentence, repeated in several speeches, was delivered again today at an economic speech:

Donald Trump outlined his economic vision Thursday, focused on putting America’s national interests first, as he called for robust economic growth, tax reform, reduced regulation and better trade deals.

I’m not running to be the president of the world, I’m running to be president of the United States,” Trump said, assuring the Economic Club of New York that his plan is US-centric.

Trump gave specific goals — and policy details — urging the US “to start thinking big once again.”

“[I]t is time to establish a national goal of reaching 4 percent economic growth,” he said.

Robust economic growth, he said, would help America recover from its financial woes. “Over the next 10 years, our economic team estimates that under our plan, the economy will average 3.5 percent growth and create a total of 25 million new jobs.”

The first sentence will be and has been repeated. The second sentence is a direct attack against Hillary Clinton policies and a forceful defense of Trump economics:

DONALD TRUMP: Instead of driving jobs and wealth away, America will become the world’s great magnet for innovation and job creation. My opponent’s plan rejects this optimism. She offers only more taxing and her tax increases are unbelievable. More regulating, more spending, and more wealth redistribution. A future of slow growth, declining incomes and dwindling prosperity.

The only people who get rich under Hillary Clinton are the donors and the special interests, but bad for our country. In Hillary Clinton’s America we have surrendered our status as the world’s great economy and we have surrendered our middle class to the whims of foreign countries. We take care of them better than we take care of ourselves.

Not one single idea she’s got will create one net American job or create one new dollar of American wealth for our workers. The only thing she can offer is a welfare check. That’s about it. Our plan will produce paychecks and they’re going to be great paychecks for millions of people now unemployed or underemployed.

Sentence #3 is an even more concise distillation of the economic nationalism and national renewal message. Sentence #3 merges foreign policy with the national economy and the economic pain the American people suffer. Sentence #3 is the very embodiment of Bill Clinton’s “it’s the economy, stupid” strategy both on the national and international level:

It used to be, cars were made in Flint and you couldn’t drink the water in Mexico. Now, the cars are made in Mexico and you cannot drink the water in Flint. that’s not good,” he said.

“We shouldn’t allow it to happen,” he said. “They’ll make their cars, they’ll employ thousands and thousands of people, not from this country … and we’ll have nothing but more unemployment in Flint.”

As a special added super bonus, Sentence #3 unites the white working class and the black working class of places like the population of the all important electoral vote state, Michigan. That’s a mighty powerful sentence. It helps maintain and increase the support of the white working class. It appeals to the black working class and the entire working class of all races including Latinos who immigrated to the United States legally. It is delivered in the all important state of Michigan. It is delivered on the very day Ford Motor Company announced it was moving entire production lines to Mexico:

(Reuters) – Ford Motor Co Chief Executive Officer Mark Fields said on Wednesday that all of the company’s small-car production would be leaving U.S. plants and heading to lower-cost Mexico, drawing another rebuke from Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump.

We will have migrated all of our small-car production to Mexico and out of the United States,” over the next two to three years, Fields told Wall Street analysts at an investor conference hosted by the automaker.

Trump, campaigning in Flint, Michigan, on Wednesday, called Ford’s decision “horrible.” [snip]

Earlier this year, Ford said it would invest $1.6 billion in Mexico for small-car production to start in 2018.

During contract talks in 2015, Ford confirmed that it would move Focus and C-Max production out of its Wayne, Michigan, plant in 2018. The United Auto Workers Union said at the time that Ford planned to build the next Focus in Mexico.

A source briefed on the matter said the shift of production to Mexico was expected to take place next year before the start of the 2018 model year.

Donald J. Trump was in Flint, Michigan at the very moment Ford Motor Company declared it would move entire lines of production, hurting American workers in Wayne, Michigan. So Michigan, white working class, black working class, all working class, illegal immigration, jobs, economy, put America First, economic nationalism, trade treaties, all in one power packed sentence.

Those three sentences, like the earlier three speeches, explain why Donald J. Trump continues to rise to the lead in the national and battleground state polls. As Hillary2016 fights off “replacement” scenarios, Donald J. Trump is a happy warrior with a message – for Big Change, not false hope.


Hillary Clinton’s Replacement

Update: Maybe he’s reading Big Pink? Roger Stone agrees with us. On the Steve Malzberg show on Newsmax rolling Roger Stone shows political smarts:

ROGER STONE: DNC Will Choose Michelle Obama If “Gravely Ill” Hillary Can’t Continue (VIDEO)

ROGER STONE: DNC Will Choose Michelle Obama If “Gravely Ill” Hillary Can’t Continue (VIDEO)[snip]

Now, it is my understanding that is she were to be incapacitated, or if she were too ill to continue, or if, God forbid, she should pass away, then the Democratic National Committee would hold a meeting to fill that vacancy. And I don’t think it would be Joe Biden. I don’t think it would be Tim Kaine. I’m fairly confident she would be replaced by Michelle Obama.

Our article below (and previous ones about how to keep the “Obama situation comedy coalition” gravy train running), explains why. The New York Times whores for the Moose today, as Moose in high heels follows the Paul Ryan strategy of pretending to disdain that which Moose and squirrel husband crave. Deaf, dumb, blind, Hillary2016 won’t see the Moose train hit them.


Michelle Obama will be the Hillary replacement as the Dim nominee. It won’t be chiseler Tim Kaine. It won’t be drunkard Biden. It won’t be socialist kook Sanders. It won’t be the Cambridge Cherokee, Warren. It will be Michelle Obama. After Sunday’s Hillary collapse in shocking video the tapestry is in full swing. For years we wrote of the plotters behind tapestries and their replacement nominee to topple Hillary. During the DNC convention we revealed the name of the anti-Hillary:

Tonight, a moose in high heels will be the first to address the convention. This will be the person that we have talked about for a long while now. Following the Paul Ryan playbook Michelle Obama pretends to disdain what she craves.

