Iowa Caucus Weather Report: Cloudy With A Chance Of Trumpnado

Update: The final Selzer Iowa poll before the caucus says… Trumpnado! Trump 28, Cruz 23, Rubio 15, Carson 10. This is the gold standard poll and the big one before Monday. If these numbers hold up Donald J. Trump has defeated Fox News and all Big Media will take note. Big Media is the enemy.

Clinton 45, Sanders 43, O’Malley 3. Within the margin of error.

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Our analysis from years and months ago is now conventional wisdom.

Hillary Clinton’s 2016 campaign is in great trouble because she is not the candidate of CHANGE. Instead of attacking Obama’s horrid record of non-leadership and bad public policy achieved via unconstitutional means (anyone remember when Obama ran on the DailyKooks platform against the “Unitary Executive” and Hillary promised to roll back Bush’s executive orders and fight against the “unitary executive”?) Hillary hugs the creep.

Barack Obama’s terrible occupation of the White House has destroyed the Democratic Party at the local, state, and national level too, but you won’t hear a peep of noise about any of that from Hillary Clinton. Hillary Clinton’s campaign is in collapse because she wants to be the Obama Third Term, not a breath of fresh air and CHANGE.

As to Donald J. Trump, while even the most rabid pro-Donald Trump websites, today, sing his praises, we were the only website that understood the Trump phenomenon to come from the very first. Indeed, our 2012 articles on Trump have been amplified and vindicated. On the day Donald Trump announced, we knew he was a force not to be sneered at. We’ve been proven right. Or should we say we will be proven right? On Monday. In Iowa.

Before every debate we declared Trump the winner. It wasn’t cheesy propaganda, or wishful thinking, on our part. It’s that we understood the strategic aims of the campaign and we saw that Trump prepped the landscape – like the battleship Iowa and her great guns blasting the enemy shores.



Donald Trump does not do subtle. When those 16 inch guns focus, they blast away, as Fox News has learned. Political campaigns are military campaigns by other means. Donald Trump understands that, losers don’t.

Donald Trump blasts away in clear English. There is no subtlety, it is clear, unabashed, English. Trump communicates. Some say “I wish Trump would say things differently, temper his language”. Some say “We wish the USS Iowa would shoot daisies.”

Donald J. Trump communicates a vision. Trump has a “Make America Great Again” vision. Trump communicates that vision in clear, strong, unabashed English. Ask yourself, what is the vision, the slogan of all the other candidates? Don’t cheat by researching the question.

That’s a game we play. We try to remember the campaign slogan of every campaign without researching the answer.

To this day we know the Trump campaign slogan “Make America Great Again”. We know the Jeb Bush SuperPac is called “Right to Rise”. We are almost sure that Rubio’s slogan is something along the lines of “a new generation of leadership”. But Hillary’s slogan? Sanders’ slogan? Bush’s, Cruz’s, Christie, Kasich, Paul, Carson, does anyone know the most fundamental answer to the question of what is their campaign slogan? That’s a clue.

When the USS Iowa appeared offshore, the enemy knew what the message was. When Trump appears, the American public thinks “Make America Great Again“. And therein arises a Trumpnado.

Donald J. Trump, Trumpnado, has the most far left kook union leadership worried. The New York Times follows our lead from months ago and today reports on Trumpnado season in the working class:

Labor Leaders Fear Trump May Draw Large Numbers of Union Voters

WASHINGTON — Of all the voters who might be expected to resist the charms of Donald J. Trump, the two million members of the Service Employees International Union would most likely be near the top of the list.

The union, which endorsed Hillary Clinton in November, is widely regarded as one of the more progressive in the labor movement. It skews female and racially diverse — roughly the opposite of a Trump rally, in other words.

But the union’s president, Mary Kay Henry, acknowledged that Mr. Trump holds appeal even for some of her members. “There is deep economic anxiety among our members and the people we’re trying to organize that I believe Donald Trump’s message is tapping into,” Ms. Henry said.

In expressing her concern, Ms. Henry reflected a different form of anxiety that is weighing on some union leaders and Democratic operatives: their fear that Mr. Trump, if not effectively countered, may draw an unusually large number of union voters in a possible general election matchup. This could, in turn, bolster Republicans in swing states like Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, all of which President Obama won twice.

The source of the attraction to Mr. Trump, say union members and leaders, is manifold: the candidate’s unapologetically populist positions on certain economic issues, particularly trade; a frustration with the impotence of conventional politicians; and above all, a sense that he rejects the norms of Washington discourse.

“They feel he’s the one guy who’s saying what’s on people’s minds,” Thomas Hanify, the president of the Indiana state firefighters union, said of his rank and file.”

Years ago we wrote that the labor union movement had abandoned the interests of the working class. Illegal immigration and the consequent low wage societies were the most obvious labor union leadership treachery against those that pay the bills. Union members have noticed, and now Big Labor bosses are worried. The Obama Dimocrat Party finally sees the oncoming revolution and is afraid.

Why do union members eye Trump with favor? Is it the economy? The U.S. economy’s growth slowed sharply in the final three months of 2015 to a 0.7 percent annual rate. Consumers slowed spending, businesses cut back on investment and global problems trimmed exports. That’s during the Christmas season with lots of warm weather for shoppers.

At this point, days before Iowa voters imitate the namesake battleship, the Obama Dimocrat Party is of little consequence. The battle is for the future. The battle is whether the political class on the GOP side can be destroyed. Donald Trump is the USS Iowa blasting at the ruins of the corruption which is the Republican Party.

David Frum suggests the Republican Party establishment, not retreat, but surrender:

Maybe the Republican Establishment Can’t Have It All

Given their failure to take down Donald Trump, is it time for GOP elites to let go of some cherished inward-facing policy priorities? [snip]

Trump is surely an even more vulnerable target than Gingrich, right?

But Donald Trump has come under repeated attack. But Donald Trump has come under repeated attack. Here’s an ad from the Club for Growth’s million-dollar anti-Trump campaign back in September. Here’s Rand Paul in August. Here’s a pair of mocking ads from Jeb Bush’s campaign in September and October. Here’s a savage ad from the Kasich campaign in November. Everybody’s been talking about the National Review special issue in January denouncing Trump. The Miss America contestant from Alabama made many of the same points when she was interviewed in the pageant in the fall of 2015.

The attacks have been fired. They failed. [snip]

For a very long time, the voting base of the Republican Party has been signaling desperate economic and cultural distress. [snip]

Donald Trump’s response to this dilemma is protectionism, immigration restriction, and a big helping of his own often-claimed superhuman toughness and competence. It’s maybe not a very adequate answer, but it’s an answer. What’s Marco Rubio’s answer? What’s Jeb Bush’s? What’s Chris Christie’s? [snip]

The Republican Party in 2016 presents a contrasting spectacle: a party so powerfully committed to ideas that it can no longer recognize that those ideas have ceased to resonate beyond its own shrinking coteries of activists and intellectuals. Party elites have been broadcasting for months that Donald Trump is not a consistent conservative—and it has not made any difference at all. Balked and baffled, they’ve convinced themselves that the secret is to say it louder. [snip]

Or maybe it’s time for the party’s elites to let go of some of their cherished inward-facing policy priorities, as the boy released some of the nuts from his grasp. Instead, they might try actually addressing the fears and anxieties of the American middle class: jobs, wages, retirement security. Negative advertising has been aired without success. Perhaps a positive program would do better? Before it’s too late?

It’s too late. The USS Trump is offshore, 16 inch guns trained on the GOP establishment. On Monday a combined Trump bombardment this weekend and the people with pitchforks.

For a long while now we have been writing that Donald Trump was the nominee. Trump was unstoppable we wrote before Labor Day 2015, during the endless “Summer of Trump”. Now, the conventional wisdom catches up:

Trump May Be Unstoppable If He Wins Iowa

“A wide range of senior Republicans told Politico that if Trump wins Iowa, he’ll more than likely be the nominee. One factor they repeatedly pointed to: An Iowa victory over Cruz would validate opinion polls showing him in command of the race. The Trump phenomenon would officially become a reality.”

Said a top official of a rival GOP campaign: “If Donald Trump wins Iowa, I think he has won—period. Ted Cruz is supposed to win Iowa. If Trump wins, he’ll be on a trajectory to come out of the SEC primaries [March 1] with close to triple the delegates of anyone else.”

It’s easy to write that now. Not so easy when we wrote it.

Speaking of liars and cowards, Nate Silver. Silver is the “numbers guru” who used to write for the DailyKooks website and trash us. Silver, in his subsequent books and writings never disclosed he got campaign data from Obama in 2008. Silver lied his way to a top column at the New York Times and now has his own website. For months Silver gave Trump single digit (2%) chances to get the nomination. Unlike our on target analysis, Silver did not think Trump would win Iowa, let alone the nomination. Now, Nate Silver is backtracking.

Nate Silver, like many pollsters are running away from their lies now that Iowa votes in a few days. Silver and his lying friends are at this late hour, after their lies and stupid “analysis” have failed, busy rewriting. Today, Nate Silver tweeted a picture with the caption: “Just hanging out by the White House.” The picture is of Trump Tower.

It’s a big state but the picture from Iowa is clear today:

Clinton is spending the day crisscrossing Iowa to shore up up a shrinking lead over liberal favorite Bernie Sanders, at the same time her would-be Republican opponent, Ted Cruz, is working to engineer a last-minute upset over a rising Donald Trump.

Donald Trump this entire weekend continues to bombard Iowa with rally after rally with those who want to Make America Great Again. A Trumpnado is coming.

If Donald Trump wins Iowa and Hillary Clinton loses Iowa, it is instant President Trump.

The political and Big Media establishment centered in Washington D.C. and New York City better take shelter. A Trumpnado is coming – not to Iowa but from Iowa.

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Sista Souljah Moment: @RealDonaldTrump Destroys Fox News #GOPDebate

Tonight is an amazing night of time travel. Open thread: The “Where’s Donald?” debate.

First, tonight we did something we have not done in years: watch CNN. We already saw the CNN coverage of the Trump event for Veterans. What we saw was hundreds, maybe thousands, of young people. We know the event is at Drake University, but still, lots and lots of young people for Trump.

Second, America experiences alternate history reality. A debate without Donald Trump! Those fiction history novels: Hitler wins World War II, or JFK does not get assassinated, or Lincoln survives and therefore Reconstruction and the rest of the nation’s history is altered, or even that George Washington and the Declaration of Independence lose and Britain wins. Well tonight we experience a political campaign without Donald Trump:

The lies told by the entire political class have sheepishly been accepted by a majority of the population. But then Donald Trump spoke up with his booming voice and it was almost like in a movie when the gulled victim wakes up and confronts the evildoers.

