Update: Sometimes you just stupid your way into taking the smart course. That’s what happened tonight with the Republican caucus. Read the first two paragraphs with our suggestions to Boehner (below this update) and see how the Republicans might wind up doing what we think would be smart for them.
“A more optimistic take came from a senior House leadership advisor, who told me that some key members had asked to sleep on it. There is sometimes a point in a negotiation (which is what this is) when it is counterproductive to push on. As the advisor explained: “The speaker was not going to force a midnight vote. We’re not going to do that on something this big.” [snip]
There are a couple of benefits to drawing this out (although I have no indication whatsover from conversations with half a dozen House Republican offices this evening that the delay is attributable to anything other than difficulty in rounding up the votes). First, Boehner will certainly have a strong argument that nothing OTHER than this bill can get through the House before August 2. And second, as time slips away, there is less and less time for the Senate to come up with an alternative that can pass both houses by August 2.
The smart money is still on the eventual passage of the Boehner bill. But it’s not going to happen without extracting every last drop of patience from the American people, not to mention the media covering one of the most agonizing votes in recent memory. [snip]
As for the Senate, the aide reminded me that the bill now under consideration is essentially the same bill that Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) had, along with the speaker, taken to the White House last weekend. In other words, if the House can manage to get the bill out, Reid may in fact drop his own bill, bring up the Boehner bill, and be done with this.”
Isn’t that what we suggested and isn’t that the smart thing to do? Just wait it out. Pass the bill next week. When Boehner passes the bill everyone will forget about tonight’s delay. The really dumb thing for Boehner would have been to vote without having the votes.
“The House first approved what’s known as the “rule” for the bill in a 238-186 vote, in a boost of confidence for the speaker.”
Frankly, we don’t understand why John Boehner is holding a debt ceiling vote tonight. Harry Reid has threatened to hold a Senate vote designed to kill the House passed bill almost immediately after the House passes the bill. Wouldn’t it be smarter for the House Republicans to vote early tomorrow and force Reid and the Senate to vote in the light of day?
Indeed, wouldn’t it be smarter for House Republicans to vote early next week as August dawns and there is even less time for Reid to roast debt chestnuts over an open fire?
Color us perplexed on that one. But on this, we knew it would happen. Last year we celebrated Festivus In July. This year we already celebrated Hanukkah In July. Now in this August-time heat, Obama Dimocrats are dressed in the red and white furs of Santa Claus – bags filled with hate and fear.
But these Obama Dimocrats are not crazed Santas. They are actually clever. Probably too clever, but clever. Republicans take note: you are being set up with a shoddy Obama trap.
With Republicans/conservatives in legitimate argument(s) amongst themselves about whether or not to vote for the Boner, er Boehner, debt ceiling bill the sounds of sleigh-bells hit the air. Carol singing Hobbits are being heard. The Michelle Malkin elves track the Santa clause debt defense via the Washington Post:
“So the White House is circulating a new set of talking points to outside allies and surrogates, instructing them on a new way to make this case: If Boehner has his way, the debt ceiling debate will steal Christmas.”
“House Speaker and national grinch John Boehner is planning to spoil Christmas, White House officials are claiming, as they try to head off passage of Boehner’s two-stage debt ceiling bill.
“Happy Holidays America: Boehner plan would have the debt ceiling all over again during the holiday season, which is critical for the economy,” White House deputy spokesman Dan Pfeiffer declared today at 9.50 a.m.
White House political adviser David Plouffe made the same claim about Christmas almost one hour earlier when MSNBC’s Chuck Todd quizzed him about the White House’s opposition to Boehner’s two-stage debt ceiling proposal.”
What about the reindeer and children??? Fear not the Carney clown is on the job:
“Spokesman Jay Carney and other aides said Boehner’s short-term extension of the $14.3 trillion debt ceiling sets up a replay of the ongoing political fight in December, the middle of the holiday shopping season.
The Boehner plan would require “all of us to go through this again before the end of the year, in the most important economic season in the country,” Carney said. “At a time when people don’t want to worry about whether or not their interest rates are going to go up, their mortgage payments and their car payments and their student loan bills, and their credit card payments, especially as they’re buying gifts for the holidays.”
The White House time line is subject to dispute.”
How and why did Christmas become such an urgent talking point? Consider – if the 2nd quarter gdp numbers are revised and just the slightest dip into negative territory occurs. Consider if the 2nd quarter gdp numbers dip and many expect the 3rd quarter and the 4th quarter to dip deeper into negative territory. Consider what happens if the 2nd, 3rd, 4th quarters are officially declared negative gdp quarters. After three consecutive quarters of negative gdp, the National Bureau of Economic Research declares it an official recession.
Would you like to be running for reelection in January 2012 as a double dip recession is declared? Would you want to lose your “blame the previous guy” strategy? No you would not. So start setting the trap now. In July.
Why invoke Christmas in the heat of July? Because you have to set up the Republicans for the hit. This Friday the Obama calorie counters will announce which bills will be paid and which bills will not be paid – its ramp up the fear time. But today it’s Christmas gift boxes packed with explosives.
“The latest consumer confidence report aside, Americans are still apprehensive, especially about their jobs, and that fear is likely to weigh on consumer spending in the months ahead, according to one retail industry consultant.
Burt Flickinger, managing director of retail consultantcy Strategic Resource Group, said the U.S. has just entered a 500-day retail recession, and before it’s over, the U.S. will see weaker retail sales, more store closures and even additional retailers joining Borders in bankruptcy.”
“A retail recession wouldn’t exactly qualify as unexpected, given today’s numbers on durable-goods orders and inventories, but Burt Flickinger says it’s just the beginning. CNBC quotes the analyst as predicting a retail recession that will last through the end of next year, thanks to high unemployment and a confidence crisis in the economy, as well as an end to extended jobless benefits: [snip]
With unemployment increasing and housing sales bumping along the bottom, it’s no small wonder that Flickinger sees a long period of decline in the consumer economy ahead.
If that comes to pass, it’s hard to imagine Barack Obama building any momentum for a second term in office. A long-lasting retail recession would essentially be a vote of no confidence in Obamanomics, and the handling of the debt-ceiling crisis hasn’t exactly bolstered trust in the White House either. But it would also make it more difficult to turn the economy around regardless of who gets elected President in 2012, as investors and capital will be hard to find after than long on the American sidelines.”
Someone killed the job market and Obama wants to push the pulsing neon arrow away from him. Curtis and Leroy are onto Obama and Obama needs, like most Nero incendiaries, to find someone else to blame.
Guess who that someone else is?
Obama and his Dimocrats are in full retreat tonight. They are prepping the battlefield for the next fight, the only fight Obama cares about – his reelection. Someone has to take the blame for the coming double dip. Tonight we know Santa has a brand new bag filled with hate, fear, bricks and brickbats.
Happy Christmas everybody!