Barack Obama wants Michelle Obama to be the nominee of the party. To be more precise, Barack Obama wants to retain full control of the party even if he is out of office. That’s what this is all about. The question for Barack Obama, hidden behind tapestries, is: How to maintain control of the party even out of office?

To maintain control of the party, squirrelly Barack Obama and Moose will remain in Washington, D.C. after he leaves office.

For a long time we have written that Barack Obama and the kooks do not want Hillary Clinton to be the nominee:

Barack Obama and his minions will do everything in their power to destroy Hillary Clinton and make sure she does not get the nomination in 2016 let alone the presidency.

There is no way that the crazed Obama left is going to go back to the hated paradigm of clinton-bush-clinton-bush interrupted by Obama for clinton-bush years. [snip]

This denial of the nomination to Hillary Clinton won’t be easy. There is a lot of juggling of interests and circumstances, and events, behind the tapestry. For instance, squirrel and moose did not expect Donald J. Trump to be the GOP nominee and they certainly did not anticipate Trump would be so strong in the polls (CNN today has Trump at 44%, Hillary 39%). Barack Obama cannot afford President Donald J. Trump investigations into Obama term corruptions. So Trump has to be juggled into the considerations.

When to strike? Timing is everything. There are scenarios to prepare for, scenarios to react to, scenarios to the unexpected, and scenarios when scenarios go bad. As we wrote:

Picture this scenario: Just before the convention, or during the convention, something happens to derail Hillary Clinton. Maybe that’s why after Obama met with Bernie Sanders yesterday he then met with the Attorney General to lynch Hillary? At this point, after something derails Hillary, Bernie Sanders says he should be the nominee. Joe Biden says he should be the nominee. Corrupt Cuomo and others think they should be the nominee. Up steps Barack and says “I supported Hillary (after she had the delegates and did not need me) and campaigned with Hillary. But Hillary has got to go. We also cannot afford the chaos of so many candidates running. So here’s my candidate which I have not plotted for years to nominate no matter what HillaryIs44 says!” Barack can add “Hillary will not object to this and as proof look how I stole delegates from her in 2008 and the bitch still backed me.”

Of course it might be easier to replace Hillary after the convention, away from the public eye, as was done to Tom Eagleton.

Before, during, after the convention, all Hillary Clinton can expect from Barack Obama is treachery. Why Hillary Clinton embraces this bloodsucking mosquito and his disaster economic failures is a mystery.

More scenarios to consider. The F.B.I. is now investigating the DNC email hack. The F.B.I is now investigating whether Hillary’s testimony to congress was perjurious (we predict the F.B.I. will punt). But the great fear for Hillary2016 and Hillary Clinton comes from overseas.

It is not just the daily Muslim terrorism that strengthens Donald J. Trump. Last month Julian Assange threatened more Hillary Clinton emails to be released. This past weekend’s email DNC emails is not what Assange referred to. There are more emails to come. From Hillary’s private server. About the Clinton Global Initiative and financing.

Barack Obama and Michelle Obama, hidden behind the tapestries to plot and scheme, have a lot to consider. They have Hillary Clinton in chains. Whatever Hillary does, Moose and squirrel win.

Moose and squirrel cannot afford a Donald J. Trump presidency. Investigations. Crime commissions. Special prosecutors. Moose and squirrel do not want Bush-Clinton-Bush-Obama to be followed by Clinton. Obama followed by a Clinton would mock the “transformational” Obama. Moose and squirrel will not risk a Hillary Clinton and Bill Clinton escape from their clutches and then to take the DNC and their power away from them. So they wait, and plot, and construct “opportunities” as they keep an eye on Trump – The Final Avenger.

We too will watch and wait as the tapestry moves. This week and beyond the plots and counter-plots will be woven at great speed.

The problem with a fixed election is that they can be unfixed against you. What goes around comes around.

Nothing has changed since we wrote that. The FBI as we predicted, punted. And although Donald J. Trump had a rough August, Donald J. Trump momentum grows daily and his polls rise every hour. After this past Sunday, which reminded American voters of the dangers of Muslim terrorists and the need for a vigorous leader unafraid of political correctness, Trump towers again.

As we wrote, “Timing is everything” when it comes to a coup. Getting rid of Hillary just before the nomination was perilous because Donald J. Trump displayed so much strength in the polls. Barack Obama wants to destroy Hillary and Bill Clinton but not at the price of President Trump and investigations into Obama corruptions from Rezko to ransom payments.

It’s all plots and counter-plots in Washington D.C. and the DNC. “Timing is everything” in plots and coups. Hillary could not be whacked at the convention in front of the public. So indeed, “it might be easier to replace Hillary after the convention, away from the public eye, as was done to Tom Eagleton.”

But any thoughts that Hillary will flush herself down the toilet as Tom Eagleton did is extremely stupid. Hillary will never quit. Never never ever quit.

Hillary understands that she is in a fight for her life. If Hillary does not become president the entire Clinton organization will collapse as she did on Sunday. Chelsea will have to find a real job. Chelsea’s husband won’t be able to sustain his Greek scams. Bill Clinton will be gone from the earth soon enough and his departure will be advanced with the loss of his foundation and the ceaseless investigations to come. All of this will happen if Michelle Obama or Donald J. Trump become president. The only salvation for Hillary and Bill Clinton is a Hillary presidency.

