Obama is unelectable and not qualified to be president. Obama will either concede now or face defeat in NOvember and concede to John McCain.
Hillary Clinton, can defeat John McCain. Barack Obama cannot defeat John McCain. Only a suicidal Democratic? Party would nominate Barack Obama.
* * *
After what Big Media termed the best week for Barack Obama and the worst week for John McCain, Americans are not accepting the unqualified Obama:
Republican presidential candidate John McCain moved from being behind by 6 points among “likely” voters a month ago to a 4-point lead over Democrat Barack Obama among that group in the latest USA TODAY/Gallup Poll. McCain still trails slightly among the broader universe of “registered” voters. By both measures, the race is tight.
The Friday-Sunday poll, mostly conducted as Obama was returning from his much-publicized overseas trip and released just this hour, shows McCain now ahead 49%-45% among voters that Gallup believes are most likely to go to the polls in November. In late June, he was behind among likely voters, 50%-44%.
Among registered voters, McCain still trails Obama, but by less. He is behind by 3 percentage points in the new poll (47%-44%) vs. a 6-point disadvantage (48%-42%) in late June.
Maybe the poll dive for Obama after his so-called “best week” is attributable to Obama making time for his priorities (applause from mobs of people) but not bothering to make time for the priorities of most Americans and snubbing American troops stationed in Germany – many injured.
Republicans, once fearful of this election cycle, are heartened:
In the contest for president, Barack Obama is a magnetic candidate supported by a disciplined, well-organized campaign. John McCain seems wooden, with a campaign that appears to be in shambles. Yet Obama’s lead in the polls over McCain is fragile because he so far has not won the support of a majority of American voters.
An effective and massively publicized foreign trip failed to push Obama to the 50 percent mark. Hopes of Democrats and fears of Republicans that he would get a major bounce in the polls when he clinched the nomination and then on his campaigning abroad have not been realized.
Republicans would love to run a general election campaign against Obama:
That he lingers below the 50 percent mark is a mystery among politicians of both parties. It is particularly troubling to Democrats who recall past Democratic candidates taking a huge lead over the summer before being overtaken or nearly overtaken by a surging Republican opponent. In 1976, Jimmy Carter took a 33-point summer lead over President Gerald Ford and won in a photo finish. In 1988, Michael Dukakis led George H.W. Bush by 17 points after being nominated in Atlanta before he lost the election. Al Gore and John Kerry were ahead of George W. Bush in the summer. [snip]
Obama’s difficulty in reaching the 50 percent mark reflects an overwhelmingly white undecided vote at 10 to 15 percent.
Obama ignored white working class voters by snubbing them. In the Kentucky and West Virginia primaries Obama barely bothered with them. Obama snubbed them. Now they are snubbing Obama. Many of that “undecided” number do not want to be accused of being racists by the ever race-baiting Obama campaign so they will state they are “undecided“. But these are NObama, NOvember voters.
Obama and his acolytes are oblivious to his fading “charms“.
Mr. Obama’s aides are confident that the passions of the primary season have given way to a more pragmatic view among Mrs. Clinton’s supporters and that Mr. Obama would not risk a major backlash from women or other constituencies associated with her if the vice presidential slot goes to someone else.
The Hopium he is smoking is stupid strong if Obama believes that the “passions” of the primary season have muted in any way. The Hopium is especially dizzying if Obama believes he will win.
Barack Obama told donors at a Monday night fundraiser just across the Potomac River from Washington that “the odds of us winning are very good.”
But Hopium does not trump reality. In public Obama used to declare that he would win “big”. Not for Obama a mere 51% or a bare majority of electoral votes. Obama promised a big win but now, in private, Obama admits a close election if he is the nominee.
Closing his brief remarks, Obama addressed the reason he hasn’t seen a surge in the polls following extensive coverage of his overseas trip, arguing that voters are still sizing him up and that his candidacy is “new for them, new for us as a country.”
“This is going to be a close election for a long time because I’m new on the national scene and people sort of like what they see but they’re still not sure,” he concluded.
It is a question that has hovered over Senator Barack Obama even as he has passed milestone after milestone in his race for the White House: Why is he not doing better?
