The Republican Party has the greatest opportunity ever to become a majority party. The Republican Party establishment responds to the opportunity with fear and loathing.
Barack Obama is the one who has gifted the Republican Party with this great inheritance even as the Republican Party struggles mightily to reject the glorious gift.
What did Obama do? Barack Obama destroyed the once great Democratic Party of FDR/JFK/WJC. Obama expelled the White Working Class and senior citizens from the Democratic Party in favor of his situation comedy demographics “coalition of the ascendant.”
The Democratic Party’s loss is the Republican Party’s gain. Why? For every action there is an opposite and equal reaction. That’s Newtonian physics. In politics the same rule applies.
The people Obama purged from his Obama Dimocrat Party found themselves politically homeless. Now Donald Trump either by design or sheer luck leads the politically homeless to the Republican Party and the old guard bears its teeth of brass and snarls.
The old guard of the Republican Party sees their grip on the party weakened even as the party grows in strength everywhere but at the presidential level. The Republican Party is strong locally and in states but nationally, before Trump, it was moribund.
Leaders such as John Boehner and Mitch McConnell, controlled and directed by forces that hate the conservative and evangelical base of the Party, led the Republican Party into a posture of lies and more lies. The Republican Party leadership lied to the Party base in much the same way the Obama Dimocrat Party lies to its base.
It’s not just the Republican and Obama Dimocrat Parties that are liars. The unions lie to their members about the negative impact of illegal immigration and legal immigration on workers’ salaries because the unions want more dues payers and political power. Women’s groups lie to their members for financial gain and for political power for the leaders – screw the women. Everywhere liars called “leaders” lie to the people who pay the bills and their salaries.
The lies told by the entire political class have sheepishly been accepted by a majority of the population. But then Donald Trump spoke up with his booming voice and it was almost like in a movie when the gulled victim wakes up and confronts the evildoers.
It’s an old story exemplified into cliche. It’s the “Emperor’s New Clothes” when all is fine until a little boy shatters the world by telling the obvious truth. That’s what Donald Trump has done. Trump told the truth and nothing will ever be the same ever again.
Remember when Chris Christie was considered a tough talking truth teller? Compared to the other bland candidates Christie stood out. But compared to Trump the once considered brash Christie is bland as beige knickers. The world changed.
Remember when Rand Paul was considered the most daring of the GOP candidates? Remember when Jeb Bush was considered the financial juggernaut? Remember when Cruz was considered the most conservative? Remember when Walker was considered the effective fighter? Remember when Rubio was considered the future? Remember when? It all changed.
When someone or something is so different, so new, the past itself is changed. The past is perceived differently. After Picasso, art was different. It was the Shock of the New. After Wagner, opera is different. After talkies, cinema is changed. After Einstein, science and our perception of reality is changed.
After Trump, all is changed. There will be a counter-revolution. After all after Lech and Solidarity the Polish government tried to put the workers back in chains, the horses back in the barn, the toothpaste in the tube. Eventually however, the Berlin Wall falls, the Soviet Empire of Evil crashes, and Lech and Solidarity are proven to be heralds of a new world.
After many failed starts, we might have seen the first feeble attempts to bring on the counter-revolution, the Restoration of the old guard. Jeb Bush has fired his first wheeze against Trump. Let the attack ads begin: New Jeb Bush ad hits Trump for being a fake conservative:
So who is the “fake conservative” and does anyone care? Jeb Bush dredged up past Donald Trump statements to attack front-runner Trump. Do the millions that never voted but now support Trump care? Do the millions of former Democrats who are now homeless care about what is or who is not a “fake conservative?”
And on illegal immigration and Common Core, who is the “fake conservative?” Is the “fake conservative” the one who protects American workers or is the “fake conservative” the one who does the biding of the Chamber of Commerce and their quest for a low wage society alongside trillions of taxpayer dollars for crony capitalists?