Barack Obama? Barack Obama now faces calamity as well. He did not resist Hillary’s nomination because Donald J. Trump is the greater threat. But now, with Donald J. Trump once again a real possibility to become president, measures must be taken. Barack Obama does not want President Hillary Clinton. But Barack Obama cannot survive a President Donald J. Trump.

Tim Kaine cannot be the Hillary replacement. Kaine has the mark on him. Kaine is a conniving chiseler who will do what Barack Obama tells him to do. Kaine will step aside for the Moose.

Biden cannot be the Hillary replacement. Biden couldn’t win a PTA election in Scranton. Biden can be forced to step aside in favor of the Moose in high heels.

Sanders? Socialist Sanders? Loser who will be stomped on by the Moose.

Warren? Warren hates Obama and Obama hates Warren. Both remember how and why Obama snubbed Warren and then how Obama made a recess appointment of a man, not Warren. If Warren tries to resist the Moose the “racist” card will be played on Warren and Warren will hear Barack Obama call her “Pocahontas”.

But Hillary Clinton will never quit. She will have to be forced out. How? Well the previous orders to the FBI could be rescinded and the DOJ and FBI let loose to savage Hillary. More leaks could emerge from the White House on emails. Barack Obama thugs could start to pound the drums to force Hillary out. That won’t be difficult. Even Hillary Clinton allies have already turned on her.

Ted Strickland is a long time Hillary Clinton ally. If that worm has turned it is curtains for Hillary. Why would Strickland stab Hillary in the back? Strickland is losing badly in his senate race in Ohio. Strickland hopes a new candidate would revive his electoral fortunes. If you want a friend in Washington get a dog not named Strickland.

Other Clinton allies growled:

One ally described the string of events that culminated in Clinton leaving a Sept. 11 memorial early as a “self-inflicted f—ing nightmare.”

Et tu, New Yorker Magazine?:

Barack Obama’s stalking dogs for Michelle Obama also chomped.

David Axelrod is the Obama thug who stabbed Hillary in the back in 2008 even though Hillary had strongly assisted Axelrod with his sick son. For Axelrod to describe Hillary as having “an unhealthy penchant for privacy” is an insult that should slap Hillary awake. But Hillary Clinton won’t awaken from her stupor as she dies from ObamaThirdTermIsm. ObamaThirdTermIsm is a deadly disease.

Strickland and Axelrod are not alone in pouring poison into Hillary’s chalice:

Cokie Roberts said Monday on NPR that there were whispers by Democratic Party establishment members that Hillary Clinton may have to step aside from the race because of her health, Mediaite reports. [snip]

Roberts said Donald Trump had set this storyline up for months with his references to Clinton’s lack of stamina, saying that he knew she would eventually fall victim to exhaustion or illness.

“The fact that it comes now, when the polls are tightening and Democrats were already saying Hillary was the only candidate who could not beat Trump, and it’s taking her off the campaign trail … it has them very nervously beginning to whisper about having her step aside and finding another candidate,” she said. [snip]

“But they have looked at what happens in that circumstance, and the Democratic National Committee chair convenes the committee, and they vote,” Roberts said.

Donna Brazile, who repeatedly attacked Hillary and this website for its support of Hillary in 2008, is no friend of Hillary’s and will do everything it takes to get Michelle Obama to replace Hillary.

The Hillary Haters at the DNC have plenty of ammunition provided by Hillary Clinton. That video is devastating. Hillary appears to be a corpse unable to move, held up from total collapse by her doctor holding her on one side and the concrete post a substitute spine. We also write about the “medium is the message” and the video of Hillary unable to stand, then collapsing as the Twin Towers did, before being flung into her car by nameless functionaries, is impossible to refute. The video is devastating.

Opening pre-opened pickle jars on late night television will not solve this latest Hillary Clinton problem.

And the questions still remain about the latest excuse for Hillary’s collapse, pneumonia. Why as we previously wrote would Hillary, diagnosed with pneumonia go to an LGBTQ fundraiser without concern for Barbra Streisand or any attendee that might have AIDS/HIV? Why would Hillary hug children and others if she knew she had pneumonia? Even on Sunday, Hillary Clinton was a hug-a-thon of disease:

“She seemed absolutely fine to me,” Manhattan Borough President Gale Brewer told the Daily News.

“She was greeting an unbelievable number of people. People were coming up to her endlessly for hellos and such. She seemed absolutely fine.”

It’s Typhoid Mary, endlessly greeting, spreading disease. Is sort of like ObamaCare.

Big Media acted as it usually does. Immediately Big Media began to demand medical records and denounced the lack of medical transparency – from Donald J. Trump. Hillary has a near death experience on the physical plane of existence and Big Media demands health records from the clearly vigorous Donald J. Trump.

Big Media then tried to pretend the Hillary Clinton collapse was a remarkable proof of stamina. We all rejoice at the death bed of the soon to be departed when the soon to be corpse squeezes the hand of a loved one and we all exclaim in unison “she’s getting better”. The you hear the death rattle and it is all over.

As shameless and ugly and stupid as Hillary2016 has been, Big Media is far worse. The attempt to smear Donald J. Trump or question his health is a desperate attempt to raise the dead.

For his part, Donald J. Trump has been very smart. Mostly he has been quiet, which is very smart in this situation:

Trump and his top campaign aides chose not to focus on Clinton’s health issues on Monday.

Speaking on Fox News, Trump said he hoped she “gets well and gets back on the trail and we’ll be seeing her at the debate.”

