Our pre-debate article once again was right on target. The GOP debate was all about tactics. Ted Cruz, the man who sells himself as the big conservative dog, tactically allied himself with illegal immigration amnesty shill and toy poodle Marco Rubio, to bark at Donald Trump. [Check out this picture.] As we suspected in our pre-debate article, the GOP debate was a big misfire for Ted Cruz.
The take down Trump tactics we had earlier predicted came in one by one. The audience was stacked with a Bush boo crowd. Mitt Romney’s coordinated attack with Rubio came in just as predicted and Rubio answered exactly as we said he would by declaring he would release his taxes almost immediately. Also as easily predictable, Trump counterattacked. As predicted, desperate Cruz and Rubio played little boy “king of the hill” games. But as we wondered before the debate, could any of these tactical decisions help this late in the game, or even backfire? Let’s look at the tactics and see how they worked post debate as we predicted pre-debate.
In order to take down Trump, debate performances against Trump have to be followed with electoral success results by the opposition candidates. But Donald J. Trump is poised for victory in many states on Super Tuesday, with the sole exception being Texas. Does anyone think Donald Trump will lose anything other than maybe Texas, even after the Texas debate? Well, during the debate the Stop Trump idiots went full idiot. Here’s an example from someone who usually knows better but went full stupid as the dogs yapped and chased the train:
What Mario just did to the Donald is illegal in 28 states. I have to give it to the Robot: When Robots go berserk, they can do a tremendous amount of damage, and Rubio the Robot just went into Terminator mode.
He had people laughing at Trump. [snip]
Of course, it’s pretty obvious now that Cruz and Rubio agreed beforehand to double-team Trump. [snip]
The Champ had a glass jaw all along. The key, it turns out, was that you just couldn’t have one guy punching at it. [snip]
Further Thoughts: Oh boy trump is doing terribly, and I didn’t want to see him do terribly. I kinda like Trump, in a weird way.
But he is getting destroyed, and he just wasn’t prepared for it. (Being unprepared is kind of His Thing.)
This is a gamechanger.
The whole race is now reset.
That type of “analysis” is what comes from not thinking of what is going to happen beforehand, lack simple campaign mechanical knowledge, be unaware there are targeted goals, ignore whether the targeted goals have been achieved, or liquor. After the nonsense above which we have mercifully edited to not include even more embarrassing “analysis” Emily/Ace of Spades sobered up and said “never mind”:
Update: Drew convinced me in the podcast I was way overstating things with the claims that the “race is reset.” Eh, at the moment, it seemed like a big deal.
I still think it’s a big deal, but Trump’s leads in 10 of the 11 Super Tuesday states it’s hard to imagine him losing anywhere.
My dream scenario is this: Trump finally starts going after Rubio, on immigration and amnesty, badly hurts Rubio (as Cruz was badly hurt the last couple of weeks), but Trump himself is also hurt by this performance, and My Man Ted sneaks up in the polls.
The stupidity of the “dream scenario” and the tactical decisions finally made by Cruz and Rubio are demonstrated with great clarity by simply looking at the calendar. Yes, try looking at the calendar before you write stupid stuff or dream dreams of conquest.
The political calendar shows that the biggest opportunity to Stop Trump, a very small opportunity which adds up to zero, is for Ted Cruz to at least win in Texas on SuperTuesday and prevent Donald Trump from a complete and total sweep of the SuperTuesday states (which we remind you once were the Cruz supposed path to victory). In order to Stop Trump, Ted Cruz needs to win with more than 50% of the vote and make Texas a winner take all result then have Rubio beat a staggering Trump in Florida two weeks later.
At a minimum Cruz needs to win Texas, preferably in a blow out win of more than ten points. Less than a 50% victory and Trump gets to share in the big Texas delegate distribution and continue to pile more chips into his win bag. To make this very very clear to the drunk or the plain idiotic to even have a chance to Stop Trump, the results of the Texas debate had to be a bolstering of Cruz so that he could win a ten point or more victory in Texas on SuperTuesday. Yeah, to have a chance to Stop Trump, it was necessary for Ted Cruz to emerge as the victor of the Texas debate. Instead, the Stop Trump hero of the day is Marco Rubio. Rubio is once again the “surge” candidate against Trump that will once again go nowhere.
Marco Rubio does not have a chance of winning any election until March 15, at best. Rubio cannot afford a Trump win in Texas and complete sweep of SuperTuesday elections. A bolstered SuperTuesday SuperStrongTrump means the race is over and Rubio cannot win Florida or anywhere. The latest polls have Rubio well behind Trump in Florida as they have for months (Trump 44% to Rubio 25%; head to head Trump 52% – Rubio 38%). So the notion that Rubio is the big winner from the Texas debate for the Stop Trump goofballs, makes a mockery of them. Think of it this way: America needs a big victory against ISIS and therefore attacks Guatemala – Guatemala is quickly overrun and America gets a big victory – but has ISIS been hurt at all? No.
By the end of the debate in Texas, Ted Cruz had almost disappeared. It was a yapping Rubio that got the headlines. How does this Stop Trump?
Hey, Stop Trump fellas, you do realize that last night was a big win for Trump right?
Last night Donald J. Trump continued to soar towards his targets, bomb bays full, ready to annihilate. What did the other candidates accomplish?
While Donald J. Trump continued to soar towards his targets on SuperTuesday and the general election, the other candidates moved the deck chairs on the poop deck. Trump took the bag of casino chips while the other candidates reshuffled the deck of cards.
Consider, we do think Kasich did well last night. Kasich did not sound like a total loon as he karate chops his way through debates. Illegal immigration amnesty shill Marco Rubio maybe got Kasich some votes but not enough to win anywhere. Some cards might have been reshuffled to Kasich, maybe some to Rubio, but TRUMP HOLDS THE TRUMP CARD. After the debate, John Kasich on CNN declared that he thought Trump would win all the SuperTuesday elections.
Megyn Kelly and most of Big Media swooned over Ruby-o’s performance. What passes for the conservative movement sang songs of love for Cruz. The problem for the Stop Trump people is that Trump lost zero support. If anything, Trump solidified his support, as firewalls continued to burn:
The “southern firewall” Ted Cruz’s presidential campaign has been building for months appears to be crumbling under the weight of Donald Trump’s staying power and Marco Rubio’s resurgence.
The Cruz campaign told Yellowhammer Wednesday night they are pulling out of the Presidential Forum set to be held at Samford University in Birmingham on Saturday, and will not be holding any other events in Alabama ahead of election day. Senator Marco Rubio’s campaign, however, reiterated their commitment to the event.
The move is one of the most open indicators to date that Cruz has failed to pick up steam in the Bible Belt South, once believed to be his geographic stronghold and his most likely path to the nomination.
It was a magnificent show. And Trump was without doubt the star of the show. Like a young lion king Trump romped while his Rubio jester joked, and envious courtier Cruz jealously plotted and denounced the heavens for making him a humpback, not the one with the crown.
What did we see last night? We saw two yapping dogs barking at the Trump plane as it soared overhead, bomb bays full, ready to silence the yapping dogs.