The world changed but Jeb Bush is like an old Bourbon king unable to accept the strange doings outside the palace. Jeb Bush is not alone. The yellow belly Erick Erickson of Red State bemoans the death of the Republican Party brought on by Donald Trump:
Mine was that the Republican leaders in Washington would see the decline of Donald Trump as proof that they need do nothing to change. [snip]
In short, the GOP has become so incestuous it continues to hemorrhage and will die. It cannot adapt because the key consultants it has shaping its future are wedding to the capital that comes from not changing.
It should be eye opening to the Republican leaders in Washinton that Ross Douthat and I have come to the same conclusion — they will not recognize the need to change and will therefore die.
Erickson is demented. His complaint is that the Republican Party will crush Trump then will refuse to do what is necessary which is to change from their present corporate crony claque. That Erickson believes that Trump is in decline is delusional. That Erickson does not see that Trump is the change Erickson clamors for is demented.
W. James Antle, III, is possibly worse than Erickson. For Antle, Trump is a David Duke engaged in “white identity politics.” If it was that simple, Trump could be race-baited out of existence with ease. That Trump still stands should clue Antle that his analysis is ineffective race-baiting.
Among the Trump haters and detractors few (perhaps only one) can challenge Ben Domenech as the prime Trump hater. Domenech predicts the death of the Republican Party because Domench requires a purity so pure that the very mention of Trump dilutes that purity. It’s a disjointed argument made more deranged because the purity that Domench demands can only be found among the Apostles now in triumph behind the Pearly Gates. Ben Domench does not understand that the purity he desires can never be a winning formula for a political party. But Domench wants purity, not Trump:
Donald Trump Hangs The Elephant
The argument against Donald Trump requires you to believe in the Republican Party as a vehicle for something different than the Democratic. People don’t. [snip]
The poll numbers from serious organizations are consistent, and they illustrate Trump’s staying power and the desire for an outsider candidate. But it is not just theater: as Matt Lewis notes this morning, contained within Trump’s enduring appeal are the seeds of a conservative crackup.
Trump’s support is solid despite the simple fact of his policy positions in favor of higher taxes, gun restrictions, single-payer, partial-birth abortion, and recent past as a Hillary-donating, Obama-voting Democrat. None of these things can hurt Trump, because none of them matter to his supporters, and because the chief argument against them requires you to believe in the Republican Party as a vehicle for something different than the Democratic – a fact that is no longer an item of belief for many voters.
When the talking points coming out of Mitch McConnell’s mouth are essentially identical to those coming out of the White House – an agenda divorced from the priorities of a significant portion of the electorate, of trade and reauthorizations and appropriations and device tax repeal and governing – why should they believe any different? Why should such a party continue to exist if it exists to serve the people who donate, not the people who vote? What use is such a party to the people? Why not dissolve it and create another?
Frustrated GOP presidential candidates are responding to Trump’s rise by saying loudly: “He’s not a Republican!” And the people are responding: “So? WTF is that?” Republicans who say “Trump’s damaging the Republican brand” are saying it to a bunch of people who don’t care – and in fact, think America needs a candidate who really doesn’t care about the “Republican brand”, whatever that is.
Ross Douthat has more on this appeal, and Trump’s unique role as a traitor to his class, noting that where The Tea Party demanded essentially a return to the fiscal conservative roots of fusionist Republicanism, Trump offers a much bigger break with the past:
So far he’s running against the Republican establishment in a more profound way than the Tea Party, challenging not just deviations from official conservative principle but the entire post-Reagan conservative matrix. He can wax right wing on immigration one moment and promise to tax hedge fund managers the next. He’ll attack political correctness and then pledge to protect entitlements. He can sound like Pat Buchanan on trade and Bernie Sanders on health care. He regularly attacks the entire Iraq misadventure, in its Bush-era and Obama-era manifestations alike, in a way that neither mainstream Republicans nor Hillary Clinton can plausibly manage.
Trump is in the early stages of deploying a powerful and popular protectionist platform. He does not use the word “protectionism,” preferring to call it free trade managed by people who know how to negotiate deals. But his voice takes a vengeful tone when he describes his trade policy. He has promised to enlist some of the toughest negotiators in New York to lay down the law. [snip]
Byron York reports Trump is now about to go on the attack against Wall Street and carried interest as well as high earners generally to lower taxes for the middle class – something that, to fiscal conservative Republicans’ consternation, typically polls quite well. [snip]
And the headlines here are in keeping with the idolatrous nature of such emotionally driven hero worship typically unfamiliar to the Republican experience: “First-time voter, 92, gets to meet her savior: Donald Trump.”