Instead, the Trump campaign focused on remarks Clinton made at a fundraiser Friday evening, when she categorized half of the Republican nominee’s supporters as fitting into “the basket of deplorables.”

“Hillary Clinton is an insider, supported by powerful insiders, attacking Americans who have no political power,” Trump said in the Monday speech.

The TrumpOcrats SuperPac stuck at economic issues alongside Trump:

Contrast the smart Trump operation with Hillary Clinton’s cute boy spokeskid Brian Fallon. “Fallon argued that Clinton was “dead set” on attending the 9/11 ceremony on Sunday….” Dead set??? Not a smart choice of words there buddy boy.

Will Hillary Clinton be replaced? We don’t think so. But a treacherous, cornered animal like Barack Obama is capable of anything. Hillary2016 is infested with operatives whose allegiance is to Barack Obama not Hillary Clinton and they will do as Barack tells them to do. Hillary Clinton hired those Barack Obama hostage holders and now they hold her hostage.

Michelle Obama will not be able to defeat Donald J. Trump. Michelle’s corruptions in Chicago and her patient dumping schemes alongside Valerie Jarret would come too much into the light. But the aim of Michelle Obama as the Dim nominee is not to win. It is to maintain control of the Dim party apparatus and fundraising.

Barack Obama wants to remove the Clintons from public life. The Clintons now find themselves in a fight for the political lives. The Clintons might even be in a fight for their very lives. Barack Obama and Michelle Obama are laughing and nervously watching – as Donald J. Trump moves closer to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.


#NeverForget #9/11: #NFLSunday, Hillary Faints, Benghazi, Seahawks, Kaepernick, Killer Muslims

Update: Pneumonia is contagious. Now Hillary’s doctor, who was with her at the 9/11 ceremony (why???) says Hillary has pneumonia. The pneumonia was diagnosed on Friday says Hillary’s Dr. Lisa Bardack.

Before today we were all told repeatedly that Hillary Clinton was in excellent health. After the collapse we are all told not to worry that it is pneumonia and that Hillary is OK.

After the collapse Hillary went to Chelsea’s apartment at The Whitman on 26th Street in NYC. Later Hillary emerged to demonstrate she is healthy before going to her home upstate and a long rest which means the California fundraisers are off.

As she emerged from The Whitman, Hillary Clinton spoke with a little girl and hugged her. Isn’t pneumonia contagious???

After the supposed pneumonia diagnosis on Friday, Hillary attended an LGBTQ fundraiser with Barbra Streisand. Hillary hugged Barb. Isn’t pneumonia contagious???

What about the people Hillary hugged at the fundraiser, at rallies or meetings, Big Media “personalities”? Isn’t pneumonia contagious???


The day after 9/11, Muslim extremist killers win and the New York City schools will close in order to celebrate a Muslim holiday. Today Hillary Clinton fainted or collapsed. It’s the anniversary of the Benghazi murder scandal. The National Football League insults America today as well. So on this 9/11, who is winning the war against Muslim terrorists? Is it time to Make America Great Again?

Let’s start with the New York City schools and the Muslim holiday. Isn’t this paid holiday in violation of the establishment clause against government endorsement of a specific religion? For decades New York City schools have closed on various Jewish holidays and the Christian Christmas celebration. The reason NYC schools closed for these various holidays was because so many teachers were Jewish the schools could not safely open with so many teachers and supervisors absent for their religious holiday. The same is true of the Christian holidays. The schools could not safely open without so many Christian teachers and supervisors absent.

The New York City school holiday for Muslims is entirely different. There are very few Muslim students and a teeny tiny amount of teacher(s) and school administrator(s) who are Muslim. The entire purpose of the Muslim school holiday is entirely to “respect” the Muslim religion. It is government praise of a specific religion. Why not have school holidays for the Buddhists, Hindus, Mormons, Shintos, Native American and every other religion?

The Muslim school holiday is entirely without precedent. It demonstrates vividly, the day after 9/11, who is winning the ideological war. It is not the West winning. Muslim extremists realize the Muslim school holiday the day after 9/11 is a win for them.

9/11 is also the anniversary of the Benghazi attack against an American “installation”. As we wrote at the time, neither Barack Obama nor Hillary Clinton did anything to heighten security on a date that, was obvious to all, was a particular day of opportunity for Muslim terrorist extremists. If we say #NeverForget for the Two Towers, Flight 93, the Pentagon, and the many killed, what about Benghazi? #NeverForget Benghazi too.

This 9/11 is also #NFLSunday. Imagine if an NFL player decided to raise a white power fist salute during the national anthem as a protest against black criminals and black killers of white people. How long do you think that protest would be allowed to go on? The NFL protects black players who insult the nation this 9/11 Sunday.

The black football player who has a hundred million dollar contract by the name of Colin Kaepernick has refused to salute the flag and the national anthem. This lowlife scum falsely hides behind the First Amendment to wage his millionaires war against America. Having done nothing to help white or black Americans, this lowlife scum Colin Kaepernick is defended by many as exercising his free speech rights. Indeed, all week long the Seattle Seahawks have strongly suggested that the entire team might protest against America during the national anthem and flag salute. More millionaires against America who have never done anything to help white or black Americans other than themselves.

The NFL acted quickly to stop the Dallas Cowboys’ support of the police with a decal on their helmets. In what way does Kaepernick’s insult to flag and country a free speech issue and not a matter of doing what the team demands? If a white player (or a black player for that matter) protested against black people and their high crime rate the NFL and the team would shut them down real quick. If an NFL player formed a “T” with his arms to support Trump he would be shut down too. How long would it take the NFL to ban a player who raised his fist in a white power salute – seconds or milliseconds???