It’s an old story exemplified into cliche. It’s the “Emperor’s New Clothes” when all is fine until a little boy shatters the world by telling the obvious truth. That’s what Donald Trump has done. Trump told the truth and nothing will ever be the same ever again.

Remember when Chris Christie was considered a tough talking truth teller? Compared to the other bland candidates Christie stood out. But compared to Trump the once considered brash Christie is bland as beige knickers. The world changed.

Remember when Rand Paul was considered the most daring of the GOP candidates? Remember when Jeb Bush was considered the financial juggernaut? Remember when Cruz was considered the most conservative? Remember when Walker was considered the effective fighter? Remember when Rubio was considered the future? Remember when? It all changed.

When someone or something is so different, so new, the past itself is changed. The past is perceived differently. After Picasso, art was different. It was the Shock of the New. After Wagner, opera is different. After talkies, cinema is changed. After Einstein, science and our perception of reality is changed.

After Trump, all is changed.

Third, Sista Soulja. Donald J. Trump tonight takes on Fox News in an epic battle against one of the biggest Big Media outlets ever. If Donald J. Trump wins Iowa on Monday, Fox News will no longer be the dog that bites. If Donald J. Trump wins on Monday Donald Trump will be the big dog and Fox News will be the tail he wags.

It’s not just Fox News. The entire corrupt infrastructure of modern day Big Media needs to be leashed and beaten. A Donald J. Trump victory in Iowa will be a warning to all Big Media that Big Media no longer will control our political conversation without a fight.

Big Media is the enemy. Politically correct speech is the enemy. Free speech, offensive speech, is the antidote to Big Media. Donald Trump provides the antidote.

Donald J. Trump deserves praise. Like Bill Clinton when he took on Sista Souljah Trump is in a fight against what many presumed to be his friends. It’s always harder to tell a friend when they are wrong than to tell an enemy they are wrong.

Donald Trump fights Fox News tonight:

Donald Trump will widen a rupture between his supporters and the Republican Party establishment on Thursday when he boycotts a presidential debate in a snub to Fox News only days before the 2016 election season starts in earnest.

The billionaire front-runner for the Republican nomination will host his own event in Iowa during the Fox News debate, likely damaging prime time TV ratings of the most powerful media force in Republican politics. [snip]

It is a risky move which could lose him votes at Monday’s Iowa caucuses, the first nominating contest in the Nov. 8 presidential election.

It’s a daring move for Trump. But it demonstrates the leader he is and will be.

Trump is top of the polls. Trump has fought the left, the right, the political establishment of the left and the right, and the most destructive beast of all, Big Media. Thus far Trump has won. But the first big official battle is on Monday.

At this crucial moment Trump has done what we think is the smart thing to do. We always thought Trump should boycott the Fox News debate since that first Fox News debate. We argued the same for Hillary Clinton in 2008 against MSNBC. But Hillary Clinton continued to appear on MSNBC and NBC to be battered, not by that loser Barack Obama, but by Tim Russert and the other NBC thugs.

Donald Trump is doing what all political candidates should do: fight Big Media. Big Media is not interested in the job of fair and balanced news necessary to an informed electorate. Big Media is interested in Big Media. We call them the Big Media Party going as far back as 2007.

Fox News will lose tonight. Fox News laid a trap for Donald Trump. The trap included a young Muslim woman and a young illegal immigrant, hungry to slash and bleed Donald Trump. Now Trump won’t be there.

Trump has denied Fox News their victim. Fox News will still try to get the other non-entity candidates to attack Trump. But our transcript of the debate, imaginary as it is, transcribes the spirit of what Fox News wanted versus what it will get.

Donald Trump will raise money for veterans tonight as well as wage war against Big Media and especially Fox News.

Fox News will have it’s debate on it’s cable channel. Donald Trump will provide many Big Media outlets the profitable counter-programming of a rally for veterans. Donald Trump gets a dog to eat a dog. Donald Trump uses Big Media to eat Big Media.

Donald Trump on CBS

Donald Trump on C-SPAN

CNN will broadcast portions of the Trump event, as will One America News.



Bill Clinton fought back against Sista Souljah and her anti-white racist ugliness. Bill Clinton fought Sista Souljah at a Jesse Jackson “Rainbow Coalition” event. Bill Clinton took on Sista Souljah and black racists at a black event.

Tonight Donald J. Trump declares his own Sista Souljah moment. Donald Trump denounced Fox News on Fox News. Fox News is reduced to calling Trump a coward. Trump has proved his courage over and over again. At every turn, from the day of his announcement onward – Trump is fearless.

If Trump wins on Monday in Iowa, Big Media everywhere will cower in fear. Every American who believes in free speech and a media that provides fair and balanced news will cheer.

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We’ve Got The Transcript!!! Of Fox News #GOPDebate Without @RealDonaldTrump

Update: Open thread: Trump versus O’Reilly. Actions speak louder than words. Trump is fearless going on O’Reilly. Why would anyone spin the line that Trump is somehow “afraid” of Megyn Kelly?

Trump is on Fox News to attack Fox News! Make Fox News Great Again??? Who else would dare pull out of a debate a few days away from a close contest in Iowa then attack Fox News on Fox News?

Trump has announced his appearance at Drake University for wounded veterans which will air opposite the #2 #GOPDebate.

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We’ve obtained the transcript of the next GOP debate before Iowa votes via special powers which include but are not limited to witchcraft, channeling, and crystal balls – all conducted with special exemptions provided us by Iowa evangelicals so we are clear on the satanism charge.

After the transcript we will provide analysis, as only we can, of what it all means. Here’s the transcript of the Fox News GOP Debate this Thursday without Donald Trump:

First question from Megyn Kelly: Our first question goes to all the candidates, take as much time as you wish on this one. Our question is “How bad is Donald Trump? Is Donald Trump afraid of me? Is it worse that Donald Trump is a coward who is afraid of me, as my friend Michael Moore believes, or is it that he is just plain evil and wants to destroy this wonderful Fox News which we all know is fair and balanced, or is Donald Trump a monster created from radioactive materials??? Take your time to explore all these possibilities, candidates. We’ll start with the great man Donald Trump declared to be “low energy” the wonderful scion of the Jeb family, Jeb!”

Jeb Bush: Thank you Megyn Kelly, you are wonderful. Yes, everything you “asked” about Donald Trump is true. Donald Trump is evil. He mocked me as “low energy” even though my mother and all my friends know I drink Red Bull and am a real powerhouse. Yes, Donald Trump is evil, but the real evil is Marco Rubio. You know Marco Rubio is a liar and a back-stabber…

Megyn Kelly: This is not about little Marco Rubio and his big lies. I only want to know how bad Donald Trump is.

Jeb Bush: Megyn, Donald Trump is bad, but Marco Rubio is afraid of me because I am now #2 in New Hampshire. We all know Donald Trump is going to win in Iowa and New Hampshire so this race is now about who will be #2 and I am a real #2.

Marco Rubio: You are a real #2 Jeb, every time I go to the bathroom I think of you. But the ultimate #2 is Ted Cruz, that slimy liar who lies about everything. Ted Cruz pretends he is against amnesty for illegal immigrants but he is lying about this just as he is lying about TPP and liar Cruz…

Megyn Kelly: Stick to the topic! How bad is Donald Trump, Ted Cruz?

Ted Cruz: Oh, Megyn. Thank you to Fox News for holding this fair and balanced debate in fair and balanced Iowa with all the wonderful people of Iowa here and I could not be happier with the people of Iowa and the wonderful opportunity to be with the people of Iowa and you Megyn. Megyn, Donald Trump is evil. He hates you because you are beautiful and desirable. But Donald Trump hates the people of Iowa because he won’t come here and bring up the ratings for this debate. Megyn as you know, because you are well informed and wonderful, I have challenged Donald Trump to a one on one debate…

Chris Christie: Yeah, right, Ted. Donald said he’ll debate you in Canada you scumbag…

Megyn Kelly: This is about how bad Donald Trump is. Stick to the issues. We have a young and attractive illegal immigrant and a young and attractive proud Muslim woman waiting in the wings to attack Trump so let’s keep this show moving.

Rand Paul: Megyn, Megyn, can I respond? Can I respond? I never get a chance to respond. But now with Donald Trump hanging out with wounded warriors I get a chance. Can I respond? Can I respond?

Megyn Kelly: Go ahead Ron, respond. Tell us how bad Donald Trump is.

Rand Paul: Megyn, Megyn, back when I had a chance to win Iowa I warned the nation against Trump. Now I am rock bottom so let me try to kick up. Trump is bad. But you know who is really bad. Marco Rubio is really bad. Marco is…

Megyn Kelly: This is about how bad Trump is not that sniveling little high-heeled ex-con. How bad is Trump?

Ben Carson: I too was once on top until Donald Trump made fun of me. I once was a sturgeon. I mean I once was a surgeon and a wannabee president until Trump beat me up. That all I have to say except that we should all be wonderful and I have a wonderful wife and you are wonderful too Kelly Megyn.

Jeb Bush: Let’s not forget how bad Marco Rubio is.

Marco Rubio: It’s time for a new generation of leadership. Everyone is tired of the Bushes and the Clintons. But we need someone from the new generation who is wonderful, like me. We don’t need liars like Ted Cruz…

Ted Cruz: Donald Trump is bad.

Chris Christie: You’re worst you lying Canadian.

Ted Cruz: You’re fat!

Marco Rubio: But you’re a fat liar TED.

Jeb Bush: You’re short you little high heeled twerp with the arrest record.

Megyn Kelly: Let’s bring on the Muslim woman to tell Iowa how bad Donald Trump is, and you are all forbidden to mention Islamic terrorism….

The debate goes downhill from there. We won’t bore you with the rest of the transcript.

Now for some analysis.

As we have discussed before, we believe Trump is in a win/win/win/ and we’ll add an additional “win”, position in this fight. Trump’s fight with Fox News is a much needed push back against Big Media. For too long Big Media has polluted, not informed, our campaigns and debates. Big Media personalities inject their manufactured “personalities” into everything as if Americans care a whit about them.

Donald Trump demonstrates great strength, not by talking, but by doing. Trump’s fight against his strongest opponent, which is Fox News and the interests Fox News represents (such as illegal immigration amnesty and protection of powerful elites such as the Bush clan) is a display of power. Trump has Fox News on the ropes, bleeding:

Trump’s Debate Boycott Throws Fox News Into Chaos

Tonight, Donald Trump’s months-long war with Fox News entered a chaotic and — for both sides — perilous new phase when Trump called Roger Ailes’s bluff and announced he was boycotting Fox’s debate to protest Megyn Kelly’s aggressive coverage of his campaign. Instead, Trump said he would host his own Iowa town hall to raise money for veterans and let other networks cover it. One clear sign of the gravity of tonight’s development is the sense of confusion that is swirling throughout Fox. The network is split between Kelly’s allies like Brit Hume and conservative anchors that are furious that Kelly — who graces the cover of Vanity Fair this month — has become the face of the network. An anchor fumed that Kelly hosted Michael Moore on her program tonight and the lefty filmmaker defended her against Trump. “That would be like Rachel Maddow laughing along with Charles Koch as he trashed Hillary Clinton!” the anchor said. One producer speculated that Fox could go “National Review” on Trump and start attacking him.

