Swing state Ohio is swinging an ax. The ax is aimed at the necks of Obama Dimocrats. Reliable rumors are also swung about. The rumors are that the Obama Dimocrats realize the situation in Ohio is so bad the major Obama Dimocratic organizations which fund campaigns and provide assistance are pulling out of Ohio. Even the polling organization allied with Obama Dimocrats is considering a cessation of polling in swing state Ohio.
Before we get to the Ohio specifics consider this story which deals with the Obama Dimocrats’ strongest and most powerful allies:
“The Democrats will depend on labor unions — the shock troops of their political campaigns — to offset two new developments this election cycle: Tea Party enthusiasm and corporations’ ability to spend unlimited amounts thanks to a Supreme Court ruling.
Labor leaders, alarmed at a possible Republican takeover of one or both Houses of Congress, promise to devote a record amount of money and manpower to helping Democrats stave off disaster. But political analysts, and union leaders themselves, say that their efforts may not be enough because union members, like other important parts of the Democratic base, are not feeling particularly enthusiastic about the party — a reality that, in turn, further dampens the Democrats’ chances of holding onto their Congressional majorities.”
All the Big Labor threats against certain Obama Dimocrats, if they voted the wrong way, are now abandoned.
We have written about Big Labor chieftains not listening to their workers/employers and instead doing what they want to do in support of Barack Obama. In Massachusetts Big Labor chieftains ignored their workers/employers and spent millions to defeat Scott Brown. But the workers/employers of these Big Labor chieftains, the union rank and file, held a Tea Party and voted for Scott Brown. The same thing is sure to happen this November:
“But Charlie Cook, a nonpartisan political handicapper, questioned how successful labor’s push will be. “The question is, how effective can labor be when so many of their people are unemployed or underemployed and just not happy campers?” he said. “How effective will they be in getting people to do the hard work — to do the phone banks, the get-out-the-vote, all the heavy lifting?”
Patricia Elizondo, president of the 2,000-member Milwaukee local of the International Association of Machinists, fears just that.
“People are disappointed,” she said. “People have been unemployed for two years, and they’re unhappy that the healthcare bill was not as good as they expected. Two years ago, I had many members going door-to-door to campaign. Now they’re saying, ‘Why should I? We supported that candidate, but he didn’t follow through.’ ”
Big Labor chieftains have forgotten they represent the people who pay their salaries. The Ohio Democrats likewise have forgotten they are Democrats and prefer to be Obama Dimocrats, D minus logo included. When Governor Ted Strickland won in Ohio it was because he represented a southeastern Ohio district with many white working class voters who were suspicous of the Democratic Party. Ted Strickland assured them as Governor he would govern as a representative of the entire state. Now Ted Strickland’s entire campaign is a “support Obama” abomination. And now we have the results of that strategy for Obama Dimocrats in Ohio:
“By a 58 – 37 percent margin, likely Ohio voters want a U.S. Senator who opposes President Obama’s policies, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey, conducted by live interviewers, finds. And by 49 – 31 percent, voters want Republicans rather than Democrats to control the U.S. Senate.”
That’s a result for the Senate seat. In the Senate race Republican Rob Portman is ahead of Obama Dimocrat Lee Fisher by 20 points, 55-35%. Voters in Ohio disapprove of Obama 60-38%.
“It’s difficult to find any good news for Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher in these numbers. Likely voters in Ohio, as is the case nationally, are angry at the status quo and with Democrats controlling Congress and the White House. Fisher is taking it on the chin from those who are trying to send a message to the White House,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “A Democrat who is losing among women likely voters by 8 points is a candidate in trouble.”
In the Ohio governor’s race the news is a bit better, if you consider a 17 point margin as opposed to a 20 point margin “better”.
“Republican challenger John Kasich has a 54 – 37 percent lead over Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland in the race to be Ohio’s next chief state executive, with much of his lead due to overwhelming support among independent voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters released today. [snip]
“Ohio is not an island. Clearly Kasich is benefitting from the national anti-incumbent, anti- Democratic wave which seems to be sweeping the country,” said Brown. “Ohio, which is the most important swing state in the country come presidential elections, is also a good marker for the off- year balloting. If Kasich were to lead a Republican sweep in Ohio, it would be a good indication that the Republican landslide many are predicting nationally might come to fruition.”‘
Why look to swing state Ohio? – here’s why:
“There is no debate regarding the centrality of Ohio to Democrats’ chances in the fall election. In addition to the competitive Senate and governor’s races, there are as many as six Democratic-held House seats in play — districts where Democratic incumbents need the top of the ticket to perform competitively if they want to hold their seats.
As Ohio goes, may go the entire country.”
The Obama Dimocrats response to these polls is that “the numbers… are flat out wrong“. But a tweet on Twitter caught by the Dark Lord at Ace of Spades provides a clue as to whether the numbers are indeed wrong:
“First consider PPP’s Twitter note this morning.
Seems strange saying this but really doubt we’ll poll Ohio again this cycle“
PPP of course is a major Democratic polling firm. If they think there is not even a rationale for further polling in Ohio how wrong can the latest poll numbers be?
