Update: Huckabee is not running. The shocker is who came on right after Huckabee. It was Donald Trump! Read what we wrote before the announcement about Trump and Huckabee. The significance is that Donald Trump knew Huckabee’s decision before many in Huckabee’s supposed inner circle. Donald Trump had to know because he recorded a message to follow Huckabee’s announcement. Read what we wrote. Trump haters beware.
We speculated about a Huckabee endorsement of Donald Trump. We firmly believe our speculation is on target. Judge for yourself. See below.
Friday the 13th leads into pot luck-y day at Big Pink. So much happened, or rather was announced to happen yesterday we have to do a buffet pot luck commentary day.
We’ve previously discussed the Republican presidential field and provided the pluses and minuses of most, if not all the candidates. The big news is that today Mike Huckabee announces whether he will run for president. The Huckabee show is tonight at 8:00 on Fox News. There was a lot of speculation about what Huckabee will say. Ed Rollins and others think Huckabee is happy to make money and will not run again. Others think he will run.
One thing we can say which we doubt anyone who is being honest will contradict: Mike Huckabee cannot stand (is hate too strong a word?) Willard Mitt Romney. Another thing we can say – which is pure speculation and probably has no merit whatsoever so therefore we will phrase it as a question: is the Mike Huckabee announcement somehow tied to Donald Trump?
If Huckabee announces he is running for president forget our speculations because they will be utter foolishness and boobery (Huck today said “once I pull the trigger… things will get even crazier.” If Huckabee announces he is running for president he will be a very strong candidate and probably the immediate frontrunner. A strong case can be made that he would also be the nominee. An email today to his supporters suggests The Huck is in.
But if Huckabee announces he is not running… let’s speculate further: Huckabee might be trying to block a potential Trump announcement of an announcement tomorrow. Or Huckabee might be trying to help Trump??? Huckabee met with Trump a few weeks ago and the meeting was cordial and Huckabee had some nice things to say about The Donald and declared that it was his impression Trump was going to run.
At the time of the Trump/Huckabee meeting Trump was strongly hurting Romney in New Hampshire. New Hampshire is an absolutely must win state for Romney. We would not be shocked if Huckabee would decide to endorse Trump in order to finish off Willard in New Hampshire. The benefits to Trump of an eventual Huckabee endorsement would be astronomical. Huckabee is a favorite in Iowa and with Evangelicals. Couple a Huckabee endorsement with a Franklin Graham endorsement (which Graham has almost already given) and Trump would be greatly helped in Iowa and throughout the south.
There is another Huckabee possible endorsement but let’s discuss Trump a bit. Tomorrow is the final episode of Donald Trump’s TV show. Trump might or might not say anything tomorrow (we’ve discussed this before) about when he will announce. Trump will not announce tomorrow. Trump might announce when he will make his announcement.
We suspect that yes or no announcement will come on the 23rd or 24th of May. Our reasoning is that Trump’s contract with NBC ends on May 22. On May 23rd Barack Obama goes off on his regular European Vacation. A Trump announcement for president while Obama is jetting off yet again would send the message of the vacationing absent president. Trump might announce he is not running for president but then why the very important interview with Erick Erickson of Redstate this coming Tuesday, the policy book coming this summer and the several scheduled visits to New Hampshire and Iowa?
Back to Huckabee sorta. Huckabee could decide not to run and endorse Mitch Daniels. Mitch Daniels is now beyond a doubt the ESTABLISHMENT candidate. The rumors are that New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker will endorse Mitch Daniels if and when he decides to run. Huckabee could join Team Mitch Daniels and make Daniels the choice of the governors.
Mitch Daniels is a formidable candidate on paper. But Mitch Daniels is quite possibly the weakest and best opponent for Barack Obama. Republicans/conservatives better listen to us about Mitch Daniels because we are Democrats and we know exactly the way Mitch Daniels will be destroyed by Barack Obama.
Let’s first discuss why Daniels is strong. Daniels comes from Iowa neighbor Indiana. Daniels therefore should be able to do well in Iowa because he is a known factor there (the same reason why Romney is strong in New Hampshire, because he was governor of neighbor Massachusetts). Daniels is a very popular governor of Indiana. In 2008 Obama won Indiana but so did Mitch Daniels who was reelected with a huge portion of the vote (18% margin of victory). Daniels turned an $800 billion deficit into a $1.2 billion surplus in Indiana.
While Mitch Daniels irked conservatives with his call for a “truce” on social issues he has mended that problem quickly by defunding Planned Parenthood. Mitch Daniels worked for Republican moderate Richard Lugar too and did not join Scott Walker during the recent Wisconsin rumble so it provides him with a patina of “moderate”. Scott Walker is on Team Mitch Daniels and understands that Mitch Daniels did much of what Scott Walker succeeded in doing this year – years ago. In short, Mitch Daniels can be sold as a common sense conservative that gets things done.
Mitch Daniels is a strong candidate on paper and someone Barack Obama wants to run against. Follow us on this Republicans/conservatives because it shows how differently we Democrats think.
The Republican/conservative worry about Mitch Daniels might be relevant for primaries but the concerns are comical to our Democratic eyes. The usually sharp (if not pungent) Ace of Spades has produced some long essays about how Daniels has a problem because he is waiting for his wife’s OK or something. We Democrats cannot really understand this type of thinking because we like men confident enough to marry strong women (and vice versa, not to mention gay couples). AceofSpades also thinks that the marriage-divorce-marriage (Cheri Daniels re-married in the interim) of the Daniels duo is some sort of problem too. Hey, we’re Democrats and we cheered Liz Taylor and her eight marriages – twice to the drunk but magnificent Richard Burton (Liz remarried in the interim too, several times).
