In that same 2008 article we knew we could not forget what happened in 2007/2008. It was then that the Democratic Party Civil War began. These few years later we still remember. We remember what happened.
Below, in our article, we note that many of Lichtman’s “keys” are now turning against Obama locking him out of a second term. Lichtman better button his pockets because it’s possible another “key” is dropping down the drain. Lichtman’s fourth key is “There is no significant third party challenge.”
And Lichtman, after Arkansas, Kentucky, West Virginia, North Carolina, etc. you should consider the growing talk from many who see the entire party flushed down the drain with Obama at the top of the ticket wondering Will Obama Pull an LBJ and Drop Out?
The reaction from Hopium Guzzlers to Tuesday’s latest “get lost Barack” from the voters was “Ignore the voters…. yeah, that’s the ticket…. ignore the voters.” Get your whistles out Obama Hopium Guzzlers, there’s a cemetery ahead.
Last night in Clinton country Arkansas the voters supposedly in his own party expressly went out to vote in an act of sheer defiance and gave an unknown (John Wolfe) 41.6 percent of the vote. In Kentucky 42.1 percent wanted the “uncommitted” unknown rather than Barack Obama. In Harlen Knott County (“the heart of coal country”, as Sean Trende explains) Obama only got 26.2 percent of his own party’s vote. Add these results to Obama losing 40.6 percent of the West Virginia vote to an imprisoned inmate in Texas; 21 percent of the vote in must win North Carolina, 24 percent in Louisiana, 19 percent in Alabama, and 43 percent of the vote in Oklahoma.
“To be clear, with the exception of North Carolina, none of these states is in play. [snip]
But there are three ways in which these states really do matter.
1) This is beginning to function as an unprecedented primary challenge to Obama.
Using my handy “C.Q. Guide to U.S. Elections,” I went back to the birth of presidential primaries in 1912. There are only six sitting presidents who have ever received less than 60 percent of the vote in any primary: Taft in ’12; Coolidge, ’24; Hoover, ’32; LBJ, ’68; Carter, ’80; and Bush ’92. All of these presidents, with the exception of Coolidge, were not re-elected — and he eventually faced a substantial third-party challenge from one of his primary challengers.
Moreover, consider the men who brought these challenges: former President Teddy Roosevelt in 1912, Sen. Bob LaFollette in 1924, Sen. Joseph France of Maryland in 1932, Sen. Eugene McCarthy in 1968, Sen. Ted Kennedy in 1980, and TV commentator Pat Buchanan in 1992. Obviously the quality here varies substantially, but all of these upstarts began with a much stronger national profile than Keith Judd or John Wolfe.
I think we can reasonably begin to view this as a sort of organic primary challenge to Obama, which runs strongly in the Southern and border states. Obama’s not likely to lose any states in the primaries; think of this more like Buchanan’s run against George H.W. Bush in 1992.
This is only relevant because a lot of people attribute some significance to the fact that Obama, unlike the other presidents who lost in postwar America, has avoided a substantial primary challenge. I’ve always been skeptical that this is the proper metric. Primary challenges strike me as a symptom, not a cause, of presidential weakness. Just as diseases can be present without all symptoms, presidential weakness can be present without a primary challenge. And, as always, we should be skeptical when making judgments on the basis of a fairly small number of observations.
But if you do attribute substantial importance to the lack of a primary challenge to the president, then I think you must re-evaluate, especially when you consider the weakness of his primary opponents.”
Trende is referring to Alan Lichtman’s “13 Keys” to the White House which have proved to be formidable predictors of presidential election results. Lichtman predicted in 2011 that Obama would be reelected in 2012. Sean Trende strongly suggests that Lichtman reconsider his foolish projection.
“Working for the president are several of Lichtman’s keys, tops among them incumbency and the scandal-free nature of his administration. [snip]
Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.[snip]
Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy. [snip]
Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.[snip]
Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal. “This administration has been squeaky clean. There’s nothing on scandal,” says Lichtman. [snip]
Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs. Says Lichtman, “We haven’t seen any major failure that resembles something like the Bay of Pigs and don’t foresee anything.”
Scandal free???? Um.. this requires a whole lot of revision. Ignore Fast n’ Furious, Solyndra, the lobbyists, the waste fraud and abuse of the election slush fund called “the stimulus” and Lichtman drops a key.
The stimulus has been a bust and hated. The Obama health fraud law is hated and might not exist after June 28. Lichtman better grab a flashlight because the “policy change” key fell into the sewers.
Social unrest? Anyone been to Chicago lately?
Foreign/military failure? Look to the results of the Egyptian election and the rise of the Muslim Brotherhood along with the already high and getting higher hatred against the United States. Who Lost Egypt?
And of course, it depends on what the meaning of “serious” is to they key about a primary challenger. Are voters coming out with little prodding from the opposition to vote against a president “serious” enough for Lichtman? Are voters from his own party bothering to go to the polls with apparently no other purpose than to slap the president’s smug face a “serious” challenge?
Check your pockets Lichtman you haven’t got a clue key. By Lichtman’s own measure the keys are turning against Obama.
“2) It may matter a lot in swing states that border these states.
What we’re really talking about here, and as I explored in great detail in “The Lost Majority,” is “Greater Appalachia,” an area that was settled by Scots-Irish immigrants in the late 18th century and that has retained an attachment to Jacksonian populism since then. This region begins in western Pennsylvania, Virginia, and North Carolina, stretches through the Appalachians and across the Cumberland Plateau, and spills over into southern Ohio, Indiana and Illinois, across Missouri and Arkansas, and into north Texas and Oklahoma. It also brushes along the northern edges of Mississippi and Alabama.
Now, no one expects West Virginia, Oklahoma, Arkansas and Kentucky to be a part of Obama’s coalition this fall. But lots of people are looking at Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and North Carolina. These states are where this primary weakness becomes potentially significant.
All four of those states have substantial populations in areas geographically and culturally similar to these “problem areas”: southwestern Pennsylvania, western Virginia and North Carolina, and southeastern Ohio. In all of these states, Obama’s path to victory is to hold down his losses in rural areas, and then maximize his vote among upscale and minority voters in urban areas.
In 2008 this strategy worked well, in large part because the financial collapse produced a large turnaround in the voting preferences of whites without college degrees. He still performed relatively poorly for a Democrat among these voters, but his margins were enough to enable him to capture these four states. If he’s facing a virtual rebellion among rural white Democrats (and presumably a similar problem with independents) this time around, his odds of capturing these four states diminish appreciably. Once again, this isn’t to say that he will necessarily lose, just that his path to re-election narrows if Romney is racking up big wins in the 11th District of North Carolina, or in the old 6th District of Ohio.”
The Hopium Guzzlers say not to worry. Joe Biden is on the job. Remember, Joe is Obama’s ambassador to the bitter and the clingy. But don’t put away your whistles Obama dopes:
“Joe Biden may not be much help to Barack Obama in key swing states this fall.
In a new USA TODAY/Gallup Poll, Americans split on whether they like or dislike the vice president – 42% said they had a favorable opinion, 45% said unfavorable – but the numbers are worse in key swing states.
In the 12 swing states likely to determine the outcome of the presidential election, only 40% of registered voters view Biden favorably, while 54% view him unfavorably. [snip]
Independents are also down on the VP, with 50% saying they view him unfavorably and 35% holding a favorable view. [snip]
Biden is more on par with Dick Cheney, who stood at 46% favorable, 42% unfavorable in a July 2004 USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll.”
Yeah, Biden… that’s the ticket in swing states.
Sean Trende’s third reason for why Tuesday’s primary results matter track with our long series Mistake In ’08:
In short, the Democratic Party committed suicide when it dumped the FDR Coalition led by Hillary Clinton in favor of the Barack Obama Situation Comedy coalition.
