Quinnipiac poll: Hillary’s popularity crumbles in three swing states, now trails three top Republicans. This is not really news. This is more a demonstration of the mass hysteria in Big Media and the establishments of both parties now that a certain Rodney Dangerfield is spitting in their fingerbowls at the fancy pants dinner.
What do we mean? Consider the confusion expressed with the arrival of this poll(s) which is at first blush gruesome for Hillary. Wasn’t the argument of the Republican/conservative establishment that Donald Trump was a wrecking ball that is destroying the “Republican brand?” So, um, does this poll wreck the wrecking ball theory? Or is the message from this latest poll that Hillary poll numbers sink if you sample more Republicans than others? Or is the message that Jeb(?) is weak even when compared to the barely known Scott Walker?
Does anyone in Big Media notice that the new polls sample more Republicans than they should? For instance in Colorado the samples are Republican 29%, Democrat 26%, Independent 36%, Other/DK/NA 10%. That’s a plus 3 for Republicans. However in the last election the results placed the Ds ahead with 5. That’s about an 8 point gift to the Republicans in this poll. Some swing, huh? Ditto Iowa. There the sample is Republican 29%, Democrats 27%, Independent 38%, Other/DK/NA 6% even though in 2012 the results were a +6 for Ds. Ditto Virginia (4 point difference from 2012 results). Republican 27%, Democrat 28%, Independent 35%, Other/DK/NA 9%.
We’ve written repeatedly that we think Hillary is in trouble because of association with Obama. But we don’t think that these polls released today are the problem they are sold as. Even so, let’s look at the gruesome poll:
Poll: Clinton trails top Republicans in battleground states
Washington (CNN)Hillary Clinton trails three top Republican presidential candidates in head-to-head matchups in Colorado, Iowa and Virginia, a new survey shows.
The latest Quinnipiac University swing state polling released Wednesday shows the Democratic frontrunner trailing former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker in each of those states.
The biggest loser, the polls found, is Donald Trump, who has surged to the front of a crowded Republican primary field nationally but is viewed unfavorably, by almost a 2-to-1 margin, by voters in those states.
The results offered more indications that Clinton has a problem: Voters say they don’t trust her.
In Colorado, only 34% of voters said they see Clinton as honest and trustworthy while 62% said they don’t. In Iowa, the numbers were 33% to 59% — a drop from 45% to 47% in April. And in Virginia, Clinton did best, at 39% saying they trust her to 55% saying they don’t. [snip]
“On being a strong leader, a key metric in presidential campaigns, she has dropped four to 10 points depending on the state and she is barely above 50% in each of the three states.” [snip]
In Colorado, Clinton trails Rubio 38%-46%, Bush 36%-41% and Walker 38%-47%. In Iowa, she trails Rubio 36%-44%, Bush 36%-42% and Walker 37%-45%. And in Virginia, Clinton has the narrowest margins between her and her Republican opponents, where she lags behind Rubio 41%-43%, Bush 39%-42% and Walker 40%-43%.
In Colorado, Walker performed the best even though 3-in-10 voters weren’t ready to weigh in on questions about his honesty and leadership skills.
These R v D comparison polls are really silly. The fight now is intra-party not a general election. But still the weaker Hillary appears, the more likely a Michelle Obama or a Cambridge Cherokee, maybe even crazy Uncle Joe, will get in.
Hillary’s problem is not these ridiculous polls. Hillary’s problem is that she is saying stuff she does not believe and it shows. In order to appeal to the Obama cult and the totalitarian left, the groups that hate Hillary the most, Hillary is speaking mumbo jumbo – and it shows – and voters don’t like it.
As to Donald Trump and his allegedly bad showing in these polls what is now sure is that Trump started out low and the more he is seen the more his poll numbers rise.
In Iowa which is the only state that we have sufficient data to measure Trump’s standing Trump is #2 to Scott Walker who is lapping up the field. In New Hampshire and North Carolina and Nevada, Trump is doing very well. The more Trump rises… the more Trump rises.
But we are told that after L’áffair McCain the Donald will have to escalate his rhetoric to unacceptable levels or that he is already so wounded he is a dead man walking. There’s no way The Donald, the “Teflon Don” as Charles Hurt calls Trump, there’s no more air time Trump can squeeze himself onto. Or is there?
Beat the drum slowly, lay the sod over him, Rick Perry just had a stroke.
Saddle up! Trump goes to the border:
EXCLUSIVE DETAILS: Donald Trump Heading to Texas Border
Breitbart Texas has learned that 2016 Republican presidential hopeful Donald Trump is heading to the Texas-Mexico border to get a firsthand look at the current border security situation. Trump is expected to meet with Border Patrol agents of the Laredo Sector.
“We look forward to giving Mr. Trump a boots on the ground perspective on the Laredo Sector of the Texas-Mexico Border,” said National Border Patrol Council, Local 2455 President Hector Garza. “Mr. Trump is expected to be in Laredo later in the week.”
Garza told Breitbart Texas that following the border tour, Trump will have a town hall style meeting where law enforcement officers will be invited to provide feedback on their perspective of the border situation.
