Update: Debate night is here. The Star Spangled Banner has already been mangled. Can’t Republicans get someone who can sing at these things?
Online the debate can be seen HERE.
Our prediction is that the big loser tonight is Marco Rubio and the big winner, again, is Donald J. Trump.
Why Marco Rubio as the big loser? Because Marco is the best talker in the debates and because Marco is perceived as the roadblock to so many of the other losers. So it will be loser on loser violence. In past weeks Chris Christie attacked Rubio. Jeb Bush attacked Rubio. Ted Cruz attacked Rubio. And Rubio attacked back. Loser on loser violence.
A free-fire zone for losers.
Marco Rubio was a golden boy. By all logic Rubio should have been the 2012 VP pick for Mittens Romney. But Mittens decided to go with a Great Lakes play and chose Paul Ryan instead. After this snub Marco decided to ditch his Tea Party allies and power bottom on the Chamber of Commerce schlong. It’s been ugly ever since for Marco. Not only did Rubio stab his allies in the back, but then he failed his new masters in their illegal immigration amnesty/lower wages game.
On the very day Marco Rubio announced his candidacy, we provided the answer to why Marco Rubio will never get the GOP nomination:
What is Rubio’s problem?
Marco Rubio’s problem is not his failed and foolish support for what was termed “comprehensive immigration reform” which Republican/conservative movement leaders rightly claimed was illegal immigration amnesty.
Marco Rubio’s problem is that he deployed all his talents and abilities, all his remarkable capacities, all his promise and rhetorical skills – to sell a policy which his supporters correctly exposed as a monumental betrayal. If Marco Rubio with all his remarkable talents could do this to his supporters, supporters who made him a senator even as he ran against a Republican governor, then what other damage can Rubio do in the future to his Republican/conservative allies?
Rubio now says he is against what he was for. Rubio wanted to ingratiate himself with Big Business Chamber of Commerce types who want illegal immigration amnesty in order to keep working class wages down. All Rubio did was help Barack Obama.
A weather-vane willing to sell out his temporary friends for new friends, temporarily. Every time Rubio makes a great point, or a rhetorically brilliant riposte, what many hear is a very talented liar emitting very glib sounds – signifying nothing – but treachery.
With all that ammunition provided by Marco Rubio’s record, we suspect a lot of that ammunition will come raining down on Marco. We’ll only note in passing the hypocrisy of Jeb Bush attacking Rubio on illegal immigration. Most of the attacks are hypocritical and phony such as Christie and Rubio on absence records, etc. Mendacity in politics. Imagine that.
The little loser fights aside, what many in the GOP establishment and in Big Media are hoping for though, is a vicious battle tonight between Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. It might happen, but Trump has sufficient ammunition to make Cruz glow in the dark.
Yesterday, the New York Times published the results of a campaign’s opposition research (we won’t say it was the Jeb Bush campaign but they clearly have the best conventional opposition research team around, although Marco Rubio’s dirty tricks squad is good at old style research too and has more of a motive to dump dirt on Cruz). The news is that (a) Ted Cruz did not disclose a loan on his FEC reports; (b) said loan from investment bank Goldman Sachs; (c) which is a New York City business hated by Republican voters; (d) and from whom the formidable Mrs. Cruz gets her employment checks. All of the above might have legal consequences or it may not – but it sure as hell has political schlongery power especially when put up the day before a big debate.
Donald J. Trump, bless his good heart, has also been doing all he can to help his good friend Ted Cruz become aware of the great danger if it turns out the Senator from Texas has a “natural born citizen” eligibility for the presidency problem. Trump’s too astonishing attempts to help his very good friend Ted caused umbrage to ooze from Cruz headquarters.
Ted Cruz did not take kindly to Donald Trump’s good hearted efforts to save Cruz. Cruz suspected that Trump’s motives were to help himself and not Cruz. Imagine that!