Ruy Teixiera has been aided and abetted in his toxic theories by books that deride “Bubba” such as the dangerous and idiotic “What’s The Matter With Kansas?” Books such as the Kansas book provided “theorists” from the left a “we’re smarter” snob attitude and justification for a class based hatred of poor whites.“
“3) It’s a critical problem for the “Emerging Democratic Majority” thesis. [snip]
Judis and Teixeira appropriately note that their predictions are conditional on a number of contingencies, but this is not an insignificant shift. The three Mountain West states — four if we are generous and include Arizona — comprise a total of 31 electoral votes and contain 23 House seats. Our states in Greater Appalachia comprise 47 electoral votes and contain 35 House seats, plus another 10 or so House seats in neighboring areas. In other words, by ceding these core Jacksonian states to the Republicans, Democrats are ceding about 20 percent of the House seats needed for a majority in exchange for 10 percent of the House seats needed for a majority. [snip]
Of the 63 seats Republicans picked up in 2010, 15 were in Greater Appalachia. Without these seats, their majority would be much slimmer, and Democrats would be only 10 seats from a majority, rather than 25. Many of these seats represent districts that Bill Clinton had been competitive in during the 1996 elections, but which have slipped away from his party since as the Democrats have become increasingly liberal, urban and culturally cosmopolitan.
This is the real reason Tuesday night’s results are significant. I actually don’t think these voters are complete lost causes for the Democratic Party — Republicans should be trembling at the prospect of a true populist like Brian Schweitzer of Montana running against Romney in 2016. But they do seem to be rejecting the Democratic standard-bearer for now. Given the sizable number of potential electoral votes at stake, this is not small potatoes. And the potential obstacles posed to Democratic attempts to take back the House stemming from this weakness are both real and substantial.”
Forbes.com listed several reasons why the Facebook IPO was a bust. One reason cited was “Mark Zuckerberg’s disdain for investors…. Zuckerberg’s view of shareholders is like President Obama’s view of blue collar workers. He needs them but secretly laughs at them.”
In a real world way those of us who ask Arkansas voters to vote for Democrat John Wolfe For President have already won. We’re already extracting, like a dentist a tough tooth, sorely needed money from the Obama campaign coffers:
“If Barack Obama experiences an upset in Arkansas’s Democratic primary today, it won’t be for lack of trying. The Obama campaign and the Democratic party have spent significant resources in Arkansas, while an unknown primary challenger has threatened the president’s ability to win the support of the state’s Democrats.”
“Now the people have a choice,” Wolfe says. “I think that the people think Obama isn’t listening to them.” He cites the doubletalk by Obama and national Democrats regarding private equity and Wall Street bankers.
“He criticizes Wall Street during the day, and at night he goes into these luxurious soirees with the bankers,” Wolfe says. “He leaves those meetings with millions.”
Kentucky votes tonight as well and it has a line for “uncommitted” in the primary opposite Chicago Obama. We might hear a resounding slap from Daniel Boone country too.
“It’s hard to imagine a more instructive couple of days for those who want to know where the Democratic Party’s head is at: its only high-profile African American moderate just got a brushback pitch for leaning in too close to the Independent thought zone; the Obama camp looks ominously like a cult of personality that tolerates no dissent; and the reelection campaign just doubled down on the European leftist notion that business is fair only when it operates in a sanitized, risk free manner.
As for Booker, my hope is that the pushback won’t turn him into just another faux centrist who won’t risk offending his base. He already looks a little less brave and a lot more conventional after the forgive me video from the bunker he released on Sunday. In fairness, a public servant with his gifts and history with Obama deserved much better.”
“He is the most ill-prepared person to assume the presidency in my lifetime,” Christie told some 600 Kentucky Republicans at a Lexington hotel. “This is a guy who literally is walking around in a dark room trying to find the light switch of leadership.” [snip]
“He has sat in the Oval Office and cared more about posing and preening and making partisan politics the rule of the day in Washington D.C. than he’s cared about progress,” the New Jersey Republican, now in his third year in office, said of Obama.”
It’s one thing for Republican Marco Rubio to say of Obama, “We have not seen such a divisive figure in modern American history as we have over the last three and a half years.”
“Obama Campaign Does Damage Control After Dems Question Anti-Bain Strategy
The Obama campaign is in full damage-control mode one day after Newark Mayor Cory Booker publicly derided Democrats’ assault on presumptive GOP nominee Mitt Romney over his record at Bain Capital. [snip]
Booker is not the only Democrat to question the aggressive, negative portrayal of Romney’s work in private equity. Former Tennessee Rep. Harold Ford Jr. said today he agreed with “the substance” of Booker’s comments and “would not have backed out.”
“I agree with him, private equity is not a bad thing. Matter of fact, private equity is a good thing in many, many instances,” the Democrat said in a separate appearance on MSNBC earlier in the day.
Former Obama administration economic adviser Steven Rattner made similar comments last week, calling a new Obama campaign TV ad attacking Romney’s role in the bankruptcy of a Bain-owned steel company “unfair.”
“Bain Capital’s responsibility was not to create 100,000 jobs or some other number. It was to create profits for its investors,” Rattner said. ”‘It did it superbly well, acting within the rules, acting very responsibly. … This is part of capitalism, this is part of life. I don’t think there’s anything Bain Capital did that they need to be embarrassed about.”
As for Booker, “I admire him,” Rendell said. “People in politics should tell the truth. He could have qualified it better, he could have framed it better, but if you’re in this business, none of us like negative ads.”
If Democrats don’t seem to be into Obama these days, it’s perhaps because Obama has never really been into them.
That’s right. The Obama cult of personality is not a political party. The Obama cult of personality is a Stalinist totalitarian corruption. Like Stalin, Mao or North Korean boy leaders, Ich bin die parte und die partie bin ich:
“Dems wait by phone for Obama
He doesn’t call. He doesn’t write. He doesn’t drop by for a visit.
That’s what some of the most senior Democrats in Congress are experiencing from President Barack Obama these days.
Senate Budget Committee Chairman Kent Conrad (D-N.D.) is trying to cut a deal on the nation’s fiscal crisis, but he can’t recall the last time he talked to the president. Sen. Tom Harkin (D-Iowa) is in charge of one of Obama’s top priorities — preventing a rate increase on student loans — but he hasn’t talked to the president in months. And Sen. Jeff Bingaman (D-N.M.) is the go-to guy on high gas prices, but the chairman of the Energy and Natural Resources Committee hasn’t spoken to the president much since the previous Congress.”
It’s not as if there is anything to do right?
If you are not a Facebook billionaire, a celebrity. a sports star or coughing up money, Obama does not want to see you. It’s pay to play. It’s all pay to play. Obama is pay to play (and gay for pay). Facebook is pay to play.
We started by addressing why Facebook’s IPO failed and the anti-white working class contempt of Obama. Let’s end with the corruption of pay to play at Facebook. Consider another reason why the Facebook IPO has been such a bust:
“Facebook left nothing for the common investor. The insider pig pile of PE firms and celebrity Silicon Valley angels took it all. This is a rather new, post-Sarbanes-Oxley fact and it should make Americans very, very angry. When Microsoft when public in 1986, its market value was $780 million. Microsoft’s market value would rise more than 700 times in the next 13 years. Bill Gates made millionaires of thousands of ordinary public investors. When Google went public in 2004 at a $23 billion valuation, it left less on the table for you and me. Still, if you had invested in Google then and held your stock, you would be sitting atop a 9x return. Zuckerberg and his Facebook friends took it all.”