For Trump, the political risks are obvious: His absence from the Fox stage just four days before the Iowa Caucus provides his rivals with a prime-time platform to tee off on him with no chance for him to fire back. For Ailes, the risks are less immediate, but potentially as consequential to maintaining his power. No matter how loudly GOP candidates complained about Fox’s loutish politics in private, none risked taking Ailes on in public for fear of losing access to this crucial constituency — until Trump, that is. Even if Trump’s boycott backfires, he’s already achieved a historic victory: exploding the myth that a Republican candidate can’t openly challenge Fox.

Trump fights Big Media and demonstrates not only self-respect, but strategic/tactical savvy and a powerful sense of leadership as well. Trump has taken a huge risk but the rewards are great as well.

But the risks are not as bad as portrayed by many in Big Media. As our “transcript” reveals most of the conventional analysis about the candidates attacking Trump at the debate is quite misguided. Remember that joke against lawyers being chased by the wild animal? One lawyer puts on her running shoes and the other lawyer says “you can’t outrun” the animal. The other lawyer responds “I don’t have to outrun the animal, I have to outrun you.”

That’s what will happen in the Fox News debate. There will be obligatory attacks against Trump – but LESS attacks than if Trump were there. If Trump appeared at the debate he would, as the leader of the race in every state including Iowa, be under relentless attack. Trump would also bring millions of eyeballs and ears to hear others attack him. It makes no sense for Trump to boost ratings for a show that will trash him.

Most importantly, after each candidate lobs a nasty remark against Trump they will take advantage of the additional time to take down their real opponent. Jeb Bush’s real opponent now is Marco Rubio. Marco Rubio’s real opponent now is Ted Cruz. Ted Cruz’s real opponent now is Donald Trump so he will attack Donald Trump but that will come at the expense of defenselessness against the ceaseless attacks against him from Marco Rubio. Who wins as every candidate tries to outrun the other candidate? Trump. Trump – not shaken, but stirred up to fight.

It is Fox News that is shaken to the foundations. Fox News and Fox Business are waging a campaign of unfair and unbalanced coverage to try to destroy Trump. They try to say Trump is “hiding” and “afraid”. The problem with those charges is that his very persona proves that Trump is courageous and fearless and certainly does run away from any fight. It is Fox News that attacks out of fear:

And while the network appears to be publicly siding with Kelly, who is still set to moderate Thursday’s debate, the network is also reportedly trying to privately plead with Trump the best way they know how – through the women in his life.

Joe Scarborough, who has a close relationship with many people at Fox News, revealed on Morning Joe Wednesday morning that Fox News CEO Roger Ailes had been trying to contact both Ivanka and Melania Trump hoping they could convince Trump to change his mind, but that Trump would only speak to Rupert Murdoch.

Trump may be able to address some of these issues and claims Wednesday night as he is set to appear on Fox News’ The O’Reilly Factor.

Think about that: Donald Trump is going on Fox News to attack Fox News!!! Donald Trump is going on Fox News to attack Fox News. And Fox News is too weak to do anything about it other than undermine their “fair and balanced” slogan with 24/7 “unfair and unbalanced” coverage.

With an ordinary candidate in an ordinary election, Fox News would be in a strong position, able to attack the candidate 24/7. But Donald J. Trump is anything but an ordinary candidate in an ordinary election. Fox News attacks Trump, but Trump is not limited to Fox News.

Every other network that will not cover the Fox News debate, in other words, every other network, will love the counter-programming that Donald Trump provides. Not only do other networks get to bash Fox News. The other networks get a ratings bonanza with coverage of Trump and the wounded warriors. The wounded warriors win. Trump wins. The other networks win. Fox News loses.

Ted Cruz is the only one that can make a claim that Trump’s absence profits him. That’s why Ted Cruz has been everywhere mocking Trump. No one believes Cruz when he says Trump is afraid. No one believes Ted Cruz when he claims that his attacks are on behalf of the wonderful people of Iowa. The only Cruz attack that resonated with the attention hungry Iowa GOP was his demand that Trump debate him one-on-one. Pity that with one Tweet, Trump stomped Cruz:

Donald Trump would be happy to debate Ted Cruz “mano-a-mano.” Or as they might say in some parts of Canada, “tête-à-tête.”

Trump on Thursday answered Ted Cruz’s call for a “mano-a-mano” Lincoln-Douglas debate with yet another retort about the Texas senator’s Canadian origins.

“Even though I beat him in the first six debates, especially the last one, Ted Cruz wants to debate me again. Can we do it in Canada?” he tweeted.

The Republican National Committee banned as moderators NRO and NBC because of their bias. Yet the RNC does nothing to block Megyn Kelly who demonstrates her bias against a candidate every day. At the very least Megyn Kelly should recuse herself and not make herself the story. This is supposed to be about the voters, right?

Doesn’t Fox News have any other “personality”? Fox News has plenty of tough anchors and smart women (Martha MacCallum, Harris Faulkner for instance) that can moderate a debate and not bring the same problems as Kelly Megyn or Megyn Kelly what every she’s called (h/t to Stump for Trump girls)?

The hope at Fox News is that Trump will be universally attacked from the right. Ain’t happenin’:

Conservative talk show host Rush Limbaugh, meanwhile, sided with Trump on the dispute. “Fox News was acting like they had been jilted at the altar,” Limbaugh said on Wednesday.

Nobody since the Kennedy family has had such an outsize influence on the media, Limbaugh mused to listeners. And the Kennedys “are pikers compared to the way Trump is doing this,” he added.

Screw the rules, he’s saying,” Limbaugh remarked, according to a transcript, talking through Trump’s reasoning. “Why should I willingly give them another shot at me in a circumstance they control, why should I do it? What’s the sense in it for me? I’m leading; I’m running the pack here; why in the world should I put myself in that circumstance? I’ve already seen what’s gonna happen.

Limbaugh is not alone on the right in his defense of Trump as Breitbart weighs in with the Fox News agenda:

The Anti-Trump Network: Fox News Money Flows into Open Borders Group

At a press event Tuesday evening, Trump seemed to cite disparate treatment from the network as his reasoning for not participating. “What’s wrong over there, something’s wrong,” Trump said of the “games” Roger Ailes and the network are “playing.”

In asking the question of “what’s wrong over there?” Trump has shined a spotlight on one of Washington’s best kept secrets: namely, Fox’s role via its founder Rupert Murdoch in pushing an open borders agenda. The Trump campaign is a direct threat to Murdoch’s efforts to open America’s borders. Well-concealed from virtually all reporting on Fox’s treatment of Trump is the fact that Murdoch is the co-chair of what is arguably one of the most powerful immigration lobbying firms in country, the Partnership for a New American Economy (PNAE).

In addition to blanketing the country, media, and politicians with literature, advertisements, and a barrage of lobbyists pushing for open border immigration policies, the Partnership for A New American Economy (PNAE) was a prime lobbyist for one of the biggest open borders pushes in American history: Sen. Marco Rubio’s 2013 Gang of Eight immigration bill.

The trap was set for Donald Trump. Pretty and young Muslim, pretty and young illegal immigrant, the designated official attack dogs for Fox News to take down Trump:

“We have a presidential candidate whose loudest message reeks of hatred and Islamophobia… turning on the news now is scary, and oftentimes, humiliating,” the Muslim woman, Nabela Noor, says in a December YouTube video.

She admits to becoming a Muslim political activist amid the growing criticism of Islam’s doctrines. “The current social environment for Muslims today is not safe or just… as a Muslim American, I felt like I needed to use my voice,” she claimed.

Noor also urged her YouTube viewers to rally against critics of Islam. “I’m so thankful for those who speak up and out against anti-Islamic speech and ideologies. Our community needs more allies like you, but we have a long way to go,” she said.

This Nabela Noor was to be an official questioner, in other words a Fox News attack dog against Trump. Trump dodged the trap. Dulce Candy, or sweet candy, was the illegal immigrant prepped by Fox News to snarl at Trump. Now Dulce and Nabela can attack the other candidates.

Little wonder then that before Trump left the building, Megyn Kelly TweetedThis race will look totally different, I promise, on Friday than it does today.” The trap was set, but the wily fox escaped.

Pat Buchanan, from the right too, defends Trump:

Buchanan said, “He’s got a perfect right to drop out of the debate. They baited him, they taunted him and they disrespected him in a mock news release and he simply decided—look if that’s the way you are going to treat me go ahead have your debate and I’m not attending. I mean you got a perfect right to do that. CNBC I think has been dropped out of a debate because of the handling by the moderators. National Review has been dropped out of a debate after it launched an all out attack on Trump. And so Trump responds and says I’m not going to be in the debate. I think he’s made the right decision from his standpoint and I hope he stands by it.”

Trump? A new poll from Iowa:

Another Iowa poll shows Trump keeps his lead in the Hawkeye – Monmouth University: Trump 30, Cruz 23, Rubio 16, Carson 10, Bush 4

Trump is in the lead everywhere. Trump fought as we suggested he should with a boycott of the Fox News debate. Instead of Bernie Sanders, we’ll see honorable wounded warriors.

In New Hampshire Jeb Bush has crawled to #2. It’s a fix folks. It’s either Bush or Trump. And Trump is #1 pissing on #2.

At the debate the #2s will be #2ing each other. It’s a dog eat dog world for the second slot at the Fox News GOP debate. #1 Trump won’t be with the #2s. Trump has other things to do – like win.

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Boycott Fox News Debate @RealDonaldTrump – Debate @BernieSanders On Thursday Instead

Update II: Trump: I didn’t like Fox News’s wiseguy press releases so “most likely” I won’t be doing the debate; Update: Campaign manager says he’s out

Hey, do we take credit for this brilliant move?? Biased NRO can’t moderate a debate. Why should unfair and unbalanced Megyn Kelly be allowed to attack Trump at debate?

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Update: Trump polls social media: Should I do this Fox News debate or skip it because Megyn Kelly’s biased? The man is smart. As we write below, it is a win/win/win for Trump. Trump has played this so intelligently, once again. You can vote on Trump’s Twitter feed HERE.

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Trump’s campaign manager: If Fox won’t remove Megyn Kelly as moderator, maybe we’ll hold our own townhall on Thursday night. We had a better idea last August for a Trump trump against Fox News:

Trump should then say he will hold his own event opposite the Fox News debate. Trump should get a network broadcaster such as ABC News to televise his debate: A debate featuring Donald Trump versus Bernie Sanders (or Hillary, but she won’t accept the invite whereas Saint Bernard will because it will help him).

