Update: Too bad so many spoke out so late about the hype of Half-a-cane Irene.
As noted in the comments by Basil99 the comments about Obama are hurricane force HERE. There is a good post on HotAir about Hurricane Politics (“This wasn’t about saving people from a rain storm.. it was about saving political careers from a crap storm of bad PR.”. Big Media deceived the public with terrorizing talk – for profit. Instead of discussing what was witnessed by reporters they embellished the lack of wind/rain with ‘but it’s gonna be reallllllllly bad whatever your lying eyes tell you’.
The article at HotAir notes what we have discussed for years about this being the Age of Fake. Everything is phony. Instead of leadership we get publicity stunts designed to fake real leadership. Toby Hamden does a good but belated job as well across the pond regarding the hurricane hype.
Americans have not been fooled by Obama’s boobery or Big Media’s attempt to salvage him. If Half-a-cane Irene was a fizzle of drizzle, Barack Obama is still a drip.
As you drink you Hurricane cocktails do not miss the story of Obama’s uncle (the one he wrote about in his book then dropped like a hot potato). Obama’s uncle got drunk, hit a cop car then asked to call the White House. Only in America kids, only in America.
If there is one thing that Big Media distorts and exploits for its own benefit even more than politics, it’s – the weather.
As we have written for years now, Big Media distorts our politics for the benefit of what we have to call the Big Media Party.
Now that Tim Russert is interviewing Osama Bin Laden in a very special place reserved for them because of their deeds, let’s look at the Big Media coverage of Hurricane Irene.
Have you noticed that for all the “New York will be destroyed’ innuendo and fear mongering (aided and abetted by ass covering politicians who do not want to be accused of not learning the “lessons of Hurricane Katrina”) there has been close to zero, if not actually zero, mentions of the last “hurricane” that blasted New York City? That’s because after much the same hype as we witness today Hurricane Gloria was a dud. Gloria was anything but glorious. Hurricane Gloria is best described as D.O.A.
An article like this is difficult to write because we do not want to encourage idiots who literally do not know when to get out of the rain. But is Hurricane Irene and the terror inducing coverage by Big Media justified? Shouldn’t there be some discussion of the interests of Big Media in driving everyone to TV sets. You betcha.
Without doubt Hurricane Irene will destroy piers and knock boats about and, along with high tides and surges, cause destruction of many homes, businesses and infrastructure. But this certainly is not a “killer storm”, at least not yet. How many people have been killed by Hurricane Irene? The hurricane directly hit islands in the Caribbean but we have not heard of any deaths. Have you?
Of course low lying areas (such as the below sea level New Orleans during Katrina) will be hard hit. If you live in these areas watch out and take all necessary precautions. The D.C. swamp is low lying in more ways than one and might be extra hard hit.
Even if you are not in low lying areas but in the storm path or periphery you should take precautions (hint: it’s the power shortages that will bite). But that goes without having to say it, doesn’t it. In every home there should be (near the door) emergency supplies and evacuation plans. Fires can strike at any time and other disasters are always looming. Preparation is the best antidote to fear at those times.
“This post by Dr. Simon Atkins is making the rounds thanks to a Drudge link, but after reading it and listening to Mark Levin’s interview with the author, it sounds like he’s perfectly in line with what we knew a few hours ago. In brief:
1. The early fears that this thing might hit NYC head on as a Category 3 or even a Category 4 and tear the city limb from limb have faded.
2. It’s still going to do lots of damage, but apparently massive flooding from storm surges is now the main threat. Gusts of wind should top out at “only” 60-70 mph by the time Irene hits here, but because the storm’s moving slowly, that gives it extra time to blow water from the ocean into the streets and subways.
3. While somewhat less of a threat now, the wind may still pose unique dangers to skyscrapers. I haven’t heard anyone speculate yet that office towers might topple over, but someone tweeted to me earlier that once you get above the 25th floor or so, the storm is one category higher than it is on the ground. Avoid tall buildings at all costs, and in the name of all that’s holy, don’t stand underneath them. Windows will shatter and glass will fall.”
The Simon Atkins article which so many read so avidly last night at DrudgeReport comports with what can be seen by anyone who believes their own eyes not what lying Big Media “reports” for it’s own profit interests:
“The hype over Hurricane Irene is overblown, predicts the CEO of Advanced Forecasting Corporation.
“North of Delaware, most hurricane force winds will very likely be gusts, not sustained winds.”
o The demise of Irene has already begun. There is no visible eye. The storm intensity is down to 99 mph. This would be a low-end category 2 or a strong category 1 storm, while 36 hours ago some predicted a catastrophic category 4 storm. Air Force Reserve aircraft have found that Irene’s eyewall has collapsed, and the central pressure has risen — rising pressure means a weakening storm.
o The reduction in storm intensity likely confirms that this storm is not going to be as monstrous as it has been publicly forecast to be.
o Yes, it will be windy. However, north of Delaware most hurricane force winds will very likely be gusts, not sustained winds.”
That is what we noticed when looking at “news reports” (hint: watch the TV but keep the sound off. The words and graphics produced are catnip to keep you watching and in awe. Look and read source materials – in this case satellite images are the best source). There was no “eye” of the storm. Also at times the great round rings of power that surround the eye of killer storms or even semi-strong storms are also missing. What one can see is that on one half the bands are strong but on the other side of the hurricane there are few if any bands at all.
