While we fully digest the Hillary Clinton campaign Internal Memoranda which were published today we looked at the Obama promises to his Hopium injesting fans during the primary season and the political reality today.
A central feature of the primary argument was that Obama was a superior candidate to Hillary Clinton because she — perhaps through no fault of her own — was simply too divisive a figure, and he had the potential to move past the partisan bitterness.
“Part of the reason that Republicans, I think, are obsessed with you, Hillary, is because that’s a fight they’re very comfortable having,” Obama said at the Drexel debate last October. “It’s the fight that we’ve been through since the ’90s … and what we don’t need is another eight years of bickering.”
One thing this election has shown: The bitter partisan realities, and deep national divisions, don’t seem to be so easily surmounted. The blame falls more on McCain than on Obama here in terms of the media campaign — he’s the one airing attack ads on the Olympics — but each nominee started out the general election with sharp attacks on the other. More broadly, there were always going to be two sides in November. Harmony wasn’t really Obama’s to promise.
Politico listed a series of reality hurdles facing Barack Obama and slapping awake the Hopium intoxicated:
A few weeks back, Time magazine was musing that John McCain was in danger of sliding from “a long shot” to a “no-shot.” Around the same time, a hard-nosed former Hillary Clinton insider declared the race “effectively over” thanks to the McCain campaign’s ineptitude, the tanking U.S. economy and Obama’s advantages in cash, charisma and hope. And Obama, up by three to six points nationally, was about to leverage a much-anticipated trip to Iraq, Afghanistan and Europe into a pre-convention poll surge.
Instead, his supporters are now suffering a pre-Denver panic attack, watching as John McCain draws incrementally closer in state and national polls – with Rasmussen’s most recent daily national tracker showing a statistical dead heat.
Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton has been privately enumerating her doubts about Obama to supporters, according to people who have spoken with her. Clinton’s pollster Mark Penn recently unveiled a PowerPoint presentation red-flagging Obama’s lukewarm leads among white female voters and Hispanics – while predicting a five-point swing could turn a presumed Obama win into a McCain landslide.
Bob Kerry does not hear the celestial choirs and slaps awake the Hopium intoxicated – there was never going to be an Obama blowout:
“The idea that Obama was going to win in a blowout was always preposterous,” says former Nebraska senator and onetime presidential hopeful Bob Kerrey, an Obama backer.
According to MSNBC Obama Central, Obama has aired over 10,000 ads in Florida. McCain has aired no ads in Florida. McCain is ahead in Florida. Reality slaps the Hopium intoxicated:
Obama’s strength in Virginia may be overhyped. His chances of ending the Democrats 44-year losing streak in the commonwealth are pretty good — thanks to the explosive growth of the liberal D.C. suburbs, and a 147,000 spike in voter registration sure to benefit Democrats. But Obama’s aides privately concede his odds in Virginia are probably no better than 50-50 and that the state is far from a lock-solid hedge if he loses Ohio and Florida.
Michigan’s in play for McCain. In the year of the downturn, the hard-hit upper Midwest should be prime Obama country. Instead it’s a potential minefield. Obama is still ahead by two to five points there — similar to margins of victory enjoyed by Gore and Kerry in the last two presidential contests — but McCain has quietly crept up over the past month and could vault ahead if he anoints ex-Gov. Mitt Romney as his running mate. Simmering tensions between predominantly black Detroit and its white suburbs could hurt Obama. And McCain’s surrogates were handed a gift in the jailing of Detroit Mayor Kwame Kilpatrick, an Obama supporter.
“Watch Michigan — the Democrats think they’ve got it but they don’t,” says Quinnipiac’s Peter Brown, a longtime Michigan observer. “Obama should be killing [McCain] there, but there’s a lot more racial tension in Michigan than in other states.”
Obama also hasn’t pulled away in other Democrat-friendly neighboring states, watching leads in Wisconsin and Minnesota erode over the last month.
Bob Kerrey once again commits the sin of truthtelling:
Americans may want divided government. Some Democratic operatives think a possible landslide for their party in congressional races could backfire on Obama.
“Fairly or not, folks think he’s pretty liberal and nobody wants a pair of Pelosis running things,” says a New York-based Democratic consultant.
Adds Bob Kerrey: “The country’s still pretty divided … people may want a divided government. They want change, but I’m not sure that the Democratic agenda has the support of a majority of Americans.”
Americans are rejecting Barack Obama and his schemes for America, Chicago, and the world : Keep the change, Barack!
Older voters will resist the alleged charms of Barack Obama.
Surveys and interviews suggest that older voters think McCain, who will turn 72 this month, comes far closer than Obama, 47, to sharing their values and outlook on the world and on the changes in the nation over the past half-century.
“The older people just don’t see Obama in these glowing terms,” said Andrew Kohut, director of the Pew Research Center. “For older voters, a lot of the reservations really have to do with this experience factor, while younger voters see in Obama something much closer to themselves.”
And whatever Donna Brazile and David Axelrod and assorted Eggheads think, older voters matter if you want to win:
The presidential race has featured generational contrasts before, most recently when Clinton, a baby boomer, took on World War II veterans in Bush and Dole. But Clinton fared well with older voters because of the strong support for programs such as Social Security among the seniors who predominated in the 1990s, many of whom grew up during Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal. In 2000, Gore narrowly won voters over 65 after echoing Clinton’s arguments about Social Security. In 2004, John F. Kerry lost voters over 65 by five percentage points to President Bush, and he lacked the huge edge that Obama holds in polls with younger voters to make up the difference.
Edward F. Coyle, executive director of the left-leaning Alliance of Retired Americans, said Obama holds the traditional Democratic edge on issues such as pensions, but is lagging with seniors because his campaign became so identified with younger voters during the primaries, as older ones gravitated toward Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton.
“There was never a lot of discussion about the issues we work on, and he wasn’t working with older communities to get out their vote,” Coyle said. “He’s pretty much unknown on these issues as a result, and has a lot of work to do.”
Obama and his Hopium dealing thugs wanted to trash McCain they way they trashed Hillary Clinton and Hillary Clinton supporters. But other Democrats are bringing reality into the trashing of John McCain.
“John McCain is a known quantity,” says Bob Kerrey, who thinks Obama will ultimately prevail. “You don’t look at John and say, ‘Who the heck is he?’. He’s a veteran, he’s a guy who got pretty banged up in Vietnam. He can deal with crisis. There’s some uncertainty about Senator Obama.”
Yeah, I, I don’t agree. I don’t agree with Wes Clark’s comment. I think it was entirely inappropriate. I have nothing but enormous respect for John McCain’s service. I had the privilege of standing with John McCain in the, in the cell in Hanoi when we visited there together, when we worked on the issue of Vietnam together. It was an emotional moment. I, I have awe for John McCain’s experience as a prisoner of war, and he, and he does understand duty and service. …
“I think the guy calls ’em as he sees ’em, and as president would call ’em as he sees ’em, and would make people mad all over the place because it wouldn’t fit anybody’s playbook,” said Feingold, who teamed up with McCain to rewrite federal campaign laws.
“He would be very original,” Feingold said.
Obama will trash anyone who gets in his way, friend or foe. But Obama cannot get the voters to swallow the Hopium. The Obama promise of harmony was always a lie.
The celestial choirs are singing a dirge of reality, not a Hopium induced chant.