Update II: AP calls the Mississippi race for Cochran. Questions now:
(1) Will McDaniels demand a recount? Mississippi primary runoff elections allow for any voter to vote in a party primary but the voter may not have voted in an earlier primary. The likelihood is that many of Cochran’s voters voted in the primary and therefore their votes are not legal. The vote is close so will McDaniel demand a recount?
(2) After reelection how soon will Cochran retire to make room for a Haley Barbour relative?
Big question: Why did Obama Dimocrats go all out to help reelect Cochran? According to them they had a small chance to win if McDaniel was the nominee but absolutely none if Cochran won. So is the hatred by the establishment of both parties so great for the Tea Party that the establishments of both parties got together to deny the Tea Party another victory?
Update: Polls are still open in New York for Harlem’s Charliedämmerung. Polls just closed (at 8:00) in Mississippi for Cochrandämmerung. There’s also that race for the Republican nomination in Oklahoma which our emails indicate people are angry at us for not discussing.
Put on your sports bra and take off that lacy thing because its gonna be a bumpy night.
Tonight in Harlem, New York, the oldest and bloodiest of the blood feuds will be settled. More ironies and rhythms than a Duke Ellington score in tonight’s Harlem Shuffle.
Clash down on the hi-hat cymbal ’cause Harlem ain’t the capital of black America no mo’. Swirling demographics that Obama minions promised would mean an Obama Dimocratic thousand year Reich have only led to Harlem now majority Latino. Whither minority majority districts when the minority is booted out by another minority? As a race-baiter would say ‘a majority Latino district must have a Latino representative.’ Ha! Those like Charlie Rangel that boasted about the power of majority minority districts are now on the firing line, literally. Charlie Rangel might lose his job – to a Latino:
Through immigration and redistricting, what is now New York’s 13th Congressional District — a seat Rangel has held since 1971 and viewed as the center of New York’s modern black political power structure — has experienced a seismic demographic shift from majority black to majority Hispanic.
Hoping to seize on those demographics as well as the perception of Rangel’s waning political power in the years since Congress formally censured him in 2010 for ethics violations, state Sen. Adriano Espaillat is mounting a spirited challenge to the 22-term incumbent — a rematch of the 2012 race in which Rangel topped Espaillat by just 1,000 votes. [snip]
In recent years, Rangel’s district has been recarved, turning what has for years been a majority-black district into one that is 52 percent Hispanic and adding new parts of the Bronx where Rangel is not as well-known or as well-regarded. [snip]
On Wednesday, the New York Times editorial board endorsed Espaillat:
“After a humiliating censure by Congress four years ago for failing to pay taxes and other ethical lapses, Representative Charles Rangel has steadily lost power in Washington. After nearly 44 years in office, it is now time for him to yield to the next generation.”
John Samuelsen, president of the Transit Workers Union Local 100, said: “Everybody is tired of Rangel. We need a champion that will stand up for us. That’s not Charlie Rangel.” The union has said Rangel has not done enough to bring federal money to the district to fund transit worker jobs.
It’s all about the money for some people. Somehow the unions have yet to wake up to the reality that the gravy train doesn’t stop for them anymore. It’s not that Rangel couldn’t deliver it’s that there’s not much left to deliver.
For Rangel the tax cheat it was always about the money as he now tries to outrun the History Train. The changing demographics he thought would transform America are transforming him out of a job and Harlem into Santo Domingo. There was a time that Charlie Rangel fought for his country with honor. There was a time when Charlie Rangel did the right thing. There was a time when Charlie Rangel could beat the odds:
When Rangel held a demographic revolution at bay
The parallels between what Charlie Rangel insists will be his final campaign for Congress and his first one are obvious: an entrenched, aging incumbent revered for his civil rights record but diminished by ethical misconduct scrambling to beat back a primary challenge from an ambitious state legislator who promises to bring new vitality to the position.