“o At Advanced Forecasting Corporation, we are concentrating on the surging waters which typically cause over 85% of the loss of life in hurricanes. We have modeled the following predictions:
1) There will be wind damage over eastern-most North Carolina as well as some storm surge flooding up the Pamlico Sound. Some houses in the Hamptons will be flooded and destroyed. Flooding might occur in New York’s Battery Park Subway station and on the FDR Drive since the city could get up to 8 inches of rain. There may be some New England neighborhoods submerged due to rivers overflowing.
2) With 90% confidence, we predict a total damage bill below $1 billion. Unless there is an unexpected secondary or tertiary event, this is not going to be a huge-loss storm.
o Our internal modeling uses genetic algorithms to emphasize the weaknesses of storms. Remember that storms are energy. Just like people, they all have their own personalities. From the get-go, Irene was not a power storm. Her goal was to become wide, not internally powerful. Personified further, the storm became too big too quickly and it cannot master its own strength.”
“Satellite data and measurements from the Hurricane Hunters show that Irene continues to weaken. A 1:32 pm EDT center fix by an Air Force Reserve aircraft found that Irene’s eyewall is still gone, and the central pressure had risen to 951 mb from a low of 942 mb this morning. The winds measured in Irene near the surface support classifying it as a strong Category 1 hurricane or weak Category 2. Satellite imagery shows a distinctly lopsided appearance to Irene’s cloud pattern, with not much heavy thunderstorm activity on the southwest side. This is due to moderate southwesterly wind shear of 10 – 20 knots. This shear is disrupting Irene’s circulation and has cut off upper-level outflow along the south side of the hurricane. No eye is visible in satellite loops, but the storm’s size is certainly impressive. Long range radar out of Wilmington, North Carolina, shows that the outermost spiral bands from Irene have moved ashore over North Carolina. Winds at buoy 41004 100 miles offshore from Charleston, SC increased to 47 mph, gusting to 60 mph at 3 pm EDT, with significant wave heights of 25 feet. [snip]
With its eyewall collapsed and just 18 more hours over water before landfall, Irene does not have time to build a new eyewall and intensify. The storm is too large to weaken quickly, and the best forecast is that Irene will be a strong Category 1 hurricane at landfall in North Carolina on Saturday. Based on the latest wind analysis from NOAA’s Hurricane Research Division (Figure 2) and Irene’s continued weakening trend, I predict that the 80-mile section of North Carolina coast to the right of where Irene makes landfall will receive sustained hurricane-force winds of 75 – 85 mph on Saturday at landfall; the 80-mile section of coast to the left will receive 55 – 75 mph winds. High wind shear of 30 knots will begin ripping into Irene Sunday morning when it is near Southern New Jersey, and more rapid weakening will occur. By the time Irene arrives on Long Island Sunday afternoon, it will probably have top sustained winds in the 65 – 75 mph range. However, since Irene is such a huge storm–tropical storm force winds extend out up to 290 miles from the center–it has set a massive amount of the ocean’s surface in motion, which will cause a much larger storm surge than the winds would suggest. At 3:30 pm EDT this afternoon, a wind analysis from NOAA/HRD (Figure 2) indicated that the potential storm surge damage from Irene still rated a 5.0 on a scale of 0 to 6. This is equivalent to the storm surge a typical Category 4 hurricane would have. While this damage potential should steadily decline as Irene moves northwards and weakens, we can still expect a storm surge one full Saffir-Simpson Category higher than Irene’s winds when it impacts the coast. Since tides are at their highest levels of the month this weekend due to the new moon, storm surge flooding will be at a maximum during the high tidal cycles that will occur at 8 pm Saturday night and 8 am Sunday morning. Wherever Irene happens to be at those times, the storm surge damage potential will be maximized. I continue to give a 20% chance that a 3 – 4 foot storm surge high enough to over-top the Manhattan flood walls and swamp the New York City subway system will occur on Sunday. The latest 11 am probabilistic storm surge map from NHC shows a 20 – 30% chance of a storm surge in excess of 3 feet in New York Harbor (Figure 4.) Keep in mind that these maps are calculated for normal tide level, and this weekend’s high tides will be nearly 1 foot above normal.”
Hurricane Irene is wide and bringing lots of water and it is a shame it did not go into Texas which needs the water. Texas would likely pay the price of the wind damage in order to get all that rain water.
North Carolina, accustomed to hurricanes of all varieties is helping its northern neighbors by taking Irene’s punch and weakening it. Say “thank you North Carolina” D.C.’ers and New Yorkers and Pennsylvania (and did anyone notice that Mayor Nutter has not attempted to shut down Philadelphia like Bloomberg has to New York even though Philly will be hit harder than New York?).
No Big Pink article should be complete without noting Barack Obama and his interests. When Texas and other “red” states were suffering from fires or floods Barack Obama barely noticed until it was very late. But North Carolina? Barack Obama knows that without North Carolina he has zero shot of winning reelection and so North Carolina has been treated to immediate attention. It is deserved attention and we are not saying otherwise. But we are saying that if was a “red” state with problems Barack Obama would have extended his vacation on Martha’s Vineyard.
We know our readers are sensible and will take sensible precautions and stay safe. The big danger will be power shortages so prepare. Remember what we told the Obama Hopium priests in 2008: “Hope is not a strategy.”
Our best wishes to our newly liberated friends at Martha’s Vineyard as well as those commemorating what happened 91 years ago.
As always, not just when Big Media pulls your chain and rings Pavlovian bells, stay safe and be well.
Update: Via those nogoodniks at Crawdad, the latest “tweet” from Charles Krauthammer:
“Earthquake, hurricane, Obamacare. When does it stop? Seven more and I vote we let the Israelites go.”