We do see the point of concern AceofSpades has because Barack Obama is sure to do what he always does and conduct a smear campaign against Daniels. Barack Obama would go dumpster diving to get divorce records and every bit of dirt on family history from Daniels – it is what Barack Obama has always done – it’s what Republicans have always done to Bill and Hillary Clinton. But let’s not digress by indulging in “what goes around, comes around”.
In that Republican/conservative AceofSpades article there is also the silliness (to our Democratic minds and eyes that “Daniels says he’d like Condi Rice as VP. Given his situation, I think he actually needs the opposite. He can’t play further into the idea that women boss him. Huh??? We told you Republicans think differently than Democrats, even we NObama Democrats.
Mitch Daniels stupidly said that he is not ready to debate Barack Obama on foreign policy so we understand why he would say that Condoleezza Rice is his choice for VP. But the smart play for Republicans is a Latino or Latina for Vice President. A black VP choice is not going to take black votes away from Barack Obama. A Latina/o such as Susanna Martinez from the Southwest could permanently damage Obama Dimocrats. But we digress, again.
Why is Mitch Daniels the weakest of all Republican candidates? Here’s why: He is the Republican ESTABLISHMENT candidate but most importantly he would allow Barack Obama to run the race Obama wants to run.
We know Laura Bush has called Cheri Daniels to get her on board with a presidential run by her husband. We know Karl Rove and all the George W. Bush crowd is out to help Mitch Daniels. The dream is that Mitch Daniels announces after everyone else announces and then there is a Tsunami of endorsements which repeat the George W. Bush immediate capture of the Republican nomination in 2000.
Mitch Daniels is the weakest of all Republican candidates because with Daniels as the Republican nominee Barack Obama will run the campaign Barack Obama wants to run. What is the campaign Barack Obama wants to run? Barack Obama wants to run the Barack Obama Versus George W. Bush campaign of 2008.
Barack Obama will get all the personal divorce/marital problems dirt he can on Mitch Daniels. It is what he has always done. But most importantly Barack Obama will point out that Mitch Daniels is a creation of the George W. Bush campaign organization. Obama wants to rerun 2008 and Mitch Daniels is a rerun of 2008.
Why Mitch Daniels’ is so weak: Mitch Daniels directed the George W. Bush Office of Management and Budget. As the Director Mitch Daniels ran the Bill Clinton surplus of $236 billion into deficits over $400 billion. Barack Obama will use this information to destroy Mitch Daniels in the same way that Barack Obama will use Willard Romney’s healthcare mess in Massachusetts to inoculate himself against the Obama health care scam. Barack Obama will run against Mitch Daniels in a complete repeat of 2008.
Some Republicans have made the case against Mitch Daniels from a Republican/conservative viewpoint:
“It has frequently been said about Mitch Daniels that he “turned deficits into surpluses” as governor. The only problem with this claim is that it’s not true. According to the CNBC/Forbes.com, which annually ranks states according to business climate, Indiana has a $1.4-billion budget deficit as of FY2011.
That same CNBC/Forbes.com list ranked Indiana as barely 21st out of 50 states — i.e. in the middle of the peloton, trailing Democrat-run states such as Massachusetts and Washington. Indiana is 42nd in terms of the quality of its workforce, 44th in quality of life, 26th in access to capital, and 22nd in technology and innovation. In only three categories does Indiana make it to the top ten: the cost of doing business, infrastructure (mostly due to federal infrastructure programs), and business friendliness.
This is how badly Indiana ranked in late 2010, more than five years after Daniels was sworn in as governor. A state that ranks 44th in terms of quality of life? No, thanks.
When Daniels was director of the OMB, he performed equally miserably: he turned budget surpluses (America’s first since FY1969) into deficits. He also oversaw the enactment and funding of the No Child Left Behind Act, the prescription drug entitlement, and increases of funding for the ED and the DOT, as well as the reinstatement of farm subsidies (which were largely abolished in 1996 under the Freedom to Farm Act) and the creation of ethanol subsidies (later increased by his successors). Daniels’ response to the OMB’s critics was that a balanced budget “is not the highest priority.” The deficit continued to grow during Daniels’ entire tenure, and it peaked in FY2004 at $400 billion under the last budget devised by Daniels. It was later reduced to $162 billion in FY2007 by his successors.”
Mitt Romney as the Republican nominee would take the Obama health care scam off the table. Mitch Daniels as the Republican nominee takes off, or certainly muddies, the strong attack that can be made about Obama’s budget recklessness. Are you listening Republicans/conservatives?
Mitch Daniels is also an advocate of “anthropogenic global warming” which would also help Barack Obama. In the Republican primaries this hurts Daniels. Tim Pawlenty has run away from his record on this issue as has Newt.
The video is so potent that Newtie responded with some rip-roaring silliness about how that video is a “debate” with Nancy Pelousy. It’s an embarrassing response from a shameless reptile.
Speaking of embarrassing, the American government is doing all it can to humiliate the stiff. Oh, we are being naughty by calling him a “stiff”. The New York Post joined in with a headline “Osama Bin Wankin’! They say it is “Whora Bora – porn found in Laden’s foxhole.” Heavens to Betsy! What is this world coming to??? when you can’t trust a holy warrior with multiple wives to, um, keep his hands clean???
We bought shame unto ourselves when we published the gross contents of an Osama Bin Laden porn tape. We disgraced ourselves with the demand “Release The Photos!”