Result – tens of millions of viewers for ABC, Bernie Sanders Kooks happy, Bernie Sanders happy, strong Hillary Clinton fuming, both party establishments trumped, next to zero ratings for Fox News.

We wrote that before the changes to the debate schedule but the concept is the same. At the very least the threat will force Fox News to reconsider their unfair and unbalanced Megyn Kelly attacks against Trump:

With just five days until Fox News airs the final GOP debate before the Iowa Caucuses, Donald Trump is reigniting his war with Megyn Kelly. “Based on ‪@MegynKelly’s conflict of interest and bias she should not be allowed to be a moderator of the next debate,” Trump tweeted while campaigning in Iowa on Saturday. [snip]

In a lengthy Vanity Fair profile this month, Kelly boasted of writing the now-famous debate question about Trump’s history of misogynistic comments, which ignited the feud this summer. And last week, Kelly sarcastically brought up Sarah Palin’s Trump endorsement, as well as hosted National Review editor Rich Lowry to promote the National Review’s anti-Trump issue.

Trump’s campaign manager, Corey Lewandowski, indicated that Trump could walk away from the debate if Fox won’t exclude Kelly. “Let’s see what happens,” he told me. “It’s fair to say Mr. Trump is a significant ratings driver for these debates. If we aren’t on stage for some reason, they wouldn’t have the record 24 million viewers and would be back with 1-2 million people.”

In the past, the Republican National Committee has banned media it deems unfair. It canceled a debate on NBC, and excluded the Manchester Union Leader and National Review after both outlets attacked Trump. But in this case, the RNC won’t be getting involved. [snip]

Lewandowski, Trump’s campaign manager, told me Trump could stage his own televised town hall on Thursday night and let Fox’s rivals air it. “That would be a great idea,” he said.

Donald J. Trump has once again demonstrated The Art of the Deal. Trump has placed himself in a win/win/win position.

First Trump win: if Trump attends the Fox News debate the added drama of Kelly v Trump heightens viewership and ratings proving Trump’s center stage power.

Second Trump win: if Trump attends the Fox News debate he can attack Megyn Kelly at will because Trump has prepped the battlefield and informed the viewers that Megyn Kelly is unfair and unbalanced.

Third Trump win: Trump is well ahead in Iowa so he comes from a position of strength if he decides to stage an event opposite the Fox News debate.

Whatever Trump does in this instance, he wins. If Trump would follow our advice and stage a debate on a broadcast station such as CBS, ABC, or even the loathsome NBC, Trump would get the eyeballs and Fox News would lose.

Trump should debate Bernie Sanders. It would be a match so epic it would be like a Marvel universe versus the DC universe; Godzilla v. Mothra, Zeus v. Odin, Barbie v. Buffy. Epic.

A Trump versus Sanders debate would help Trump, hurt all the other Republicans, hurt Fox News, hurt Hillary Clinton, and help Bernie Sanders. Result: Trump would hurt his strongest potential opponent, help his weakest opponent, and break the neck of Fox News and Big Media generally.

For Bernie Sanders a massive debate against Trump on January 28 potentially could be enough to secure an Iowa win. Bernie Sanders could pivot to a general election strategy, which is what he is up to these days anyway:

Sanders opens his rallies by ticking through the latest polls — an uncharacteristic touch of bravado intended to convince Democrats that he is not only viable in a general election but a stronger standard-bearer against the Republicans than Clinton. [snip]

In another sign of growing confidence, Sanders has stepped up his talk of the general election. “I would very much look forward to a race against Donald Trump,” he said Sunday on NBC’s “Meet the Press.” In speeches at his rallies, he sprinkles in previews of “a Sanders administration.”

Over the course of The Post interview, Sanders said Clinton was running a “desperate” campaign incapable of generating the kind of excitement his has. He raised questions about her motives and character. He said he expects Clinton and her campaign to “throw the kitchen sink” at him in the coming week in what he described as a craven attempt to avoid an embarrassing loss in Iowa. [snip]

Sanders has taken to starting his rallies by touting polls that show him with larger leads against Trump and other leading Republicans than Clinton. He is trying to argue that he is more likely than Clinton to replicate the kind of general election enthusiasm that propelled Barack Obama to the White House in 2008.

Clinton says that she — not Sanders — is the Democrat whom Republicans fear the most.

The DNC might try to punish Sanders or threaten him, but they would not dare to carry out the threat. Ditto the RNC regarding Trump. Authorized or unauthorized a Trump v. Sanders debate would leave the GOP debate on Fox News in the dustbin along with the cat hairballs. All eyes would be fixed on Trump v. Sanders. All the excitement would be on Trump v. Sanders. And the face-off in Iowa streets as the Trump armies v the Sanders squads clash… well, epic.

At this very late date, Hillary Clinton has finally realized what Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders figured out a while back: Hillary must win Iowa:

The last thing Clinton can afford now is for Sanders to get a head of steam from Iowa and New Hampshire. A pair of victories by the Vermont senator could produce a protracted and, for Clinton, debilitating nomination battle. Even if Clinton were to survive and capture the nomination, she would start the general election as a weakened candidate and with her resources significantly depleted.

That’s why a Clinton victory in the Iowa caucuses is so crucial.

Bernie Sanders could win Iowa with a Trump bump. That’s his incentive.

For Hillary, who has ignored every bit of advice we provided these past years, a Trump v. Sanders debate would be a catastrophe. Why? Because it would expose her entire strategy to be the muddled mess we warned about years ago.

Recall our warning in 2013’s The Hillary Clinton 2016 Muddled Message Mess:

The central question for any campaign is whether the electorate must “stay the course!” or whether it is “time for a change!”. It’s one or the other. There is no other question. A merge, a double message won’t sell. A “let’s stay the course but change” concoction has as much appeal and logic as vegetarian pork chops. Hillary Clinton 2016 thus far mumbles non sequiturs hoping no one will notice the screeching echoes of the 2008 muddled message mess (which we tried to correct) when the campaign careened from message to message while the Obama campaign stuck to it’s simple and clear lie.

Read the whole damn thing! Then read scumbag David Axelrod today as he recalls 2006/2008:

Axelrod warns: Take Trump more seriously

For David Axelrod, Donald Trump’s rise among Republican voters could best be explained with the rise of another nearly a decade ago: Barack Obama.

In a New York Times op-ed published Monday, the former Obama adviser wrote of his advice for the then-prospective presidential candidate in 2006, in which he laid out the Illinois senator’s case for a White House run.

“Here’s the gist. Open-seat presidential elections are shaped by perceptions of the style and personality of the outgoing incumbent. Voters rarely seek the replica of what they have,” Axelrod wrote. “They almost always seek the remedy, the candidate who has the personal qualities the public finds lacking in the departing executive.”

In other words, Axelrod added, if he had “only reread my own words, written nine years ago to another aspiring candidate, I would have taken the Trump candidacy more seriously from the start.

Just as a “young” and “energetic” John F. Kennedy succeeded a “grandfatherly” and “somnolent” Dwight D. Eisenhower, so did “puritanical” Jimmy Carter follow the Watergate-sullied administration of Gerald Ford, Axelrod argued.

“So who among the Republicans is more the antithesis of Mr. Obama than the trash-talking, authoritarian, give-no-quarter Mr. Trump?” he asked, noting later, “Relentlessly edgy, confrontational and contemptuous of the niceties of governance and policy making, Mr. Trump is the perfect counterpoint to a president whose preternatural cool and deliberate nature drive his critics mad.” [snip]

“But as the most ardent and conspicuous counterpoint to the man in the White House today, the irrepressible Mr. Trump already has defied all expectations.”

In other words “It’s time for a change.” In 2008 Americans rejected George W. Bush and it was time for a change. That’s why the “Hope and CHANGE” crap was churned out by Obama’s campaign manipulators.

In 2016 it’s time for a CHANGE, a big motherfu*king CHANGE, and Hillary decides she wants to run as the Obama third term. Can you spell “loser”?

Donald Trump took our advice. Trump is THE CHANGE candidate. Hillary put herself in the loser position of “stay the course”.

This is a change election. The unexpected is what is to be expected. In one smart stroke Donald Trump can elevate his poll numbers to even greater heights, schlong Fox News, bury his GOP opponents, utilize Bernie Sanders to finish off Hillary Clinton, and provide the spectacle and entertainment American politics has become. Trump can do all that with a boycott of the Fox News debate and a staged debate of his own.

Or, Trump could just go to the Fox News debate and win again. Trump put himself in a win/win position. That’s what winners do.

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What NRO Should Know – About America, PUMA, And @RealDonaldTrump

Update: It’s over for Trump. This latest bit of news goes well with an earlier article we wrote. The Sarah Palin effect:

With just over a week until the first 2016 election contest, Donald Trump takes the lead in Iowa — and maintains his big advantage in New Hampshire.

That’s according to the latest round of Fox News state polls on the Republican presidential nomination contest.

Trump bests Ted Cruz in Iowa and now receives 34 percent support among Republican caucus-goers. Trump was at 23 percent in the Fox News Poll two weeks ago (January 4-7).

Cruz is down at 23%. Trump! Before Sarah Palin it was Trump at 23%. After Sarah Palin The Donald is at 34%. Trump’s relentless attacks against Cruz have succeeded. Trump’s numbers went up. Cruz’ numbers went down. Nationally and in Iowa and in New Hampshire.

Every phony “surge” candidate against Trump has been defeated. The big question now is who will be anointed by the GOP establishment to be the next “surge” candidate against Trump after Thursday’s debate. Maybe it will be Jeb the next “surge” candidate – after all he finally got his mother’s endorsement.

NRO won’t understand. It’s all over for Trump. In a good way. Nuke.

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Forget guns. Every American has the right to carry a nuclear weapon. That nuclear weapon is called the vote.

On June 16, 2015 Donald Trump announced his presidential campaign. Unlike just about everybody else on the left and especially the right, we sang his praises that very day. We warned that Donald Trump should not be sold short, that Trump could become the nominee and that Trump could become president in January 2017.

By the first week of July it was clear that The Donald held several trump cards which he played adroitly, like early James Bond in the casino playing chemin de fer, cigarette dangling from his lips.



By the end of July, more and more, even the dunces began to see what we saw on Trump announcement day. Many still derided Trump and disagreed with us that Trump could win the nomination and the general election. But the desperation and fear could be smelled from the anti-Trump toilets. So strong was Trump we wrote up the near impossible task “How To Destroy Donald Trump“.

