Update: Some fun to take note of as we approach the supercalifragilisticexpialidocious South Carolina primary on Saturday. You do know that South Carolina is winner-take-all right? Trump will emerge from South Carolina with a huge chunk of delegate change.
Saturday might also be the last payday for Jeb Bush staff. Reports are that Jeb’s coffers are low energy. The SuperPac has run out of energy too with about $15 million left. Even Bob Dole sees the end and has set Jeb adrift.
We’re exercising our wits and husbanding our bile for Saturday’s post. By then we should be in full snark/sneer mode as the election returns come in.
Donald J. Trump is poised to win the GOP nomination on Saturday if he wins South Carolina despite what many thought was his, for sure this time, “it’s over for Trump” moment. The polls all show Trump tops, so this Saturday might be the day Trump unofficially becomes the GOP nominee.
News from The Associated Press
ABOARD THE PAPAL PLANE (AP) — Pope Francis said Thursday that Donald Trump is “not Christian” if he intends to build a wall along the U.S.-Mexican border. Trump immediately fired back, saying it is disgraceful for a religious leader to question a person’s faith.
Trump, a leading U.S. Republican presidential candidate, has promised to build a wall along the Mexican border from Texas to California and expel 11 million people who are in the country illegally if elected president. The Pope’s comments en route home from Mexico came hours after he prayed at the Mexico-U.S. border for people who died trying to reach the United States.
“A person who thinks only about building walls, wherever they may be, and not building bridges, is not Christian,” Francis said. “This is not in the Gospel.”
Not having heard Trump’s border plans independently, Francis said he’d “give him the benefit of the doubt.” But he added: “I’d just say that this man is not Christian if he said it this way.”
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, another Republican presidential contender, has also supported building a border wall, and joked that he will make Trump pay for it.
Trump, a Presbyterian, last week criticized Francis’ plans to pray at the border. He said the move was ill-informed and showed Francis to be a political figure being exploited by the Mexican government.
“I don’t think he understands the danger of the open border that we have with Mexico,” Trump said in an interview with Fox News. “I think Mexico got him to do it because they want to keep the border just the way it is. They’re making a fortune, and we’re losing.”
Donald J. Trump has taken on the political establishment, both political parties, Big Media, the cultural left and the cultural right, the institutions of great wealth and power, anyone and everyone. Now, it’s the Pope who Trump fearlessly, politely, responds to:
If and when the Vatican is attacked by ISIS, which as everyone knows is ISIS’s ultimate trophy, I can promise you that the Pope would have only wished and prayed that Donald Trump would have been President because this would not have happened. ISIS would have been eradicated unlike what is happening now with our all talk, no action politicians.
The Mexican government and its leadership has made many disparaging remarks about me to the Pope, because they want to continue to rip off the United States, both on trade and at the border, and they understand I am totally wise to them. The Pope only heard one side of the story – he didn’t see the crime, the drug trafficking and the negative economic impact the current policies have on the United States. He doesn’t see how Mexican leadership is outsmarting President Obama and our leadership in every aspect of negotiation.
For a religious leader to question a person’s faith is disgraceful. I am proud to be a Christian and as President I will not allow Christianity to be consistently attacked and weakened, unlike what is happening now, with our current President. No leader, especially a religious leader, should have the right to question another man’s religion or faith. They are using the Pope as a pawn and they should be ashamed of themselves for doing so, especially when so many lives are involved and when illegal immigration is so rampant.
It’s Trump and Trump supporters against the world. And it looks like Trump and his supporters will win.
As we explained, if Trump can win South Carolina after his attacks against the very popular in SC George W. Bush, and Trump’s denunciations against the Iraq War, in the state with the highest veteran population, then Trump is unstoppable.