Domenech’s hatred of Trump does not permit him to understand what is happening. Domench does not consider that perhaps the characterization of Trump’s positions are flawed. Domenech is unable to attribute anything to Trump and his supporters other than some form of vile idolatry of the sort we all witnessed in 2008 with Obama and his Hopium Guzzlers.
What Domenech does not consider is that the Republican Party has failed to put forth a program of governing that takes into consideration the modern world. Other than the same failed bromides about lower taxes and less spending the Republican Party has had little to offer which deals with reality. Then when Republicans gain office they raise taxes and increase spending.
Donald Trump has great success this election season because he is living in the real world not the crazed world of the Domenechs. We all can see that Obama’s “stimulus” of 2009 was a massive giveaway to corrupt state governments and ossified institutions. Obama’s “green” initiatives have been nothing less than crony capitalism for the Birkenstock class.
The Obama economic policy has been trillions for the super-rich and sustenance handouts to the unwashed masses. It is not class warfare to declare, as Trump does, that Obama’s policies have helped the well off and oppressed the middle and working classes.
Trump however is more than just the herald of the death of the Republican Party. Trump also brings about the redefinition of what a conservative is. Trump also brings about the redefinition of what a liberal is.
Why should a middle class conservative support the low wage policies of the Chamber of Commerce? Why should a working class conservative fight to protect the tax deduction privileges of those super-wealthy who live off a corrupt political system and have as their goal a low wage society? Why should a liberal support a low wage society which hurts the poor and the middle class via illegal immigration amnesty? Why should a liberal tolerate the totalitarian state speech codes that silence free speech?
Donald Trump represents more than the stilted portrait painted by the Domenechs and Ericksons. Donald Trump himself understands what he has lucked into. Donald Trump has evolved into a movement:
Donald Trump: ‘This is a movement’
The billionaire real estate mogul uses a Nashville speech to emphasize his campaign is about more than him. [snip]
“I don’t want it to be about me. This is about common sense. It’s about doing the right thing.” [snip]
Beyond the bragging, Trump’s appearance represented something more tangible: evidence of a campaign that has grown more tactically serious as it wears on. [snip]
Trump used it as an opportunity to again emphasize the importance of his supporters. He attributed his continued lead in Republican primary polls to the intelligence of his supporters.
“The reason is people in this country are smart. They don’t believe a lot of what they see in the media.”
For Michael Gerson, Trump’s talk of a movement is Orwellian. Gerson prefers to race-bait Trump and his supporters instead of grasping the moment. For Gerson and his establishment ilk the future is the past and Trump is not someone they have associated with in that past.
The analyst Michael Barone sees things more like we do:
Here I’ll look at another, the possibility that the partisan dividing lines that have endured with little change for two decades might suddenly shift and change.
This has happened before. History teaches two lessons pointing in opposite directions: Partisan divisions can stay the same for a long time. And they can change suddenly and without much warning. [snip]
For 2016, Hillary Clinton is trying to reassemble the Obama majority. Republican strategists are hoping to pluck enough 2012 target states to win. But events so far— Clinton’s slide, the Trump phenomenon—may destabilize what have been enduring partisan preferences. And who knows what turbulence lies ahead?
Just about every election watcher (including me) has assumed that a new partisan alignment is an impossible thing. History tells us it is — until it isn’t.
That impossible thing might just happen in 2016. The politically homeless might find a home with Trump. We’ll let Doug Schoen sum it up:
What Hillary Needs to Beat Biden and Bernie
Okay, she’s moved left. But to regain traction, Clinton must connect with voters in the middle on growth, foreign policy, and health care.
Brooklyn, we have a problem.
Hillary is catering to the left. Trump caters to the middle. The GOP establishment is flummoxed as to how Trump will win.