By the time we wrote How To Destroy Donald Trump we knew it was already too too late. We knew much earlier that the moment Donald Trump got on the first debate stage despite every GOP establishment attempt to block him from a platform next to governors and senators, it was over and Trump was on his way – in. Which brings us to why that is true and what the NRO and the anti-Trump right wing toilets need to know.

Today, less than 10 days before Iowa votes the National Review Online (NRO) and several other publications such as the Weekly Standard began their all out assault on Donald J. Trump.

The attacks came too late. Donald Trump preempted all the attacks with Sarah Palin. But even if Trump had not tactically outmaneuvered the authors of the attacks, they were still too too late.

Here’s what the NRO needs to know. The attacks against Trump won’t work because Trump is not their problem. The problem is the damn American voter with that nuclear weapon ready, able, and willing, nay, joyously about to detonate.

NRO and the anti-Trump toilets should have read what we wrote back in early July, before the first debate, shortly after Donald Trump announced. We wrote about the Donald Trump mystique before the American people went nuclear on the political class:

We explain in simple English the Donald Trump mystique:

WHEN YOU ARE IN A SNAKE PIT YOU DON’T CARE WHO HANDS YOU A STICK. [snip]

Eventually voters catch on and they decide to vote for the biggest motherf*cker around who will do what they want. The voters find themselves in a snake pit, surrounded by vipers, and they reach up to grab whatever stick is handed to them. [snip]

The voters are in a snake pit and Donald Trump is the stick they will use to beat back the vipers.

You don’t have to like Donald Trump to love Donald Trump. You can detest Donald Trump as crass and love the fact that he fights back and has the resources to fight back.

Donald Trump is the stick that hits. And voters trapped in the snake pit need a stick.

Whatever Trump quote NRO trots out, or whatever anti-Trump story Weekly Standard regurgitates to question Trump’s credentials as a conservative or Republican or whatever don’t matter. The problem for NRO and their fellow travelers is not Trump. The problem for NRO and the political establishment is the nuclear armed voter.

The voters are about to nuke the political establishment.

In 2008, the P.U.M.A. movement was born. Party Unity My Ass.

What was P.U.M.A.? It was a country over party movement. This website remained true to what we wrote. Throughout 2007 and 2008 we wrote that treacherous Barack Obama should not be president. Ordinarily, as in every election we would have fallen in line and voted for the Democrat. But party over country guided us. We believe we have been proven right.

Many of those who stood with us during the primaries, that excoriated Barack Obama for his many corruptions, failings, treacheries, and dubious history, about-faced everything they thought, once the Political Party waved the red flag of battle. We stood athwart history yelling Stop!

Many establishment Republicans in 2008 put aside the obvious about Obama, admired the crease in his pants, and exhorted a vote for Obama. Many of those who lubricated history to elect Obama are now the ones against Trump. The political establishment that did nothing to stop Obama, that did everything to enable Obama, now wants to stand athwart history yelling “Stop Trump!” Fu*k You.

Back when we warned that the voters were trapped in a snake pit and would reach for any stick to beat back the vipers there was a chance for the vipers to learn and survive. There was a chance for the vipers to back off. There was a chance for the vipers to sheath their fangs. There was a chance for the vipers to provide space and hope the voters’ anger would be soothed. But the vipers bared their fangs.

The voters in the snake pit took the stick Donald J. Trump offered. The snakes coiled, ready to strike. The voters could have cooled their anger if only the vipers in the pit had learned and backed off, understood the anger, addressed the grievances, raised candidates with messages that understood the anger – if only to try to stop the retribution to come.

Now the stick is set aside. It is time for retribution. The stick is no longer enough. The ultimate weapon will be unleashed. The nuclear weapon will explode. In less than 10 days.

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Apocalypse Yesterday: Sarah Palin’s Voice, Donald Trump’s Power, Ted Cruz’s Teddy Bear Problem

Update III: Conservative intellectuals to issue manifesto denouncing Trump. In a special all-Trump edition of National Review! It’s over for Trump now gals and guys. This should put Trump over the top even in Hawaii and Massachusetts come November.

Trump couldn’t pay for that much help from National Review if he owned the magazine, and ordered every story to praise him in pages perfumed with scents from Araby.

Is Trump the luckiest man alive ever??? On Saturday Ted Cruz will try to stop the death spiral of his campaign in Iowa with Glenn Beck! Glenn Beck people, Glenn Beck! Glenn Beck will bring more TEDdy bears for Cruz to distribute to illegal immigrants while TEDdy Cruz talks about how tough he is on illegal immigration. Zonkers Bonkers!

Speaking of illegal immigration, how much fun do you think Donald J. Trump will have with the up to now secret arrest of Marco “Tony Montoya” Rubio? It’s a Jeb Bush opposition research dump on Rubio but Trump will get all the laughs from this one (remember that last minute story about George W. Bush’s arrest record).

Luckiest man alive. Maybe Barack Obama will give a speech devoted to Trump hate too and get Trump over 90% of the vote.

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Update II: Shock Iowa poll from CNN: Trump leads Cruz by 11, Sanders leads Hillary by eight. Ted Cruz supporters who ignored our analysis have found an answer to the facts on the ground as they face reality: Maybe Trump really is quietly running Cruz off the field and he’s gearing up to run the table in all 50 states. Not enough horse tranquilizers in the world.. Horse tranquilizers! Thorazine can be found in Iowa in ample amounts.

Thorazine for the Canadian backers as reality bites. What about Hillary supporters? For the Brooklyn brains of Hillary2016 who still think the Obama third term strategy is smart – we suggest they get off the LSD.

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Update: Confirmation of what we wrote below comes from the first real good Iowa poll (not these) since the debates and the Trump v. Cruz and Hillary v. Sanders wars broke out. Holy Guacamole!!!:

Donald Trump holds a commanding lead in Iowa as Sen. Bernie Sanders takes control of the Democratic race in the critical first-in-the-nation voting state, according to a new CNN/ORC poll released Thursday.

Trump leads Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, who is in second place in the GOP race, among likely Republican caucus-goers, 37% to 26%. Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Florida, is in third at 14%, the only other Republican in double digits. Ben Carson failed to register half of Rubio’s support and is in fourth place at 6%.

Sanders, meanwhile, has opened up an eight-point lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, leading her in Iowa 51% to 43% among likely Democratic presidential caucus-goers.

The full impact of the Sarah Palin effect has yet to be felt in Iowa. This is the best case scenario for Donald J. Trump we have written about before anyone else: Trump wins Iowa then runs the table to become the early nominee. Hillary loses Iowa which leads to a death march against Sanders and the multiplying problems of more candidates and that yet-to-be-revealed candidate, behind the tapestries with the knife, which will be revealed at the convention – to stop Hillary. Get used to saying “President Trump”.

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Get over yourselves. What you feel doesn’t matter. What you think doesn’t matter. Unless you’re in Iowa your thoughts and feelings don’t matter. The ball is now in Iowa. The roulette wheel is spinning. Your thoughts and feelings will not move that little ball and get it to land in your favored slot. Get over yourselves. And don’t speak too soonFor the wheel’s still in spin – And there’s no tellin’ who that it’s namin’ – For the loser now will be later to win – For the times they are a-changin’.

After the “he won’t run” then “he’s not serious” then “he has no support” then “he can’t beat the others” then “he can’t stay on top” then “he will fade” then “the establishment candidates can’t beat him but another outsider will” we’re now at “Cruz will be different than Walker and Carson ’cause he will win” and right back to the risible “it’s over for Trump”. Donald Trump was supposed to once again lose in Iowa. Then the Apocalypse arrived.

Donald Trump was supposed to lose Iowa to Scott Walker, then Trump was to lose to Ben Carson, then Trump was to lose to Ted Cruz. Donald Trump had other plans. What Donald Trump feels and says matters because he can influence where that little ball lands. That’s all yesterday was about. Sarah Palin was about winning Iowa. Donald Trump’s Cheshire cat smile was about winning Iowa. Everything that happened yesterday was about winning Iowa. It’s all about Iowa right now. Whether we or you or the woman on the moon feel good about Iowa as the lead state or think that is bad, does not matter. It is.

After Iowa it will all be about New Hampshire. At that point all your feelings and thoughts won’t matter – unless you vote in New Hampshire. Then the feelings and thoughts of Iowa won’t matter at all. Right now, Iowa matters. If you live in Iowa your feelings matter, your thoughts matter. Everyone else: get over yourselves – your thoughts and feelings don’t matter. Capiche?

That does not mean we cannot try to understand what is happening. Unless you are a candidate for president or a voter in Iowa, or someone hired by one of the candidates or volunteering for one of the candidates, all you can do is try to understand what is happening in Iowa. Feelings and thoughts are not worth one bit of damn if you are not in Iowa.

The Sarah Palin Apocalypse of yesterday was all about Iowa. If Sarah Palin helps Donald Trump win Iowa then, as we wrote yesterday and even earlier, it’s over – but not for Trump. If Trump wins Iowa Trump wins the nomination. If Hillary on the same night loses Iowa then we think Trump is elected president months from now.

Let’s understand what is happening. There’s really not much to add to what we have written before. But every time we have to explain. Let’s start with Ted Cruz supporters who are livid with Sarah Palin. Let’s make this as clear as possible once again: Ted Cruz has no chance of being the GOP nominee. It’s either Trump or Jeb!

The GOP establishment might try to squeeze Rubio in if Jeb continues his death march to oblivion but it is either Trump or Jeb. All Ted Cruz can accomplish is join the list of all the other “surge” candidates (recall when we wrote that Carly Fiorina would surge from the low single digits to the high single digits then back to the low single digits?) propped up by the GOP establishment to take down Trump – but Cruz will not be the GOP nominee. Get that through your thick skulls. Ted Cruz will never ever be the GOP nominee. It’s either Trump or a schlub chosen by the GOP establishment.

As we wrote in August of last year:

Is there anything dumber than a Ted Cruz supporter? Well, maybe a Carly Fiorina supporter. Maybe a Ben Carson supporter. [snip]

Some of the dummies will find what we say provocative. But take it from those of us who attended the 2008 Rules and Bylaws Committee of the Democratic National Committee. [snip]

Hey, dummies, why do we call you dummies, especially you Ted Cruz dummies? We call you dummies because you think that once Trump goes away your candidate will rise and maybe have a chance to win. That’s so stupid. Your candidates don’t have a chance. The fix is in. We think Ted Cruz supporters are especially stupid because they think that the establishment figure most hated by the establishment due to his personality and obnoxiousness (which we do think should be admired by the way) won’t be swept away with ease by the very forces that have tried with all their raw power and vitriol to destroy Donald Trump.

We have to mock any and all supporters of candidates who say “oh, I like so-and-so,” “oh, so-and-so is so inspirational,” “so-and-so candidate is really blah-blah-blah and I really think that he/she has a strong chance to win this thing,” or the dumbest of all “I just want a candidate that can win and so-and-so is it!” Hardy-hardy-har-har – LOL – ROTFL – Ha!

