This election gets dull. It grows duller by the day. It was exciting. It was real exciting. But now we are in the mop up operation stage. So it is dull – unless you are the guy with the broom sweeping up after the parade went by.
Last week we saw shocking news. Few took notice. The few that noticed did not get the meaning. A late week innocuous bit of news meant to hide and not be noticed. We saw the tapestry move. It was a subtle ripple of the tapestry but the tapestry moved. The players hiding behind the tapestry were busy. Did you see it? Did you see the significance?
That subtle wave caused by frantic maneuvers behind the tapestry should have been noticed by Hillary2016. But they are so stupid at the Brooklyn headquarters a truck busting through a plate glass window into the middle of a restaurant smashing pots, pans, and dishes, would be missed by them.
On the Republican side the tapestry moved too. But on the Republican side you could hear Moe, Larry, and Curly pummel the tapestry, the cacophony of pots and pans clang, each of the stooges noisily fall over each other, so that if you did not see the wild flapping and shaking of the tapestry you could not miss the clanging cloppery of the clowns.
On the Republican side the tapestry moved with news from the GOP establishment via Mitt Romney. Mitt Romney won’t rule out accepting GOP nomination at contested convention. That’s not so much a tapestry move betraying the treacherous, busy plotting behind it, as it is a bunch of clowns playing at being clever. The corollary to this clown show is the new Draft Ryan, as in Paul Ryan, for President clown show.
So the last guys to lose the presidential election think they can win the nomination by not running but instead staging a coup at the GOP convention. It would work if they were up against a pushover who won’t fight. But they’re up against Donald J. Trump.
On Tuesday, Idaho, Hawaii, Michigan, and Mississippi hold elections. Neither Mitt Romney nor Paul Ryan are on the ballot. Again, as we wrote before the last set of elections, these elections are a prelude to the final battle on March 15. On the Ides of March, Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina, the Northern Mariana Islands, and Ohio, vote. Neither Mitt Romney nor Paul Ryan are on the ballot.
In just about every poll of elections on March 8 and March 15, Donald Trump is ahead. That’s as it always has been. Some questions have been raised after SuperTuesday about a weakening Trump lead. But what has happened is not a Trump weakening, but a collapse of Rubio. This past week and weekend we saw Rubio support move to Cruz but Trump’s numbers, as Nate Cohn noted, remained stable.
Still, Trump is taking a beating. In Florida most ads attack Trump. Today the Trump counterattack ad war begins.
For the record, we think the Trump ad sucks. It’s a run of the mill political ad. What would we suggest? Tie the Marco Rubio real estate deal to the type of real estate deal Barack Obama did with Antoin “Tony” Rezko. Marco Rubio did exactly what Barack Obama did. The only difference is that Barack Obama was the bigger crook getting bigger money from a bigger crook. How come no one is making the connection?
Rubio’s campaign is in collapse and that almost assures Trump of winning winner take all Florida. Rubio supporters declare his great Puerto Rico victory as a big help in Florida with its one million Puerto Ricans. But how many Puerto Ricans in Florida are Republicans and how many of that sliver will vote for Rubio? That type of wishin’ and hopin’ is all Rubio has left.
But enough Florida, the action now is Michigan and Mississippi and the other March 8 contests. Trump is ahead in Mississippi in the last poll taken there by 24 points. In Michigan, Trump remains on top with Rubio sinking to last. Rubio might not even make the 15% threshold to get any delegates at all.
Tomorrow, this dull election continues. We’ll soon see if Trump wins Michigan and/or Mississippi which will lead to victory in Florida and Ohio. If that victory happens Rubio and Kasich will be out, only hated Cruz will remain. Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan better get ready to strap on their burglar tools and steal the nomination.
As Mittens and Ryan go shopping for burglar suits, we suggest everyone go to bed and rest up for Tuesday night. If you have trouble sleeping, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders will participate in a Fox News town hall event tonight and that should make you slumber. We will not watch. We didn’t watch the debate on Sunday night either. These “debates” are just too dull.
These dum dem debates are dull because there is no real fight. Bernie Sanders pretends to punch and Hillary pretends to care. It is dull, dull, dull.
If Bernie Sanders ever decides to fight we will wake up. If Hillary decides to stop the pretenses we will watch. But these dum dem debates are dull and a bunch of phony.
The dum dem debates are dull because they are phony. If Hillary attacked Bernie Sanders and his philosophy of socialism and why that is bad on a philosophical and real world impact then we would watch. If Bernie Sanders would stop his little bitchy insinuations and just come out and say what he believes “Hillary Clinton is corrupt because she is a tool of crony capitalists and is a crony capitalist herself who exploits the working class and the middle class to enrich herself and her 1% friends” then we would wake up. That would be a real fight, not the phony pretend slaps we see.
The real fight is between doddering Hillary/Bernie and the ones behind the tapestry. Last week we saw the tapestry move.
We do not believe Hillary Clinton nor Bernie Sanders will be the nominee. We’ve said that for a long while now. We doubt anyone needs much explanation for why we doubt Bernie Sanders will ever get the nomination, so let’s ignore him. But Hillary Clinton? Last week evidence began to pour in. The first bit of evidence got attention:
(CNN)The Department of Justice has granted “immunity” to a former State Department employee who worked on Hillary Clinton’s private email server. Bryan Pagliano initially invoked his Fifth Amendment right against self-incrimination and would not testify. Of course, the Department of Justice, known to defense attorneys simply as the “government,” has many ways of getting people to talk.
The big question is whether there is a grand jury convened. The smart bet is yes. After all, the fact that there are immunity agreements logically means there’s a grand jury investigation in some district. The grand jury is typically the genesis of the government’s subpoena power. The next, bigger question, is whether anyone will be indicted.
The mere fact that the DOJ wants to talk to Pagliano does not mean anyone will be indicted. But if the DOJ is investigating criminal activity, they tend to find criminal activity.
In general, when the government wants to talk to someone, the person falls into one of three categories: target, subject, or witness. [snip]
Indeed, the government frequently knows more than the person they actually want to talk to. They are good at what they do; it’s no accident that the federal conviction rate is well above 90%. [snip]
While Pagliano is surely in an unenviable, nail-biting position, we can draw some inferences from recent events. Whether he had zero potential liability, or some liability, he’s probably not a “target.” Why? Because if he were, his attorney would probably not let him talk to the government, and the government would probably not give him immunity. Remember, the government is parsimonious with immunity deals. Another, less reliable inference may be drawn not about Pagliano, but others who are not Pagliano.
The person who often has to worry the most during this process is the person who hasn’t been approached at all by the government. That’s a chilling indicator that you may be the target.
This immunity deal was not decided by a minor government functionary. This decision went to the top. The decision was made behind a tapestry in our modern day Borgia Italy.
Obama says he’s not leaving D.C. next year
President Barack Obama and his family will continue calling Washington home after he departs the White House next year — at least for a little while. [snip]
“We’re going to have to stay a couple of years in D.C. probably so Sasha can finish,” he said. “Transferring someone in the middle of high school? Tough.”
If you believe that Barack and Michelle Obama are staying in Washington, D.C. because of school you need to go back to the first grade and get your I.Q. tested.
This year, brokered, counter-revolutionary, conventions are in fashion. Romney declares himself the tapestry vox populi and Barack Obama says he won’t go back to the Rezko house because of his great concern for his daughters which he did not have when he moved them to Washington. As if.
The tapestry moves. The plotters are busy. Corruption is everywhere.