As to Barack Obama, tonight Arkansas might continue the slapping process to an unprecedented degree. Arkansas voters have already forced Obama to spend money in their state. Arkansas voters might force Obama to face the fact that he is where he is not wanted. Go Arkansas!
This has been a week when much of the news was a rewrite of articles we first wrote in 2007/2008. But instead of looking back we need to look forward. Wanna politically punch Obama like Trayvon punched Jorge and lay him flat on the ground, his gray head bleeding? Democrat John Wolfe for President. And Hey — it’s an open primary so everybody can join in.
Last week West Virginia voters voted for a felon currently residing in Texas with enough votes to almost beat sitting bowing president Barack Obama. So many voted for the Texas felon with an unfashionable haircut that he actually won at least 1 delegate to the disaster convention in North Carolina. But forget it West Virginia voters. Your votes don’t count. That delegate will be stolen from the voters and given to Barack Obama.
This Tuesday in the state Bill Clinton governed for so many years there will be a primary. The election will be stolen. The votes will not matter. The delegates will be gifted to Barack Obama.
But despair not. Barack Obama can steal every delegate in every bar in every state but he won’t win the November elections. We can help expedite that political retirement. Democrat John Wolfe for President:
Schadenfreude alert: Obama could lose the Ark. primary
A credible threat to President Obama in the Arkansas primary? Too good to check. Gotta love the unity!
In a poll of likely voters Obama is only up 7 points over Democratic challenger John Wolfe. A loss in the May 22 Arkansas Democratic primary could glue a big red clown nose right on the president’s smug face:
Why? Because the president would begin to look a little ridiculous. Wolfe will start appearing on talk shows, gain momentum in Texas, and arrive at the Democratic convention parading around with his delegates and generally creating a spectacle that will attract reporters bored to tears by the Obama coronation.
David Limbaugh has it right. Let’s make this thing happen!
Yup, this could spread from Arkansas to Texas because John Wolfe is running in both states. Don’t think for a moment that Obama Dimocrats will respect democracy however. Obama is a North Korean:
Dems Disenfranchise Voters After Polls Show Obama in Close Primary Race
“Is this some kind of North Korea thing?”
After a poll released this week showed President Barack Obama only beating his Democratic primary opponent John Wolfe Jr. by seven points, 45 percent to 38 percent, in Arkansas’s Fourth Congressional District, state Democrats moved to practically disenfranchise Arkansas voters. “[D]elegates Wolfe might claim won’t be recognized at the national convention,” national party officials are telling state Democrats. Wolfe is being accused of not following the party rules.
“They want a coronation,” Wolfe tells THE WEEKLY STANDARD. “They’re conflating [Obama] with the party. Are we supposed to call him ‘Dear Leader’? Is this some kind of North Korea thing?”
Arkansas voters should not bow to Kenyan North Korean Obama. John Wolfe “insists he’s done the due diligence to qualify for delegates and that the state party is making decisions ad hoc to get the results they desire. Where and when have we seen that before? Yup, Rules and By-laws Committee in May of 2008.
Wolfe says Obama Dimocrats are disenfranchising voters. Wolfe says “he’ll take his own party to court”:
“They took my money and put my name on the ballot,” he says. “They’re trying to make people think it’s hopeless to vote against Obama.”
Wolfe is also on the ballot for Texas’s primary on May 29.“
From Hope to Hopeless. But it is not hopeless. Every vote against Obama counts. If Wolfe even comes close to beating Obama… well, as the Rev. says: “KEEP HOPE ALIVE”. Real Hope not Obama false hope.
“Wolfe has been critical of Obama for being tied too closely with Wall Street interests and not pursuing a more forthrightly liberal agenda, like a single-payer health care system that Wolfe (and other Democrats, he says) prefer to Obamacare. And he criticizes the president’s style. “He doesn’t like to be challenged,” he says. “Strong people don’t mind dissent.”
A lawyer from Chattanooga, Wolfe speaks in a Southern drawl, and says Obama and national Democrats don’t want to acknowledge that there are members of the party like him.
“He says ‘Chil-ay’ and “Pah-kee-stahn’,” Wolfe says, emphasizing Obama’s pronunciations of Chile and Pakistan. “I say ‘Chil-ee’ and ‘Pack-a-stan.’ They like a person who talks like them.”
Is this just a dream, a desperate waste of time? No. Obama knows that even the remotest chance of losing anything will not only hurt his fragile ego but it can cost money. If this effort causes Obama Dimocrat voter disenfranchisers to have to spend money, any amount of money and time, the effort is worth it.
We Hillary supporters know plenty of people in Arkansas and a quick phone call won’t hurt, will it? We know people in Texas too. And the people we know are Democrats not the current crop of Obaminations.
President Obama is barely leading an out of state challenger in the May 22 Arkansas Democratic primary, according to a local poll conducted by the respected Hendrix College and Talk Business Research. [snip]
Wolfe’s apparently credible challenge comes just a week after Keith Judd, an inmate at the Federal Correctional Institution in Texarkana, Texas, picked up 40 percent of the vote against Obama in the West Virginia primary.”
Yee-haw! A felon in another state with no money and no organization and no publicity almost beats a sitting bowing president of the United States. Can you say Eugene McCarthy? Now John Wolfe:
“If I were the RNC, I’d be pouring money into the Wolfe campaign.A Wolfe victory would actually be A SERIOUS MATTER for the Obama campaign.
Why? Because the president would begin to look a little ridiculous. Wolfe will start appearing on talk shows, gain momentum in Texas, and arrive at the Democratic convention parading around with his delegates and generally creating a spectacle that will attract reporters bored to tears by the Obama coronation.
They’ll do the roll call and someone will say, “The great state of Arkansas casts its votes for John Wolfe.”
One problem for Obama is that Wolfe doesn’t sound like a lunatic. I’m not saying he isn’t a lunatic. Just that he doesn’t sound like one.
Presidents really should not be losing primaries. Lyndon Johnson withdrew in 1968 simply because he didn’t win New Hampshire by as many votes as he was expected to.
Losing Arkansas would help create a sense among voters that something is very wrong. I would expect over the next week an strange infusion of buses and passenger vans into Arkansas to get Obama supporters to the polls.”
Add a Wisconsin victory for Scott Walker in June to a John Wolfe victory this coming Tuesday and later on in Texas and miracles can happen. And if none of this comes to pass Obama still looks like the scrawny fool he is. John Wolfe for President!
No one’s voting for Wolfe, only against Obama, so if the backlash is real then this race just got tighter. In fact, Arkansas Democrats are sufficiently worried that they announced today that Wolfe won’t be awarded delegates no matter how well he does because he hasn’t filed all the necessary paperwork. How happy do you think they were to have to issue that just-in-case statement?
Actually, the best part of this story is the location. Team Mitt’s going to have a lot of fun if The One faces a close call on Bill Clinton’s home turf:
Seeking to attract Democrats and independents who supported the last Democratic president, Romney has taken to lavishing praise at every turn on Clinton’s boom-era ’90s policies while contrasting them unfavorably with President Barack Obama’s old-school, Big Government ways.
The tactic is designed to drive a wedge between the group of Democrats who supported Obama during the epic 2008 primary battle between Obama and Hillary Clinton: the white, working-class voters who hold the key to many swing states, like Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan.
It’s also a simple way for Romneyland to poke a stick in the eye of Team Obama, using one of its most prominent surrogates but a man who has had a complicated personal history with Obama…”
Yup, we hold the key. Now let’s begin to twist it.
Seventeen percent of voters in the district are undecided between Obama and Wolfe and Obama only leads by seven. Yes we can!:
“Seventeen percent are undecided in the district poll.