It shadowed him as he struggled against Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton in many states through the primaries, results that sometimes stood at odds with the huge, enthusiastic crowds that turned out to see him. It was there in the exit polls that suggested that many Democrats were uncomfortable with Mr. Obama, putting an asterisk next to some of his biggest primary victories.
And it is back again as he returns from an overseas trip that even Republicans have described as politically triumphant. In this case, the question is why — given how sour Americans feel about President Bush and the Republican party, and the perception that Mr. Obama is running a better campaign than Senator John McCain — the senator from Illinois is not scoring even higher in national opinion polls.
Republicans would love to run against Obama in the fall. Obama can’t make the sale and the polls fed some underlying anxiety among some Democrats.
Last week the L.A. Times pondered the question of why Obama faces an ugly NOvember.
Even as his turn on the global stage hit an emotional peak Thursday with a speech before a cheering crowd of more than 200,000 in Germany, Barack Obama faced new evidence of stubborn election challenges back home.
Fresh polls show that he has been unable to convert weeks of extensive media coverage into a widened lead. And some prominent Democrats whose support could boost his campaign are still not enthusiastic about his candidacy.
Who are these unenthusiastic Democrats? Hillary supporters continue to say NO. NObama. NOvember.
Obama also faces discontent from some of Hillary Rodham Clinton’s most ardent supporters, who are put off by what they describe as a campaign marked by hubris and a style dedicated to televised extravaganzas.
Susie Tompkins Buell, a major Clinton fundraiser, said: “The Clinton supporters that I know are bothered by these rock-star events. These spectacles are more about the candidate than they are about the party and the issues that we care about.” [snip]
Both Obama and McCain had been invited Thursday to a cancer forum organized by cyclist Lance Armstrong’s foundation at Ohio State University.
McCain showed; Obama did not. Some in the crowd took notice.
Ann Marie Jones, a stay-at-home mother whose 10-year-old son was diagnosed with cancer in September, said she had leaned toward Obama “until he didn’t show up tonight.”
“I feel like I understand what he’s doing over there, but I think he needed to be here tonight for this,” she said.
Obama and his supporters might think they have won over Hillary supporters but they are smoking Hopium which distorts reality:
But Obama is struggling with a different set of obstacles; he has yet to lock in some of Clinton’s most devoted supporters and active fundraisers.
In interviews, Clinton supporters said they saw in Obama a presumption that had made it hard to give him their allegiance. Some said they were put off by his decision to accept the Democratic nomination at a football stadium that can hold more than 76,000; his use of a knockoff of the presidential seal at a campaign event; and his early interest in giving his Berlin speech at the famous Brandenburg Gate, where Reagan spoke in 1987.
The Republican National Committee has been pumping out regular e-mails titled “Audacity Watch,” a compilation of instances in which, in its view, Obama has appeared to act as if he were president. In an e-mail sent Thursday, the RNC mentioned a news report that he had already instructed aides to begin planning for a transition to the presidency.
Amy Siskind of Westchester, N.Y., is a Clinton supporter who said she wouldn’t vote for Obama. Siskind said she was especially offended when Obama hired Clinton’s former campaign manager, Patti Solis Doyle, to work with his vice presidential nominee. Given that Solis Doyle was demoted by Clinton, the appointment was perceived by Clinton loyalists as a slight.
“Most folks feel that the battle is over and he’s the winner, but he’s really acted like a sore winner,” Siskind said. “If Hillary had been the nominee, you would have seen a much more deferential approach to Obama supporters.”
Lynn Forester de Rothschild, a Clinton fundraiser who lives in New York City, said, “What I think is very important is that he has a problem with his image. He is an aloof candidate. He does not connect with people. He has words, but no ordinary person thinks that he is there for them, and women feel that intensely.”
Even Arriana’s Huff n’ Puff website took note of Obama’s lack of winning charms:
Six days into Barack Obama’s international tour, the Gallup daily tracking poll shows the race for president remains tight, with only two points separating the presumptive nominees, 45% to 43%, on combined data from July 21-23. Odd.
Everything has gone well for Obama on this foreign excursion, and John McCain spent the week floundering from gaffe to gaffe, while his campaign expressed an immature, petulant tone toward the positive coverage generated by the senator from Illinois.