The fix is in dummies. Only one candidate can win now other than Jeb Bush. Like it or not it is Trump or Bush.

Since we wrote that article last year, as “it’s over for Trump” was still the mantra of Big Media, Donald J. Trump has pretty much smashed Jeb Bush. But the ancien régime will plot and not go quietly. Jeb Bush is a moldy peach completely rotted after weeks in the heat but he is still the establishment’s moldy peach. The moment Donald Trump is removed, the moldy peach is the meal. Eat dogs!

Ted Cruz thinks he is a shiny apple who could be nice to Trump, then at the last moment push Trump aside. Do you laugh or cry at such foolishness?

Ted Cruz has had a really rough day yesterday. Add to a lawsuit filed in Texas by a Democrat lawyer questioning Cruz’s natural born status, an avalanche of bad news. We side with Cruz on ethanol subsidies but the savage attack by the very popular Iowa governor made headlines in the only state that matters and is more important than what we think and feel.

Sarah Palin, like the force science terms “gravity”, pulled it all together yesterday. The assault of bad news against Ted Cruz reached crisis levels. The news coverage “medium is the message” made a lie of the claim that Sarah Palin did not matter. If Sarah Palin’s endorsement did not matter, why did it matter so much on every communications media on earth?

We’ll take a moment to comment on Sarah Palin’s physical voice – which is what many settled on as a consolation prize to mock Palin. Yeah, Sarah Palin’s voice is a high pitched nightmare. So is Hillary Clinton’s “screech”. Guess what? Women have voices that hit high registers and the louder they get the more painful it is at times. But we hear “why don’t they take voice lessons to lower the screech?” Then these same people will say they want “real” “authentic” voices, not manufactured voices. But, then voice lessons, right? If you don’t like the candidates put through the “makeover” process and turned into manufactured overly processed messes, then don’t ask for voice lessons. It’s a problem for women. It’s a long term problem for women. At the same time screechy voices are annoying and… well, we don’t know what to say about all this. It’s unfair and we should recognize our unfairness. We do know that Sarah Palin’s powerful political voice is a problem for Ted Cruz:

Say what you will about her, but Sarah Palin always did have great political timing.

Palin’s specialty is upending the news cycle, or “kinda stirring things up a little,” as she put it in Iowa on Tuesday. [snip]

Some will say Palin won’t help Trump much. She has, after all, faded from the public eye in recent years as her stunts grew less political and more profitable. [snip]

But the naysayers misunderestimate Palin’s unique appeal—and that of her chosen heir, Trump. In a normal election year, Donald Trump’s three marriages and his casinos would discount him amongst the social conservative, largely evangelical Iowa Republican primary electorate. But this is a base that isn’t looking for a peacetime nominee. They’re looking for a wartime nominee and the enemy is Washington.

If battle with the establishment is your goal, there is no greater ally than Palin, who has made a very lucrative career out of being the bane of the Grand Old Party’s existence. Just ask Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who, Trump noted in the news release announcing Palin’s endorsement, once said that he “would not be in the United States Senate were it not for Gov. Sarah Palin. … She can pick winners.

Cruz is vying for the anti-establishment mantle and in recent weeks overtook Trump in Iowa polls. Palin’s endorsement comes the same day that Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad, once an establishment man who got elected, in part, with Palin’s help, said he hopes Cruz is defeated in Iowa.

Palin’s endorsement could help reassure conservatives wavering over Trump’s somewhat liberal record and, as Cruz put it in the last debate, his “New York values.” And, as Palin herself noted, she brings even more heightened attention, media coverage and notoriety to Trump’s campaign, which has hardly been lacking for any of those things. Her campaign events with Trump will vastly overshadow those of any other candidate for the rest of the week.

“Mr. Trump, you’re right. Look back in the press box. Heads are spinning. Media heads are spinning,” Palin said with glee, circling her right index finger around. “This is going to be so much fun.”

Fun is probably not the word much of the Republican Party, including rival Cruz, might use.

Today, as Sarah Palin continued her march through Iowa alongside Donald J. Trump, more bad news for Ted Cruz:

FEC complaint filed against Ted Cruz for undisclosed loans in 2012 Senate campaign

The left-leaning group Texans for Public Justice filed a complaint Tuesday alleging that Ted Cruz purposely hid more than $1 million in loans from major banks during his 2012 Senate campaign.

The allegations mirror details uncovered last week by The New York Times, which found that Cruz had failed to report loans from Goldman Sachs and Citibank to the Federal Election Commission, as required under federal campaign law.

It is a big deal,” said Craig McDonald of Texans for Public Justice. “He left the voters of Texas in the dark as to who was underwriting this campaign.”

Cruz is railing against the big banks and Wall Street, and yet he hid the fact that CitiBank and Goldman were actually providing him the money to run the campaign,” he said.

To all the attacks against Ted Cruz the response from the Ted Cruz campaign has just been announced. It is a catastrophic response. It is a catastrophic response for Ted Cruz. This will not help Ted Cruz, but rather will implode his campaign in Iowa and everywhere else:

Glenn Beck to appear with Cruz as he swats at Trump

Conservative media personality Glenn Beck will make appearances with Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz on Saturday in Iowa, ABC News reported late Tuesday.

The news came shortly after Beck took to Facebook on Tuesday to attack Cruz’s rival Donald Trump and Sarah Palin, the 2008 GOP vice presidential nominee who endorsed Trump the same day.

Why is this Beck move a bad move for Cruz? Well there is that business about Glenn Beck and Sarah Palin’s Downs Syndrome child. Cruz better have a lawyer’s briefcase full of why attacks on Sarah Palin’s kid is not a problem. Where Glenn Beck will hurt Ted Cruz the most is what we will call “the TEDdy bear problem”:

Ted Cruz Joins Glenn Beck to Deliver Soccer Balls, Teddy Bears and Food To Illegal Immigrant Kids

Just when you think things can’t get any crazier with the illegal alien invasion of the United States through our porous southern border, it does. The hullabaloo occurring because of “children” crossing the border, which the mainstream media touts as the majority of crossers in opposition to actual fact, is producing controversy between upholding the law and breaking the law. Glenn Beck is taking soccer balls and teddy bears along with meals and clothing to the Texas border to “help” these children using his own money and money he solicited from his followers. The surprise in all of this is that Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) is now joining with Beck at the border on Saturday to “feed, clothe, and provide toys for illegal immigrant children.

Isn’t that special? Teddy bears from Ted. Ted Cruz’s record on amnesty for illegal immigrants is the focus of several attack ads already. Get ready for the TEDdy bear ads.

TEDdy bear attack ads against TEDdy bear Cruz? Will that work? What we think or feel about illegal immigration or amnesty does not matter right now. What do the people of Iowa think? The pro-amnesty Des Moines Register reported yesterday:

Iowa proves hard place for immigration reform message

The Republican hopefuls who have spent time at the top of the Iowa polls this cycle — Trump, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson — have made their opposition to so-called amnesty for undocumented immigrants a key part of their platform. Republican candidates who support allowing some sort of path to legal status have struggled to get traction. [snip]

As the presidential campaigns got underway, the candidates argued whether U.S.-born children of undocumented immigrants are bona fide U.S. citizens, while deploying the derogatory term “anchor baby.” The term accuses women of crossing the border illegally to give birth, thereby conferring citizenship on the baby and providing advantage under U.S. law to other family members seeking legal residency.

Conservative favorites like Cruz are running on anti-amnesty and pro-border-security platforms.

“People are fed up with empty talk,” Cruz told the Arizona Republic. “We have a crisis on the border. The federal government is not doing its job.”

There’s a crisis on the border and Ted Cruz came armed with TEDdy Bears.

Glenn Beck in Iowa will revive Ted’s Teddy Bear problem. We suppose Beck and Cruz will plead they are “bleeding hearts” like the liberals they mock. But we imagine Donald Trump will have something to say and do with this ammunition. Think Trump will use this ammunition? You betcha!

Since he announced, Donald J. Trump has been savaged by the left, the right, the center, and Big Media. Donald Trump has been attacked by just about everyone and he has not only survived, Trump has thrived. Think anyone else on the GOP side could withstand what Trump has withstood?

Donald Trump has shown the political establishments and Big Media the power of his message. Ted Cruz has a teddy bear.

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Goldman Sachs? #Hillary2016? @TedCruz? #MGSP??? – Today The World Ends If Sarah Palin Endorses @RealDonaldTrump!!!

Update: Here we go: Palin to endorse Trump. It’s the Apocalypse!!! Not since David Bowie won the Melody Maker poll for top artist has there been such glee and envy.

Jeb Bush gets Lindseed Lohan, er Lindseed Graham, er, Lindsey Graham from South Carolina to endorse him and bring his dozen supporters into the fold. Trump gets Palin. Sarah Palin. Mama Grizzly.

Think Sarah Palin in Iowa with Trump is not important? Get a grip. This is monumental. For a short while there Trump trailed Cruz in Iowa. Then Trump began his Cruz bruise. Cruz went down like a hooker in the park.

Today Trump does two things. Once again he demonstrates his campaign is smart, swift, and prepared – the best of all campaigns. For a while Trump said he had endorsements he would unroll, today Trump unrolled which proves this was well planned. Today Trump stomped on Cruz with Sarah Palin’s high heels.

Trump also proved, once again, in a humongous way, that he is a master Big Media manipulator able to make Big Media dance to his tune, not the other way around. Trump controls the narrative and not the Obama Party the Republican Party nor the Big Media party can wrest that power from him. Brilliant! Trumptastic!

There will be those that try to skunk this endorsement. But Sarah Palin still commands loyalty from many and her past endorsements have helped those she blessed. And please do notice that no other endorsement has garnered this much attention this election season. And what great timing!

Still think Sarah Palin’s endorsement is a blah? Still think that “yeah, this might secure Trump Iowa, but so what?” Well, think again.

If Sarah Palin today secures an Iowa victory for Donald J. Trump in effect today is the day Donald J. Trump becomes the de facto Republican nominee for president. Still not impressed?

If Donald J. Trump wins Iowa, he wins New Hampshire, and Nevada, and South Carolina, and Super Tuesday, and Florida and the nomination and with it the hostile takeover of the loser GOP is complete.

Still not impressed? If Donald J. Trump wins Iowa and the nomination Hillary still wins right? Wrong. Trump wins the nomination as fast and furious as we think, this does not bode well for Hillary2016. Why? Did you see the latest poll from New Hampshire with Bernie Sanders at 60% against Hillary at 33%?

Picture: Trump wins Iowa and all the early states and almost immediately wins the GOP nomination officially. Hillary manages to lose Iowa and New Hampshire and as the New York Times writes today, has a long slog to maybe eventually get the nomination that Barack Obama intends to deny her. Now do you see why today is a monumental day?