In an interview with THE WEEKLY STANDARD, Wolfe said the poll results were “unbelievable” and said a defeat for Obama in the Arkansas primary would be “politically cataclysmic.”
“It says the momentum is good,” Wolfe said about the poll. “This is democracy in action.”
Wolfe predicted that the voters would move his way in the final days before the May 22 primary, despite his shoestring campaign budget. “There’s not been a single TV ad. There’s not been a single radio ad,” he said.
Wolfe is also competing against Obama in Texas’s May 29 primary.
Wolfe has criticized Obama for being too close to Wall Street and its interests (for example, Obama’s latest fundraiser with private equity lenders last night in New York City) and seeks to be a more principled Democrat than the 44th president.
Wolfe also said he supports repealing the president’s signature legislation, Obamacare, which he says doesn’t lower health care costs even if the White House claims otherwise.
“I don’t think it’s right in principle to force people to buy from monopolies,” Wolfe said. “The thing about Obamacare is it’s the best thing for the stock prices of insurance companies.” Wolfe added that he supports a single-payer health care system because it will be more cost effective.
Wolfe previously told TWS that he does not support gay marriage, unlike Obama.”
“Hillary 2012? Obama In Serious Danger of Losing Arkansas Primary
After President Obama’s humiliating showing against a West Virginia prison inmate earlier this month, a more serious humiliation could be in making after the May 22 Arkansas primary. [snip]
In West Virginia, a prisoner garnered nearly 42% of the vote against this sitting president. In North Carolina, “no preference” took 20% of the vote away from Obama. In national and many battleground state polls, even when he’s ahead, Obama is stuck in the mid-forties — the worst possible place for an incumbent to be
This is an incumbent in way more trouble than the corrupt media wants to let on. But even though they refuse to report it, the media does know Obama’s in trouble. All you need do is look … at … their … increasing … desperation.
But nothing displays the corrupt media’s desperation more than the fact that this pretty major story is being marginalized and/or ignored in most MSM outlets — even as they find time to do oppo-research on private citizens who support Romney.
And then there’s the desperation of the White House.”
John Wolfe to block, Mr. Trebek. It’s Obama Jeopardy we’re playing.
In 2008 when Obama lied to every Democratic interest group in order to defeat Hillary Clinton, Obama promised to put on some comfy shoes and join the picket line as president if ever the labor unions faced attack. As if. When the fight came Barack Obama ran.
As we wrote with such precision about the many Wisconsin recalls back in February 2011 “The ending won’t be pretty.” If indeed Scott Walker wins his recall election a few weeks from now Barack Obama will have to spend a great deal of time and money to win what was once supposed to be a solid and easy victory for Obama Dimocrats in November. Failure to win Wisconsin in November means President Romney.
The second big battle is the battle for money. This is the battle that has Barack Obama worried. Barack Obama cannot win if he is outspent and Barack Obama knows this.
Barack Obama first promised to accept public funds for the general election in 2008. John McCain of McCain/Feingold campaign finance legislation made the same promise. John McCain kept his word. Barack Obama outspent McCain by hundreds of millions.
The cheap hustler from Chicago is terrified. Obama has little SuperPac support so he has to order a $25 million dollar expenditure out of his own campaign coffers, money desperately needed for the fall. Meanwhile Romney is fundraising with little spending in the next five months. Worse of all, American Crossroads launches $25 million ad campaign against Obama – and that’s the amount in only one month!
“Obama won all of these states in 2008, but all of them are expected to be battlegrounds in this election. Pennsylvania might be the toughest for Republicans to flip under normal circumstances, but Obama’s war on coal, the HHS mandate, and his flip-flop on gay marriage will hurt him in this blue-collar, Catholic state. Michigan will be almost as difficult for the GOP, but Romney’s personal connection to the state gives him at least a shot at it. North Carolina might be the only gimme, after last week’s gay-marriage faceplant and the fact that Obama couldn’t get 80% of Democrats to vote for him in a primary in which he was unopposed.
It’s interesting to see Wisconsin and Missouri left off of this list. Republicans probably have a better shot in those states, and combined they represent more electoral votes than Michigan, or equal to Pennsylvania. Expect further ad campaigns to focus on those states.
This is, of course, why Democrats are panicking on fundraising. With unions spending money in Wisconsin on a losing cause this summer, they won’t have as much of a backstop on the outside-group front, and it’s only going to get worse.”
Strapped for cash and facing a tidal wave of big-money Republican attack ads, Democratic super PACs are putting an unlikely plan in motion: the Super-O-Rama.
The kitschy name is for a massive fundraising push at the national convention in Charlotte, where Democrats aim to woo elusive big donors with parties featuring live music, open bars and mingling with “senior Democratic policy leaders,” according to a fundraising appeal.
Democrats hope the events will lead to a massive cash infusion for three super PACs that have struggled to pull in the big checks necessary to compete with GOP outside advertising juggernauts like the Karl Rove-conceived Crossroads outfits and the Koch brothers-linked Americans for Prosperity.
But the plan isn’t perfect. The Democratic National Convention is just two months before the general election — too late to spend any money raised there on ads, some Democrats worry. Plus, conventions do not typically lend themselves to the type of one-on-one meetings where mega donors usually sign six- and seven-figure checks.
The Super-O-Rama plan is just one example of a larger overhaul afoot among Democratic super PACs, which have gotten a cool reception from some of the party’s biggest traditional donors.”
As Jon Lovitz would say “Super-O-Rama, yes, that’s the ticket.” Raise money when it is too late to spend it. Interrupt the parties at Bank of America stadium to ask for cash. Maybe Barack Obama will do lap dances in satin short-shorts. Hey, if you’re Gay For Pay you might as well go all the way.
“A Democratic operative familiar with the Party’s outside groups characterized the convention fundraising push as last ditch, explaining “It would be better for everyone to have money early, so they can protect incumbents and define their opponents. But you can still spend late money on advertising.”
The Democrats’ super PACs have been crushed in the race for early advertising money. The three Super-O-Rama groups had raised a combined $18 million at the end of March, while a super PAC supporting Romney had raised $52 million alone at that point. And that’s to say nothing of the $100 million raised by the two groups that compose Crossroads or the untold millions raised by other GOP-allied groups that don’t disclose their donors but have been flooding the airwaves with tough anti-Obama ads. [snip]
Unity Convention 2012 is organizing Super-O-Rama and will divide the proceeds equally among its three component groups. Its fundraising appeal indicated that it could accept unlimited “individual, labor union, or corporate” contributions, and laid out four sponsorship categories ranging from $25,000 to $100,000. [snip]
A showy super PAC presence at the convention could create tricky optics for Obama and congressional Democrats, who railed against the explosion of outside group spending sparked by a pair of 2010 federal court decisions, including the Supreme Court’s seminal ruling in a case called Citizens United vs. Federal Election Commission.”
“Tricky optics?” Big Media thinks they can get away with Obama fundraising lies by using the gulling phrase “tricky optics”. No, Obama promised and his convention planners promised there would be no corporate contributions to his campaign. Now the convention at Bank of America stadium is going to request unlimited funds from corporations and Big Media thinks that’s “tricky optics”? Next we will see Obama’s phrase from his Rezko house scam, “boneheaded” resurrected.
“Mitt Romney has moved out to an eight-point lead over President Obama in North Carolina after the two men were virtually tied a month ago.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Tar Heel State shows the putative Republican nominee earning 51% of the vote to Obama’s 43%. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.”
