Update: NPR, National Public Radio, has a new poll on Obama. In this respected poll Obama is now down to a shocking 53%:
President Obama has hit a rough patch this summer, squeezed between a lingering recession and rising questions about the health care overhaul he has made the centerpiece of his first-year agenda. [snip]
Those are the chief findings of the latest NPR poll of registered voters conducted nationwide Wednesday through Sunday by a bipartisan team. The pollsters found 53 percent approving of the president’s handling of his job, while 42 percent disapproved — the narrowest gap of the Obama presidency to date. Most of the approving group said they approved strongly, and an even greater majority of the disapproving group said they disapproved strongly. [snip]
In another part of the poll, respondents were asked which of two statements on the economy came closer to expressing their view. The first statement: “President Obama’s economic policies helped avert an even worse crisis and are laying the foundation for our eventual economic recovery.” The second statement: “President Obama’s economic policies have run up a record federal deficit while failing to end the recession or slow the record pace of job losses.” A plurality preferred the second statement, 48 percent to 45 percent. A majority on both sides said they agreed strongly (2 to 1 among those preferring the first statement; 3 to 1 among those preferring the second).
But if the president saw his numbers down, Congress fared far worse, with just 7 percent saying they approved strongly and 25 percent saying they approved somewhat. A 61 percent majority said they disapproved of Congress, with 2 out of 3 of them doing so strongly.
It’s official: Obama is NOT popular. Big Media, please revise the narrative.
The Gallup poll organization is very mainstream and thus far the poll numbers from Gallup have put the best light on Obama. Bad ol’ Rasmussen, measuring likely voters, has Obama circling the toilet (at 49% approval). But Gallup has been Obama friendly and labeled Obama “popular”.
But after today, Gallup will have to relabel Obama as “NOT popular”. Today the Gallup daily tracking poll calculates the percentage of Americans who approve of the job the Boob is doing at 54%.
54% is an important number in the popularity sweepstakes. This is what Gallup had to say on July 3 about the approval ratings for recent presidents and how Gallup determines who is popular and who is not popular:
Whereas presidents from Harry Truman through Richard Nixon spent an average of 26 months above the historical average 55% presidential job approval rating after they took office, presidents from Gerald Ford to George W. Bush spent an average of just seven months above this norm.
A honeymoon period has an obvious beginning — when the president takes office — but no obvious end. But given that honeymoons are characterized by above-average ratings, one way to define the end point is by marking the point at which the president’s ratings become “average.” And the historical average presidential job approval rating in all Gallup Polls is 55%. [snip]
Because Obama has been able to maintain above-average approval ratings, he is arguably still in the honeymoon phase of his presidency. Now in his sixth month in office, his honeymoon has already exceeded the durations of those for Ford, Clinton, and George W. Bush. If he can maintain ratings above 55% through the summer, his honeymoon will match the length of those for Jimmy Carter and Reagan.
Now we know that at 54% Obama will not match Jimmy or Ronnie for time spent in the honeymoon bed.
Things are so bad for Obama right now that even the Hopium addled addicts, the Obama deadenders, are bored with Obama and they are not visiting him online. Even in web traffic (“official White House Web site–whitehouse.gov–has fallen from a post-Inauguration peak to nearly the same level it was during the waning days of the Bush administration“) Obama is now the Third Bush Term.
By July 20, Gallup began to provide empirical evidence of the great “transformational” who is in reality not even the interestingly transitional:
Qualms about President Obama’s stewardship of the economy are growing, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds, as Americans become more pessimistic about when they predict the recession will end.
At six months in office, Obama’s 55% approval rating puts him 10th among the 12 post-World War II presidents at this point in their tenures. When he took office, he ranked seventh.
“His ratings have certainly come back down to Earth in a very short time period,” Republican pollster Whit Ayres says.
In that Gallup/USA Today poll article the growing disapproval for Obama policies was also noted and since then things have only gotten worse.
• By 49%-47%, those surveyed disapprove of how he is handling the economy, a turnaround from his 55%-42% approval in May. The steepest drop came from conservative and moderate Democrats.
• By 50%-44%, they disapprove of how he is handling health care policy.
• A 59% majority say his proposals call for too much government spending and 52% say they call for too much expansion of government power.
• Expectations of the economy’s turnaround are souring a bit. In February, the average prediction for a recovery was 4.1 years; now it’s 5.5 years.
• The administration’s stimulus package isn’t seen as a benefit by most whether viewed in the short term or the long term, in how it will impact the country or individuals. Only a third think it will help their own family’s finances in the long run.
Obama “might make the policies more popular by being associated with him,” says historian H.W. Brands of the University of Texas-Austin. “But it’s almost equally possible that it will make him less popular by linking him with those policies.”
USA Today answered the question “why bother with polls”:
A president’s standing after his first six months in office doesn’t forecast whether he’ll have a successful four-year term, but it does signal how much political juice he’ll have for his second six months in office.
That’s the lesson of history.
Barack Obama, who completed six months in office Monday, has a 55% approval rating in the USA TODAY/Gallup Poll, putting him 10th among the dozen presidents who have served since World War II at this point in their tenures.
The great Mess-iah it turns out is below average and since those numbers were charted things got only worse as hope for celestial choirs for change vanished.
* * * * *
For Obama, July was the cruelest month, stuck in the wasteland which he inhabits.
Hope and change is become fear and loathing:
The Obama administration, which was flying high a month ago after pushing through a climate change bill in the House, has since been dealt a series of setbacks and is struggling to regain its footing.
After the climate bill passed 219-212 on the afternoon of June 26, there was a feeling that the White House could get much of its agenda through Congress in 2009.
A month later, there are doubts that President Obama will even achieve his No. 1 priority of healthcare reform, much less cap-and-trade, immigration reform and a regulatory revamp of the financial sector.
The lack of experience is showing:
Many centrist Democrats are worried that Republicans will have the upper hand in the 2010 elections.
Paul Light, an expert on the presidency and a professor at New York University, said the president’s problems with Capitol Hill reflect “a miscalculation by the Obama administration on how political capital gets spent in Washington.”
Light said that capital, even for a president who enjoys immense personal popular support like Obama, is spent a bit at a time on each initiative or piece of legislation.
“I think the Obama administration has been spending political capital at roughly the same rate the federal government spends money,” Light said. “Eventually, it runs out.”
Light quoted President Lyndon Johnson, who said that “if you don’t get it done in six months, you’re not going to get it done.”
And, as we have said all along to the fawners and the Hopium addled, Obama stinks – as a speaker:
The other misstep that has bogged down the administration on healthcare specifically is Obama’s inability to communicate effectively to the American people, Light said.
While it is shocking to consider that Obama is anything less than one of the best communicators in modern political history, when it comes to healthcare, he simply has not been able to make the sell to people who do have health insurance.
And Wednesday night’s primetime press conference was a “disaster,” Light said.
We thought Obama stunk.
Americans increasingly agree with us.