So this begs a question: Why so close? Shouldn’t Obama be wiping the floor with this guy?
The answer is that most people are not buying or believing the Big Media hype of Obama. Americans are hearing at best half truths from Big Media concerning Obama. In the United States Americans heard that Obama was a sensation in Europe with his picture on the cover of Der Spiegel. The truth was more complicated:
It is true that Der Spiegel, the German newsweekly, featured Mr. Obama on its cover, topped by the words “Germany Meets the Superstar” — but the cover was satire, and nasty satire at that. The editors managed to find the ugliest photograph of Mr. Obama ever taken. It caught the senator at a moment that might be exhaustion but looks like conceited smirking. When Der Spiegel featured Mr. Obama on its cover in March, the cover line was “The Messiah Factor.” Must one add that this, too, was not meant to be taken at face value?
Europeans will be as relieved as 72 percent of Americans to see the end of the Bush administration, but their attitudes toward the Democratic candidate are far from being the same as the ones he arouses at home. Mr. Obama makes Europeans uncomfortable.
In Germany, politicians in front of large, shouting crowds evoke images that nobody wants to see repeated. But genuine worries about demagoguery are not all that’s at issue. The mocking undertone that accompanies most descriptions of Mr. Obama in the European news media signifies a trans-Atlantic divide. George W. Bush made matters far worse than they ever were, but the neoconservatives who advised him were right about one thing: Europe is gripped by a world-weariness that resists American dreams.
Even Obama cheerleaders in Big Media, like Chris Matthews, know Obama is in trouble and the trouble is with Hillary supporters and other real Democrats:
“I think the world thinks he is already President. They got to be disabused of that. We have a Presidential campaign ahead of us, it’s not behind us. And they are wrong if they think this guy has been elected. I mean, this guy is not elected by any stretch, this election is up in the air; I mean that, up in the air. And I think that is something that is a false perception. He shouldn’t be probably giving world leadership speeches until he is a world leader.” [snip]
“I don’t think by any means, does Barack Obama have this deal closed with the Clinton crowd. Their contributors, women, women’s groups they are not together. The Clinton people are not aboard. The Democratic Party is not united and anybody that thinks it is, is confused or deluded. This Democratic Party has got problems on it’s hands. And it’s Barack Obama’s challenge to bring Bill Clinton aboard. When I see their two faces together in the same room, I’ll believe it. I haven’t seen that yet. There is big time problem in the Democratic party. And there is the potential that John McCain will be the tortoise in the tortoise and the hare.” [snip]
“Barack Obama has got to identify with the gas pump, with the kitchen table, with the husband and wife talking late at night about how they are going to pay the bills they haven’t been able to pay, when they are out of money. He doesn’t get to those people, but I don’t think McCain does either. Both of them need running mates who can talk meat and potatoes, as they say in Massachusetts. And I just think that’s why Hillary could play a role. Hillary is a bread and butter candidate. She does do specifics. This rock star is so elevated, so whole-sale that he’s almost created a need for Hillary Clinton as his running mate. Someone like Hillary who can talk about gasoline prices, talk about women’s job opportunities, equal pay, basic stuff like minimum wage, getting food on the table, getting gas in the tank. He doesn’t talk like that. And you gotta talk like that if you are a Democrat.” [snip]
“But you have to be a little nervous about the fact, there have been studies on this. If you are an African-American candidate in this kind of race, where there are two races involved you have to look at the fact of how Barack gets up to 50. Does he have to get up to 50 in the polling to get 50 on election day? Or, and this is all speculation, no one knows this yet, we haven’t done this before. What about the undecideds? Are they truly undecideds or are they Democratic holdouts? People who have always voted Democrat. Maybe the’re Jewish voters, maybe they’re working class, maybe they’re women, Hillary people. Are they holding out to say ‘I can’t bring myself to say I’m voting Republican, but I will.’ And that is what we don’t know. That is the danger spot for the Obama campaign. That when it says 45/41 or 45/43 like it has been, in that general range, a 4 point spread, generally in the average poll, does that say that Barack is truly ahead or does it say Barack cannot crack through 45? That he is gonna wind up no better than that on election day? That is the big questions going on to November.”
He’s not a real Democrat.
Obama will concede now or in NOvember.