The polls today? CBS:
CBS News poll: Donald Trump maintains commanding lead over Republican field
Donald Trump (35 percent) continues to hold a commanding lead over the rest of the field, with a 17 point lead over his closest rival, Texas Senator Ted Cruz (18 percent). John Kasich (11 percent) has now risen to a virtual third-place tie with Marco Rubio (12 percent). Trump leads among nearly every demographic group.
More than half of Republican voters say they may still change their minds about who to support, but two thirds of Trump voters say their minds are made up.
Seven in 10 Republican primary voters want a candidate who will shake up the system, and their top choice for the nomination is Donald Trump. Just one in four want someone who will work within the system.
Donald Trump is also seen as most likely to get things done in Washington, far outpacing his rivals on this measure.
The Fox News poll:
Trump captures 32 percent among South Carolina likely Republican primary voters. Ted Cruz gets 19 percent to Marco Rubio’s 15 percent. These are the only three candidates earning double-digit support. [snip]
The poll, released Thursday, was conducted Monday through Wednesday evenings. Many political observers felt the Republican faithful might abandon the front-runner after the rowdy February 13 GOP debate in Greenville, where Trump said President George W. Bush’s administration lied to push the U.S. into the Iraq war and Planned Parenthood “does wonderful things” for women’s health.
Even so, the performance didn’t hurt Trump with his backers. Support for Trump is mostly unchanged since early December when he received 35 percent.
So, um, it’s over for Trump?
The results for Hillary2016 are not quite as bright:
Allies of Hillary Clinton are growing nervous as the Democratic presidential race with Bernie Sanders tightens ahead of contests in Nevada and South Carolina.
A new CNN/ORC poll released Wednesday found Clinton with a 1-point lead in Nevada, which hosts its caucuses on Saturday. That’s a huge change from the 23-point lead Clinton enjoyed in a late December poll by Gravis.
In South Carolina, which hosts its primary election on Feb. 27, Clinton has a more comfortable 18-point lead according to a CNN/ORC poll. But even that edge has narrowed since Sanders crushed her in New Hampshire’s primary last week. [snip]
“I don’t get it. I don’t think anyone expected this race to look like this,” said one former Clinton aide who maintains ties with the campaign. “A big loss in New Hampshire, basically a tie going into Nevada. You have to ask yourself, ‘What’s next?’ ”
Team Clinton maintains confidence that its lead in South Carolina will hold, but the potential loss in Nevada has put people on edge about a “domino effect” in which states could fall one by one to Sanders as he gains momentum.
“It’s hard to feel confident about South Carolina if you lose Nevada,” the former aide said. [snip]
Internally, both Hillary and former President Bill Clinton have voiced their displeasure with various aspects of the campaign, particularly on messaging and organizing, according to sources. Those involved with the campaign increasingly believe a staff reshuffling will take place, especially if Clinton loses in Nevada.
“The shit will hit the fan,” one longtime friend of the Clintons predicted. “No doubt about it.”
That idiot “Clinton aide” who said “I don’t think anyone expected this race to look like this” should read what we have written. This is precisely what we predicted. The kook left would solidify against Hillary and that’s why Hillary had to tie herself to a strategy that would make her the candidate of change with relentless attacks against Barack Obama, not the stupidity of making herself the Obama third term. Follow our advice precisely to the letter Hillary, or die. It’s that simple.
Hillary Clinton and Hillary2016 don’t follow our advice, so, they will die:
AFL-CIO Delays Making Endorsement In Democratic Presidential Primary
In a win for Bernie Sanders, the AFL-CIO is delaying making it’s endorsement in the surprisingly close Democratic presidential primary. [snip]
“Following recent discussion at the AFL-CIO’s Executive Committee meeting and subsequent conversations with many of you, I have concluded that there is broad consensus for the AFL-CIO to remain neutral in the presidential primaries for the time being and refrain from endorsing any candidate at this moment,” Trumka said in the email.
If Donald Trump wins South Carolina and Hillary Clinton loses Nevada this Saturday – it really is all over for Trump. Call him President Trump.