For that matter if an NFL player made speeches in support of white power and attacked black people as mostly criminals, the NFL and the player’s team would take quick action even though the player acted under free speech First Amendment rights entirely off the field. The player’s team and the NFL would claim the player reflected badly on the sport and on the team respectively. The player would be out. The NFL will tolerate and reward wife abusers, dog abusers, and black hypocrite millionaires who insult the American people and the flag.

All those questions however are eclipsed today by what happened in New York City during the commemoration of the thousands killed by Muslim terrorists on 9/11 fifteen years ago. Hillary collapsed and the collapse might be more than physical.

We have mostly if not entirely ignored the “Hillary’s sick” back and forth. We understood that in a political campaign silly things get said which may or may not be true. We mostly dismissed the notion that Hillary Clinton is in any way physically ill or incapable of being president. We mostly took the notion of a physically incapacitated Hillary Clinton as a clever Trumpian ploy to do to Hillary what was done to Jeb. Trump called Jeb “low energy” and soon enough everyone noticed that Jeb really did lack energy. Jeb’s rallies were lifeless. Jeb was lifeless.

Trump claimed Hillary Clinton too was “low energy”. Trump added to “low energy” the notion that Hillary Clinton does not have the “stamina” to “Make America Great Again!” We mostly ignored this attack, clever as it was, as payback for all the attacks against John McCain for being too old in 2008. We understood that it was an unfair attack to pay back all the unfair “basket of deplorables” style race-baiting attacks against Donald J. Trump.

No longer. Today, Hillary Clinton had a “spell”, a “fainting episode” of some sort, a stamina deficiency, a low energy moment, or quite possibly a physical and campaign collapse.

Once again, Donald J. Trump says something Big Media finds outrageous and events come to his rescue. Last year, immediately after he announced he was running for president and attacked illegal immigration, the murder of Kate Steinle gave currency to Trump’s charges about the need to control the American borders and visa overstays.

Just as Trump declared he would work with Vladimir Putin and was thereby denounced, along comes the incompetent John Kerry and cuts a deal with Putin for a Syria ceasefire.

Just as a clearly vigorous and high energy Trump who appears to never rest declared Hillary Clinton did not have the energy, the stamina… Hillary collapses on the national stage. This time it was not a coughing fit (COPD, whooping cough, or something worse?). It was a physical collapse captured on videotape even as campaign lackeys tried to hide the collapse.

Matt Drudge on DrudgeReport had a political orgasam:

Knees buckle, loses shoe…
Medical History Under Microscope…
NYT: Campaign no response on if related to medication…
Press left in dark…
Retreats to Chappaqua…

It’s easy to see why. The video is very disturbing. The claim by Hillary2016 that Hillary was “overheated” on a lovely day in New York City with the weather in the 70s is not believable.

Something’s up when someone’s down – this badly. It’s a 9/11 that won’t be forgotten, especially by Hillary2016. It’s the day the tower fell.


Obama Economy: Sinks #Hillary2016, Destroys Wall Street

Update II: Speaking of “deplorables” as we did in our first update, Donald J. Trump spoke out on the FED with many of the same arguments we made in our original article. Read the Trump take here: Blasting “False Economy,” Trump Takes on the Federal Reserve.


Update: At the end of our article we linked the disaster Obama economy to Hillary Clinton’s latest race-baiting of Donald J. Trump supporters. When we wrote the article we made reference near the end to “Hillary2016 is now reduced to insulting Trump supporters“. The reference was to Hillary Clinton’s interview with Israeli television and her despicable “basket of deplorables” attack against Trump supporters. At the time we wrote the article we came up with a surprise.

We were surprised that it was impossible for us to find a Youtube or even many Google references to Hillary’s despicable “basket of deplorables” comment. We don’t know if Google or Youtube were blocking access to what was clear to us was a very despicable and very stupid comment by Hillary Clinton. Hillary’s “basket of deplorables” Youtube eventually appeared in our comments section but only in an entire interview, not a selected clip – because such a clip did not exist.

That’s all changed now and many are missing the point about the “basket of deplorables”. For whatever reason the first “basket of deplorables” comment got some attention, but not as much as it deserved. Then came last night and the second “basket of deplorables” comment exploded. Why did “basket of deplorables” go from a curiosity at Big Pink to major explosion?

The reason the despicable “basket of deplorables” comment by Hillary Clinton went from obscurity to prominence is due to Hillary Clinton. Last night at an LGBTQ fund raiser with Barbra Streisand in New York Hillary Clinton once again attacked Trump supporters as a “basket of deplorables”. That’s the point, Hillary repeated “basket of deplorables” because it is a campaign strategy. Granted, it is a stupid campaign strategy, but it is deliberate, not accidental. It’s also doomed to failure.

The idea is to isolate Donald J. Trump supporters and hint to Big Media that the way to protect the Obama third term is to denounce Donald J. Trump and Donald J. Trump supporters as “racist”. Hillary2016 believes that in 2008 the despicable Obama campaign strategy of calling Hillary and Bill Clinton “racists” worked. If it worked for Obama in 2008, reasons Hillary2016, why won’t the “racist” race-bait work for Hillary2016? What goes around comes around. It’s a recycle of the LBJ “Frontlash” strategy against Barry Goldwater.

