Pennsylvania And The Good Ol’ USA

Yawn… Another shocker… Yawn.

It’s difficult for Big Media to “shock” Big Pink because we know Big Media is not to be believed as Big Media pushes narratives written by Big Media tool Barack Obama. We recall the New Hampshire primary when most polls showed Obama with a big lead but one dissenting poll had Hillary very very close to winning – Hillary won.

So… yawn… the latest Associated Press poll:

An Associated Press-GfK poll shows the presidential race tightened after the final debate, with John McCain gaining among whites and people earning less than $50,000. Two weeks before the election, McCain and Barack Obama are essentially running even among likely voters.

The poll put Obama at 44 percent and McCain at 43 percent among those voters who are considered likely to vote on Nov. 4. The survey supports what some Republicans and Democrats privately have said in recent days: that the race has narrowed as Republicans drift home to their party. McCain’s “Joe the plumber” analogy also seemed to strike a chord.

The race is still volatile. Three weeks ago, an AP-GfK survey found that Obama had a seven-point lead over McCain.

It’s not only AP. TIPP (TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence claims that in 2004 it was 3/10 of 1% points within President Bush’s margin of “victory”) also has the presidential race fairly tight today.

Contrary to other polls, some of which show Obama ahead by double digits, the IBD/TIPP Poll shows a sudden tightening of Obama’s lead to 3.7 from 6.0. McCain has picked up 3 points in the West and with independents, married women and those with some college. He¹s also gaining momentum in the suburbs, where he’s gone from dead even a week ago to a 20-point lead. Obama padded gains in urban areas and with lower-class households, but he slipped 4 points with parents.

McCain gaining in the important suburbs and “No Sale” Obama even as Democrats admit Big Media is protecting Big Media tool Barack Obama.

But no one imagined even in a worse-case scenario such a spectacular bomb as telling donors Sunday to “gird your loins” because a young president Obama will be tested by an international crisis just like young President John Kennedy was.

Scary? You betcha! But somehow, not front-page news.

Again the media showed their incredible bias by giving scattered coverage of Biden’s statements.

As “No Sale” is stamped on Obama nationally, Big Media continues to trash John McCain. The latest study by The Pew Research Center’s Project for Excellence in Journalism, (2,412 stories from 43 newspapers and cable news shows) immediately after the party conventions tallys 60 percent of Big Media articles on McCain were negative with only 14 percent positive.

Earlier this week Big Media spent a few days mocking John McCain for even campaigning in Pennsylvania. Today a more reasoned analysis was published regarding the state of the race in Pennsylvania and why McCain should continue to campaign in that “blue” state”.

Facing seemingly limited options for getting to an Electoral College majority, John McCain’s path to victory likely runs through Pennsylvania, a state that no Republican presidential candidate has won in two decades, where he trails in the polls by a wide margin and where in the past year over a half-million new Democrats have been added to the voter registration rolls.

It’s an unenviable position to be in, except for one thing: Nearly everyone in a position to know thinks the race for Pennsylvania’s 21 electoral votes is considerably tighter than what recent polls reveal.

Blue state Pennsylvania is tight?

“I don’t believe there’s a double-digit lead,” said Jon Delano, a western Pennsylvania-based political analyst who also serves as an adjunct professor of Public Policy and Politics at Carnegie Mellon University. “The history of the presidential elections here is different.”

Even top Democrats concede that McCain’s deficit in the polls—11 percentage points, according to the latest RealClearPolitics polling average—isn’t a solid indicator of his chances of carrying the state. On Tuesday, CNN reported that an anxious Rendell has sent two recent memos to the Obama campaign requesting that the Democratic nominee spend more time campaigning in Pennsylvania.

“The polls don’t necessarily reflect what will happen on Election Day,” said T.J. Rooney, the state Democratic Party chairman. “We’re not a state that’s accustomed to huge blowouts.”

Can McCain win Pennsylvania? He can if he follows the Hillary Clinton strategy.

Rather, the GOP path to victory runs through the socially conservative parts of the state outside the Philadelphia metropolitan region, and bears a strong resemblance to Hillary Clinton’s winning Democratic primary map.