Last month Obama was ahead of Romney 46% to 44%. Romney gets the backing of 88% of North Carolina Republicans while Obama only gets 76% of Democrats. Obama’s flaccid North Carolina poll numbers are not a cause for pressing the panic button. But what if the gay marriage platform fight turns ugly. What if…. press the panic button:
“The state’s Democratic Party is mired in a sexual harassment scandal. Voters just approved a state constitutional amendment to ban gay marriage, which conflicts with Obama’s view on the issue. Convention fundraising has been slow, and labor unions tapped to fill the financial gap are angry the convention will be in a city — Charlotte — with no unionized hotels and in a state where compulsory union membership or the payment of dues is prohibited as an employment condition.
North Carolina’s 9.7 percent unemployment rate is above the national average and one of the host city’s top employers —Bank of America (BAC) — has announced job reductions. Obama is scheduled to accept his party’s nomination at Bank of America Stadium in September.
“It’s inconceivable that they would move the convention,” said Don Kettl, dean of the school of public policy at the University of Maryland. “But they may wish that they had placed their chips on another swing state.”
Yup, narcissist Obama thought he could replicate or increase his 0.3% margin of victory even though the past three years have been a disaster. But Obama needs to win North Carolina. Obama has visited North Carolina 11 times to campaign on the tax payer dime. North Carolina is a MUST WIN state for Obama:
“North Carolina is one of about a dozen states that Democratic and Republican strategists say are likely to determine the outcome of the presidential election.
Gay Community Protests
Last week’s vote to approve a state constitutional ban on same-sex marriage has triggered calls from gay rights activists to move the convention. Some Democrats also want to include same-sex marriage in the party platform that will be approved at the convention, a potentially headline-grabbing debate. [snip]
Association With Bank
There are political downsides for Obama in delivering his acceptance speech in a stadium named after a bank at a time when he’s championing the need for tighter regulations and more robust consumer protections. [snip]
Preparations for the Sept. 4-6 convention come as the Democratic Party in North Carolina is dealing with fallout from a sexual harassment accusation.
Sexual Harassment Allegations
State Democratic Chairman David Parker submitted his resignation over the weekend following complaints about his handling of allegations by an ex-worker against a former party director.”
Amazing isn’t it? In that entire article not a mention is made that the sexual harassment allegations are male on male harassment. Considering (1) the convention will face a potential fight over gay marriage; (2) which Obama now, for pay, endorses personally, (3) but his campaign is fighting against including gay marriage in the platform – isn’t it rather pertinent to inform readers that the sexual harassment is male on male? Isn’t that likely to play out in a state that just rejected gay marriage and civil unions by putting these prohibitions into the state constitution? Way to go Big Media in shilling for Obama.
Let’s not forget Handsome Johnny who endorsed Obama in 2008 is on trial in North Carolina. But, the focus is still money. Money is the big battle:
“Unlike previous conventions, the Democrats are trying to fund this year’s gathering without million-dollar donations from corporations. They’ve pressed labor unions to fill in the fundraising gap as part of an effort to raise $36.6 million.
Convention planners are expecting to receive, at most, $4 million from unions this year, less than half of the $8 million contributed by organized labor in 2008, according to a person familiar with the funding strategy who wasn’t authorized to speak on the record about fundraising. The number could eventually be less than $1 million and the Charlotte host committee, the main vehicle for funding the convention, is still short more than $20 million, the person said. [snip]
Crone, the North Carolina Democratic strategist, said the decision to hold the convention in his state doesn’t look as smart as when it was first announced, given the controversies that have erupted since then.”
How often do we Democrats get to laugh about gang rape? Yes, it’s Friday and we intend to frolic.
This week Barack Obama said what Dick Cheney said years ago and DailyKooks are celebrating. The flood of flowery words don’t mean a damn thing and Obama certainly didn’t open his lips before the North Carolina vote thereby avoiding a beating. But from the DailyKook reaction you would think Barack Obama grew Abe Lincoln’s beard and signed the Emancipation Proclamation for Gay America.
Hooray, Barack emitted more words! What will the DailyKooks say when Barack Obama opposes putting a gay marriage plank into the platform at the Bank of America convention? What will the DailyKooks say when Obama refuses to immediately sign the gay rights Executive Order on his desk? Will the DailyKooks repeat what Jonathan Lewis said? Jonathan said: “This isn’t a broken promise President Obama can blame on Congress.” “He has not been able to provide a single valid reason for why he is now refusing to sign the executive order protecting LGBT workers. It has become increasingly clear that this decision is based on cowardice rather than principled leadership.”
While Barack Obama mouthed words about gay marriage, John Edwards is preparing his wedding dress. John is refitting Elizabeth’s old wedding dress, taking it in to fit his slim hips. Obama endorsed gay marriage, John Edwards will soon be in a gay marriage.The parents of Bruno McMuscles invite you to celebrate the wedding of their misunderstood son Bruno (currently residing in a federal penitentiary) to the renown lawyer and potential Supreme Court Justice and former Senator from North Carolina – the recently widowed John Edwards.
Today the judge in the John Edwards case refused to dismiss the charges against Johnny. John is one step closer to bliss and a long life with Bruno and his assorted friends from Oz. We couldn’t be happier. We wish the couple (and the assorted horny friends) a long life of wedded bliss. It couldn’t happen to a nicer fella.
Speaking of gay marriages, how smart is that Mitt Romney? Lately Mitt has been batting his eyelashes at that rascal Bill Clinton. But Mitt is no fool. Mitt is batting his eyelashes at Bill in order to get to us. Ohh my.
Mitt Romney, knowing a lot of Clinton Democrats are disgusted with Obama and his party of Obaminations, is flirting with us. Color us blushed. Why, we’re not that type of girls Mitt. Or are we. Keep wooing Mitt:
“The reality is that when Bill Clinton ran in ’92, he ran as a new Democrat,” said the aide, citing ticket’s campaign pledge to reform welfare. “That was the famous ad that they ran: Clinton and Gore were going to be different kinds of Democrats.”
He continued: “President Obama has really turned his back on all of that. He hasn’t run as a new Democrat, he’s run as an old Democrat… more spending, more taxation, more regulation.”
Keep talking Mitt. Flirt with us some more. We like:
“While the Obama campaign pushes out its new slogan urging voters to look “forward,” Mitt Romney’s team is feeling reminiscent.
In a press briefing before Romney’s speech in Lansing, MI Tuesday, a senior adviser sought to contrast Obama’s campaign message with that of a Democratic presidential candidate of the past: Bill Clinton. [snip]
In casting Obama as an “old-style Democrat,” the Romney campaign is apparently seeking to undermine the president’s campaign slogan and the message it represents — one of progressive, forward-thinking solutions.
Team Romney’s retort: Look at the past four years.
The aide’s characterization of Obama as being stuck in the past was reaffirmed by Romney’s speech, which sought to draw a contrast with references to Facebook and mobile apps — as well as jabs at what he sees as hollow rhetoric about the future.
“In his campaign kickoff speech last week, he asked us not to think about these last four years,” Romney said, prompting laughter from the audience. “Convenient, but not convincing. Ignoring his record would bind us to repeat it.”
We’re not forgetting anything Mitt. We’re not voting for Barack Obama, no way. More and more people are seeing things the way we see them too. As James Carville gloated, er warned, about:
“Newsflash: Nothing is in the bag. Nothing can be taken for granted. Everybody from the precinct door-knocker, to the Chicago high command, to the White House, to the halls of Congress, to the Senate and House committees, to congressional leadership, here is a simple message: If we don’t get on the offense, reconnect with the American people, talk about how the middle class is in a struggle for its very existence, hold the Republicans accountable and fight like the dickens, we are going to lose.
You can shoot five Bin Ladens, you can save 10,000 banks and 20 car companies, even pass the most sweeping legislation in modern American history; if people don’t think that you are connected to their lives and are fighting for their interests they will vote your tush out of office in a nano-second. For historical reference see Winston Churchill election of 1945 and President George H.W. Bush in 1992…”
Why look so far in the past? Just look at Dick Lugar – out of touch, out of office.
