Poll Numbers

Primary season voting might begin in less than 5 months.

Iowa and New Hampshire might move their scheduled voting to early December. This is not a farfetched possibility.

Whatever happens to the primary schedule, as of today, the Iowa caucuses are scheduled to begin in less than 6 months, on January 14, 2008. There will also be a lot of early voting because states such as California allow easy absentee balloting. What do the polls say today, 5 or 6 months away from actual voting?

We do not usually discuss the Ripublican race but today the Associated Press released a poll which discusses the Democratic and Ripublican races for president:

And the leading Republican presidential candidate is … none of the above.

The latest Associated Press-Ipsos poll found that nearly a quarter of Republicans are unwilling to back top-tier hopefuls Rudy Giuliani, Fred Thompson, John McCain or Mitt Romney, and no one candidate has emerged as the clear front-runner among Christian evangelicals. Such dissatisfaction underscores the volatility of the 2008 GOP nomination fight.

In sharp contrast, the Democratic race remains static, with Hillary Rodham Clinton holding a sizable lead over Barack Obama. The New York senator, who is white, also outpaces her Illinois counterpart, who is black, among black and Hispanic Democrats, according to a combined sample of two months of polls.

Levels of support are Clinton 36%, Obama 20%, Edwards 11% according to AP. Readers of this website will not be surprised by these findings. Perhaps a wry smile will cross our faces.

While the Associated Press was conducting a scientific survey, the Star-Gazette was amassing anecdotal evidence of Hillary’s popularity.

Many young people came out Monday to meet the woman who could make history as the first female president of the United States.

The youths were among the hundreds of people who gathered at the Big Flats Community Center to hear U.S. Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton talk about the importance of supporting local agriculture.

Clinton’s presence attracted many teenagers and young adults, including some who say they’ll back her in 2008.

“I like to help support what (Clinton) does,” said Joe McCormick, 15, of Elmira Heights, who was sporting a “Vote For Hillary” T-shirt that she later signed. “Since I won’t be old enough to vote (in the 2008 Presidential election) I try to raise awareness and do what I can.”

The country’s future is safe with these wise ones.

Clinton’s appearance was an excellent opportunity for first-time voters to view politics closely.

“Some teens are so oblivious (to public affairs),” said Clinton supporter Matt Morrisey, 18, of Elmira. “We need to learn more, and I thought this would be a great experience.”

“We’re the next generation of voters,” Massa said. “(Teens) need to know what issues are out there.”

“Eventually (teens) have the choice to vote,” McCormick said. “If they want the best life for themselves, they need to know the issues and (be able to) make the best choices.”

Corey Bailey, will remember Hillary’s decades of good works, and decades of experience in fighting for all of us, when voting time comes next year. We will be right there with you Corey.

Corey Bailey, 18, of Elmira, who will be a first-time voter this fall, said he is a “big supporter” of Clinton. “When I was in fourth grade, I met her at Bradley Farms (in Southport), and was surprised at how friendly and polite she was to such a young kid,” Bailey said. “I’ve never forgotten that moment. She made a great impact (on me) and I will always support her.”

Some of the young people said they were impressed by Clinton’s willingness to take time with people. She leisurely walked through the Big Flats Farmers Market, which was under way outside the community center during her appearance. She frequently stopped to pose for photographs, sign autographs and answer questions.

She just seems like an overall good person,” McCormick said.


21 thoughts on “Poll Numbers

  1. guys, do you know what reall cracks me up with the nutrooters and obama worshippers? when i hear their excuses on why hillary is still far ahead in the polls they say”wait until obama put up ads then he will get past hillary” well there is a small problem with that theory. what dream world they are on becuase do they think they are the ONLY candidate dominating the ad war this fall and winter? hillary is going to unleash her ad war too, plus edwards and the others. so our girl will have the ad war and organization to keep her base support plus get additional support. mr pretender indeed thinks he is only person putting up ads next year. dullusional indeed.

  2. Looks like advertising has not helped Edwards in New Hampshire. The polls we posted still have Edwards way back.

    Will Obama’s numbers go up now that he is advertising in Iowa? Obama also has the advantage in Iowa because Iowa borders Illinois so many Iowans have seen him for years on local TV. Iowans should know Obama really well. Now they get to see his paid TV ads.

    Hillary can afford to save her money. She does not yet need to advertise. Her advertisments are her debate appearances.

    Will Obama’s numbers rise lin Iowa now that he is advertising? not likely.

