This is a moment of great peril. At the moment (expect nothing to change) Barack Obama is displaying all the weakness, pandering, posturing, and worst academic traits for which he is known. Instead of a display of seriousness, resolve, and attention – Obama yesterday watched basketball featuring his daughter and then went to party with David Axelrod.
While Obama has dithered the unstated policy from the White House boob shop has been “hurry up and wait”. The smart policy makers were forced to declare that things were stable in Egypt while Obama played “eeny meeny miny mo” to try and figure out what to do.
The boobery from Obama has been ceaseless. From the first Obama pandered to Arabs and Muslims and snubbed Israel. Obama thought that if he strapped on a ukulele and sang “Tip Toe Through The Tulips With Me” the
gangs governments of the Middle East would sing along. But these governments have interests and strategies that will not be swayed by Obama’s flood of words, backed up by more words and yet more words. Weakness is not respected in the Middle East and Barack Obama is weak and foolish.
Barack Obama first snubbed Israel and then tried to force Israel to listen to his sophomoric opinions on the “settlements issue” and relations with Palestinians. Israel slapped Obama in the face and pulled his ears.
Obama then bowed and scraped before Arab potentates and governments – begged them to listen to his pleas on bended knees. The Arab governments and Muslim leaders proceeded to do what they wanted and grab countries and positions – laughing all the way at Barack Obama.
Hillary Clinton, appearing on most of the Sunday morning news shows began to show the way out of the mess created by Barack Obama weakness.
At this very late hour what should the United States do and say? The first thing to do is to take a quick glimpse of regional developments:
Lebanon has (thanks Obama) been absorbed by Syria. After the 2005 assassination of Prime Minister Rafik Hariri there was an uprising in the streets, a new Hope, as the Lebanese people demanded Syria leave their country. Today, Syrian terrorist proxy Hezbollah will form a new government with Prime Minister-designate Najib Mikati in charge. A total fail for Hope over reality, the people lost.
In the Gaza Strip, due to elections, Hamas and Hezbollah are in control. An Israeli-Egyptian blockade keeps the situation there bottled up and as yet unexploded.
After a 1979 revolution of the people which replaced the tyrannical Shah, Iran is in the grip of Islamic theocracy and headed towards acquisition of nuclear bombs. Recently the people of Iran tried to stage another revolution but the revolutionaries of old are the establishment of the present. The street calls for change, the hopes for change quickly turn to autocratic silence. The people lost again.
The recent overthrow of the Tunisian dictatorship starts with great promise. The people of Tunisia want a modern society not Sharia medievalism. But history is not on their side.
In most if not all instances, the revolution in the streets, hailed in the West as steps forward, ended in theocracy and authoritarianism. The people are tools to establish dictatorships. The hopes that start with calls from the street for democracy – end in small groups of men who seize power and throttle the voice of the people.
The United States policy should be: Egypt For The Egyptians. The United States now cannot determine much of what will happen within Egypt but we can declare that we will block states such as Iran from overtly or covertly turning Egypt into a Lebanon.
American policy should be aimed at making sure that Egypt moves towards a modern society which provides economic opportunity for its people. What is most important is that American policy must be aimed at protecting Egypt from takeover by Islamic extremists. American policy must be particularly aimed at preventing Iran from winning what many understand to be a “proxy war” between Iran and Saudi Arabia. Evil choice, meet Evil choice.
Hillary Clinton, as Secretary of State spoke strongly today and appeared to move in the right direction and away from Obama’s dithering. We hope that Hillary Clinton is the lead force determining American foreign policy at this moment but we fear the worst – that Obama persists in bumbling his way into the conversation. Barack Obama is having a Jimmy Carter moment – Obama’s Iran is Egypt.
Recently we saw what Egypt could become. We saw how Egypt could once again regain glories lost when sand covered the Sphinx and the great pyramids.