Breitbart Texas Managing Director Brandon Darby worked with Agent Garza to prepare for Trump’s border tour. “It is of utmost importance that possible future leaders of our country visit the border region, especially the Laredo Sector. Most Texans and other Americans hear that the Texas border was secured, but it wasn’t. The Rio Grande Valley Sector was supplemented with manpower from the State of Texas, but that mostly stopped where that sector ended and the Laredo Sector begins.” Darby added, “Mr. Trump will learn firsthand of the many holes and vulnerabilities that the Los Zetas cartel exploits to enter Texas and oppress their victims. We will keep the details of Mr. Trump’s intended visit private at this time.”
What will the GOP establishment say? Here’s a sample:
Zombie Eric Cantor is here to weigh in on the Donald Trump problem he helped create
The story of the Republican Party’s aborted attempt to craft an immigration platform that would appeal to Hispanic voters without alienating its base will have an entire chapter dedicated to former House majority leader Eric Cantor. His appearance on “Morning Joe” on Wednesday, lambasting Donald Trump’s language on immigration, probably made the situation worse, not better.
And when Cantor lost his 2014 primary race in stunning fashion, his position on immigration reform was cited as a key reason. Immigration reform was “the most symbolic issue that captures the differences between me and Eric Cantor in this race,” David Brat, the man who beat Cantor, told Fox News the day after his win.
The Republican plan to make inroads with Hispanics was a double failure. Not only was a bill not passed, but efforts to advance the issue revealed just how strongly — and vocally — Republican voters opposed the idea. The party’s second-in-command in the House was sent off to work in the private sector. And it set up a situation, two years later, where Donald Trump could stumble onto immigration as a hot-button issue, exposing the same rift within the GOP at a particularly inconvenient time. [snip]
“I think the language that Mr. Trump’s been using sometimes, certainly it’s mean, it’s ugly, it’s divisive,” Cantor said, most likely referring to Trump’s dismissal of illegal immigrants as criminals. “It is not a sustainable model, because ultimately what this country and the people of America are looking for is an optimistic inspirational leader with a message that is inclusive for all so we can see a better future.” [snip]
But Eric Cantor became the most prominent face of a policy that much of the Republican base hates. Hearing that face say that Trump is bad will probably not have the effect Cantor might have hoped.
Eric Cantor or Donald Trump? Who Represents the American voter and who represents a failed Republican leadership?
Looks like Trump represents the Republican voter:
Trump Leads GOP Field, No Slump After Attacks on McCain [snip]
A new Morning Consult poll finds Trump leading the Republican field with 22 percent of the vote, well ahead of former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who clocks in with 15 percent, and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, in third place with 12 percent.
No other Republican breaks into double digits. [snip]
There is no evidence that Trump’s numbers have slumped after comments he made questioning Sen. John McCain’s (R-Ariz.) war record. Though most of the rest of the Republican field — and even the Republican National Committee — loudly criticized Trump after he made the comments on Saturday morning at an event in Iowa, voters interviewed afterward weren’t any less likely to say they support him.
In fact, Trump has gained ground since a Morning Consult poll earlier this month, when he trailed Bush by a 19 percent to 17 percent margin. This week Trump is the second choice of 12 percent of voters, behind Bush’s 18 percent.
As we previously wrote, the assault on Donald Trump is an attempt by the Republican establishment to destroy him before he gets a chance to speak to the nation at the August 6 debate. We’ve always argued, contrary to many who insisted the opposite would prove to be the case, that Donald Trump would mop the floor with the other Republican candidates for president. Now it appears we have once again been proven right and that Republican establishment indeed fears Trump and they have failed in their attempt to stomp the Trump:
Will GOP debate be the Trump show?
Despite RNC’s efforts, first showdown of 2016 could be focused on candidate from the angry fringe. [snip]
This is Donald Trump’s universe.
So instead, on Aug. 6, in Cleveland, the GOP hopefuls will appear stage right and stage left, flanking a real estate mogul and reality television star who is all but certain to steal the spotlight, go on the offensive and thwart their hopes for a peaceful debate.
Trump’s presence at center stage — his reward if he maintains his lead in the polls — is likely to transform the first Republican debate into a major media event, bringing big ratings to Fox News, the debate sponsor. [snip]
“I think you have to assume he’ll be loud and aggressive and do everything he can to stay on offense,” former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who gave the most commanding debate performances of the 2012 primary cycle, told POLITICO. “Trump is very smart, he has lots of TV experience and is absolutely uninhibited.” [snip]
“Unless everything changes in the next two weeks, which is always a possibility, I imagine Trump will be pretty much the top five stories of the debate just by showing up,” said Mark Leibovich, the chief national correspondent for The New York Times Magazine.
“There’s the ‘Will the other candidates attack Trump?’ story, the ‘Will Trump hold his own as a serious candidate?’ story, the ‘Will Trump have a grasp of the issues?’ story, the ‘What attention-getting thing did Trump say?’ story and the “Did you hear what Trump said about Candidate X?’ (or ‘What did Candidate X say to Trump?’) story, etc,” he continued. “Maybe someone like Jeb can sneak into the top six.” [snip]
For Gingrich, taking on Trump is a matter of understanding the enemy: “Avoid anger, because I don’t think anybody on that stage can out-anger Trump,” he said. “His natural style is aggressive. It’s not like he has to become aggressive. He wakes up and he’s aggressive.”