Hillary Clinton on Saturday has emitted a phony “apology” for her statement. But at the moment the idiots at Hillary2016 are happy they put the basket of deplorables “meme” into circulation. What the saps at Hillary2016 hindquarters don’t understand is that the “racist” card is so played out, all Hillary Clinton has managed to do is drive the softer Donald J. Trump supporters into “silent majority” mode. Soft Donald J. Trump supporters who do not want to be called “racists” will vote for Donald J. Trump but when a Clinton campaign staffer calls or a Big Media pollster calls to ask for their opinion these soft on the outside but firm in the inside Donald J. Trump supporters will lie and say they are “undecided” or “leaning” to Hillary. But come November these “silent majority” voters will vote Trump.

Speaking of “baskets” in the 2008 election cycle we Hillary Clinton supporters loved and played repeatedly a YouTube of another “basket”. Yup, in 2008 every chance we got we played our favorite Youtube. It was the “basket bunch” featuring a lantern-jawed Moose in high heels:

How’s them baskets?


There is no capitalist stock market in America. There is only the FED. The Federal Reserve. “Don’t fight the FED” is the investor strategy in Obama oppressed America. The “welfare queens” of Ronald Reagan’s day are back due to Barack Obama’s purchase of many voters with “gimmes” to ensnare them as slaves to the welfare state. But the biggest “welfare queens” are the corporations and corporate chieftains (and yes, the investors) who have bought into the Obama crony (not “capitalist”) gangster government.

The Obama crony (not “capitalist”) gangster government thugs at the FED have robbed those on fixed incomes and others who refuse to be herded like cows to slaughter by not sacrificing their incomes to the phony “stock market”. For years the Obama economy masters have herded the cows into the crony (not “capitalist”) pens. Now, it is time for the slaughter. Today on Wall Street, the slaughter began.

Rather, today on Wall Street, the slaughter continued. It started with the Bank of Japan. The central banks around the world are in turmoil and the turmoil has now struck Wall Street. It is all very expected and no surprise. The only surprise is the time of the slaughter. The first cow to the slaughter is #Hillary2016.

Here’s some analysis, via Bloomberg News, from a “respected” Wall Streeter who believes Donald J. Trump will be the next president:

DoubleLine Capital Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Gundlach said it’s time for fixed-income investors to prepare for rising interest rates and higher inflation by reducing the duration of their positions, moving money into cash and protecting against volatility.

This is a big, big moment,” Gundlach said during a webcast Thursday. “Interest rates have bottomed. They may not rise in the near term as I’ve talked about for years. But I think it’s the beginning of something and you’re supposed to be defensive.”

Gundlach, 56, has built a career as a successful money manager and financial prognosticator. This year, his flagship $61.7 billion DoubleLine Total Return Bond Fund is trailing the benchmark Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, avoiding high-yield debt, which is up 15 percent, and shunning longer-duration positions. The Total Return fund’s effective duration is 2.4 years, less than half of the index, Gundlach said.

He cited a July low of 10-year Treasuries that didn’t hold as evidence interest rates have hit bottom. The fund manager said rates on the U.S. 10-year bond may surpass 2 percent by the end of 2016.

Bonds tumbled with stocks Friday as central banks start to question the benefits of further monetary easing, sending the yield on 10-year Treasuries 7 basis points higher to 1.67 percent at 11:24 a.m. in New York. The S&P 500 Index of U.S. equities dropped 1.2 percent, the most since June 27. [snip]

Gundlach also stuck to his prediction that Republican Donald Trump will be elected the next U.S. president.

Jeffrey Gunlach is not alone in predictions of a dire future. Deutsche Bank put matches to its hair today too.

It is near impossible for Obama Dimocrat Janet Yellen’s FED to raise rates in September. That would finish off Hillary2016. It’s impossible, but possible, and after today, irrelevant. The Obama economy has destroyed Wall Street capitalism and continues the relentless march to destroy Hillary2016. Selloff:

Stocks sell off as Dow, S&P post worst day since June 24; Fed fears loom

U.S. equities closed sharply lower on Friday as concerns the Federal Reserve might raise interest rates this month loomed following comments made by key Fed officials.

“The Fed is clearly on a choreographed path; it wants to raise rates this year,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at Wunderlich Securities. “What the market is trying to re-calibrate is whether that means September or December.”

“You’ve also had some lingering disappointment from Mario Draghi disappointing,” he said.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell about 350 points less than 15 minutes before the close, with 3M and Boeing contributing the most losses.

“The commentary from a voting member that the Fed may be forced to raise rates is important,” said Kim Forrest, senior equity analyst at Fort Pitt Capital. “I think the market needs to understand that there may be a rate hike coming. Whether it’s September or December, it doesn’t matter big picture.” [snip]

“I think this might be the beginning of a correction,” said Chuck Self, CIO of iSectors. “When you look at the sectors, it’s a decently broad decline.” He added that Monday “could be a pretty ugly day as well” since stocks were on track to end the week on a negative note.

Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren, historically a “dove” on rates, started the burn with comments he has switched to “hawk” and for a rate rise. Are we at Big Pink surprised as Wall Street turns to red? No. The Obama economy stinks and all the perfumes of Arabia cannot make the stink go away.

David Stockman too noted the bursting bubble:

The Implosion Is Near: Signs Of The Bubble’s Last Days

The central banks of the world are massively and insouciantly pursuing financial instability. That’s the inherent result of the 68 straight months of zero money market rates that have been forced into the global financial system by the Fed and its confederates at the BOJ, ECB and BOE. ZIRP fuels endless carry trades and the harvesting of every manner of profit spread between negligible “funding” costs and positive yields and returns on a wide spectrum of risk assets.