Carville’s “warnings” sound more like gloating don’t they? “Obama is a boob and if the party does not dump Obama it will die from top to bottom” is what Carville seems to be saying. Obama is Jimmie Davis.
“(CNN) — A long time ago a great three-time governor of Louisiana, Earl Long, said about Jimmie Davis, the two-time not very good governor of Louisiana, “You couldn’t wake up Jimmie Davis with an earthquake.”
As I go around the country and see various Democrats and talk to them on the phone, honestly I’m beginning to think that we have become the party of Jimmie Davis.
My message is simple: WTFU. Translated — wake the you-know-what up, there is an earthquake.
You think that Democrats around the country are going to win — as I hear time and time again from people on the street.
Democratic fundraisers, activists, supporters, and even politicians alike have somehow collectively lapsed into the sentiment that the president is going to be reelected and that we have a good shot to take the House back while holding the Senate.
I ask: What are you smoking? What are you drinking? What are you snorting or just what in the hell are you thinking?“
LANSING, Mich. — Mitt Romney has a new hero on the stump and it’s Bill Clinton.
In seeking to drive a wedge between centrist and liberal Democrats, Romney spoke here on Tuesday in glowing terms of the Clinton era’s balanced budgets and rosy economy.
“President Obama chose to apply liberal ideas of the past to a 21st century America,” Romney said. “Liberal policies didn’t work back then, they haven’t worked during these last four years, and they will not work in the future. New Democrats had abandoned those policies, but President Obama resurrected them with the predictable results.”
Romney continued: “President Clinton, remember, he said the era of big government was over. President Obama brought it back with a vengeance. Government at all levels now consumes about 38 percent of the economy, and if Obamacare is installed, that will rise to about half of the economy.”
Furthermore, Romney sought to paint Obama as a welfare president. It was not a far cry from ex-presidential rival Newt Gingrich dubbing Obama a “food stamp president,” and the former House speaker’s work with Clinton to balance the budget in the ’90s also resonated during Romney’s speech.
“President Clinton made efforts to reform welfare as we know it,” Romney said. “But President Obama is trying tirelessly to expand the welfare state, with more promises of more programs, more benefits, more spending.” [snip]
A senior Romney aide told reporters before the speech at a community college here that that invoking Clintonism was devised as a trick to drive a wedge between centrist and liberal Democrats, though with Clinton appearing front-and-center in Obama’s campaign advertisements — not to mention his wife, Hillary, serving as Obama’s secretary of state — the results of such a strategy remain to be seen.
Like Romney, the aide spoke glowingly of President Clinton.”
Recently the evidence has been piling up about this sometimes public, sometimes secret war between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton/Bill Clinton. Sometimes we track the latest developments in our comments section:
“JtJames, thanks for that article. Anyone who thinks Hillary or Bill Clinton don’t remember 2008 should read it. Anytime Bill or Hillary say something nice about Barack Obama that article should be reread. “There are three leading political parties in America.” Guess which one we belong to?”
“The Democratic congressman thought his credentials were in order. He was popular, from a prominent district and the ranking member of a key committee. Most important, he had not endorsed Barack Obama in the 2008 Democratic presidential race. So through an intermediary, he asked Bill Clinton to headline a fundraiser. The answer: no.
The go-between reminded the former president that the congressman had remained neutral in the race between Obama and Hillary Clinton.
“Yeah, but neutral was the same as endorsing Barack,” the former president said, according to the intermediary, who declined to be named because of continuing friendships with both men. “The answer is still no.”
“The answer is still no.”
The article tracks exactly with what we know. The article tracks exactly with Bill Clinton’s “payback” tour this year and every year since 2007 – reward your friends, punish your enemies. The article tracks exactly with the Al Sharpton complaint that most of those who attack Barack Obama or have negative things to say are Hillary Clinton supporters. The article tracks exactly with Hillary Clinton donors not donating or donating “polite” amounts. The article tracks exactly with Hillary Clinton donors saying “the answer is still no” to Obama’s Superpac.
While Bruno is splashing on the aftershave in anticipation of handsome Johnny nuptials and Romney is making googoo eyes at Bill, Bill is busy giving the skunk eye to Barack. It’s Amateur Hour says Bill.
“Bill Clinton thought so little of President Obama — mocking him as an “amateur” — that he pressed his wife last summer to quit her job as secretary of state and challenge him in the primaries, a new book claims,
“The country needs you!” the former president told Hillary Clinton, urging her to run this year, according to accounts of the conversation included in Edward Klein’s new biography of Obama.
The title of Klein’s explosive, unauthorized bio of Obama, “The Amateur” (Regnery Publishing), was taken directly from Bill Clinton’s bombshell criticism of the president, the author said.
“Barack Obama,” Bill Clinton said, according to book excerpts, “is an amateur.”
The withering criticism is incredible, given the fact that Bill Clinton is actively campaigning for Obama’s re-election.
But according to the book, Bill Clinton unloaded on Obama and pressed Hillary to run against her boss during a gathering in the ex-president’s home office in Chappaqua last August that included longtime friends, Klein said.
“The economy’s a mess, it’s dead flat. America has lost its Triple-A rating . . . You know better than Obama does,” Bill said.
Bill Clinton insisted he had “no relationship” with Obama and had been consulted more frequently by his presidential successor, George W. Bush.
Obama, Bill Clinton said, “doesn’t know how to be president” and is “incompetent.”
“Edward Klein is a seven-time New York Times bestselling non-fiction author. He is also the former foreign editor of Newsweek and former editor-in-chief of The New York Times Magazine. Klein frequently contributes to Vanity Fair and Parade, and currently lives in New York, New York.”
But whether the author is wholly creating a fiction or relating the absolute truth, it cannot be argued that Bill Clinton’s arguments in The Amateurring clear as a bell:
““Why risk everything now?” a skeptical Hillary told her husband, emphasizing that she wanted to leave a legacy as secretary of state.
“Because,” Bill replied, his voice rising, “the country needs you!”
“The country needs us!” added Bill. [snip]
She said she had the option of running again in 2016.
But Bill wouldn’t let go.
“I know you’re young enough!” Bill said, his voice booming. “That’s not what I’m worried about. I’m worried that I’m not young enough.”
“I’m the highest-ranking member in Obama’s Cabinet. I eat breakfast with the guy every Thursday morning. What about loyalty, Bill? What about loyalty?” she responded.
“Loyalty is a joke,’’ Bill shot back. “Loyalty doesn’t exist in politics.”
Bill’s verbal battle with Hillary over the presidency, if anything, intensified when daughter Chelsea showed up with her husband, Marc Mezvinsky.
“You deserve to be president,” Chelsea said.
Bill was clearly pleased that Chelsea was on his side and vowed to have allies commission polls on a Hillary-Obama matchup.
“What are you trying to do — force my hand?” Hillary said.
“I want everyone to know how strong you poll,” Bill said.
It’s a dangerous day for Barack Obama. As we wrote yesterday, Obama’s many lies and gay bashing adventures over the years, threatened to catch up with him as must win North Carolina went to the polls. Electorally Obama found himself in a smoking frying pan. Today’s down low switch hitting ploy on gay marriage will have grave electoral consequences. But the great danger for Obama is that other groups will now learn from certain gay people and certain gay groups.