The twist, of course, is that Rangel’s present-day challenger, Adriano Espaillat, is now cast in the role that Rangel himself played when he stunned Adam Clayton Powell in a 1970 Democratic primary. But 44 years of incumbency, the loss of a powerful committee chairmanship to scandal, and a humiliating rebuke from his own House colleagues have created for the 84-year-old Rangel many of the same vulnerabilities that he exploited when he knocked off Powell all those decades ago.
As appealing as this narrative is, though, the bigger threat to Rangel may be simple demographics. When he wrested the seat from Powell in 1970, his Harlem-based district was arguably the center of black political power in America, but today that same district is barely one-quarter black, with a growing Latino population that now accounts for 55 percent of its residents.
Once again we see that often what we fought against in youth we become in dotage. The Charlie Rangel promise to fight corruption and privilege became the congressman tax cheat of established privilege.
The Charlie Rangel race is also a warning to those that talk about “demographic destiny” as if it is a religion that will smite only in one direction. The Robespierres who believe “demographic destiny” rings in doom only for Republicans/conservatives better prepare themselves for the unintended consequences that will lop off their heads too.
Charlie Rangel might survive tonight because he is the establishment candidate. But survive or not, Rangel won’t thrive. Rangel’s days are numbered.
In Mississippi tonight another blood feud will be settled. The McDaniel v Cochran primary runoff election is bathed in scarlet from the earlier GOP establishment loss in Virginia. The Tea Party outsiders scored a big win Eric Cantor was forced from the stage. Much of Cantor’s loss was due to the lawlessness on the southern border. And as with the Rangel race, the unintended consequences are only now looming for Obama supporters:
The Cantor defeat and the surge of Central American teens make it unlikely that House Republican leaders will advance much in the way of immigration legislation.
Two trends in polling also point in this direction. One is that Hispanic voters don’t seem hugely preoccupied with immigration. The Pew Research Center reports that many more focus on education, the economy and health than the one-third who say immigration is “extremely important” to them personally.
The other is that the president’s job approval among Hispanics has been falling sharply. He got 71 percent of their votes in 2012, but fewer than half approve his performance today.
It’s not hard to see why. The sluggish economy has hurt Hispanics more than most Americans. Obamacare and big government policies have not helped them as they apparently have hoped.
This suggests that non-passage of comprehensive legislation won’t hurt Republicans as much as predicted.
For Republicans/conservatives the problem is not the “demographic destiny” mirage adored by Obama “creative class” loons. The problem is more like that confronting Charlie Rangel in Harlem: exposed hypocrisy and ruling political class privilege and arrogance.
American governance is premised on “consent of the governed”. But now “democratic consent” is usurped by a political class – Republicans/Democrats/Liberals/Conservatives that believe themselves to be a ruling class with a mandate from Hell.
Enter the Tea Party. Enter Occupy Wall Street. Occupy Wall Street was an Obama election year scam. These liars and their dupes fooled enough people enough of the time to re-elect the flim-flam scam man from Chicago while at the same time genitally mutilating any hope for change from the left.
The moment the Tea Party emerged, on April 15, 2010, we immediately recognized it as the potent antidote to Obama’s Hopium narcotic. Most of the Republican establishment either secretly mocked the costumed Tea Party activists or openly sought to water the tea into piss water. Tonight we will once again witness the failure of the Republican establishment. The fire will spread and consume then something new will sprout through the ashes to blossom.
Todd Cochran might survive tonight’s blood feud reckoning. His tactic to entice Obama supporters to the polls to vote for the winsome Republican might work (“I used to be a Democrat.) We doubt it. But it might work.
Whatever tonight’s election results we already know who has won this Tea Party v. GOP establishment blood feud. McDaniel won more votes than Cochran in the primary. More importantly McDaniel destroyed the Big Media inspired myth that the Tea Party was over as a political force.
There is another blood feud with origins in 2007 and 2008. That blood feud won’t be resolved tonight. But a reckoning is coming in that one too. More on that one… soon.