“How do you flip 140,000 votes? You start by cutting in places like Lackawanna and Luzerne counties,” said the McCain campaign source, referring to Scranton and Wilkes-Barre, the traditionally conservative Democratic population hubs of northeastern Pennsylvania. [snip]

“Winning Philadelphia is not enough for a done deal,” said Delano. “Whether it’s Scranton, Erie, Altoona, Johnstown or the Pittsburgh area, this is a big state. What McCain is counting on is that a lot of Democrats who voted once against Barack Obama in the primary will vote against him again.”

Hillary Clinton Democrats are the key to a McCain win:

Western Pennsylvania, many pols believe, seems to hold the most promise for the McCain campaign. McCain expects to run better than Bush in Pittsburgh’s Allegheny County—which Kerry carried by 97,000 votes in 2004—and in southwestern Pennsylvania, where Obama lost to Clinton by landslide margins.

“Democrats who do well in areas like Johnstown, Wilkes-Barre and Pittsburgh are pro-life, pro-gun Democrats like Bob Casey. The Democrats who seem to do poorly in those areas tend to be pro-choice and questionable on guns,” said Brabender. “I think people are going to be shocked by how well McCain is going to do on the western side and in the center part of the state.”

Hillary Clinton Democrats are the key to a McCain win.

The wily Governor of Pennsylvania Ed Rendell is worried.

Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell has written two separate memos to the Obama campaign in recent days begging for Sen. Obama to come back and campaign in his state. In the memos, Rendell, a former Hillary Clinton supporter, admits to being “a little nervous” about Obama’s chances in the Keystone state. Rendell says that the McCain camp is making a strong push for Pennsylvania, with Sen. McCain and Gov. Sarah Palin spending significant time and resources there recently.

Rendell wants Sen. Obama to return to his state and make three appearances to blunt McCain’s momentum. He recommends a visit to what Rep. Jack Murtha (D-PA) labeled “racist” Western Pennsylvania, followed by an appearance in the capital of Harrisburg and a “large rally” in Philadelphia. But Obama’s presence alone will not seal the deal, according to Rendell. So he wants the Obama campaign to bring Sen. Clinton and former president Clinton along with him, presumably to smooth things over with Pennsylvania’s small townspeople, whom Obama once derided as “bitter” gun-loving religious zealots.

The Obama campaign has been nervous about Pennsylvania since Clinton trounced Obama by 10 points in the primary there. The selection of Joe Biden as his running mate was as much about Biden’s Scranton roots as it was about his foreign policy experience. And the campaign has good reason to worry. Obama’s own internal polling shows him with only a two-point lead in the state. It’s probably closer than that given that internal polls are notoriously skewed toward the campaign conducing them. If Obama follows Rendell’s advice and makes an emergency swing through Pennsylvania, it will be more telling of Sen. McCain’s chances in the election than any public poll result.

Governor Ed Rendell is no fool. Rendell is nervous for good reason – Pennsylvanians, like most Americans, don’t like to be called “racists“.

Only after the humiliating loss in the Pennsylvania primary did the Obama campaign confessed to problems for arugula Obama in Pennsylvania.

If someone in SF asks you about those “strange rural people in PA”…don’t indulge their liberal, latte drinking bull shit…Just tell them if they want to understand rural and ethnic PA that they should get in the Prius’s and drive down to Bakersfield or any of the other mid state towns in California where there are people who actually lead ordinary lives and care about God and own guns…. [snip]

Bittergate hurt a lot – bc is slowed down and then with the poor debate performance stopped what was truly real closing momentum. [snip]

… we’ve just got to find a way to reach seniors…. [snip]

Working class PA folks, esp those over 45, don’t trust Obama…this is a problem and other than getting them to meet Obama retail style…don’t know how we solve it, unless we can get him to do a quick tour of duty in Iraq…

Now, the problems are leaking out in advance of voting. Obama is ahead in Pennsylvania by only 2% according to private polls conducted for the Obama campaign and leaked to radio talk show host Steve Corbett.

Big Media is working with the Obama campaign to bamboozle Americans.

Americans and the voters of Pennsylvania continue to resist Obama and Big Media.

The bamboozlement continues.

The fight continues. Never give up. NObama. NOvember.

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