Enter Jonathan Lewis. In June of 2009 we advised women, Jews, and gays to “wake up”. We noted that the organizations supposedly established to fight for these groups were more interested in defending Barack Obama than in their mission statements. We recently noted this pro Obama hypocrisy was also evident in the actions of environmental groups and labor unions – they’re more interested in protecting/helping Barack Obama than in their own constituents. Jonathan Lewis and a few gay leaders were the only ones that fought for the gay community and today their strategy threatens a meltdown of the Obama campaign. If other constituent groups learn from Jonathan and demand Obama act on their issues Obama will be caught between today’s Obama and the other Obamas from yesteryear and Obama “present” votes of convenience.
Who is Jonathan Lewis and why is he so important? Well for one thing Jonathan is the son of Peter Lewis and Peter Lewis is a very wealthy man. Peter Lewis (of “Flo” and Progressive Insurance) along with George Soros has been one of the rivers of money for the democratic left. This campaign season Peter Lewis has not been contributing money to help the Obama cause. Lewis’s money distributor Michael Vachon, has been dripping disdain on Obama’s pleas for Superpac money. Peter’s gay activist son Jonathan has been a thorn on Barack Obama’s side:
A key activist called Obama a “coward” and plans to execute a “We Can’t Wait” campaign to draw attention to the issue.
Jonathan Lewis, the son of billionaire Peter Lewis, told The Washington Post that he plans to spend $100,000 to fund the “We Can’t Wait” campaign.
“This isn’t a broken promise President Obama can blame on Congress,” Lewis said. “He has not been able to provide a single valid reason for why he is now refusing to sign the executive order protecting LGBT workers. It has become increasingly clear that this decision is based on cowardice rather than principled leadership.”
Jonathan Lewis has been even more scornful of Obama on gay marriage. Why does a gay billionaire’s son hold so much influence? Obama needs money desperately. The big donor community is close knit and everyone knows Peter and Michael and by extension Jonathan. Between black votes and gay money Barack Obama went with the green.
After last night the Obama campaign figured the cops were banging on the door. In North Carolina Obama had distributed a press release against the anti gay marriage Amendment One but otherwise kept quiet. After the vote Obama noted the huge margins for Amendment One as well as the numbers for him. In a state Obama won in 2008 by 0.3% Obama last night lost 20% of his own party!
Before last night’s vote it was almost impossible for Obama to win “must win” North Carolina. After last night even the Obama campaign understands that “must win” North Carolina has gone south for Obama.
Republicans/conservatives believe that Obama has been a secret gay marriage supporter all along. They are wrong. To this day Barack Obama has never participated in a gay pride march and in 2008 when gay bashing was needed to win South Carolina – gay bashing it was. But Republican/conservative HotAir does get some things right in “Noted gay-marriage supporter finally drops cynical charade“:
“Note the fine print, though: The president stressed that this is a personal position, and that he still supports the concept of states deciding the issue on their own. But he said he’s confident that more Americans will grow comfortable with gays and lesbians getting married, citing his own daughters’ comfort with the concept.
I don’t believe that for a moment either but that’s going to be his new compromise. Instead of “I support gay rights but oppose gay marriage” it’s now “I support gay marriage but oppose federal intervention.” Even so, if/when the Supreme Court finds a right to same-sex marriage in the Equal Protection Clause, rest assured that the statement from the White House that day will be nothing but celebratory. This position too is a charade.
2. Excite the activist base: The LGBT community is not only a major part of the Democratic base but they also comprise some of the most politicalyl active people in the party. [snip]
3. Excite the donor base: One in six Obama’s 2012 campaign bundlers are gay, according to research conducted by the Post’s Dan Eggen and T.W. Farnam. Couple that fact with the news earlier this week that George Soros, one of the most prominent Democratic major donors in the country, was directing his contributions to grassroots groups rather than the super PAC expected to fund TV ads supporting Obama and it’s clear that the president badly needs a heavy investment from Hollywood and Silicon Valley. And those two communities are heavily in favor of gay marriage. (Don’t forget: Obama is headed to Hollywood tonight for a fundraiser at the house of actor George Clooney.)
4. Rally young people: [snip]
5. A principled stand: [snip]
Short version: its gay money and white liberals. If Jonathan Lewis contributes to the Obama superpac Barack will be happy and think it was all worth while. But it’s not all show me the money:
“And now, the minuses.
1. Not a slam dunk: [snip]
2. The black community: If the LGBT vote is a pillar of Obama’s base, the African American vote is an even bigger pillar. (In a recent Post poll in Virginia, Obama was beating former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney 97 percent to one percent among black voters.) And, African Americans have consistently been one of the groups most resistant to gay marriage. In that year’s worth of Post-ABC polling, just 42 percent said they support legalization while 55 percent oppose it. Yes, it’s unlikely that black voters leave Obama in droves over the issue. But it’s easier to see this decision taking some of the passion for him out of this community.
3. Virginia/North Carolina: President Obama won both states in 2008 and his campaign is targeting both again in 2012. (The Democratic National Convention this summer will be held in Charlotte.) While both states have changed demographically and politically over the past decade (or so), large portions of both states remain culturally quite conservative and might balk at Obama’s support for same-sex marriage. (Amendment One, which makes the only legal union in the state as between a man and a woman, passed with 60 percent of the vote on Tuesday in North Carolina.)
But as much gay money as flows into Obama’s pockets Barack still has to be worried. Imagine what will happen if the environmentalists stop making excuses for Obama and demand he do something on their issues. Imagine what will happen if the labor unions stop making excuses for Obama and demand he do something on their issues (such as the Keystone Pipeline which environmentalists oppose). Imagine what will happen if on issue after issue, demographic after demographic, interest group after interest group the protection of Obama ceases and instead action before the election is demanded. Imagine if the jobless demand jobs!
Today’s danger for Obama is that a few gay donors threatened Obama and Obama fell to his knees. If others start doing the same the campaign of bamboozle and lies will have to begin to produce change you can believe in. Suppose all groups demand Obama do what he says? Disaster!
There is a primary in Indiana tonight. Long time incumbent Republican senator Richard Lugar will probably lose. Tonight’s Lugargeddon is more proof of the powerful draught served by the Tea Party and the evaporated mist known as Occupy Wall Street.
When/if Richard Lugar gets booted out of office it will be for not listening to the ones that brung him. The decades living in Washington, D.C. distanced Lugar from Indiana and Lugar began to think he was in Washington to do as he desired without listening to the great unwashed.
Our republican form of government requires elected officials to use their discretion, experience, wisdom, and personal judgment in casting votes. But those votes have to be explained. Those votes have to take into consideration the popular will. The votes our representatives cast are votes on behalf of the people filtered though that elected official. But in the end the elected official must at the very least listen to and consider the wishes of the governed. Lugar tonight will learn that lesson.
In North Carolina, a must win state for Barack Obama, there is an anti gay marriage ballot issue, Amendment One, that will likely win. This Amendment One issue puts Obama in a bind.
Many African-Americans are opposed to gay marriage and Obama needs a turnout of blacks bigger than 2008 if he is to have a chance of winning. That is one of the reasons which explains Obama bailing out of a North Carolina visit.
Contrary to what many Republicans/conservatives believe Barack Obama is an anti gay bigot. So are many African-Americans. But a lot of white liberals mouth support for gay marriage and gay rights and Barack Obama needs to fool them again as well.
Honest gay activists are withholding campaign contributions from Barack Obama until he keeps some of his broken promises to the gay community and Barack Obama desperately needs that gay money. But, a lot of swing states such as North Carolina and Ohio are against gay marriage. Obama is caught between the oceans of lies. Remember this from two days after the 2008 elections?:
Proposition 2 in California passed on Tuesday. Proposition 2 benefited farm animals. Proposition 2 protects pregnant pigs, calves and hens as well as any animal in an enclosed area. California farm animals have their rights enhanced in Barack World. California Gay-Americans are sent to the Obama slaughter house.