JournoLister Marc Ambinder, always full of excuses to expel in defense of Obama Dimocrats has this to say about Ohio:
“With the past few days given over to Democratic triumphalism, the reality is that the big picture remains roughly the same for Democrats. In Ohio, it’s getting so bad for Democrats that the Democratic Governors Association, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee are actively weighing their level of commitment.
Public and private polling from the state suggests that Democrats will lose the governor’s mansion, currently held by Ted Strickland, the Senate race (for an open seat that was held by a Republican), and at least four House races (OH 01, OH 15, OH 13, OH 16). [snip]
Some Ohio Democrats think Strickland has allowed himself to be associated too much with the White House, turning this once independent-seeming guy into a prop. The federal mud might have stuck.”
The Obama Dimocrats will respond in Ohio and in every other state with the typical Obama strategy: raise money and sling mud. This strategy will not work. HWC explains:
“I don’t think American voters, in 2010, with the government robbing them blind in a rush to spend more and more and more and with a never-ending recession, give a tinker’s damn what Christine O’Donnell or any other candidate thinks about masturbation. This is another perfect example of the entrenched power in both parties and the media, throwing up a wall of chaff to distract us from “their” business.
What these idiots ought to start figuring out is that the voters don’t care who they elect as long as they send a bum home. The voters of Delaware would vote for a ham sandwich over Mike Castle this week. The Mike Castles of the world better start paying attention because it is pretty clear that the voters have not intention of putting down their baseball bats. You would have thought that a Repubican winning Ted Kennedy’s seat would have been enough of a message. Or Charlie Crist getting clobbered in Florida. Or Arlen Spector in PA. Or Bennett in Utah. But, I guess you have to keep pounding these idiots in the head. They seems to be slow learners.“
Indeed they are slow learners. In Ohio Steve Driehaus “campaigns as if he were the president’s running mate.”
“It hasn’t been easy: Only a handful of black voters came to a health-care town-hall event hosted by Driehaus amid the rundown pews of a one-room Baptist church earlier this month. Attendance was so sparse that Victoria Parks, the African- American field outreach director for Driehaus, headed to another church across the street to recruit additional participants from a gospel choir practice.”
Driehaus is a slow learner. On October 17 Driehaus is importing the “dangerously radioactive” Barack Obama to campaign for him. A very slow learner indeed.
“MATTHEWS: Let me finish tonight with a question. Just where do you think this explosion of voter anger we saw last night in Delaware and have seen growing in voters in Pennsylvania, Florida, Utah, Nevada, Kentucky, Colorado and in just about every poll across the country is going to take us?
Last night, as the dust began to clear, I heard progressive glee that the anger was on the verge of burning itself out, that the victory of Christine O`Donnell in Delaware like that of Sharron Angle in Nevada, was throwing away the election. How could voters in the general election go so far as to elect one of these candidates the angry primary voters have kicked pup?
I supposed I had my eyes on something different. While others were seeing dead people, the defeated Mike Castle, who was supposed to be strong this November, I saw the strength of the flames that consumed him and will consume many others this rapidly approaching election night. I have waited all my adult life for an election in which voters have the fire to reach up and burn those who have been running the show for decades. But I didn`t know it would come from the right and center.
2010 could be the first year in modern times when being in office in Washington and part of Washington is the worst possible credential when facing voters. I don`t know how far the fire will burn. Based upon last night`s returns, I expect it has a long way to go. It could topple the House and, yes, the U.S. Senate. It could bring the defeat of people who feel even now they are not endangered. It could produce an election night spectacle of name brand politicians standing before stance supporters saying their careers are kaput.
Why is this happening? Because this economic system is failing to produce the security and opportunity people have come to expect in this country. In this middle-class country, the middle class are scared and when people are scared, they get angry. They sense a rot at the top and are ready to chop it off.
If the plan of those in power to raise a ton of cash and run nasty TV ads saying you can`t vote for this new person, that he or she is flawed — I expect the voter will say, “Are you telling me I have no choice but to vote for you? Are you saying that I, this little voter out there, dare not take a chance on someone who has not yet let me down as you have? If that is what you`re telling me, that I have no choice, well, Mr. Big Stuff, you just have to wait — stay up late election night and see what I have done.”
Chris Matthews and his ilk opened the door to the Tea Party. Matthews and the JournoListers devalued experience in order to benefit Barack Obama in 2008. Now the argument cannot be turned around in order to hurt Tea Party activists or their nominees. Obama with all his weaknesses was not vetted and given a free pass by these JournoListers.
The Nutroots and establishment manipulators of the once great Democratic Party thought they would be the vanguard of a revolution. As O’Tingles lamented, “I have waited all my adult life for an election in which voters have the fire to reach up and burn those who have been running the show for decades. But I didn’t know it would come from the right and center.”
It’s too late for those who sold out the country in order to get their precious Barack Obama. Now the working people of Ohio, not the Nutroots and Big Media, will show how hot the fires will burn.