Moreover, this central bank sponsored regime of ZIRP and money market pegging contains a built-in accelerator. As carry trade speculators drive asset prices steadily higher and fixed income spreads steadily thinner—- fear and short interest is driven out of the casino, making buying on the dips ever more profitable and less risky. Indeed, the explicit promise by central banks that the money market rate will remain frozen for the duration and that ample warning of any change in rate policy will be “transparently” announced is the single worst policy imaginable from the point of view of financial stability. It means that the speculator’s worst nightmare—–suddenly going “upside down” due to a sharp spike in funding costs—-is eliminated by central bank writ. [snip]

In other words, at a point which is month #61 of the current business cycle, and thereby already beyond than the average cycle since 1950, why would any one in their right mind say a market is not bubbly when it’s trading at nearly 20X reported earnings. Indeed, in a world where interest rate and profit rate normalization must inevitably come, the capitalization rate for current earnings should be well below normal—-not extended into the nosebleed section of historical results. [snip]

At the end of the day, the Fed and its fellow traveling central banks have systematically dismantled the natural stability mechanisms of financial markets. Accordingly, financial markets have now become dangerous casinos in which speculative bubbles are guaranteed to build to dangerous extremes as the central bank driven financial inflation gathers force. That’s where we are now. Again.

Isn’t that what Donald J. Trump predicted? Yes. Yes it is.

At about this point in September 2008, John McCain lost his lead to Barack Obama when Wall Street laid an egg. Such was the disgust with George W. Bush the country voted for the false hope and chump change Barack Obama promised. What goes around, comes around. The Obama economy destroyed Wall Street capitalism and now destroys Hillary2016.

The Wall Street phony FED driven prices used to be the only sign of life Barack Obama and the Obama third term could point to as a bright spot in the economy. If was fake. It is fake. Now the bloom is off the fake. It comes at a terrible moment.

Donald J. Trump’s poll numbers are on the rise. In state after state Republican fears that Trump would doom their down ballot candidates are at an end as GOP candidates are winning in Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina (in Ohio and Florida at crucial 50%). Even the Politico pinhead Republicans and the #NeverTrump scum realize Donald J. Trump is on a path towards victory.

The Donald J. Trump rise is fueled by Trump’s bold leadership style recently demonstrated in speeches and trips to Louisiana, Mexico, and Detroit, – as well as the disaster which is Hillary2016’s campaign ads and ceaseless race baiting. Hillary2016 is now reduced to insulting Trump supporters and Bill Clinton denouncing “Make America Great Again” as racist even though white southerner Bill Clinton frequently stated “Make America Great Again” when he was president. In 2008 Barack Obama’s campaign denounced Bill Clinton and Hillary Clinton as racists and even declared that Hillary wanted Obama assassinated. Now, anything goes, as what goes around comes around.

Hillary2016, Hillary Clinton, and Bill Clinton, are race-baiting Donald J. Trump. They have forgotten what got Bill elected. “It’s the economy, stupid.” Donald J. Trump remembers “it’s the economy, stupid”.

Further, Donald J. Trump knows the stupid Obama economy kills what is right about America, as well as Hillary2016.


Why Trump Wins: The #Hillary2016 Ad War Against @RealDonaldTrump And S.O.B. Obama

Why is Donald J. Trump stronger and soon to be stronger at this most critical post Labor Day stage of the campaign? It’s because of that massive advertising campaign!

Donald J. Trump’s latest rise in popularity is due in large part to his recent campaign moves which positioned him powerfully for the post Labor Day sprint to the November election. The galvanic immigration speech bolstered Trump supporters after a long hot summer. The “masterstroke” appearances in Detroit and Mexico helped Trump too. The “rope-a-dope” triple punch of speeches, delivered like a boxer in his prime, began the supersonic flight to post Labor Day election season. But it was the massive advertising campaign that put Trump on top. The massive advertising campaign that put Trump on top was approved and paid for by Hillary2016.

Hillary2016 has not learned one damn thing from Bill Clinton 1992. Not one damn thing. Here is the ad Hillary2016 spent millions to air in blue states, red states, Big Media networks, local broadcasters, and cable stations of all sorts:

The purpose of the ad, approved, bought, and paid for by Hillary2016, is to scare the populace about Trump. The ad is a variation of the “It’s 3:00 a.m.” ad Hillary2008 ran against Barack Obama which got her the nomination and the presidency. That must be the reason the brainless straw filled heads in Brooklyn spent millions to circulate the ad. At Brooklyn Hillary2016 hindquarters they must think the “3:00 a.m.” ad won Hillary the nomination and presidency or else they would have rethought the strategy that failed in 2008.

The “3:00 a.m.” ad was a brilliant attack against clueless Barack Obama in 2008. But it was not followed up on. The ad aired but Hillary2008 cowered in fear of the “racist” charge the moment the ad began to air. The thinking in Hillary2016 hindquarters must be that Hillary2016 will not only air the ad but this time also follow up with ceaseless Hillary Clinton attacks against Trump. As if. Clueless!

What does the Hillary2016 ad “against” Trump really do? The medium is the message.

The ad opens up with a picture of Hillary Clinton ‘midst Grecian columns, a bunch of papers in both her hands, as she looks down and admires one of the papers. This is supposed to project studiousness and deliberation but instead conveys Olympus aloofness. The slogan “stronger together”, recycled from the loser Brexit opponents appears.

The ad then proceeds to supposedly unflattering video of Donald J. Trump. But the video only succeeds in projecting a very powerful, high-energy, engaged, presidential candidate Trump in direct juxtaposition to the academic Hillary.

The video clips of Donald J. Trump are what the Hillary2016 hindquarters must perceive as “shocking”. Not since “Theodora Goes Wild” has the concept of “shocking” been so vintage, quaint, and comedic.