Proposition 8, with big help from Obama supporters passed in California. Many of those Obama supporters that supported Proposition 8 were African-Americans who voted for Proposition 8 by 70%. Obama said nary a word against proposition 8. Obama’s voice was employed by supporters of Proposition 8 in robocalls to win support for Proposition 8. The Obama South Carolina gay-bashing tour echoed in California.
Many African-American Obama supporters who wept and gloried in the end of racism in America turned on Gay-Americans. [Some wonderful African-Americans fought against Proposition 8 with the same strength that some African-Americans supported Hillary.] Obama said nary a word against the bigotry.
The Obama gay baiting of 2008 is catching up with him in 2012.
In Wisconsin the Republican governor Scott Walker will officially know who his opponent will be. In early June both candidates will face off in a general recall/reelection fight. If Scott Walker wins the last of the many recent recall elections in Wisconsin the Obama campaign will have a coronary. Say goodbye to 10 electoral votes that were in the “safe” category for Obama.
Tonight might not be exciting, but it sets the table for the main events to come.
Wanna know what else is difficult? Keeping track of Obama scams, flim-flams, lies, distractions, stunts, bamboozlements, race-baitings, fake wars, real wars, past broken promises, present broken promises, future broken promises, panders, evasions, tricks, trades, calculated tantrums, calculated sneers, calculated snubs, manipulations, gimmicks, not to mention the golfing, vacations, policy fiascoes, personal obnoxiousness, and the sleeveless partner, is really really difficult. But you have got to keep focused. You can’t cover all the above. You can only prioritize and try to track the trends and overviews of all the above. It’s what we try to do. It’s what we advise Mitt Romney to do.
It’s easier said than done. But as he has thus far mostly done, it is what Mittens Willard Romney should continue to do. Avoid distractions Mitt!
The way this election cycle is going to proceed is that groups outside the campaign have promised to tackle a lot of the issues Obama wants to distract with as well as the advertising which directly attacks Barack Obama in a most negative way. The Romney campaign proper will be able to stay positive and stay focused on the most important issues. By that we mean the economy.
Now we can hear the howls from the phony Obama campaign and well meaning deluded people who are properly concerned with the state of campaign financing. But really, it is time to grow up on campaign financing. Does anyone in the Democratic Left really think that either party is not beholden to the wealthy (“stinkin’ rich” to the Occupy Wall Street dupes)?
“Interior designer Bryan Huffman told the courtroom that Rachel “Bunny” Mellon was unhappy that Edwards tried hiding his relationship with Rielle Hunter using some of the $725,000 that Mellon had funneled to him during the 2008 presidential campaign, The Associated Press reported.
“She thought maybe you should probably pay for your girlfriend yourself,” Huffman testified.
Many in the courtroom laughed — and Edwards even smiled, according to the AP.
Mellon also gave $6.4 million to organizations tied to Edwards’ presidential run, and after he dropped out of the race in January 2008, aide Andrew Young requested an additional $40 to $50 million for Edwards’ poverty foundation, Huffman testified.
“[Mellon] was rather apoplectic at the size of the figure they requested. She was really upset,” Huffman said. “She said, ‘I cannot believe that the senator really wanted me for my money all along.’”
Did you notice? That was all before Citizens United. Millions upon millions for handsome Johnny as he roared about helping the poor – while Flukeing Reille whom we assume could not afford the contraception. It’s a War On Women!
Hey, did you notice? We just got distracted. We were talking about Romney not getting distracted and then we darn well got distracted talking about pretty boy Edwards. He sure is pretty isn’t he? Darn, we almost got distracted again talking about his flaxen waxen hair. Then we got distracted by the War on Women and the silver fox.
Romney knows these outside the campaign groups are going to mostly stick to the issues Obama wants to distract with while he himself sticks to the economy. That’s not to say that Romney might occasionally take some pokes at some of Obama’s most obvious distractions and gimmicks. That’s not to say that the outside groups might not tackle some of the more awkward Obama economic claims and ridiculous slogans such as Forward – for Obama “Forward” means continually going backward:
“Looks like Barack Obama’s new campaign slogan will be incredibly popular … with his opponents. American Crossroads launched a new ad yesterday titled “Backward,”explaining that economic progress has moved in that direction rather than forward for the last three years. More people end up on food stamps, more people drop out of the work force, and the only thing moving forward is … well, watch the clip:”
Romney is going to have to restrict himself to the economy while other Obama schemes are addressed by Romney ally organizations.
“It becomes increasingly impossible to question the notion that Barack Obama is purposefully destructive. [snip]
Consider: The more the economy deteriorates the more Barack Obama profits politically. Americans forced in desperation from even bothering to look for jobs leads to a drop in the unemployment rate and Barack Obama smirks a clown smile and goes on yet another vacation. [snip]
It’s government by willful, purposeful, destruction of America for personal political profit – but it won’t work to save this corrupt clown from Chicago.
On each of these issues Barack Obama pretends to vote “present” or both “yes” and “no” in the HOPE that Americans are as stupid as he thinks they are. After all, Barack reasons, they did elect him so they really are stupid.
But reality, like justice, has its own wheel which grinds slowly but inexorably. On each issue Obama’s chickens are coming home – ready to poop.”
Romney has to tie up some other chickens to the roof of his car and have them poop directly on Obama’s head. One of those chickens has to be Ted Turner. Mr. CNN has now joined George Soros and Jimmy Carter in stating that Romney won’t be such a frightening president. Turner thinks Romney “would probably make a good president.”
We’re much more doubtful about Mittens than Ted, George and Jimmy. We do know that Barack Obama has got to go. From that basic fact, we won’t get distracted.
Tonight’s Obama campaign publicity stunt will be one of many more and is the product of many more earlier campaign publicity stunts. But these publicity stunts are not really going to matter. That’s because Mitt Romney knows IT’S THE ECONOMY.
“Why the presidential election could be over at 8:30 a.m., October 26
This may be as good as it gets. Sputter-speed growth of around 2% and a moribund labor market. As the above chart suggests, the recovery is losing momentum. Here’s Goldman economist Jan Hatzius:
Goldman Sachs is turning increasingly bearish on the U.S. economy, expecting the nation to have added only 125,000 new jobs in April, as the effects of a warm winter, which buoyed employment late last year, wear off.
The forecast is far lower than the Reuters estimate of 170,000, and the average 177,250 jobs created every month from December to March. According to a report by the bank’s Chief U.S. Economist Jan Hatzius, the jobs report will be a further sign of a weakening economy, where inventory accumulation has accelerated and final demand growth remains sluggish.
“Real income growth remains soft, partly because of higher energy prices, wealth effects are not yet particularly positive, consumer confidence remains modest, and again some of the recent strength in retail sales probably reflects weather effects,” Hatzius said.
“Wait, the second half will be “more difficult” than the first? We might be lucky to have 2% growth in the first half. The econ team at Citigroup seems equally as sober: “The 1Q GDP data, a month of rising jobless claims, and likely back-to-back moderate gains in non-farm employment should dampen remaining optimism that 2013 would be the year of decisive growth acceleration in the U.S. Why should any other quarter in 2012 be markedly better than 1Q?”
And given the reluctance of big banks to make U.S. recession calls, I have to think that plenty of these folks are worrying we might get a negative quarter at some point this year. Imagine the political shock wave if, say, the third quarter dipped even a smidgen. To use President Obama’s favorite analogy, the U.S. economy would be back in the ditch. And that report would be released by the Commerce Department on Oct. 26, just 11 days before the election.”
Stick to the economy Mitt Romney. Let Obama continue to waste taxpayer dollars on campaign publicity stunts. Soon the bill will come due and Barack Obama will have to pay.