  3. Paula, all Elizabeth Edwards managed to do was step on the John Edwards campaign message for the week which was supposed to be poverty.

    Also, according to The Note “ABC’s Raelyn Johnson reports that Elizabeth Edwards was showing off her MBT sneakers to reporters on the plane yesterday; the shoes, which purport to reduce cellulite, retail for $245.”

    While the Edwardses have the right to spend their money any way they want it does once again demonstrate that they are incapable of communicating effectively the anti-poverty message because they keep stepping on their own story. http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/TheNote/Story?id=3105288&page=1

    But whatever you do Paula – don’t tell anyone about this. We don’t want to help those other “campaigns”. 🙂

  4. More number. The lastest CNN/WMUR
    New Hampshire Poll:

    “Among Democratic contenders, Sen. Hillary Clinton wields a solid lead over Sen. Barack Obama, with the former first lady claiming the support of 36 percent of Granite State voters. Obama trailed with 27 percent.”

  5. lol. I like Mrs. Edwards but she said some really dumb stuff in that interview. For example, when has Hillary or anyone on her staff said, “Vote for me [her] because I’m [she’s] a woman”? Also, Hillary’s rationale for running goes way beyond “I’m in this to win.” You know, like her qualifications based on experience and leadership? Guess Mrs. Edwards hasn’t been paying much attention.

  6. Did anyone see the news that Oprah Winfrey to raise money for Obama!
    I wish Oprah will just stay out of politics!! I hope it won’t affect Hillary’s prospects with democratic women!

  7. Hi Paula,
    Good to hear that it won’t make a huge difference. I rather felt betrayed not that I thought Oprah should support Hill just because she is a woman but I thought Hill being the best in the race Oprah would have endorsed her! Sad to see her endorse Obama! But, glad to hear that her fundraising won’t make a difference for voters except more money for Obama!

  8. Speaking of Daytime Talk show hosts:

    Joy Behar, of The View, got it wrong today when she said that “Toby McGuire and Ben Stiller are Obama supporters” since she didnt mention that they now support Hillary Clinton.

    I am going to send Joy the article from the NY POST that proves that she is wrong. Maybe Joy will stop spewing stale 10 year old Monica jokes that nobody laughs at anymore anyway.

  9. secretpolitics, I’m not an expert on this, lol, but I’ve known that Oprah has liked Obama for some time, so the fundraising thing didn’t surprise me.

    Also, sandy1938, I’d go ahead and send that article. See if Joy corrects herself, lol.

  10. Paula,
    Yes, I myself have known that Oprah got Obama on her show several times and she used to gush when he is around. But, I imagined that she wants to be politically correct and not throw her weight behind one candidate as her audience may feel differently. She has always be apolitical so, I didn’t expect that she will go all out to support an inexperienced candidate just because “she likes him”!

  11. Oprah,

    If Obama is not black, will she still endorse him? Not likely.

    Edwardssssss have gone nuts these days, but we’d better ignore these two, they are sinking like stone in polls. Our #1 target is and will always be Obama.

  12. I agree, Joy Bahar is so last week!!! She needs to get out into the mainstream and update her game. She IS stale and garrish in her approach to (so called) humor. She’s candidate for a serious makeover, like a 10 lb breast reduction!

    Eh! Elizabeth Edwards approach to attacklng Hillary will have the usual effect; Hillary’s poll numbers will go up. It was a “stupid” thing for Elizabeth to say and quite insulting to the rest of us with kids.

    EE elicts a response for the mothers she’s insulted, something like, “who does she think she is?” Hillary has been an advocate for Moms and Children and Woman’s Rights for a very long time.

    For an attorney, EE made a serious miscue resulting in a huge turn off to her husband’s campaign…It’s fine if she bitches about Coulter, but an attack on Hillary is one of the stupidist things she’s could have ever done.

    Take a breather, Eliz…we have more in common than not.

  13. Mrs. Smith, I agree with you about the backlash EE’s attack will have. Remember last year when EE made those strange comments about Hillary being unhappy with her choices in life (as if she would know)? She ended up calling her and apologizing.

  14. Yes, Paula. Safe to say, EE’s demeanor may be affected by her present health condidtion. So, I’m thinking she may be lashing out moreso because of her hisband’s campaign not gaining any significant traction over the last few months. Her criticizm of Hillary just doesn’t fit her persona. She hitting out at the front runner thinking she’s helping John’s campaign..

    nuh,no, Elizabeth…Obama your target!

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