Update: Quotes of the day come from Scott Walker’s 35 minute long announcement speech. His very first sentence? “I love America.” It’s a trite sentiment but well delivered by the former boy scout. Come to think of it, we’ve never heard Barack Obama say that.
“It’s not too late. We can still turn things around.”
Expect even more “Hillary needs a walker; Republicans have Scott Walker” of an avalanche of jokes if Scott Walker becomes the Republican nominee for president. And Scott Walker very possibly might be the Republican nominee for president.
We won’t know, we would not even venture a guess, about Walker’s real prospects until we see him debate on a national stage against formidable opponents on August 6. Is Scott Walker a beautiful bloom nurtured in a Wisconsin hothouse that will droop, wilt, and die when exposed to national political weather? After August 6 we’ll have some idea about Walker and the rest of the Republican field. But thus far, on his first day, for a reason we have smacked Hillary2016 around, we are very very impressed with Scott Walker’s campaign.
What impresses us about the Scott Walker campaign? Consider, Scott Walker is in a very very competitive campaign with more than 15 competitors. So what does Scott Walker do? Does he announce early? Does he make his move in early Winter or early Spring? No. Scott Walker shrewdly waits until the political landscape is set, all major candidates announced, the issue meteorology measured, surprises and events cataloged, personal business settled and the campaign message and strategy set taking all the above into consideration.
That’s what we advised Hillary2016 to do. On the Hillary side there is no real competition, no pressing deadlines, no danger looming – no need to announce early. But by announcing early Bernie Sanders has been empowered and Joe Biden has been encouraged. And we are sure that in Cambridge a one drop squaw squats waiting for an opportunity to go on the warpath if Hillary gets scalped. We advised a “don’t shoot until you see the whites’ of their eyes” campaign strategy in which opponents would be smoked out of their holes then big footed by a massive Hillary2016 effort once the battlefield and the armies on that landscape positioned. But, Hell’s Bells, that’s a Tomahawk over the trees so let’s get back to Walker.
Walker’s candidacy announcement benefited from the knowledge of all that has come before. Walker’s campaign organization waited until mid July and after the rapid rise of Donald Trump. This latest and amazing development forced Walker to respond to Trump and the rest of the field with a message that differentiates Walker from the rest of the other runners.
Walker responded to the rise of Donald Trump by stating that as Governor of Wisconsin Walker had not only fought but he has most importantly won.
As his announcement video so vividly claims, Walker fought and won. And won. And won. And won. And won again.
That’s one helluva campaign message.
Donald Trump has a strong campaign message and Walker tops it with the claim that he has fought against all the odds and won. And won. And won. And won. And won again.
Today’s mid July announcement also helped Walker by writing his campaign strategy in light of all the recent events and all the many candidates. Walker is very much ahead in Iowa followed by Donald Trump. Jeb Bush is slightly ahead in New Hampshire followed by Donald Trump and then by Scott Walker. So Walker figures, win in Iowa and then go for a win in New Hampshire and that will help in all the following states.
Not that the Iowa win play was hard to forecast for a governor from a neighboring state. But the Trump threat in Iowa (and New Hampshire) is real and Walker’s announcement moved to secure the conservative vote in Iowa and nationwide.
No other candidate has as smart a strategy against Donald Trump’s rise as Scott Walker. Donald Trump will attack Jeb Bush on illegal immigration and Common Core thereby opening up a breach for Scott Walker to walk through.
Donald Trump will attack Marco Rubio on illegal immigration and on ObamaTrade votes in the U.S. Senate. Again, a smart Scott Walker will continue to avoid attacking Donald Trump and let Trump clear the field for himself and for Walker.
Perhaps Scott Walker did not need lessons on tough from Donald Trump. After all Walker has walked through fire, a hundred thousand protestors, tens of millions of dollars, and a vindictive Big Media. Today though, Walker did a Trump style response to attacks.
Today Trump used his biggest critics to bolster himself. It was Instagram agitprop which featured Al Sharpton, Jon Stewart, Chris O’Tingles, and Bill Maher. Today Scott Walker supporters used an attack from AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka (“Scott Walker is a national disgrace.”) to bolster Scott Walker. Maybe Republicans are learning? Or maybe, according to the New York Times, Scott Walker is a really smart cheesehead:
He has held elected office continuously since 1993; the presidential contest will be his 14th campaign. And he comes to the race steeped in the knowledge required of a good political operative: what it costs to compete in swing states; the science of purchasing television advertising time; the art of getting good press.
“If I know Scott Walker, he probably knows the media markets just as well in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina as he does Wisconsin, plus where they spill over into and who has the best ratings,” said Robin Vos, the speaker of the Wisconsin Assembly and an ally of Mr. Walker’s. [snip]
Mr. Walker’s strategic talents can be an asset. His ability to formulate and convey an effective message helped him win three hard-fought elections for governor in four years, including a 2012 recall election, in an extraordinarily competitive state. And he is doing much the same now: It was Mr. Walker who came up with the best-of-both-worlds formulation he has recently woven into his stump speech — that his hard-charging Senate opponents are “fighters,” and his rival governors who have won difficult elections are “winners,” but he is the rare breed who has done both.
Wisconsin before Walker was a blue state. Then Walker won the governorship as well as the Wisconsin house and senate. Then Walker won an attempted recall. Then Walker won reelection.
Walker, like a pedestrian at a crosswalk, waited for the green light to make his move. Walker waited until he signed a budget for Wisconsin that he could tout throughout the primary season.
Now that the governor of Wisconsin has announced, the Republican field is pretty much set as far as the big players and likely winner. We’ll wait until August 6 to see how this GOP field performs as they fight tooth and claw for victory.
We don’t know who will win the race for the Republican nomination. But in this very important race, we’ll keep an eye on Walker.