This might be the day that Trump won the White House.

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Trump: Please join me tomorrow in Iowa for a major announcement featuring a special guest. Tomorrow is today and today the world ends!

Today we expected to write a smart little thing about the destruction of Ted Cruz via the DemDebate this past Sunday. Consider, at the Dem Debate Bernie Sanders attacked Hillary Clinton for the hundreds of thousands of dollars in speaking fees Hillary was paid by Goldman Sachs.

Before Sunday the Goldman Sachs attack spear was thrown against Ted Cruz at the GOP Debate. At the GOP Debate Donald Trump schlonged Cruz because of the million dollar loan obtained from Goldman Sachs by Mr. and Mrs. Cruz – so that Ted could fund his senate campaign. The additional crouton in this Goldman Sachs soup was the fact that Ted Cruz’s wife Heidi Cruz made her living strolling the halls of Goldman Sachs for pay. It didn’t take long before some nasty wags tongued out the epithet/cry “Heidi Ho”. For shame!

The very smart Heidi Cruz deserves respect even if she has, well, um, New York Values. She’s a smart woman, investment manager, but when did that stop anyone from smearing a talented smart woman?

Her background in finance has proved useful: Quite at ease asking for large sums of money, Mrs. Cruz makes as many as 10 calls a day seeking the maximum contribution couples can make to the campaign.

“The $10,800 contributions is my lane,” she said.

Inside the campaign, Mrs. Cruz has built a model that seems lifted from Wall Street, with donors labeled “investors” who are privy to “quarterly investor meetings” to discuss the “product.”

She also helped recruit an important fund-raiser, Lila Ontiveros, after Ms. Ontiveros left Goldman Sachs.

At times, the dual role of Goldman executive and political spouse has attracted attention, tugging the firm’s name into contentious political debates. For example, when Mr. Cruz helped cause a government shutdown over President Obama’s health care law, Mr. Cruz was pressed into acknowledging that he was covered by his wife’s Goldman plan, valued at more than $20,000 a year.

And this month, Mr. Cruz said his 2012 Senate campaign had failed to properly disclose large loans from Goldman and Citibank, muddying the couple’s tale of having poured their life savings into the race.

Last spring, Mrs. Cruz took an unpaid leave of absence from Goldman, immediately focusing on fund-raising for the campaign.

As Darth Vader once said, “impressive, most impressive.” An incredibly talented woman with the grandest of commercial New York Values.

Ours was to be an excruciatingly proper discussion of how Hillary Clinton’s Goldman Sachs connections both helped and hurt her and that Ted Cruz and Heidi Cruz were about to experience a proctology examination the likes of which Hillary Clinton has endured for many a day.

But Darn That Trump.

Our explorations of the designer halls of Goldman Sachs, the art collection of same, has now been eclipsed by the advanced firepower of the Donald Trump death-star. In other words, Donald Trump has once again seized control of the news cycle, with what might or might not be an earth shattering announcement or maybe just a run of the mill, for Trump, endorsement. It started innocently enough:

Join me on Tuesday, January 19th at the Iowa State University Hansen Agricultural Student Learning Center in Ames, Iowa! I will have a major announcement and a very special guest in attendance. You will not want to miss this rally!

M.Joseph Sheppard, a smart politics watcher, a master tweeter and website owner, as well as long time Sarah Palin supporter/observer got things a blazing:

Is Palin Trump’s Mystery Guest? What Is Known So Far

I would of course caution that all this is speculation but there are some major commentators who have given a degree of credence to the concept-we shall see. In the meantime;

FreeRepublic has a feature up which links to a private jet that left Anchorage Alaska at 11;14 a.m. Alaska time and arrived in Des Moines today.

There is a lot of speculation on the site that Governor Palin might have been on board.

Hells Bells, we assumed the mystery date was Mike Huckabee. It would be the smart move. Huck has no chance of winning. Dislikes Cruz. Wants to at least influence the selection of the GOP nominee. Is tired of the second string kiddie table debate. So Huckabee it is, we thought. But we were never any good at Mystery Date (which we have only played in our imagination anyway).



Open the door for your Mystery Date, sigh.

So who will it be? Huckabee? Falwell Jr.? who says great things about Trump but denies he is the Mystery Date?



Or Grizzly Mama? We don’t know, we would say we can hold our breath until it happens, but darn it, we wanna play. We wanna win, Mystery Date.

The clues came hot and heavy. First the private jet. The aircraft company. Clues from Tulsa to Ames. Obligatory pictures of Trump and Palin together at the pizza summit. Big Media Trump/Palin hater Mark Halperin with gasoline for the fire: Where is Sarah Palin???

Trump hater Guy Benson reached for the liquor bottle – bourbon, which proves you should never drink something stronger than you are. Hannity watchers weighed in. Maybe the Mystery Date is just “big” not “yuge”. The pro-Ted Cruz Steve Deace made some claims about the Mystery Date but when those claims fell through he declared Pretty much everybody I know now believes Trump’s special guest in Iowa tomorrow night is now going to be Sarah Palin. Expectations setting or preparation for a Vodka binge?

This could be Mama Grizzly Sarah Palin getting back at Cruz lover Glenn Beck who has insulted both her and Trump. Or it could be MGSP putting the Cruz back in the bottle which she helped uncork when she endorsed him and made him a star. Or it could be MGSP does not like Goldman Sachs. Or maybe MGSP wants to nuke Ted Cruz for other reasons cause her endorsement would nuke Teddy boy. Or it could be MGSP really really liked that pizza place Donald J. Trump took her to when he was her Mystery Date.

If Grizzly Mama Sarah Palin is Donald J. Trump’s Mystery Date, the world will end. Twitter will melt. The Sun will be blotted out from the sky.

We’ll know at 3:00 p.m. Goldman Sachs time; 5:00 p.m. Iowa time.

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Immolation: #Hillary2016 #Bernie2016 At Situation Comedy #DemDebate

Update: Open thread: “No, I’ll grab more guns!” The Democrat debate. That’s what it might come down to. Guns? Really?

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We expect utter stupidity tonight on NBC at 9:00 p.m. ET. Bernie Sanders will continue his imitation of one of the less intelligent members of the Bilbo Baggins family. Martin O’Malley will be a tree stump. Hillary Clinton will do her rendition of Brunhilde’s immolation scene as she flings herself onto the funeral pyre of her beloved and sets ablaze the world she once new.



The Shield Maiden of Chappaqua. Hillary’s beloved, for whom she sets herself ablaze is now Barack Obama. Hillary wants to be Obama’s third term because… well… insanity.

We’ve written for a long time about the foolishness of Hillary’s pursuit of Barack Obama’s “situation comedy coalition”. Our critique has been that the Obama cult is not transferable and that in either case it is a coalition that kills the chances of victory. We won’t beat that dead horse tonight.

Tonight we urge Hillary Clinton to read one of the architects (John Judis) of the Obama situation comedy “coalition of the ascendant” theory beat the dead horse into pulp at a premier Obama leftist publication:

Democrats are in more trouble than they think. And changing demographics won’t save them.

We urge Hillary Clinton to read that analysis in full. At the height of Obama lunacy on the left we provided our readers with the counter to the insane claims from the Obama left. Eventually John Judis and all the architects of the Obama “coalition of the ascendant” strategy capitulated to our argument – which we documented in Mistake In ’08, Part IX: Capitulation And The Lessons For Hillary Clinton 2016:

If Hillary Clinton 2016 comes into existence this July or later, the campaign strategy better consider our arguments and the ones that John Judis concedes he did not foresee. What happened in 2008 is not a question of historical interpretation. The “mistake in ’08” is the defining question for 2016. [snip]

It is going to be an impossible climb if Hillary Clinton 2016 is seen in any way as tied to Obama or Obama policies. Half-assed arguments of “stay the course’ but with “changes” will be too cute and will throttle Hillary Clinton 2016. And it gets worse, as John Judis just jived: [snip]

We always said it was a cult. The cult of not very well informed young people voted in 2008 and 2012 for Obama in the same way that blacks voted for skin color not character. Obama received meaningless victories personally but the party he headed withered. The party Obama heads will continue to wither. Any fruit on the Obama vine will wither and die. And that is what is happening now and will continue to happen in 2016 for anyone who is seen as in any way an Obama ally or tied to Obama policies:

Hillary Clinton chose to make the impossible climb which by definition is an impossible climb to make. CNN notes Hillary has chosen to be the Obama third term:

Clinton’s stump speech has long featured a prominent passage about how President Barack Obama doesn’t get the credit he deserves in rescuing the American economy. But in recent weeks his former secretary of state has been amping up her pro-White House rhetoric, seeking to tie herself even more closely to the popular president in the eyes of Democratic primary voters — a tactic that could intensify during the debate.

Hillary Clinton wants to be the Obama third term. In pursuit of that toxic goal, Hillary has made some truly stupid defenses and attacks. Again, we won’t go into the details because it is to painful to watch.

Suffice to say that on the Rachel Maddow show and in many campaign speeches Hillary attacks Bernie Sanders because Sanders is not in full worship of ObamaCare. Somehow it escapes Hillary and Hillary2016 that ObamaCare sucks and no one likes ObamaCare.

Obama Dimocrats defend ObamaCare but their defense is really just a defense of Obama, not ObamaCare. Obama Dimocrats want single payer. Idiot Hillary then defends ObamaCare as if ObamaCare was the issue.

Tonight, Bernie Sanders made it official, and he is for single payer so there go all of Hillary’s silly attacks. Hillary’s silly ObamaCare defense and Bernie Sanders’ counter should provide Bernie Sanders the margin of victory in Iowa. And if Hillary loses Iowa, her campaign is over and not even South Carolina will help her.

Bernie Sanders is a refugee from Hobbiton with permanent residence at the Prancing Pony in Bree. Still Hillary has proven ineffective in stomping out this weirdo. Hillary’s weapon of choice has been gun control. Expect Hillary to shoot herself in the foot on this issue tonight.

What would a sane Hillary Clinton talk about? How about the economy:

Stock market plunge dents Democratic narrative

Obama’s upbeat economic assessment is followed by a dramatic sell-off, with Clinton’s fate in the balance.

What would a sane Hillary Clinton talk about? How about the treacherous Iran deal wherein Iran gets $150 billion to attack the West?

What would a sane Hillary Clinton talk about? How about the economic consequences as Iran opens even more oil spigots in an already drenched oil market:

Stock markets across the Middle East saw more than £27bn wiped off their value as the lifting of economic sanctions against Iran threatened to unleash a fresh wave of oil onto global markets that are already drowning in excess supply.

All seven stock markets in the Gulf states tumbled as panic gripped traders. London shares are now braced for a second wave of crisis to hit when they open on Monday morning after contagion from China sent the FTSE 100 to its worst start in history last week.