“Knock the crap out of them” says Donald J. Trump. Who can disagree? Does Hillary2016 and Hillary Clinton not watch TV? Americans watch America’s enemies grow bolder and stronger together as Obama treachery weakens the country. “Knock the crap out of them” say voting Americans.

Trump says he knows more about ISIS than our generals, is the next audio/video. Does any American doubt this? Trump is not saying much here. Obama has so degenerated our military establishment that Captain Crunch and Colonel Sanders know more about ISIS than the ninnies Obama has promoted. The degenerate ISIS leaders in their soiled garb have survived because Obama has been so weak and our generals have surrendered to Barack Obama’s treacherous policies. The smart and strong generals and military leadership have been sidelined and punished with near oblivion by treacherous Barack Obama.

“And you can tell them to go FUCK themselves” is the last Donald J. Trump quote we are all supposed to titter and swoon over. To the fainting couches! Clutch your pearls! Theodora has gone wild!!!

“And you can tell them to go FUCK themselves” conveys strength in perilous times. “And you can tell them to go FUCK themselves” demonstrates purpose, conviction, LEADERSHIP!!!

Are the hindquarters of Hillary2016 unaware of what is going on? Today a Russian plane approached an American Navy plane within 10 feet. As Trump spoke today about the military and security issues, The Sun newspaper reports that World War III is closer now than ever and that America and Great Britain are on the losing end of that potential cataclysm. This past weekend China snubbed Obama and humiliated him in front of all the world. The strong president of the Philippines, Duterte, called boob Barack Obama an S.O.B. or was it “son of a whore” and Obama “retaliated” by meeting sweetly with the Philippine president. And we’re supposed to freaking worry that Theodora has gone wild???

In 1992 George H.W. Bush tried the same Theodora-goes-wild tactics against Bill Clinton. At the time every garish rumor about Bill Clinton was known, as woman after woman blasted forth in what the Clinton 1992 campaign itself understood to be a “bimbo eruption” of Mount Helena proportions. Bill Clinton mounted many Helenas and there were plenty of other rumors about airports and cocaine and family and etc. etc. But it did not matter.

In 1992 Americans wanted change. George H.W. Bush led a successful war but America wanted change. Change, change, change. It was a “change” election. Americans did not care about Bill mounting Helenas. Americans wanted change. Bill Clinton won the election.

The election of 2016 is a change election too. This past summer, as Big Media pronounced TrumpPence2016 D.O.A., never to rise again, as strong Trump supporters went wobbly too, we fearlessly declared that the only fact that is permanent and matters this season is that this is a change election. It’s a change election.

One candidate is a muddled message mess turned into an Obama third term.

The other candidate explicitly makes the case that he is the candidate of change.

The Hillary2016 supposed “attack” ads against the candidate of change do not work to hurt Trump because this is a change election. The American people want change. The Hillary2016 ads reinforce Donald J. Trump’s message, not hurt it. Hillary2016’s ads help Trump.

Donald J. Trump is the candidate of change. That’s all you need to know in this post Labor Day sprint to the November election.


Shocking @RealDonaldTrump Immigration Speech Excerpts As #Hillary2016 Attacks

Shocking! Donald J. Trump’s 10 Points Immigration Speech has been analyzed and microscoped into pixels – but few noticed this shocking excerpt:

All Americans, not only in the states most heavily affected but in every place in this country, are rightly disturbed by the large numbers of illegal aliens entering our country. The jobs they hold might otherwise be held by citizens or legal immigrants. The public service they use impose burdens on our taxpayers. [snip] [We must begin by] …cracking down on illegal hiring, by barring welfare benefits to illegal aliens. [snip] We are a nation of immigrants. But we are also a nation of laws. It is wrong and ultimately self-defeating for a nation of immigrants to permit the kind of abuse of our immigration laws we have seen in recent years, and we must do more to stop it.

“Illegal aliens“! No welfare, no benefits! Shocking! Racist! Disgusting! um… hamina… umma… Never mind, this is an excerpt from a speech delivered by President Bill Clinton.

But, but, but, still… Donald J. Trump’s unabashed support for building a southern wall to divide us from Mexico… that is still surely racist and shocking and disgusting, right? Hillary Clinton 2016 is correct when she declares war on Trump by making her principles known – that we must build bridges, not barriers, that’s still correct right?

A “barrier”???? Hillary Clinton was in favor of building a barrier???!!!!??? But Hillary Clinton 2016 continues to declare over and over we shouldn’t build barriers. What???????????

No barriers???? But Hillary Clinton voted for building just such a barrier as Donald J. Trump proposes. If Donald J. Trump and those who support control of American borders and the end of illegal immigration are “racist” “disgusting” “Nazis” or whatever, then what about the rational statements Hillary Clinton we, Hillary Clinton 2008 supporters applauded? Is this video a doctored Donald Trump video or is that really Hillary Clinton?:

Is that Hillary Clinton??? Is that a doctored video??? Who is Hillary Clinton?

Hillary Clinton essentially said previously what Donald J. Trump said yesterday in his “Masterstroke” presidential appearance in Mexico and later in the day in his stunning 10 Points Immigration Speech, but Hillary Clinton calls Trump racist? What is going on?

We know what Donald J. Trump is saying – because we wrote about it before he said it – “Enforce The Law”. We’re confused about this Hillary confusion though. Is stopping illegal immigration and enforcing our laws racist or not racist? If so is Bill Clinton racist? Is Hillary Clinton racist? Why would racists call Donald Trump racist?


What is going on? Maybe you can tell us how to explain this? Maybe this September’s debate will answer the conundrum.