This sweet assistance from Trump was rewarded with Ted Cruz poll numbers in Iowa suffering and inspired Ted Cruz to denounce Trump’s “New York values”. The New York Times story (how’s that for New York values?) pretty much made mush of the Goldman Sachs’ values of Ted Cruz and his attack. Also, Trump, as he did with the “Donald Trump whines” narrative (‘yup, I whine and I whine until I win’), took the Cruz counterattack and counterattacked:
Donald Trump reacted to criticism from Republican presidential primary challenger Cruz Wednesday, saying that he equates “New York values” to “energy” that helped the city to persevere after the September 11th attacks.
“One thing it means is energy. You know, when the World Trade Center got hit, we rebuilt that World Trade Center and we got through and very few places in this world could have gotten through what we went through. I mean, I was so proud of New York, the World Trade Center, these two massive, 110 story buildings come down, thousands of people killed. I’ve never seen anything like it in my life. And immediately the rebuilding started,” Trump told conservative Radio host Howie Carr. [snip]
When Trump was asked by Carr if the “values” attack by Cruz was an effort to appeal to Iowa Evangelicals and value voters, Trump said, “I don’t know what he’s doing. I mean honestly he’s very nervous. He’s, ya know, very frightened by what’s happening I guess.” Trump then turned the discussion back onto Cruz by noting the discrepancy over his Canadian citizenship. “You gotta clear it up,” Trump said.
That’s an amazing response from Trump. The usual political response would not have been a defense of New York “values” but instead an “apple pie, flag, mother” defense. Where Cruz takes this foolish attack we cannot surmise but we would strongly suggest to the Ted Cruz campaign that this attack not be taken to tonight’s debate. Trump will eat him alive if he tries this line of attack. A Republican/conservative Trump hater sees the danger for Cruz – Trump hits back at Cruz: Anyone who wants to knock “New York values” needs to go through me:
If Trump is asked about this tonight, and he probably will be, he could use it to launch a broad attack on Cruz. The rap on Cruz, after all, is that his appeal is too narrow to win a general election. Democrats in Congress hate him; centrist Republicans in Congress really hate him. He could be elected king of red-state America but he’s dead on arrival in blue and purple states, or so the theory goes. [snip]
To which Trump could say: How do you expect to win in traditionally blue areas when you can’t resist insulting the people who live there? It’s Trump, not Cruz, who’s built a coalition that crosses party lines. It’s Trump, a New Yorker born and raised, who leads in Republican polls from coast to coast because he understands the anxieties of the white working class better than Cruz, the supposed hero of flyover country, does. [snip]
That’s Trump’s whole shtick distilled to a few sentences — as a wheeler-dealer in New York City, he’s scrapped with every financial, political, and media tough guy there is and he’s beaten them all. He’s battle-tested in a way Cruz could never be. The 9/11 line he uses in the clip is good too, of course, although he could go further if he wants. Another “New York value” is racial and religious diversity; Trump’s alt-right fans won’t like to hear him mention that, but they’ve been willing to ignore all of the other times he’s said “I love Mexicans” or “I love the blacks” on the trail. The media would go batsh*t if Donald Trump gave conservative ogre Ted Cruz a dressing down on national television for being insufficiently respectful of multiculturalism, especially if he praised their home base of NYC in doing so.
Cruz could reply that he has Texas values. Trump would punch back “Canadian values”. Result: a severe schlonging.
Our advice to Ted Cruz would be to unctuously and ostentatiously thank Trump for his all-too-kind concerns, not mention how Trump has profited in Iowa to the expense of Cruz, and move on to an attack on Rubio, Bush, anyone else but Trump.
Of course, our advice to Ted is rather stinky and not very good.
We do believe that if Donald Trump wins Iowa the nomination fight is over. Trump wins Iowa then he certainly wins New Hampshire too. Which means most of the presidential field is schlonged out. If Trump wins Iowa and New Hampshire he probably wins Nevada and South Carolina too. Which means whoever is left gets schlonged out of the race. And if Trump wins all the early states, then he probably wins the Super Tuesday states and every candidate remaining gets schlonged out.
The schlonging begins tonight. 9:00 ET. There will be a discussion of Obama’s many failures and of many issues too – but mostly schlonging.