Oh right, and a sane Hillary Clinton would also talk about the Obama economic disaster and the worst first week ever on Wall Street markets ever. A sane Hillary Clinton would denounce terrorism and appeasement. A sane Hillary Clinton would defend the working class against illegal immigration and the plans by big donors for a low wage society. A sane Hillary Clinton would want to make America great again.

Hillary Clinton is a great debater as is Ted Cruz. But you can’t win a debate when history and the facts are against you.

For those that loved Hillary Clinton in 2008 our advice is to not watch tonight. It’s gonna be ugly. We’ll watch, with tears – and comment, with snark.

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The ‘Who Gets Schlonged?’ #GOPDebate

Update: Debate night is here. The Star Spangled Banner has already been mangled. Can’t Republicans get someone who can sing at these things?

Online the debate can be seen HERE.

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Our prediction is that the big loser tonight is Marco Rubio and the big winner, again, is Donald J. Trump.

Why Marco Rubio as the big loser? Because Marco is the best talker in the debates and because Marco is perceived as the roadblock to so many of the other losers. So it will be loser on loser violence. In past weeks Chris Christie attacked Rubio. Jeb Bush attacked Rubio. Ted Cruz attacked Rubio. And Rubio attacked back. Loser on loser violence.

A free-fire zone for losers.

Marco Rubio was a golden boy. By all logic Rubio should have been the 2012 VP pick for Mittens Romney. But Mittens decided to go with a Great Lakes play and chose Paul Ryan instead. After this snub Marco decided to ditch his Tea Party allies and power bottom on the Chamber of Commerce schlong. It’s been ugly ever since for Marco. Not only did Rubio stab his allies in the back, but then he failed his new masters in their illegal immigration amnesty/lower wages game.

On the very day Marco Rubio announced his candidacy, we provided the answer to why Marco Rubio will never get the GOP nomination:

What is Rubio’s problem?

Marco Rubio’s problem is not his failed and foolish support for what was termed “comprehensive immigration reform” which Republican/conservative movement leaders rightly claimed was illegal immigration amnesty.

Marco Rubio’s problem is that he deployed all his talents and abilities, all his remarkable capacities, all his promise and rhetorical skills – to sell a policy which his supporters correctly exposed as a monumental betrayal. If Marco Rubio with all his remarkable talents could do this to his supporters, supporters who made him a senator even as he ran against a Republican governor, then what other damage can Rubio do in the future to his Republican/conservative allies?

Rubio now says he is against what he was for. Rubio wanted to ingratiate himself with Big Business Chamber of Commerce types who want illegal immigration amnesty in order to keep working class wages down. All Rubio did was help Barack Obama.

A weather-vane willing to sell out his temporary friends for new friends, temporarily. Every time Rubio makes a great point, or a rhetorically brilliant riposte, what many hear is a very talented liar emitting very glib sounds – signifying nothing – but treachery.

With all that ammunition provided by Marco Rubio’s record, we suspect a lot of that ammunition will come raining down on Marco. We’ll only note in passing the hypocrisy of Jeb Bush attacking Rubio on illegal immigration. Most of the attacks are hypocritical and phony such as Christie and Rubio on absence records, etc. Mendacity in politics. Imagine that.

The little loser fights aside, what many in the GOP establishment and in Big Media are hoping for though, is a vicious battle tonight between Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. It might happen, but Trump has sufficient ammunition to make Cruz glow in the dark.

Yesterday, the New York Times published the results of a campaign’s opposition research (we won’t say it was the Jeb Bush campaign but they clearly have the best conventional opposition research team around, although Marco Rubio’s dirty tricks squad is good at old style research too and has more of a motive to dump dirt on Cruz). The news is that (a) Ted Cruz did not disclose a loan on his FEC reports; (b) said loan from investment bank Goldman Sachs; (c) which is a New York City business hated by Republican voters; (d) and from whom the formidable Mrs. Cruz gets her employment checks. All of the above might have legal consequences or it may not – but it sure as hell has political schlongery power especially when put up the day before a big debate.

Donald J. Trump, bless his good heart, has also been doing all he can to help his good friend Ted Cruz become aware of the great danger if it turns out the Senator from Texas has a “natural born citizen” eligibility for the presidency problem. Trump’s too astonishing attempts to help his very good friend Ted caused umbrage to ooze from Cruz headquarters.

Ted Cruz did not take kindly to Donald Trump’s good hearted efforts to save Cruz. Cruz suspected that Trump’s motives were to help himself and not Cruz. Imagine that!

This sweet assistance from Trump was rewarded with Ted Cruz poll numbers in Iowa suffering and inspired Ted Cruz to denounce Trump’s “New York values”. The New York Times story (how’s that for New York values?) pretty much made mush of the Goldman Sachs’ values of Ted Cruz and his attack. Also, Trump, as he did with the “Donald Trump whines” narrative (‘yup, I whine and I whine until I win’), took the Cruz counterattack and counterattacked:

Donald Trump reacted to criticism from Republican presidential primary challenger Cruz Wednesday, saying that he equates “New York values” to “energy” that helped the city to persevere after the September 11th attacks.

“One thing it means is energy. You know, when the World Trade Center got hit, we rebuilt that World Trade Center and we got through and very few places in this world could have gotten through what we went through. I mean, I was so proud of New York, the World Trade Center, these two massive, 110 story buildings come down, thousands of people killed. I’ve never seen anything like it in my life. And immediately the rebuilding started,” Trump told conservative Radio host Howie Carr. [snip]

When Trump was asked by Carr if the “values” attack by Cruz was an effort to appeal to Iowa Evangelicals and value voters, Trump said, “I don’t know what he’s doing. I mean honestly he’s very nervous. He’s, ya know, very frightened by what’s happening I guess.” Trump then turned the discussion back onto Cruz by noting the discrepancy over his Canadian citizenship. “You gotta clear it up,” Trump said.

That’s an amazing response from Trump. The usual political response would not have been a defense of New York “values” but instead an “apple pie, flag, mother” defense. Where Cruz takes this foolish attack we cannot surmise but we would strongly suggest to the Ted Cruz campaign that this attack not be taken to tonight’s debate. Trump will eat him alive if he tries this line of attack. A Republican/conservative Trump hater sees the danger for Cruz – Trump hits back at Cruz: Anyone who wants to knock “New York values” needs to go through me:

If Trump is asked about this tonight, and he probably will be, he could use it to launch a broad attack on Cruz. The rap on Cruz, after all, is that his appeal is too narrow to win a general election. Democrats in Congress hate him; centrist Republicans in Congress really hate him. He could be elected king of red-state America but he’s dead on arrival in blue and purple states, or so the theory goes. [snip]

To which Trump could say: How do you expect to win in traditionally blue areas when you can’t resist insulting the people who live there? It’s Trump, not Cruz, who’s built a coalition that crosses party lines. It’s Trump, a New Yorker born and raised, who leads in Republican polls from coast to coast because he understands the anxieties of the white working class better than Cruz, the supposed hero of flyover country, does. [snip]

That’s Trump’s whole shtick distilled to a few sentences — as a wheeler-dealer in New York City, he’s scrapped with every financial, political, and media tough guy there is and he’s beaten them all. He’s battle-tested in a way Cruz could never be. The 9/11 line he uses in the clip is good too, of course, although he could go further if he wants. Another “New York value” is racial and religious diversity; Trump’s alt-right fans won’t like to hear him mention that, but they’ve been willing to ignore all of the other times he’s said “I love Mexicans” or “I love the blacks” on the trail. The media would go batsh*t if Donald Trump gave conservative ogre Ted Cruz a dressing down on national television for being insufficiently respectful of multiculturalism, especially if he praised their home base of NYC in doing so.

Cruz could reply that he has Texas values. Trump would punch back “Canadian values”. Result: a severe schlonging.

Our advice to Ted Cruz would be to unctuously and ostentatiously thank Trump for his all-too-kind concerns, not mention how Trump has profited in Iowa to the expense of Cruz, and move on to an attack on Rubio, Bush, anyone else but Trump.

Of course, our advice to Ted is rather stinky and not very good.

We do believe that if Donald Trump wins Iowa the nomination fight is over. Trump wins Iowa then he certainly wins New Hampshire too. Which means most of the presidential field is schlonged out. If Trump wins Iowa and New Hampshire he probably wins Nevada and South Carolina too. Which means whoever is left gets schlonged out of the race. And if Trump wins all the early states, then he probably wins the Super Tuesday states and every candidate remaining gets schlonged out.

The schlonging begins tonight. 9:00 ET. There will be a discussion of Obama’s many failures and of many issues too – but mostly schlonging.

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‘Now The Damned Have No Time To Make Amends’ – @Obama’s Last #SOTU

Damned by history. This is the first of many “lasts” regarding Obama. The last State of the Union speech we will have to endure from this clod.

The road is coming to its end. Now the Damned have no time to make amends” from an apocalyptic David Bowie. Obama is damned by History and it is too late for him to rewrite his legacy.

Not that Obama won’t try. Obama will try to create something from nothing, good from evil, gold from trash. But it’s too late for Barack Obama. Obama is a wounded animal who will thrash about in his death throes, but Obama in the ruins of his delusions, the Grecian columns at the beginning of his presidency fallen and overgrown with decay, knows it is too late to rewrite the history that is already written.

Even today on Obama’s big day, Iran further humiliates the clod secure in the knowledge they will still be awarded the $150 billion from Obama and the end of Western economic sanctions. The Muslim world of terrorists Obama sought to appease continue the suicide-murders and exult in full contempt of the weakling Obama. Racial harmony is another promised failure Obama made worse.

Is the Obama Chicago bagman Antoin “Tony” Rezko the Syrian who will sit next to the cocktail waitress Michelle Obama tonight? Is the empty chair on the other side of the cocktail waitress the same empty chair wielded by Clinton Eastwood to mock Barack? Will Barack Obama not make a fool of himself tonight? Tonight is an exercise in tragic comedy as Obama destroys himself for all the world to see.

We hear from Obama Big Media that Barack will try to be “conversational” tonight. Obama will extol his great works – an arsonist at the fire sporting a great grin:

President Obama will appeal to Americans to “fix our politics” by rejecting partisan distrust in his final State of the Union address on Tuesday evening, trying to strike an optimistic tone while admitting — if only tacitly –that his 2008 campaign-trail vision of a more unified and hopeful country has not come true. [snip]

Obama’s seventh State of the Union address will begin at 9 p.m. Eastern time.

It will come just hours after Iran taken custody of 10 American sailors on two Navy boats in the Persian Gulf — a development that could undermine one of Obama’s signature foreign-policy legacies, the nuclear deal with Iran.

It’s over. The damned have no time to make amends. Obama is damned by history.

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