We saw Egyptians stand up to Muslim extremists. We saw Egyptians stand up with courage and become “human shields” at Coptic Christian Christmas services. We saw Egyptian Muslims “flock to Coptic churches across the country to attend Coptic Christmas Eve mass, to show solidarity with the nation’s Coptic minority, but also to serve as “human shields” against possible attacks by Islamist militants.” If Egypt leads the Arab/Muslim world into such enlightened modernity then the turmoil in Egyptian streets today is indeed a moment of great opportunity and historic hope and glory.
But that moment will be lost if Obama bumbles in and mucks things up by dithering and not recognizing the danger and the opportunities. The United States must lead. Iran, Syria, the Wahhabists, the Muslim Brotherhood – all these wolves must be kept at bay by the United States in defense of the people of Egypt.
Egypt must be allowed the opportunity to lead the Arab/Muslim world to modernity – but that will not happen if the Islamic thugs who want a Caliphate ride their armored camels of death into the Egyptian government. The advocates of a world-wide Caliphate must not triumph in Egypt. Right now, they are winning, even in Egypt. The photographic evidence of “The Steady Erosion Of Women’s Rights In Egypt” is a harbinger of things to come.
The Iron Veil threatens to fall. Some of the Obama Oblivious on the left prefer to hope against reality and history that people rising in the streets against dictators is something to cheer in every instance. But as we learned in the 1930s and later on in Iran that is not always the case. These Obama Oblivious think that wishing will make it so. But the dangers are real. The cheering on must be muted with thinking.
The authoritarian rule of Hosni Mubarak is at an end. His sons are in London and that is never a good sign of dynastic continuity. The wealthy have fled Cairo. The Egyptian military might or might not be supporting Mubarak but Egypt is now in political/social transition. Common criminals and Muslim Brotherhood prisoners plunder Cairo streets while decent citizens hide in their homes or arm themselves for protection.
Everything is falling apart in Egypt except for the wolves. The wolves are organized and running in packs. The spokesman for the wolves is now Mohamed El-Baradei who makes common cause with the Muslim
Sisterhood Brotherhood. Iran, the theocratic killers of dissent in its own streets, is staking a claim to the revolution in Egyptian streets.
The wolves are organized while the boy raised by wolves parties.
Hillary Clinton understands the stakes and is fighting to keep the Iron Veil from falling:
“Democracy, human rights and economic reform are in the best interests of the Egyptian people,” she told ABC News.
“Any government that does not try to move in that direction cannot meet the legitimate interest of the people.” [snip]
“We want to see an orderly transition so that no-one fills a void, that there not be a void, that there be a well thought-out plan that will bring about a democratic participatory government,” Mrs Clinton told the “Fox News Sunday” programme.”
Hillary Clinton understands what must be done to hold the wolves at bay:
“She warned that the U.S. would not accept two alternatives as potential ends to the current crisis: “democracy of six months or a year and then evolving essentially into a military dictatorship” or – a scarier specter for American policymakers –what she described on NBC’s “Meet The Press” as “faux democacy like the elections we saw in Iran…where you have one election 30 years ago and the people stay in power and become less and less responsive to their people.” [snip]
“We want to see free and fair elections and we expect that that will be one of the outcomes of what is going on in Egypt right now,” Clinton said.”
Those “free and fair elections” must be free of Muslim Brotherhood, Iran, Islamic extremist influence. The rights of women must be respected as well as the rights of religions such as Coptic Christianity. Egypt must not turn into a theocratic misogynistic state like Iran. That is the policy the American government must pursue.
“Clinton, on CBS’s “Face The Nation,” addressed the issue of an Islamic regime following Mubarak. “Well, first I’m not speculating about who goes or who stays. And I’m not prepared to comment on what kind of democratic process the Egyptian people can construct for themselves. But we obviously want to see people who are truly committed to democracy — not to imposing any ideology on Egyptians.”
“We do not want to see a change or a regime that would actually continue to foment violence or chaos — either because it didn’t exist or because it had a different view in which in which to pose on the Egyptian people,” she said.
That’s diplo-speak to say: Egypt and the Egyptian people must be protected from the wolves.
The wolves are gathering. The Iron Veil unfurls, ready to fall, and plunge us all into darkness.